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Car Aftermarket - UK - November 2014

“Although the car parts aftermarket is seeing growth it remains one that is subject to a number of pressures. These are coming from various directions with the current buoyancy of new car sales and move towards budget brands joined by wider trends such as the impact of the ageing population and a steady fall in distances travelled annually. ”
– Neil Mason, Head of Retail Research

This report looks at the following areas:

  • A strong new car market
  • Distance travelled annually in decline
  • The ageing population

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Table of contents

  1. Introduction

      • Definition
        • Exclusions
          • Abbreviations
          • Executive Summary

              • The market
                • Figure 1: UK car parts aftermarket, by value, at current prices, 2009-19
              • Market factors
                • Companies, brands and innovation
                  • Channels to market
                    • Figure 2: Aftermarket outlets for sales of replacement parts, 2014
                  • The consumer
                    • Figure 3: Car ownership, September 2014
                    • Figure 4: Age of car driven, September 2014
                    • Figure 5: Replacement parts bought, September 2014
                    • Figure 6: Repairs or fitting of replacement parts by planned and unplanned occasion, September 2014
                    • Figure 7: Reasons for replacing parts, September 2014
                    • Figure 8: Attitudes towards cars and car repairs, September 2014
                  • What we think
                  • Issues and Insights

                      • A strong new car market
                        • The facts
                          • The implications
                            • Distance travelled annually in decline
                              • The facts
                                • The implications
                                  • The ageing population
                                    • The facts
                                      • The implications
                                      • Trend Application

                                          • Why Buy
                                            • Return to the experts
                                              • Prepare for the worst
                                              • Market Environment

                                                • Key points
                                                  • A car market in recovery
                                                    • Figure 9: New and used car registrations, 2009-14
                                                  • Polarisation of market by vehicle age
                                                    • Figure 10: Age structure of the car parc in years, 2012 and 2013
                                                  • Trips taken and distance travelled are in steady declines
                                                    • Figure 11: Trips, distance travelled and time taken, 2003-2013
                                                  • Lighting and signalling are key reason for MOT failure
                                                    • Figure 12: Road vehicle testing scheme (MOT), selected reasons for failure, car tests, 2008-13
                                                  • Diesels account for over half of new cars sold
                                                    • Figure 13: New car registrations, by fuel type, 2009-14
                                                  • Vehicle replacement times are improving
                                                    • Impact of maintenance delays...
                                                      • ... or getting others to undertake maintenance on your behalf
                                                        • UK economy in recovery
                                                          • Figure 14: GDP, PDI, consumer expenditure and savings, at current prices, 2009-19
                                                        • GDP growth is beginning to strengthen
                                                          • Consumer expenditure likely to be buoyant
                                                            • Financial confidence begins to strengthen
                                                              • Figure 15: GfK Consumer Confidence Index, January 1988 – February 2014
                                                            • Pain of high fuel prices may be easing
                                                              • Figure 16: Monthly UK petrol, diesel and oil price trends, 2009-13**
                                                            • Shift in population towards the less affluent
                                                              • UK population shows signs of ageing
                                                              • Competitive Context

                                                                • Key points
                                                                  • Replacement parts have to compete against other motoring expenses
                                                                    • Figure 17: Consumer expenditure on car purchasing, servicing and repair and motoring expenses, seasonally adjusted at current prices, 2009-13
                                                                  • Role of the internet continues to broaden
                                                                    • Counterfeiting – an unquantifiable problem
                                                                      • Competition from part used and refurbished parts
                                                                      • Strengths and Weaknesses in the Market

                                                                        • Strengths
                                                                          • Weaknesses
                                                                          • Who’s Innovating?

                                                                            • Key points
                                                                              • Demand for intelligent motoring prompts autonomous parts
                                                                                • Gripping stuff
                                                                                  • Green initiatives take root within the tyre sector
                                                                                  • Market Size and Forecast

                                                                                    • Key points
                                                                                      • Revenues show signs of strengthening
                                                                                        • Figure 18: UK car parts aftermarket*, by value, at current and constant prices, 2009-14
                                                                                      • Recovery as recessionary woes ease
                                                                                        • Slowdown in growth as sales of new cars strengthen
                                                                                          • Replacement tyres dominate the market
                                                                                            • Figure 19: Segmentation of the car parts aftermarket, by value, at current prices, 2009-14
                                                                                          • The future
                                                                                            • Figure 20: UK car parts aftermarket, by value, at current prices, 2009-19
                                                                                          • Forecast
                                                                                            • Figure 21: UK tyre aftermarket, by value, at current prices, 2009-19
                                                                                            • Figure 22: UK other car parts aftermarket, by value, at current prices, 2009-19
                                                                                        • Market Segmentation

                                                                                          • Key points
                                                                                            • Tyres
                                                                                              • Rising raw material prices drive up value
                                                                                                • Figure 23: Tyre sales, by value (at current prices) and volume, 2009-14
                                                                                              • Sales recover from difficult period during recent economic slowdown
                                                                                                • Revenues rising faster than volume sales
                                                                                                  • Premium market fighting back despite further progress for budget tyres
                                                                                                    • Figure 24: Tyre segmentation for replacement car tyres, by volume percentage, 2010-2014
                                                                                                  • Interest in winter and all season tyres hit by the weather
                                                                                                    • Figure 25: Winter/all season tyres, 2010-2014
                                                                                                  • Initial interest slowed by the weather
                                                                                                    • Other replacement parts
                                                                                                      • Economic recovery helps to boost sales
                                                                                                        • Figure 26: Segmentation of the other replacement parts market, by value, at current prices, 2009-14
                                                                                                      • Replacement rates and pricing impact on the market
                                                                                                        • Things are not all so bad
                                                                                                          • Slow recovery in market value
                                                                                                          • Market Share

                                                                                                            • Key points
                                                                                                              • Tyres – a market in transition
                                                                                                                • Figure 27: UK – Tyres: Company market share, by value, 2012
                                                                                                              • Leading manufacturers see their share of sales fall back
                                                                                                                • Far East companies dominate push by budget manufacturers
                                                                                                                • Companies and Products

                                                                                                                  • Parts suppliers
                                                                                                                    • Bosch
                                                                                                                      • Delphi
                                                                                                                        • Federal-Mogul
                                                                                                                          • Hella
                                                                                                                            • Tenneco
                                                                                                                              • TRW
                                                                                                                                • Visteon
                                                                                                                                  • Valeo
                                                                                                                                    • Factors and retailers
                                                                                                                                      • A1 Motor Stores
                                                                                                                                        • Euro Car Parts
                                                                                                                                          • GSF Car Parts
                                                                                                                                            • Halfords
                                                                                                                                              • Motor World
                                                                                                                                                • Tyres
                                                                                                                                                  • Bridgestone
                                                                                                                                                    • Continental
                                                                                                                                                      • Goodyear
                                                                                                                                                        • Hankook
                                                                                                                                                          • Michelin
                                                                                                                                                            • Pirelli
                                                                                                                                                            • Brand Communication and Promotion

                                                                                                                                                              • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                • Overall expenditure suffers collapse in 2013
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 28: Main media advertising expenditure on car aftermarket products*, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                                                • Tyres dominate expenditure
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 29: Main media advertising expenditure, by key group, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                                                • Brakes and clutches dominate other car part expenditure
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 30: Main media advertising expenditure by other car parts 2010 - 2013
                                                                                                                                                                • Press advertising emerges as channel of choice
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 31: Main media advertising expenditure on car aftermarket products*, % share by media type, 2010-13
                                                                                                                                                                • Manufacturers dominate the tyre sector
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 32: Total advertising spend on tyres by company, 2010-13
                                                                                                                                                                • Press and radio replace television in the tyre sector
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 33: TYRE ADSPEND, BY MEDIA TYPE, 2010-13
                                                                                                                                                                • Fragmented involvement in other parts market
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 34: Other car parts* advertising spend, by advertiser, 2010-13
                                                                                                                                                                • Press advertising dominant for other car parts suppliers
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 35: Other car parts* by advertising spend, by media type, 2010-13
                                                                                                                                                              • Channels to Market

                                                                                                                                                                • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                  • Independent garages dominate the market
                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 36: Aftermarket outlets for sales of replacement parts * 2008, 2010, 2012 and 2014
                                                                                                                                                                  • Independent garage sector beginning to see stability in site numbers
                                                                                                                                                                    • Petrol forecourts suffer a more dramatic decline in network
                                                                                                                                                                      • Dealer outlet numbers stabilise after sharp contraction
                                                                                                                                                                        • Fast Fit network sees growth in network
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 37: Top 10 tyre and exhaust fitting centres, by number of outlets, 2010, 2012 and 2013
                                                                                                                                                                        • Car accessory retailers dominated by Halfords
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 38: Leading car accessory chains, by number of outlets, 2012, 2013 and 2014
                                                                                                                                                                        • Tyre sales – an area dominated by specialists
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 39: Tyre distribution, by outlet, 2013
                                                                                                                                                                        • Internet
                                                                                                                                                                          • Other replacement parts affected by requirement to fit
                                                                                                                                                                            • Tyre sales are a developing market
                                                                                                                                                                            • The Consumer – Car Ownership

                                                                                                                                                                              • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                                • Car ownership stands at around two thirds of adults
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 40: Car ownership, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                • Men as opposed to women are more likely to own a car from new
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Younger drivers are more likely to own new car purchased in the last two years
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Rural drivers are more likely to own a used car
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Income is a major factor on the age of vehicle owned
                                                                                                                                                                                        • Several groups are more likely than not to hold a driving licence
                                                                                                                                                                                          • Fall in percentage of used cars being driven
                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 41: Car ownership, 2012, 2013 and 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                        • The Consumer – Age of Car Driven

                                                                                                                                                                                          • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                                            • Around three in 10 drivers drive a car under three years old
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 42: Age of car driven, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Emergence from recession boosts younger vehicles
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 43: Age of car driven, 2011 and 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                            • The Consumer – Parts Replacement

                                                                                                                                                                                              • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Tyres top the list as parts that need replacing
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 44: Replacement parts bought, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Men lead when purchasing certain car parts
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Young are more likely to purchase replacement parts
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Urban drivers are more likely to purchase some replacement parts
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Income impacts on the replacement of some parts
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Older vehicles are more likely to need replacement parts
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 45: Replacement parts bought, by car ownership, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • The Consumer – Undertaking Planned and Unplanned Repairs

                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Mechanics and independent dealers are most likely to fit parts
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 46: Repairs or fitting of replacement parts by planned and unplanned occasion, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Men opt for dealers or do it themselves
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Young adults favour certain channels
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Certain channels are popular for urban car owners
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Income and socio economic status both impact on choice
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Certain parts are only replaced by certain outlets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 47: Planned repairs or fitting of replacement parts by outlet, by parts and replacement parts purchased in the last 12 months, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Owners of young and old vehicles have different preferences towards where parts would be fitted
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 48: Planned repairs or fitting of replacement parts by outlet, by age of car in the last 12 months, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • The Consumer – Reasons for Replacing Parts

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Failure of a part is the most likely reason for its replacement
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 49: Reasons for replacing parts, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Women are more reliant on advice of professionals
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Young car owners are strongly influenced by family/friends and media campaigns …
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • … while older drivers rely on their own intuition of advice of professionals
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Urban/rural differences
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Age of car impacts on the reasons for replacing a part
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 50: Reasons for replacing parts by age of main car in the last 12 months, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Type of part influences reason for replacement
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 51: Reasons for replacing parts, by selected parts replaced in the last 12 months, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • The Consumer – Attitudes towards Cars and Car Repairs

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Knowing your vehicle is reliable is crucial for many buyers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 52: Attitudes towards cars and car repairs, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Concern about reliability favours purchase of new and nearly new vehicles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Preferences towards branded parts is low although use of new parts is important
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Warranty awareness is also high
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Women show a reliance on others when it comes to the reliability of parts …
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • … as do older car owners
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Those on the lowest incomes appear least worried about reliability of their vehicles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Concerns about reliability prompt ownership of modern cars
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 53: Attitudes towards cars and car repairs by age of main car, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Mechanics and fast-fit viewed differently by those who use dealers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 54: Attitudes towards the replacement of car parts, by selected locations where planned repairs are undertaken, September 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Fast fit users show strong technical edge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Mobile mechanics are attractive for those looking at part worn or refurbished parts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Users of authorised dealers want assurances

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Bank of England
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Bridgestone Sports Co. Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Bridgestone/Firestone Retail & Commercial Operations LLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • BSH Home Appliances Corporation [Bosch]
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Delphi Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dow Jones & Company Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dunlop Slazenger Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Federal-Mogul Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Fédération Internationale de Football Association
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ford Motor Company Limited (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • General Motors Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Halfords Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Hella UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Honda Motor Co. Ltd (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Mercedes-Benz UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Michelin North America Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Motor World Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Osram Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Pacific Retail Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sony (UK) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Tenneco
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • TomTom International B.V.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • TRW Automotive

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Car Aftermarket - UK - November 2014

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