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Cars and Commercial Vehicles - UK - June 2016

“The British automotive industry continues its somewhat unexpected revival following the 2008 economic crisis, aided in no small part by extensive foreign investment, rising foreign demand and the growing appeal of British-made vehicles, which have exploited their rich heritage, coming to represent a hallmark of tradition and excellence in the global arena.”

Marco Amasanti, B2B Analyst

This report answers the following questions:

  • What strategy have market leaders adopted in recent years to drive recent growth?
  • How have foreign investors contributed to this recent expansion?
  • What impact has the 2015 Volkswagen Emissions Scandal had in the automotive marketplace, and what effect is this expected to have moving forward?
  • How has the surge of online shopping shaped activity in the market?
  • What are the implications of the UK withdrawing from the EU?

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Table of contents

  1. Executive Summary

      • Market size
        • Figure 1: Total motor vehicle production, 2011-15, (units)
        • Figure 2: Total motor vehicle registrations, by volume, 2011-15, (units)
      • Market trends
        • Environmental concerns at the forefront of the market and wider manufacturing operations
          • Figure 3: Ultra low emissions commercial vehicles registered for the first time, 2010-15, (units)
        • Returning customer and business expenditure has driven recent market expansion
          • The surge of connected technology is set to dramatically change the haulage industry
            • The Emissions Scandal
              • Forecast
                • Figure 4: Production forecasts, 2016-20, (millions)
                • Figure 5: Registration forecasts, 2016-20, (millions)
              • Increasingly pragmatic approach to car ownership
                • Consolidation of e-commerce
                  • What we think
                  • Key Insights

                      • What impact has the Volkswagen Emissions Scandal had on the cars and commercial vehicles market, both immediate and more long term?
                        • What was the significance of foreign investment in the British automotive industry's revival?
                          • What impact will the EU Referendum result have?
                          • Introduction

                            • Issues in the market
                              • Definitions
                                • Methodology
                                  • Abbreviations
                                    • Market positioning
                                    • UK Economy

                                      • Key points
                                        • Overview
                                          • Independent forecasts are tending to 2.5% GDP growth in 2015 and 2.3% in 2016
                                            • Figure 6: UK GDP quarterly development, 2005-15, (£ billion)
                                            • Figure 7: Quarters after GDP peak, 1979, 1990 and 2008, (number of quarters and GDP as % of pre-downturn peak)
                                          • Inflation
                                            • Interest rates
                                              • House prices
                                                • Consumer spending
                                                  • Manufacturing
                                                    • Figure 8: UK output, by industry, 2008-15, (index: Q1 2008 = 100)
                                                  • Business investment
                                                    • Figure 9: UK GFCF 2005-15, (£ million)
                                                  • Imports
                                                    • Exports
                                                    • Market Factors and Trends

                                                      • Key points
                                                        • Drive for sustainability
                                                          • Figure 10: CO2 emissions, by sector, 2014, (% of total CO2 emissions)
                                                          • Figure 11: Ultra low emissions commercial vehicles registered for the first time, 2010-15, (000)
                                                        • Economic recovery
                                                          • Figure 12: Total market vehicle registrations, by volume, and GDP growth, %, 2006-15 (units)
                                                        • Driverless lorries
                                                            • Figure 13: UK production of connected cars forecast, 2015-30, (% of new cars with connectivity system)
                                                            • Figure 14: UK production of connected cars forecast, 2015-30, (%)
                                                          • The Emissions Scandal
                                                          • Market Size

                                                            • Key points
                                                                • Figure 15: Total motor vehicle registrations, by volume, 2006-15, (units)
                                                                • Figure 16: Total motor vehicle registrations, by volume, 2006-15, (units)
                                                                • Figure 17: UK motor vehicles in use, 2011-15, (000)
                                                                • Figure 18: UK motor vehicles in use, 2011-15, (000)
                                                                • Figure 19: Total motor vehicle production, 2011-15, (units and % total annual change)
                                                                • Figure 20: Total motor vehicle production, 2011-15, (% total annual change)
                                                            • Market Segmentation

                                                              • Key points
                                                                • Passenger cars
                                                                  • Figure 21: Passenger cars licensed, by keepership, 2011-15, (000)
                                                                  • Figure 22: Passenger cars licensed, by keepership, 2011-15, (000)
                                                                  • Figure 23: Car models, largest five, by UK production volume, 2014, (units)
                                                                  • Figure 24: Car models, largest five, by UK production volume, 2014, (units)
                                                                • Commercial vehicles
                                                                  • Figure 25: Commercial vehicle production, 2014 and 2015, (units and % share)
                                                                  • Figure 26: Commercial vehicle production, 2014 and 2015, (units and % share)
                                                                  • Figure 27: Commercial vehicle registration, 2011-15, (000)
                                                                  • Figure 28: Commercial vehicle registration, 2011-15, (000)
                                                                  • Figure 29: Commercial vehicle manufacturing, largest five, by brand, 2014, (volume)
                                                                  • Figure 30: Commercial vehicle manufacturing, largest five, by brand, 2014, (volume)
                                                                • Regional analysis of the British automotive industry
                                                                  • Figure 31: Number of enterprises engaged in the manufacture of motor vehicles, by region, 2014 and 2015, (units)
                                                                  • Figure 32: Number of enterprises engaged in the sale of new cars and light motor vehicles, by region, 2014 and 2015, (units)
                                                              • Global Market

                                                                • Key points
                                                                    • Figure 33: Global automotive production statistics, 2015, (in units)
                                                                    • Figure 34: Global automotive production statistics, 2015, (in units)
                                                                  • The pivotal importance of EU membership
                                                                      • Figure 35: Global trade car manufacturing and exports, 2014 and 2015, (in units and % annual change)
                                                                      • Figure 36: Global trade car manufacturing, 2014 and 2015, by brand, (in units and % annual change)
                                                                  • Industry Structure

                                                                    • Key points
                                                                      • Industry development
                                                                        • Merger & acquisition activity
                                                                          • Changes in the structure of the industry
                                                                            • Figure 37: Analysis of the changes in the structure of the manufacture of motor vehicles industry, 2011-15, (number of outlets and businesses)
                                                                            • Figure 38: Analysis of the changes in the structure of the sale of new and used cars and light motor vehicles industry, 2011-15, (Number of outlets and businesses)
                                                                          • Structure by employment
                                                                            • Figure 39: Analysis of the employment structure of the manufacture of motor vehicles industry, 2014 and 2015, (number of employees and outlets)
                                                                            • Figure 40: Analysis of the employment structure of the sale of new and used cars and light vehicles industry, 2014 and 2015, (number of employees and outlets)
                                                                          • Structure by turnover
                                                                            • Figure 41: Analysis of the financial structure of the manufacture of motor vehicles industry, 2014 and 2015, (£000 and number of businesses)
                                                                            • Figure 42: Analysis of the financial structure of the sale of new and used cars and light motor vehicles industry, 2014 and 2015, (£000 and number of businesses)
                                                                        • Company profiles

                                                                          • Daimler UK Ltd

                                                                                • Figure 43: Financial analysis of Daimler Group, 2011-15, (€ million)
                                                                              • Company strategy
                                                                              • Ford Motor Co Ltd

                                                                                    • Figure 44: Financial analysis of Ford Motor Co Ltd, 2010-14, (£ million)
                                                                                  • Company strategy
                                                                                  • General Motors UK Ltd

                                                                                        • Figure 45: Financial analysis of General Motors UK Ltd, 2010-14, (£ million)
                                                                                      • Company strategy
                                                                                      • Peugeot Motor Company Ltd

                                                                                            • Figure 46: Financial analysis of Peugeot Motor Company Ltd, 2010-14, (£ million)
                                                                                          • Company strategy
                                                                                          • Volkswagen Group UK Ltd

                                                                                                • Figure 47: Financial analysis of Volkswagen Group UK Ltd, 2010-14, (£ million)
                                                                                              • Company strategy
                                                                                              • Volvo Group UK Ltd

                                                                                                    • Figure 48: Financial analysis of Volvo Group UK Ltd, 2010-14, (£ million)
                                                                                                  • Company strategy
                                                                                                  • Forecast

                                                                                                    • Key points
                                                                                                      • Increasingly pragmatic approach to car ownership
                                                                                                        • Uncertainty around Brexit
                                                                                                            • Figure 49: UK forecast motor vehicle registrations, 2016-20, (million units)
                                                                                                            • Figure 50: UK forecast motor vehicle registrations, 2016-20, (million units)
                                                                                                            • Figure 51: UK forecast motor vehicle production, 2016-20, (million units)
                                                                                                          • Consolidation of e-commerce and its knock on effect on the commercial vehicle sector
                                                                                                          • Further Sources and Contacts

                                                                                                            • Trade associations
                                                                                                              • British Vehicle Rental and Leasing Association (BVRLA)
                                                                                                                • Confederation of Passenger Transport UK (CPT)
                                                                                                                  • European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA)
                                                                                                                    • Freight Transport Association (FTA)
                                                                                                                      • International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA)
                                                                                                                        • The National Franchised Dealers Association
                                                                                                                          • Retail Motor Industry Federation (RMI)
                                                                                                                            • Road Haulage Association (RHA)
                                                                                                                              • Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT)
                                                                                                                                • Trade magazines
                                                                                                                                  • Auto Trader
                                                                                                                                    • Commercial Vehicle Dealer
                                                                                                                                      • FACTS Magazine
                                                                                                                                        • Motor Trader Magazine
                                                                                                                                          • Van User
                                                                                                                                            • Trucking Magazine
                                                                                                                                              • Trade exhibitions
                                                                                                                                                • Automechanika Birmingham
                                                                                                                                                  • The Commercial Vehicle Show
                                                                                                                                                    • Multimodal
                                                                                                                                                      • Tip-ex and Tank-ex

                                                                                                                                                      Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                      To learn more about the companies covered in this report please contact us.

                                                                                                                                                      Cars and Commercial Vehicles - UK - June 2016

                                                                                                                                                      £995.00 (Excl.Tax)