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Consulting Engineers - UK - September 2015

“The reform of the Highway Agency, now known as Highways England, should give contractors and consultants the confidence to recruit and train the skilled workers required to deliver the increase in transport projects over the coming years. The reform should also result in quicker, more efficient delivery, as work will not need to deal with the threat of funding being removed, as was occasionally the case when annualised budgets were applied.”
– Claudia Preedy - B2B analyst

This report addresses the following key questions concerning the market for UK Consulting Engineers:

  • How has the market for UK consulting engineers performed over the last five years?
  • How strongly will the market develop over the next five years?
  • What is the impact of the legislative/regulative environment on individual sectors?
  • Which sectors will provide the strongest growth potential for consulting engineers over the next five years?
  • How have individual key companies active in the industry faired during the last five years?

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Table of contents

  1. Executive Summary

      • The market
        • UK consulting engineers’ fees income up by a modest 1% in 2014
          • Figure 1: Total fees rendered by UK Consulting Engineers. By Sector, 2010-14
        • Government’s renewed focus on infrastructure investment to provide a positive impetus for the sector
          • Road and rail most important areas for consulting engineers’ fees income
            • Power and energy sector has offered strong opportunities for consulting engineers in recent years
              • Market for UK consulting engineers anticipated to grow by 21% between 2015 and 2019
                • Private sector to drive infrastructure investment growth
                  • Figure 2: Forecast Market for UK Consulting Engineers, 2015-19
                • Demand structure
                  • Transport to remain largest sector for consulting engineers
                    • Transition to low carbon economy drives demand in power/energy sector
                      • Figure 3: Forecast Market for UK Consulting Engineers in the Power and Energy Sector, 2015-19
                    • Shift in focus from capital investment towards asset maintenance in water and sewerage
                      • Development of industrial construction output to remain above GDP growth over the next five years
                        • Figure 4: Forecast Segmentation of the Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Building Sector, 2015-19
                      • Companies
                        • What we think
                        • Key Insights

                            • How are plummeting oil prices impacting investment in the North Sea oil and gas infrastructure?
                              • How will consultants and contractors benefit from the reform of the Highways Agency?
                                • The energy sector is set to be a key driver for consulting engineering work over the coming years, but have any uncertainties in the sector’s outlook started to emerge?
                                  • What is the outlook for consulting engineers in the water and waste water sector? What are the key challenges in the sector?
                                  • Introduction

                                      • Definitions
                                        • Methodology
                                          • Abbreviations
                                            • Market positioning
                                              • Market factors
                                              • UK Economy

                                                • Overview
                                                  • Figure 5: UK GDP quarterly development, 2003-15
                                                  • Figure 6: UK GDP in economic downturns and recoveries since 1979
                                                • Inflation
                                                  • Interest rates
                                                    • House prices
                                                      • Consumer spending
                                                        • Manufacturing
                                                          • Business investment
                                                            • Figure 7: UK GFCF 2003-15
                                                          • Imports
                                                            • Exports
                                                            • Market Overview

                                                              • Key points
                                                                • Market size
                                                                  • Figure 8: Total Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers, 2010-14
                                                                  • Figure 9: Total Fees rendered by UK Consulting Engineers, 2010-14
                                                                • Market segmentation
                                                                  • Key sectors
                                                                      • Figure 10: Analysis of Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers, by Industrial Sector, 2010-14
                                                                      • Figure 11: Proportional Importance of Key Sectors of Consulting Engineers’ Income, 2014
                                                                    • Market forecast
                                                                      • Figure 12: Forecast Market for UK Consulting Engineers, 2015-19
                                                                      • Figure 13: Analysis of Forecast Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers, by Industrial Sector, 2015-19
                                                                      • Figure 14: Forecast of Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers, by Industrial Sector, 2015-19
                                                                  • Building & Construction Sector

                                                                    • Key points
                                                                      • The market
                                                                        • Figure 15: Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Building Sector, 2010-14
                                                                      • Market segmentation
                                                                        • Figure 16: Segmentation of the Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Building Sector, 2010-14
                                                                    • Building & Construction Market Factors

                                                                      • Key points
                                                                        • PFI sector
                                                                          • Industrial construction
                                                                            • Figure 17: Long term trend in private industrial construction output in Great Britain, 1970-2014
                                                                            • Figure 18: Analysis of private industrial new construction work in Great Britain, by sector 2010-14
                                                                          • Industrial construction forecast
                                                                            • Figure 19: Forecast private industrial construction output in Great Britain, 2015-19
                                                                            • Figure 20: Forecast of private industrial new construction work in Great Britain, by sector 2015-19
                                                                          • Commercial construction
                                                                            • Figure 21: Long term trend in private commercial construction output in Great Britain, 1970-2014
                                                                            • Figure 22: Analysis of private commercial construction in Great Britain, by type, 201014
                                                                          • Commercial construction forecast
                                                                            • Figure 23: Forecast private commercial construction output in Great Britain, 2015-19
                                                                            • Figure 24: Forecast of private commercial construction in Great Britain, by sector, 201519
                                                                          • Public non-residential construction
                                                                            • Figure 25: Long term trend in public non-residential construction activity in Great Britain, 1970-2014
                                                                            • Figure 26: Analysis of public sector non-residential construction output in Great Britain, 2010-14
                                                                            • Figure 27: Analysis of public sector non-residential construction in Great Britain, by type, 2010-14
                                                                          • Health
                                                                            • Education
                                                                              • “Other” sector
                                                                                • Public non-residential construction forecast
                                                                                  • Figure 28: Forecast public non-residential construction output in Great Britain, 2015-19
                                                                                  • Figure 29: Forecast of public non-residential construction in Great Britain, by type, 2015-19
                                                                              • Building & Construction Sector Forecast

                                                                                • Key points
                                                                                  • Market forecast
                                                                                    • Figure 30: Forecast of Fees rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Building Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                    • Figure 31: Forecast of Fees rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Building Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                    • Figure 32: Forecast Segmentation of the Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Building Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                • Transport Sector

                                                                                  • Key points
                                                                                    • The market
                                                                                      • Figure 33: Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Transport Sector, 2010-14
                                                                                      • Figure 34: Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Transport Sector, 2010-14
                                                                                    • Market segmentation
                                                                                      • Figure 35: Segmentation of the Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Transportation Sector, 2010-14
                                                                                  • Transport Market Factors

                                                                                    • Key points
                                                                                      • The National Infrastructure Plan
                                                                                        • Roads
                                                                                          • Figure 36: Road Network in Great Britain, by Type, 2014
                                                                                          • Figure 37: Road Network Expenditure in England, by Activity and Road Type, 2010/11-2012/13
                                                                                          • Figure 38: New Construction and Improvements of Roads, Motorways and All Purpose Trunk Roads, in England, 2009/10-2013/14
                                                                                          • Figure 39: Civil engineering new road construction output in Great Britain, 2010-14
                                                                                          • Figure 40: Civil Engineering New Road Construction Output in Great Britain, 2010-14
                                                                                        • Road sector forecast
                                                                                          • Reform of Highways Agency
                                                                                            • Figure 41: Forecast Civil Engineering Construction Output for the Roads Sector, 201519
                                                                                          • Rail
                                                                                            • Figure 42: Rail infrastructure in Great Britain, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 43: Rail infrastructure in Great Britain, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 44: Rail industry infrastructure activity, 2009-14
                                                                                            • Figure 45: Major rail infrastructure projects delivered during CP4, 2009-14
                                                                                            • Figure 46: Rail infrastructure renewals, enhancements & maintenance expenditure in Great Britain, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 47: Renewal expenditure by asset, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 48: Private sector investment in track and signalling, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 49: Private sector investment in stations, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 50: Analysis of enhancement expenditure in England and Wales, by type, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 51: Analysis of Enhancement Expenditure in Scotland, by Type, 2010-2014
                                                                                            • Figure 52: Analysis of enhancement expenditure on non-PR08 funded schemes by type, 2010-14
                                                                                          • Rail Civil Engineering Construction Output
                                                                                            • Figure 53: Civil Engineering Construction Output for the Rail Transport Sector in Great Britain, 2010-14
                                                                                          • Rail sector forecast
                                                                                              • Figure 54: Rail infrastructure projects pipeline, as of December 2014
                                                                                            • High speed rail network (HS2)
                                                                                              • Proposed new rail lines
                                                                                                • Maintenance expenditure in CP5
                                                                                                  • Figure 55: Forecast rail maintenance expenditure for CP5, 2014/15-2018/19
                                                                                                  • Figure 56: Forecast rail maintenance expenditure for CP5, 2013/14-2018/19
                                                                                                  • Figure 57: Forecast rail maintenance expenditure for CP5, by Activity, 2014/15-2018/19
                                                                                                • Capital expenditure in CP5
                                                                                                  • Figure 58: Forecast capital expenditure for CP5, by type, 2014/15-2018/19
                                                                                                  • Figure 59: Forecast capital expenditure for CP5, by type, 2014/15-2018/19
                                                                                                • Renewals expenditure in CP5
                                                                                                  • Figure 60: Forecast rail renewals expenditure for CP5, by activity, 2014/15-2018/19
                                                                                                  • Figure 61: Forecast rail track renewal activity for CP5, by activity, 2014/15-2018/19 and CP5 total
                                                                                                  • Figure 62: Forecast rail structures renewal for CP5, by activity, 2014/15-2018/19
                                                                                                  • Figure 63: Forecast rail electrification & plant renewal for CP5, by activity, 2014/15-2018/19
                                                                                                  • Figure 64: Forecast building renewal for CP5, by activity, 2014/15-2018/19
                                                                                                • Enhancements expenditure in CP5
                                                                                                    • Figure 65: Cost of enhancement projects during CP5
                                                                                                    • Figure 66: Forecast Civil Engineering Construction Output for the Rail Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                                  • Ports, airports, harbours & canals
                                                                                                    • Recent port expansion projects
                                                                                                      • Figure 67: Civil engineering construction output for the harbours and waterways sectors in Great Britain, 2010-14
                                                                                                      • Figure 68: 10 largest airports in the UK, 2009-14
                                                                                                      • Figure 69: Civil engineering construction output for the air transport industry in Great Britain, 2010-14
                                                                                                      • Figure 70: Civil Engineering Construction Output for the Air Transport Industry in Great Britain, 2010-14
                                                                                                    • Ports, Airports, Harbours & Canals Sector Forecast
                                                                                                      • Growth in off-shore wind farm developments offers opportunities to UK ports
                                                                                                        • Figure 71: Forecast civil engineering construction output for the harbours sector, 201519
                                                                                                        • Figure 72: Forecast civil engineering output for the airport transport sector, 201519
                                                                                                    • Transport Sector Forecast

                                                                                                      • Key points
                                                                                                        • Market forecast
                                                                                                          • Figure 73: Forecast UK Market for Consulting Engineers in the Transport Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                                          • Figure 74: Forecast Segmentation of the Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Transport Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                                          • Figure 75: Forecast Segmentation of the Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Transport Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                                      • Environment, Water, Waste Water and Waste

                                                                                                        • Key points
                                                                                                          • The market
                                                                                                            • Figure 76: Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Environment, Water, Waste Water, Waste, Flooding and Coastal Sector, 2010-14
                                                                                                            • Figure 77: Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Environment, Water, Waste Water, Waste, Flooding and Coastal Sector, 2010-14
                                                                                                          • Market segmentation
                                                                                                            • Figure 78: Segmentation of the Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Environment, Water & Waste Water and Waste Sector, 2010-14
                                                                                                        • Environment, Water, Waste Water and Waste Market Factors

                                                                                                          • Key points
                                                                                                            • Market factors
                                                                                                              • Potable Water & Sewerage Industry
                                                                                                                • European Water Framework Directive (WFD)
                                                                                                                  • Urban Waste Water Treatment Directive (UWWTD)
                                                                                                                    • The Drinking Water Directive
                                                                                                                      • Revised Bathing Water Directive
                                                                                                                        • The Flood and Water Management Act 2010
                                                                                                                          • Move towards total expenditure in current planning period AMP6
                                                                                                                            • Move towards long-term alliances and frameworks across industry
                                                                                                                              • Water & sewerage capital expenditure
                                                                                                                                • Figure 79: Actual UK capital expenditure on water and sewerage services, 2009/10-2014/15
                                                                                                                                • Figure 80: UK capital expenditure on water and sewerage services, 2009/10-2014/15
                                                                                                                                • Figure 81: UK Capital Expenditure on Water and Sewerage Services, 2009/10-2013/14
                                                                                                                              • Sewerage-related capital expenditure
                                                                                                                                • Figure 82: Analysis of sewerage-related capital expenditure in England and Wales, by company, 2008/09-2013/14
                                                                                                                                • Figure 83: Analysis of sewerage-related capital expenditure, by water and sewerage companies in England and Wales, 2008/09-2013/14
                                                                                                                              • Water-related capital expenditure
                                                                                                                                • Figure 84: Analysis of water related capital expenditure, by water and sewerage companies in England and Wales, 2008/09-2013/14
                                                                                                                                • Figure 85: Analysis of water-related capital expenditure, by water and sewerage companies in England and Wales, 2008/09-2013/14
                                                                                                                                • Figure 86: Analysis of Scottish Water capital expenditure on water and sewerage services, 2009/10-2013/14
                                                                                                                                • Figure 87: Progress of Scottish Water to Date in the Five Year Investment Programme 2010/15
                                                                                                                                • Figure 88: Analysis of Northern Ireland Water capital expenditure on water and sewerage services, 2009/10-2013/14
                                                                                                                              • Investment plans by water and sewerage companies in England and Wales
                                                                                                                                • Figure 89: Forecast capital expenditure for AMP6 in England & Wales, by water & sewerage company, 2015/16-2019/20
                                                                                                                                • Figure 90: Forecast capital expenditure for AMP6 in England & Wales, by water & sewerage company, 2015/16-2019/20
                                                                                                                                • Figure 91: Forecast capital expenditure for AMP6 in England & Wales, by water only company, 2015/16-2019/20
                                                                                                                              • Thames Tideway Tunnel
                                                                                                                                • Scotland Investment Programme 2015-2021
                                                                                                                                  • Figure 92: Forecast Capital Expenditure for Scottish Water, 2015/16-2020/21
                                                                                                                                • Northern Ireland Investment Programme 2015/16-2020/21
                                                                                                                                  • Waste management
                                                                                                                                      • Figure 93: Waste Arisings in the UK, by Source, 2010-2014, (Million Tonnes)
                                                                                                                                    • Flood defences
                                                                                                                                    • Environment, Water, Waste Water and Waste Forecast

                                                                                                                                      • Key points
                                                                                                                                        • Market forecast
                                                                                                                                          • Figure 94: Forecast Market for UK Consulting Engineers in the Environmental Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                          • Figure 95: Forecast Market for UK Consulting Engineers in the Environmental Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                          • Figure 96: Forecast Segmentation of the Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Environmental Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                      • Power and Energy Sector

                                                                                                                                        • Key points
                                                                                                                                          • The market
                                                                                                                                            • Figure 97: Fees Rendered by UK Consulting Engineers in the Power and Energy Sector, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                        • Power & Energy Market Factors

                                                                                                                                          • Key points
                                                                                                                                            • Oil & gas
                                                                                                                                              • Further reforms to encourage investment introduced in 2015
                                                                                                                                                • Oil & gas reserves
                                                                                                                                                  • Capital expenditure in oil & gas industry
                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 98: UK Total Capital Expenditure in the Oil and Gas Industry, by Type, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 99: UKCS Oil and Gas Production Platforms and Floating Installations, 2014
                                                                                                                                                  • Future Investment in Oil & Gas Industry
                                                                                                                                                    • Slump in oil price proves highly detrimental to North Sea oil industry
                                                                                                                                                      • Electricity
                                                                                                                                                        • Electricity market reform
                                                                                                                                                          • The UK Electricity Generation Mix
                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 100: Analysis of electricity supplied in the UK, by type of fuel used in generation, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 101: Composition of electricity supplied in the UK, by type of fuel used in generation, 2014
                                                                                                                                                          • Renewables generation
                                                                                                                                                            • Government subsidy cuts are raising uncertainties for renewables industry
                                                                                                                                                              • Offshore wind
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 102: Renewable electricity generation in the UK, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 103: Renewable Energy Projects in Pipeline, by Technology, as of July 2015
                                                                                                                                                                • Coal generation
                                                                                                                                                                  • Nuclear generation
                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 104: UK Nuclear Sites Planned Closure Dates, as of September 2015
                                                                                                                                                                  • CCGT
                                                                                                                                                                    • Distributed generation
                                                                                                                                                                      • Interconnectors
                                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 105: Existing and planned interconnectors, as of November 2014
                                                                                                                                                                      • Gas supply
                                                                                                                                                                        • The UK’s increased reliance on gas imports
                                                                                                                                                                          • Potential for shale gas extraction
                                                                                                                                                                            • Wholesale gas prices
                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 106: Average wholesales gas prices, 2002-14
                                                                                                                                                                            • Gas transmission and distribution capital expenditure
                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 107: Total gas transmission and distribution capital expenditure, 2009/10-2013/14
                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 108: Total gas transmission capital expenditure, 2009/10-13/14
                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 109: Total gas distribution capital expenditure, 2009/10-2013/14
                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 110: Cumulative capital expenditure during GDPRC1 2008-13, by GDN and type
                                                                                                                                                                            • Forecast capital expenditure
                                                                                                                                                                              • Transmission network
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 111: Capital Expenditure Plans by National Grid Gas Under RIIO-T1, by Category, 2014-2021
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 112: Annual capital expenditure plans by National Grid Gas Under RIIO-T1, by Category, 2014-2021
                                                                                                                                                                                • Distribution Network
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 113: Controllable Cost Allowances for Gas Distribution Companies Under (RIIOGD1), 2014-2021
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 114: Annual capex plans under RIIO-GD1, by GDN, 2014-2021
                                                                                                                                                                              • Power & Energy Sector Forecast

                                                                                                                                                                                • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Market forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 115: Forecast Market for UK Consulting Engineers in the Power and Energy Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 116: Forecast Market for UK Consulting Engineers in the Power and Energy Sector, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                                                                • Industry Structure

                                                                                                                                                                                  • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Company profiles
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Arup Group

                                                                                                                                                                                        • Company strategy and outlook
                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 117: Financial Analysis of Arup Group, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                                      • WS Atkins

                                                                                                                                                                                          • Company strategy and outlook
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 118: Financial analysis of WS Atkins, 2011-15
                                                                                                                                                                                          • Jacobs UK

                                                                                                                                                                                              • Company strategy and outlook
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 119: Financial Analysis of Jacobs U.K., 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                                              • AMEC Foster Wheeler Environment & Infrastructure UK

                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Company outlook
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 120: Financial Analysis of AMEC Foster Wheeler Environment & Infrastructure UK, 2010-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Amey UK

                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Company strategy and outlook
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 121: Financial analysis of Amey UK, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • AECOM

                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Company outlook
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 122: Financial Analysis of AECOM, 201014
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • AECOM Infrastructure & Environment (Formerly URS Infrastructure & Environment)

                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 123: Financial Analysis of AECOM Infrastructure & Environment UK, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 124: Turnover Analysis of AECOM Infrastructure & Environment UK, by Business Segment, 2013-14
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Mace

                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Company performance and outlook
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 125: Financial Analysis of Mace, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 126: Turnover Analysis of Mace, by Business Segment, 2013-14
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Mott MacDonald Group

                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Company performance and outlook
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 127: Financial Analysis of Mott MacDonald Group, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Mouchel

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 128: Financial Analysis of Mouchel, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Pell Frischmann Group

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 129: Financial Analysis of Pell Frischmann Group, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Parsons Brinckerhoff

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 130: Financial Analysis of Parsons Brinckerhoff, 200913
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • R P S Group

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 131: Financial Analysis of R P S Group, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 132: Turnover Analysis of R P S Group, by Business Segment, 2013-14
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • WSP Group

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 133: Financial Analysis of WSP UK, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Further Sources & Contacts

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Trade magazines
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Trade exhibitions

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Consulting Engineers - UK - September 2015

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              US $1,321.06 (Excl.Tax)