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House Building - UK - November 2017

“The housebuilding industry maintained stability over the past year despite wider Brexit volatility; with buoyancy driven by ongoing disparities between demand and supply, record low interest rates and the ongoing importance of Help to Buy initiatives.”

- Marco Amasanti, B2B analyst

This Report explores the following issues facing UK house builders:

  • What have been the core drivers of growth in the housebuilding market over the past year?
  • How has Brexit impacted the market and the consumer base since the June 2016 referendum?
  • What role has the Help to Buy scheme had in the housebuilding industry?
  • How has the industry and the government looked to combat the housing crisis over the past year?
  • What does the future look like for the housebuilding industry?

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Table of contents

  1. Executive Summary

      • The Market
        • Figure 1: UK housebuilding market, £ billion, 2013-2017
        • Figure 2: UK new house building completions, dwellings, 1970-2017
      • Market Segmentation
        • The private sector continues to dominate house building in both starts and completions
          • Figure 3: New housebuilding completions, by sector, dwellings, 2013-2017
          • Figure 4: New housebuilding starts, by sector, dwellings, 2013-2017
        • Growth in new housebuilding continues to surpass flats
          • Figure 5: Proportion of new build dwelling completions, by house & flat, % of total, 1992-2017
        • Regional perspective
          • Market Factors
            • Home ownership in the UK
              • Figure 6: Home ownership in the UK, owner-occupied as a % of all dwellings, 2007-2016
            • Government perspective and initiatives
              • UK house pricing
                • Figure 7: UK House Price Index, August 2008-2017
                • Figure 8: UK first-time buyer house to earnings ratio, Q1 2012 - Q3 2017
              • Residential property transactions in the UK
                • Figure 9: UK property transactions with value of £40,000 or above, quarterly, Q1 2012 – Q2 2017
              • Market Forecasts
                • Figure 10: Forecast private housing output, England, Scotland and Wales, £ million, 2018-2022
                • Figure 11: Forecast public housing output, England, Scotland and Wales, £ million, 2018-2022
                • Figure 12: UK household projections, number of households, '000, 2017-2027
              • What we think
              • Key Issues

                  • Increasing land values north of London and the South East
                    • How has Brexit impacted the market over the past year?
                      • Housing crisis
                      • Introduction

                        • Issues in the market
                          • Definitions
                            • Methodology
                              • Abbreviations
                                • Market Positioning
                                • UK Economy

                                  • Overview
                                    • Figure 13: Forecast GDP development 2017-21, (% Annual Growth)
                                    • Figure 14: UK GDP Quarterly Development, 2007-17, (% Quarterly Growth and GDP in £ Billion)
                                  • Inflation
                                    • Interest rates
                                      • House prices
                                        • Figure 15: UK House Price changes, 2006-2017, (12 month % change)
                                      • Consumer spending
                                        • Manufacturing
                                          • Figure 16: UK Manufacturing, 2014-17, (Index, 2013 = 100)
                                        • Business investment
                                          • Figure 17: UK GFCF, 2004-17, (£ Million, Chained Volume Measures, Seasonally Adjusted)
                                        • Imports
                                          • Exports
                                          • Market Size

                                            • Key Points
                                              • The Market
                                                • Figure 18: UK housebuilding market, £ billion, 2013-2017
                                              • Table Highlights
                                                • Figure 19: UK new housebuilding completions, dwellings, 1970-2017
                                            • Market Segmentation

                                              • Key Points
                                                • The private sector continues to dominate housebuilding in both starts and completions
                                                  • Completions
                                                    • Figure 20: New housebuilding completions, by sector, dwellings, 2013-2017
                                                    • Figure 21: New housebuilding starts, by sector, dwellings, 2013-2017
                                                  • Growth in new housebuilding continues to surpass flats
                                                    • Figure 22: Proportion of new build dwelling completions, by house & flat, % of total, 1992-2017
                                                  • Regional Housing Construction
                                                    • Figure 23: Analysis of North East England Housing Construction Output, £ million, Q1 2008- Q2 2017
                                                    • Figure 24: Analysis of North West England Housing Construction Output, £ million, Q1 2008- Q2 2017
                                                    • Figure 25: Analysis of Yorkshire and the Humber Housing Construction Output, £ million, Q1 2008- Q2 2017
                                                    • Figure 26: Analysis of East Midlands Housing Construction Output, £ million, Q1 2008- Q2 2017
                                                    • Figure 27: Analysis of the West Midlands Housing Construction Output, £ million, Q1 2008- Q2 2017
                                                    • Figure 28: Analysis of the East of England Housing Construction Output, £ million, Q1 2008- Q2 2017
                                                    • Figure 29: Analysis of London Housing Construction Output, £ million, Q1 2008- Q2 2017
                                                    • Figure 30: Analysis of the South East of England Housing Construction Output, £ million, Q1 2008- Q2 2017
                                                    • Figure 31: Analysis of the South West of England Housing Construction Output, £ million, Q1 2008- Q2 2017
                                                    • Figure 32: Analysis of UK Public Housing Construction Output, by nation, £ million, Q2 2017
                                                    • Figure 33: Analysis of UK Private Housing Construction Output, by nation, £ million, Q2 2017
                                                • Market Factors

                                                  • Key Points
                                                    • Home Ownership in the UK
                                                      • Figure 34: Home ownership in the UK, owner-occupied as a % of all dwellings, 2007-2016
                                                    • Government perspective
                                                      • Government Initiatives
                                                        • UK House Prices
                                                          • Figure 35: UK House Price Index, August 2008-2017
                                                          • Figure 36: UK first-time buyer house to earnings ratio, Q1 2012 - Q3 2017
                                                        • Residential property transactions in the UK
                                                          • Figure 37: UK property transactions with value of £40,000 or above, quarterly, Q1 2012 – Q2 2017
                                                        • Economy
                                                        • Industry Structure

                                                          • Key Points
                                                            • Industry Development
                                                              • Changes in Industry Structure
                                                                • Figure 38: Analysis of changes in the development of building projects sector, outlets & businesses, % change, 2013-2017
                                                                • Figure 39: Analysis of changes in the construction of residential and non-residential buildings sector, outlets & businesses, % change, 2013-2017
                                                              • By Turnover
                                                                • Figure 40: Financial analysis of the development of building projects sector, £'000, % of total, 2016 & 2017
                                                                • Figure 41: Financial analysis of the construction of residential and non-residential buildings sector, £'000, % of total, 2016 & 2017
                                                              • By Employment
                                                                • Figure 42: Analysis of the employment structure of the development of building projects sector, % of total, 2016 & 2017
                                                                • Figure 43: Analysis of the employment structure of the construction of residential and non-residential buildings sector, % of total, 2016 & 2017
                                                            • Company Profiles

                                                              • Barratt Developments

                                                                  • Figure 44: Financial Analysis of Barratt Developments Plc, £ million, 2013-2017
                                                                • Recent Company Activity
                                                                  • Company Strategy
                                                                  • Bellway

                                                                      • Figure 45: Financial Analysis of Bellway, £ million, 2012-2016
                                                                    • Company Strategy
                                                                    • Berkeley Group

                                                                        • Figure 46: Financial Analysis of Berkeley Group, £ million, 2013-2017
                                                                      • Recent Company Activity
                                                                        • Company Strategy
                                                                        • Bovis Homes Group

                                                                            • Figure 47: Financial Analysis of Bovis Homes Group, £ million, 2012-2016
                                                                          • Recent Company Activity
                                                                            • Company Strategy
                                                                            • Crest Nicholson Holdings

                                                                                • Figure 48: Financial Analysis of Crest Nicholson Holdings Plc, £ million, 2012-2016
                                                                              • Recent Company Activity
                                                                                • Company Strategy
                                                                                • Galliford Try

                                                                                      • Figure 49: Financial Analysis of Galliford Try, £ million, 2013-2017
                                                                                    • Recent Company Activity
                                                                                      • Company Strategy
                                                                                      • Persimmon

                                                                                          • Figure 50: Financial Analysis of Persimmon, £ million, 2012-2016
                                                                                        • Recent Company Activity
                                                                                          • Company Strategy
                                                                                          • Redrow

                                                                                                • Figure 51: Financial Analysis of Redrow Plc, £ million, 2013-2017
                                                                                              • Recent Company Activity
                                                                                                • Company Strategy
                                                                                                • Taylor Wimpey

                                                                                                    • Figure 52: Financial Analysis of Taylor Wimpey Plc, £ million, 2012-2016
                                                                                                  • Company Strategy
                                                                                                  • Market Forecast

                                                                                                    • Key Points
                                                                                                      • The government’s renewed housing strategy
                                                                                                        • Help-to-Buy scheme
                                                                                                          • The market
                                                                                                            • Figure 53: Forecast private housing output, England, Scotland and Wales, £ million, 2018-2022
                                                                                                            • Figure 54: Forecast public housing output, England, Scotland and Wales, £ million, 2018-2022
                                                                                                            • Figure 55: UK household projections, number of households, '000, 2017-2027
                                                                                                        • Further Sources & Contacts

                                                                                                          • Trade Associations
                                                                                                            • Home Builders Federation
                                                                                                              • National Council of Building Material Producers
                                                                                                                • National Housebuilding Council
                                                                                                                  • National Housing Federation
                                                                                                                    • Chartered Institute of Building (CIOB)
                                                                                                                      • Construction Industry Research & Information Association
                                                                                                                        • Trade Magazines
                                                                                                                          • The Builder
                                                                                                                            • Builder & Engineer
                                                                                                                              • Building
                                                                                                                                • Building Design
                                                                                                                                  • Building Design & Construction
                                                                                                                                    • Building News
                                                                                                                                      • Construction Europe
                                                                                                                                        • Construction News
                                                                                                                                          • Housebuilder
                                                                                                                                            • Housebuilder & Developer
                                                                                                                                              • Housing Active
                                                                                                                                                • International Construction
                                                                                                                                                  • Local Authority Building & Maintenance
                                                                                                                                                    • Professional Builder
                                                                                                                                                      • Professional Builders Merchant
                                                                                                                                                        • Professional Housebuilder & Property Developer
                                                                                                                                                          • Show House
                                                                                                                                                            • UK Construction
                                                                                                                                                              • Trade Exhibitions
                                                                                                                                                                • 100% Design
                                                                                                                                                                  • Affordable Home Ownership Conference
                                                                                                                                                                    • Annual Conference and Housing Exhibition
                                                                                                                                                                      • Housing Finance Conference and Exhibition
                                                                                                                                                                        • Homebuilding & Renovating Show

                                                                                                                                                                        House Building - UK - November 2017

                                                                                                                                                                        US $1,321.06 (Excl.Tax)