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Manned Security - UK - November 2015

“Low cost delivery demands continue to push down prices, making competitive contract bids even more difficult for smaller firms in the manned security industry. Larger facilities management companies that can offer customers greater economies have a price advantage, but are also seeing a fall in revenues achieved per contract. Upcoming minimum wage increases and the introduction of the living wage in 2016 will add further pressure to a market traditionally reliant on lower waged staff, with the manpower-intensive manned security sector particularly affected.”
– Ambreen Ahmad, Research Analyst

This report will explore the following key issues regarding the manned security industry in the UK:

  • What are the key factors creating demand for manned security?
  • How have changing economic conditions affected the market?
  • How can small companies compete with larger facilities management providers?
  • How is technology impacting the manned security market?
  • What does the future of the UK’s manned security sector look like?

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Table of contents

  1. Executive Summary

      • The market
        • Custodial services driving growth
          • Figure 1: UK market for manned security, 2010-15
        • Vulnerable guarding sector faces threat from price-sensitive contracts
          • Central government continues to seek outsourced prison and custodial solutions
            • Figure 2: Segmentation of the UK market for manned security, by sector, 2011-15
          • Market factors
            • Business licencing implementation delayed further
              • Technological innovation by larger companies
                • Manned guarding demand as retail and factory numbers rise
                  • Figure 3: Number of business premises in the UK, 2011-15
                • Companies
                  • Rising costs
                    • Figure 4: Minimum wage level in the UK 2005-15
                  • Cash-in-transit services
                    • Figure 5: Number of cash machines in the UK, 2009-14
                  • What we think
                  • Key Insights

                      • How is the public sector outsourcing climate affecting the manned security sector?
                        • What impact is price competition having on the manned guarding sector?
                          • What can companies do to compete with electronic security substitutes?
                            • How will the trend towards cash payment reductions affect the cash-in-transit sector?
                            • Introduction

                                • Definitions
                                  • Methodology
                                    • Abbreviations
                                      • Market positioning
                                        • The regulator
                                          • The customer
                                            • The supplier
                                            • UK Economy

                                              • Overview
                                                • Figure 6: UK GDP quarterly development, 2003-15
                                                • Figure 7: UK GDP in economic downturns and recoveries since 1979
                                              • Inflation
                                                • Interest rates
                                                  • House prices
                                                    • Consumer spending
                                                      • Manufacturing
                                                        • Business investment
                                                          • Figure 8: UK GFCF 2003-15
                                                        • Imports
                                                          • Exports
                                                          • Market Factors

                                                            • Key analysis
                                                              • Market factors
                                                                • Fluctuating construction sector results in variable demand
                                                                  • Figure 9: UK economic output, by sector, 2013-15
                                                                • Retail stores and factory numbers increase
                                                                  • Figure 10: Number of business premises in the UK, 2011-15
                                                                  • Figure 11: Distribution of business premises by region, England 2015
                                                                • Large scale infrastructure projects on the rise
                                                                  • Figure 12: Number of projects and programmes in government infrastructure pipeline, 2014-15
                                                                • Expanded probation service outsourcing
                                                                  • Resettlement prisons
                                                                    • Prison sell-off to fund house building
                                                                      • Marginal growth in prison population
                                                                        • Figure 13: Average prison population, England & Wales and Scotland, 2011-15
                                                                      • Cash-in transit security demand boosted by increase in outsourcing and cash machines
                                                                        • Figure 14: Number of cash machines in the UK, 2009-14
                                                                      • Cash transactions decline as card payments increase
                                                                        • Figure 15: Total volume of cash payment transactions in the UK, 2003, 2008, 2013 and 2014
                                                                      • Crime against persons and households continues to fall
                                                                        • Figure 16: Total crime levels in England and Wales, 2005-14
                                                                      • Retail and leisure sectors suffer most from commercial crime
                                                                        • Figure 17: Experience of crime in the last 12 months, in England and Wales, 2013-14
                                                                      • Planned increases in the minimum wage
                                                                        • Figure 18: Minimum wage level in the UK 2005-15
                                                                      • International opportunities
                                                                        • Figure 19: UK Security Exports – Annual Totals: 201214 (value)
                                                                    • Market Size

                                                                      • Key points
                                                                        • Market size
                                                                          • Figure 20: UK market for manned security, 2010-14
                                                                        • Public sector reliance
                                                                          • Price competition pushes down manned guarding revenues
                                                                            • Electronic security proliferation in manned guarding sector
                                                                              • Cautious private sector
                                                                                • Larger firms undertake acquisition activity in 2014-15
                                                                                  • Internal cost cutting in a competitive environment
                                                                                    • Marketing cash-in-transit services
                                                                                    • Sector Performance

                                                                                      • Key points
                                                                                        • Custodial services sector continues rapid expansion
                                                                                          • Figure 21: Segmentation of the UK market for manned security, by type, 2011-15
                                                                                      • Market Trends

                                                                                        • Key points
                                                                                          • Market trends
                                                                                            • Continued delays in business licencing
                                                                                              • Blurring of lines between sectors and technology
                                                                                                • Minimum wage increases
                                                                                                • Industry Structure

                                                                                                  • Key points
                                                                                                    • Industry overview
                                                                                                      • Takeover activity continues in 2015
                                                                                                        • Sector growth in 2015, despite acquisition activity
                                                                                                          • Figure 22: Analysis of changes in the UK private security activities industry, 2011-15
                                                                                                        • Structure by turnover
                                                                                                          • Figure 23: Analysis of the financial structure of the UK private security activities sector, 2014-15
                                                                                                        • Structure by employment
                                                                                                          • Figure 24: Analysis of the employment structure of the UK private security activities industry, 2013-14
                                                                                                      • Cordant Security

                                                                                                          • Recent company activity
                                                                                                            • Figure 25: Financial analysis of Cordant Security, 2010-14
                                                                                                          • Company strategy
                                                                                                          • Axis Security Services

                                                                                                              • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                • Figure 26: Financial analysis of Axis Security Services, 2010-14
                                                                                                            • Carlisle Security Services

                                                                                                                • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                  • Figure 27: Financial analysis of Carlisle Security Services, 2010-14
                                                                                                              • CIS Security

                                                                                                                  • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                    • Figure 28: Financial analysis of CIS Security, 2010-14
                                                                                                                  • Company strategy
                                                                                                                  • Corps Security

                                                                                                                      • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                        • Figure 29: Financial analysis of Corps of Commissionaires Management, 2010-14
                                                                                                                      • Company strategy
                                                                                                                      • First Security

                                                                                                                          • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                            • Figure 30: Financial analysis of First Security (Guards), 2010-14
                                                                                                                          • Company strategy
                                                                                                                          • G4S Cash Solutions (UK)

                                                                                                                              • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                • Figure 31: Financial analysis of G4S Cash Solutions (UK), 2010-14
                                                                                                                              • Company strategy
                                                                                                                              • G4S Secure Solutions (UK)

                                                                                                                                  • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                    • Figure 32: Financial analysis of G4S Secure Solutions (UK), 2010-14
                                                                                                                                  • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                  • Geo Amey PECS

                                                                                                                                      • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                        • Figure 33: Financial analysis of GEO Amey PECS, 2012-14
                                                                                                                                      • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                      • Kingdom Security

                                                                                                                                          • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                            • Figure 34: Financial analysis of Kingdom Security, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                          • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                          • Loomis UK

                                                                                                                                              • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                                • Figure 35: Financial analysis of Loomis UK, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                              • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                              • Mitie Care and Custody

                                                                                                                                                  • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 36: Financial analysis of Mitie Care and Custody, 2011-15
                                                                                                                                                  • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                                  • Securitas Security Services (UK)

                                                                                                                                                      • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 37: Financial analysis of Securitas Security Services (UK), 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                      • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                                      • Shield Guarding Company

                                                                                                                                                          • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 38: Financial analysis of The Shield Guarding Company, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                          • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                                          • Sodexo

                                                                                                                                                              • Sodexo Justice Services
                                                                                                                                                                • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 39: Turnover of Sodexo Justice Services, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                                                • Vision Security

                                                                                                                                                                    • Recent company activity.
                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 40: Financial analysis of Vision Security Group, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                    • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                                                    • Wilson James Group

                                                                                                                                                                        • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 41: Financial analysis of Wilson James Group, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                                        • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                                                        • Forecast

                                                                                                                                                                          • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                            • Market size
                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 42: Forecast UK market for manned security, 2015-20
                                                                                                                                                                            • Polarisation of the market to accelerate in the coming two years
                                                                                                                                                                              • Segment performance
                                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 43: Forecast UK market for manned security, 2015-20
                                                                                                                                                                              • Outsourcing trend to spur growth in prison and custodial services sector
                                                                                                                                                                                • Manned guarding sector to consolidate further
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Short-term prospects hide big picture constraints for cash-in-transit sector
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Industry
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Foreign focus as mature UK market struggles to deliver margin growth
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Further Sources & Contacts

                                                                                                                                                                                        • Trade associations
                                                                                                                                                                                          • Trade magazines

                                                                                                                                                                                          Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                          To learn more about the companies covered in this report please contact us.

                                                                                                                                                                                          Manned Security - UK - November 2015

                                                                                                                                                                                          US $1,282.26 (Excl.Tax)