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Market Re-forecasts - Food and Drink - UK - March 2009

Mintel’s re-forecasting puts markets in realistic light

In less than nine months, the UK has changed from booming, overheated economy to an economy in crisis. In a fast-developing environment, up-to-date market and consumer data is more critical than ever.

It takes time for changes in macro-economic variables to have an impact on consumer spending. But it is now clear that consumers’ expectations, attitudes and beliefs have changed dramatically in the past six months. As a result, Mintel’s market size estimates and forecasts based on different consumer expectations warrant revision. For the first time in its near-40 years of delivering market and consumer insights, Mintel has conducted an exhaustive mid-cycle re-evaluation of consumer market forecasts published in 2007 & 2008.

The macro-economic changes

Since the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, crisis upon crisis has hit the UK financial services sector with several key players having to be rescued from the threat of insolvency. The consequences for the UK economy have been dramatic as the government and markets have reacted to unfolding events. Some of the falls include:

  • interest rates from 5% to 0.5% (Oct. ’08 to Mar ‘09)

  • the sterling/dollar exchange rate from $2 to the pound to $1.45 (Jun. ‘08 to Feb ’09)

  • the sterling/euro exchange rate from 1.25 euros to the pound to a low of 1.01 euros (most of ’08 to Jan. ’09)

  • the retail price index (RPI) from 5% to 0.1% (Sept. ’08 to Jan ’09)

  • the consumer price index (CPI) from over 5% to 3% (Sept. ’08 to Jan ’09 – less dramatic than RPI primarily as it excludes mortgage interest payments and housing depreciation).

The significance of these changes

Mintel has tracked UK consumer expenditure for almost 40 years, including the recessions of the seventies, 1980-81 and 1991-92.

Mintel market size estimates combine historic data trends with the most current consumer data, published data and trade insight. Using a range of economic variables, primarily consumer-related, such as consumer expenditure, personal disposable income and the consumer price index, we have re-estimated and re-forecast the market data in more than 300 of our UK reports.

This work will enable us to understand better which sectors are suffering most in the current economic crisis. How are consumers likely to spend their incomes in the coming years? Which sectors will suffer and benefit most? How should suppliers react in the short-, medium- and long-term?

The worst impact of recession is skewed towards certain sectors where big ticket, discretionary purchases are the norm: automotive; any sector where there is a close correlation with house purchasing (eg brown & white goods, floor coverings), technology and travel. But within each sector, there are winners and losers. Are car-buyers switching from new to used cars? Is the after-sales market benefiting as car owners delay purchases? When will an upturn take place?

Are consumers trading up to better quality products, trading down, or trading over? Each segment of each sector has to be analysed separately and in comparison with others.

Presentation of data

Mintel’s revised data is presented in an easy-to-use manner:

  • relevant commentary about the sector, with discussion of pertinent changes in the sector and an overall assessment of the current state of the market

  • a chart of the previous estimates and forecasts for a sector alongside the revised data

  • tables for the period 2002-2012 or 2003-2013, incorporating

  • previous and revised estimates & forecasts at current prices

  • the absolute value of the change to the market forecast

  • index numbers to show percentage changes

  • In most cases, we have added a further paragraph bringing to the attention of users of a scenario based on a more pessimistic forecast of economic circumstances in 2009. This is based on February ONS (Office of National Statistics) data. This should be seen as indicative of the impact of further economic decline: a worse case (but not worst case) scenario.

What next?

Aggregated and revised data, including forecasts to 2014 will be published in British Lifestyles 2009: consumers in crisis at the beginning of April 2009.

A further review of the changes in the markets surveyed by Mintel, consumers’ expenditure plans, and economic forecasts will take place July 2009 and, if necessary, a further set of revised forecasts with commentary will be published in July 2009.

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Table of contents

  1. Introduction

    • Mintel’s re-forecasting puts markets in realistic light
      • The macro-economic changes
        • The significance of these changes
          • Presentation of data
            • What next?
              • Methodology
                • Differences
                • Alcoholic Mixables

                    • Figure 1: UK sales of alcoholic mixables, both on- and off-trade, by value, 2003-13
                    • Figure 2: UK sales of alcoholic mixables, both on- and off-trade, by value, 2003-13
                  • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                    • Factors used in the forecast
                    • Ales and Stouts

                        • Figure 3: UK value sales of ales and stouts, both on- and off-trade, 2003-13
                        • Figure 4: UK value sales of ales and stouts, both on- and off-trade, by value, 2003-13
                      • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                        • Factors used in the forecast
                        • Ambient Desserts

                            • Figure 5: UK retail value sales of ambient desserts, 2002-12
                            • Figure 6: UK retail value sales of ambient desserts, 2002-12
                          • Factors used in the forecast
                          • Appetisers and Dips

                              • Figure 7: UK retail value sales of appetisers and dips, 2004-12
                              • Figure 8: UK retail value sales of appetisers and dips, 2004-12
                              • Figure 9: UK retail value sales of appetisers, 2004-12
                              • Figure 10: UK retail value sales of appetisers, 2004-12
                              • Figure 11: UK retail value sales of dips, 2004-12
                              • Figure 12: UK retail value sales of dips, 2004-12
                            • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                              • Factors used in the forecast
                              • Baby Food, Milk and Drinks

                                  • Figure 13: UK retail value sales of baby food, milk and drinks, 2002-12
                                  • Figure 14: UK retail value sales of baby food, milk and drinks, 2002-12
                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                  • Bacon

                                      • Figure 15: UK retail value sales of bacon, 2002-12
                                      • Figure 16: UK retail value sales of bacon, 2002-12
                                    • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                      • Factors used in the forecast
                                      • Barbecue Foods

                                          • Figure 17: UK retail value sales of barbecue foods, 2003-13
                                          • Figure 18: UK retail value sales of barbecue foods, 2003-13
                                        • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                          • Factors used in the forecast
                                          • Bottled Sauces

                                              • Figure 19: UK retail value sales of bottled sauces, 2003-13
                                              • Figure 20: UK retail value sales of bottled sauces, 2003-13
                                              • Figure 21: UK retail value sales of table sauces, 2003-13
                                              • Figure 22: UK retail value sales of table sauces, 2003-13
                                              • Figure 23: UK retail value sales of other bottled sauces, 2003-13
                                              • Figure 24: UK retail value sales of other bottled sauces, 2003-13
                                            • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                              • Factors used in the forecast
                                              • Bottled Water

                                                  • Figure 25: UK retail value sales of bottled water, 2002-12
                                                  • Figure 26: UK retail value sales of bottled water, 2002-12
                                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                                  • Burgers

                                                      • Figure 27: UK retail value sales of burgers, 2003-13
                                                      • Figure 28: UK retail value sales of burgers, 2003-13
                                                    • Factors used in the forecast
                                                    • Cakes and Cake Bars

                                                        • Figure 29: UK retail value sales of cakes and cake bars, 2003-13
                                                        • Figure 30: UK retail value sales cakes and cake bars, 2003-13
                                                        • Figure 31: UK retail value sales of wrapped cakes and cake bars, 2003-13
                                                        • Figure 32: UK retail value sales of wrapped cakes and cake bars, 2003-13
                                                        • Figure 33: UK retail value sales of unwrapped cakes, 2003-13
                                                        • Figure 34: UK retail value sales of unwrapped cakes, 2003-13
                                                      • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                        • Factors used in the forecast
                                                        • Cat and Dog Food

                                                            • Figure 35: UK retail value sales of cat and dog food, 2002-12
                                                            • Figure 36: UK retail value sales of cat and dog food, 2002-12
                                                            • Figure 37: UK retail value sales dog food, 2002-12
                                                            • Figure 38: UK retail value sales of dog food, 2002-12
                                                            • Figure 39: UK retail value sales of cat food, 2002-12
                                                            • Figure 40: UK retail value sales of cat food, 2002-12
                                                          • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                            • Factors used in the forecast
                                                            • Cereal Bars

                                                                • Figure 41: UK retail value sales of cereal bars, 2002-12
                                                                • Figure 42: UK retail value sales of cereal bars, 2002-12
                                                              • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                • Champagne

                                                                      • Figure 43: UK value sales of champagne, both on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                      • Figure 44: UK value sales of champagne, both on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                    • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                      • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                      • Cheapest on Display Foods

                                                                          • Figure 45: UK retail value sales of own-label food, 2003-13
                                                                          • Figure 46: UK retail value sales of own-label food, 2003-13
                                                                          • Figure 47: UK retail value sales of cheapest on display foods, 2003-13
                                                                          • Figure 48: UK retail value sales of cheapest on display foods, 2003-13
                                                                        • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                        • Cheese

                                                                            • Figure 49: UK retail value sales of cheese, 2002-12
                                                                            • Figure 50: UK retail value sales of cheese, 2002-12
                                                                          • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                            • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                            • Chewing Gum and Mints

                                                                                • Figure 51: UK retail value sales of chewing gum and mints, 2002-12
                                                                                • Figure 52: UK retail value sales of chewing gum and mints, 2002-12
                                                                                • Figure 53: UK retail value sales of chewing gum, 2002-12
                                                                                • Figure 54: UK retail value sales of chewing gum, 2002-12
                                                                                • Figure 55: UK retail value sales of mints, 2002-12
                                                                                • Figure 56: UK retail value sales of mints, 2002-12
                                                                              • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                              • Chilled and Frozen Ready Meals

                                                                                  • Figure 57: UK retail value sales of chilled and frozen ready meals, 2003-13
                                                                                  • Figure 58: UK retail value sales of chilled and frozen ready meals, 2003-13
                                                                                  • Figure 59: UK retail value sales of chilled ready meals, 2003-13
                                                                                  • Figure 60: UK retail value sales of chilled ready meals, 2003-13
                                                                                  • Figure 61: UK retail value sales of frozen ready meals, 2003-13
                                                                                  • Figure 62: UK retail value sales of frozen ready meals, 2003-13
                                                                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                    • Chilled ready meals
                                                                                      • Frozen ready meals
                                                                                      • Chocolate Confectionery

                                                                                          • Figure 63: UK retail value sales of chocolate confectionery, 2003-13
                                                                                          • Figure 64: UK retail value sales of chocolate confectionery, 2003-13
                                                                                        • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                        • Cider

                                                                                            • Figure 65: UK value sales of cider, both on- and off-trade, 2003-13
                                                                                            • Figure 66: UK value sales of cider, both on- and off-trade, 2003-13
                                                                                          • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                            • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                            • Dark Rum and Brandy

                                                                                                • Figure 67: UK value sales of dark spirits, both on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                                • Figure 68: UK value sales of dark spirits, both on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                                • Figure 69: UK volume sales of dark spirits, both on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                                • Figure 70: UK volume sales of dark spirits, both on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                              • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                • Delicatessen Meats

                                                                                                    • Figure 71: UK retail value sales of delicatessen meats, 2002-12
                                                                                                    • Figure 72: UK retail value sales of delicatessen meats, 2002-12
                                                                                                    • Figure 73: UK retail value sales of ham, 2002-12
                                                                                                    • Figure 74: UK retail value sales of ham, 2002-12
                                                                                                    • Figure 75: UK retail value sales of other delicatessen meats, 2002-12
                                                                                                    • Figure 76: UK retail value sales of other delicatessen meats, 2002-12
                                                                                                    • Figure 77: UK retail value sales of continental meats, 2002-12
                                                                                                    • Figure 78: UK retail value sales of continental meats, 2002-12
                                                                                                  • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                    • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                    • Edible Oils

                                                                                                        • Figure 79: UK retail value sales of edible oils, 2002-12
                                                                                                        • Figure 80: UK retail value sales of edible oils, 2002-12
                                                                                                        • Figure 81: UK retail value sales of liquid oils, 2002-12
                                                                                                        • Figure 82: UK retail value sales of liquid oils, 2002-12
                                                                                                        • Figure 83: UK retail value sales of solid oils, 2002-12
                                                                                                        • Figure 84: UK retail value sales of solid oils, 2002-12
                                                                                                      • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                        • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                        • Eggs

                                                                                                              • Figure 85: UK retail value sales of eggs, 2003-13
                                                                                                              • Figure 86: UK retail value sales of eggs, 2003-13
                                                                                                              • Figure 87: UK retail volume sales of eggs, 2003-13
                                                                                                              • Figure 88: UK retail volume sales of egggs, 2003-13
                                                                                                            • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                            • Fish and Seafood

                                                                                                                • Figure 89: UK retail value sales of fish and seafood, 2003-13
                                                                                                                • Figure 90: UK retail value sales of fish and seafood, 2003-13
                                                                                                                • Figure 91: UK retail volume sales of fish and seafood, 2003-13
                                                                                                                • Figure 92: UK retail volume sales of fish and seafood, 2003-13
                                                                                                              • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                • Food Intolerance and Allergies

                                                                                                                    • Figure 93: UK retail value sales of gluten-free, dairy-free and other free-from foods, 2002-12
                                                                                                                    • Figure 94: UK retail value sales of gluten-free, dairy-free and other free-from foods, 2002-12
                                                                                                                  • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                    • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                    • Fresh and Frozen Sausages

                                                                                                                        • Figure 95: UK retail value sales of fresh and frozen sausages, 2002-12
                                                                                                                        • Figure 96: UK retail value sales of fresh and frozen sausages, 2002-12
                                                                                                                        • Figure 97: UK retail value sales of fresh sausages, 2002-12
                                                                                                                        • Figure 98: UK retail value sales of fresh sausages, 2002-12
                                                                                                                        • Figure 5: UK retail value sales of frozen sausages, 2002-12
                                                                                                                        • Figure 99: UK retail value sales of frozen sausages, 2002-12
                                                                                                                      • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                        • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                        • Frozen Desserts

                                                                                                                            • Figure 100: UK retail value sales of frozen desserts, 2002-12
                                                                                                                            • Figure 101: UK retail value sales of frozen desserts, 2002-12
                                                                                                                        • Functional Foods

                                                                                                                              • Figure 102: UK retail value sales of functional foods, 2002-12
                                                                                                                              • Figure 103: UK retail value sales of functional foods, 2002-12
                                                                                                                            • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                              • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                              • Game and Exotic Meat

                                                                                                                                  • Figure 104: UK retail value sales of game and exotic meat, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                  • Figure 105: UK retail value sales of game and exotic meat, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                  • Hot Chocolate

                                                                                                                                      • Figure 106: UK retail value sales of hot chocolate, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                      • Figure 107: UK retail value sales of hot chocolate, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                    • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                      • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                      • Ice Cream

                                                                                                                                          • Figure 108: UK retail value sales of ice cream, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                          • Figure 109: UK retail value sales of ice cream, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                          • Figure 110: UK retail value sales of take-home ice-cream, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                          • Figure 111: UK retail value sales of take-home ice-cream, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                          • Figure 112: UK retail value sales of impulse ice-cream, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                          • Figure 113: UK retail value sales of impulse ice-cream, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                        • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                          • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                          • Italian Foods

                                                                                                                                              • Figure 114: UK retail value sales of Italian food, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                              • Figure 115: UK retail value sales of Italian food, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                            • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                              • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                              • Lager

                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 116: UK value sales of lager, boith on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 117: UK value sales of lager, boith on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 118: UK volume sales of lager, boith on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 119: UK volume sales of lager, boith on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                  • Liqueurs

                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 120: UK value sales of liqueurs, both on- and off-trade, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 121: UK value sales of liqueurs, both on- and off-trade, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                    • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                      • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                      • Locally-sourced Foods

                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 122: UK retail value sales of locally-sourced food, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 123: UK retail value sales of locally-sourced food, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                        • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                        • Milk and Cream

                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 124: UK retail value sales of milk and cream, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 125: UK retail value sales of milk and cream, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                          • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                            • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                            • Non-sweet Biscuits

                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 126: UK retail value sales of non-sweet biscuits, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 127: UK retail value sales of non-sweet biscuits, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                              • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                • Noodles

                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 128: UK retail value sales of noodles, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 129: UK retail value sales of noodles, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                  • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                    • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                    • Nuts, Seeds and Dried Snacks

                                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 130: UK retail value sales of nuts, seeds and dried snacks, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 131: UK retail value sales of nuts, seeds and dried snacks, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                    • Organic Foods

                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 132: UK retail value sales of organic food, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 133: UK retail value sales of organic food, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 134: UK retail value sales of organic fruit and veg, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 135: UK retail value sales of organic fruit and veg, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 136: UK retail value sales of organic dairy, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 137: UK retail value sales of organic dairy, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 138: UK retail value sales of organic prepared foods and grocery, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 139: UK retail value sales of organic foods and grocery, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 140: UK retail value sales of organic prepared meat and poultry, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 141: UK retail value sales of organic meat and poultry, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 142: UK retail value sales of organic bread, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 143: UK retail value sales of organic bread, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 144: UK retail value sales of organic baby food & infant formula, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 145: UK retail value sales of organic baby food & infant formula, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 146: UK retail value sales of organic eggs, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 147: UK retail value sales of organic eggs, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                        • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                        • Pasta and Pasta Based Meals

                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 148: UK retail value sales of pasta and pasta-based meals, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 149: UK retail value sales of pasta and pasta-based meals, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 150: UK retail value sales of pasta-based ready meals, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 151: UK retail value sales of pasta-based ready meals, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 152: UK retail value sales of dry pasta, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 153: UK retail value sales of dry pasta, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 154: UK retail value sales of fresh pasta, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 155: UK retail value sales of fresh pasta, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 156: UK retail value sales of dry recipe pasta, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 157: UK retail value sales of dry recipe pasta, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                          • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                            • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                            • Pickles, Chutneys and Relish

                                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 158: UK retail value sales of pickes, chutneys and relish, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 159: UK retail value sales of pickes, chutneys and relish, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                              • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                • Pies and Pasties

                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 160: UK retail value sales of pies and pasties, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 161: UK retail value sales of pies and pasties, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Pizza

                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 162: UK retail value sales of pizza, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 163: UK retail value sales of pizza, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 164: UK retail value sales of frozen pizza, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 165: UK retail value sales of frozen pizza, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 166: UK retail value sales of chilled pizza, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 167: UK retail value sales of chilled pizza, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Potatoes

                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 168: UK retail value sales of potatoes, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 169: UK retail value sales of potatoes, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                        • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                          • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                          • Poultry and Game

                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 170: UK retail value sales of poultry and game, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 171: UK retail value sales of poultry and game, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 172: UK retail value sales of poultry, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 173: UK retail value sales of poultry, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 174: UK retail value sales of game, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 175: UK retail value sales of game, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                            • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Pre-packed and Dressed Salads

                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 176: UK retail value sales of pre-packed and dressed salads, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 177: UK retail value sales of pre-packed and dressed salads, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Ready-to-cook Foods

                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 178: UK retail value sales of ready-to-cook foods, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 179: UK retail value sales of ready-to-cook foods, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Red Meat

                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 180: UK retail value sales of red meat, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 181: UK retail value sales of red meat, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Rice

                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 182: UK retail value sales of rice, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 183: UK retail value sales of rice, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Salad Accompaniments

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 184: UK retail value sales of salad accompaniments, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 185: UK retail value sales of salad accompaniments, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sandwiches

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 186: UK retail value sales of sandwiches, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 187: UK retail value sales of sandwiches, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Seasonings

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 188: UK retail value sales of seasonings, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 189: UK retail value sales of seasonings, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Smoothies

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 190: UK retail value sales of smoothies, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 191: UK retail value sales of smoothies, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Factors used in the Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Soup

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 192: UK retail value sales of soup, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 193: UK retail value sales of soup, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 194: UK retail value sales of ambient soup, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 195: UK retail value sales of ambient soup, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 196: UK retail value sales of dried soup, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 197: UK retail value sales of dried soup, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 198: UK retail value sales of chilled soup, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 199: UK retail value sales of chilled soup, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Ambient
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Dried
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Chilled
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Sports and Energy Drinks

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 200: UK retail value sales of sports and energy drinks, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 201: UK retail value sales of sports and energy drinks, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 202: UK retail value sales of sports drinks, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 203: UK retail value sales of sports drinks, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 204: UK retail value sales of energy drinks, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 205: UK retail value sales of energy drinks, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Squashes and Cordials

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 206: UK retail value sales of squashes and cordials, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 207: UK retail value sales of squashes and cordials, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Stocks, Gravies and Stuffings

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 208: UK retail value sales of stocks, gravies and stuffings, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 209: UK retail value sales of stocks, gravies and stuffings, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 210: UK retail value sales of gravy, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 211: UK retail value sales of gravy, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 212: UK retail value sales of stocks, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 213: UK retail value sales of stocks, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 214: UK retail value sales of stuffing, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 215: UK retail value sales of stuffing, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Sugar and Artificial Sweeteners

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 216: UK retail value sales of sugar and artificial sweeteners, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 217: UK retail value sales of sugar and artificial sweeteners, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 218: UK retail volume sales of sugar and artificial sweeteners, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 219: UK retail volume sales of sugar and artificial sweeteners, 2001-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Sugar Confectionery

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 220: UK retail value sales of sugar confectionery, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 221: UK retail value sales of sugar confectionery, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Sweet Biscuits

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 222: UK retail value sales of sweet biscuits, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 223: UK retail value sales of sweet biscuits, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sweet Spreads

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 224: UK retail value sales of sweet spreads, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 225: UK retail value sales of sweet spreads, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Weight Control Foods

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 226: UK retail value sales of weight control foods, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 227: UK retail value sales of weight control foods, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 228: UK retail value sales of RFRC foods, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 229: UK retail value sales of RFRC foods, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Whisky

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 230: UK value sales of whiskies, both on- and off-trade, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 231: UK value sales of whiskies, both on- and off-trade, 2003-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Wine

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 232: UK value sales of wine, both on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 233: UK value sales of wine, both on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 234: UK volume sales of wine, both on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Figure 235: UK volume sales of wine, both on- and off-trade, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Yellow Fats

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 236: UK retail value sales of yellow fats, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 237: UK retail value sales of yellow fats, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 238: UK retail value sales of spreads and margarine, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 239: UK retail value sales of spreads and margarine, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 240: UK retail value sales of butter, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 241: UK retail value sales of butter, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Yogurt

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 242: UK retail value sales of yogurt and fromage frais, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 243: UK retail value sales of yogurt and fromage frais, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 244: UK retail value sales of yogurt drinks, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 245: UK retail value sales of yogurt drinks, 2002-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Factors used in the forecast

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    To learn more about the companies covered in this report please contact us.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Market Re-forecasts - Food and Drink - UK - March 2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    £3,000.00 (Excl.Tax)