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Market Re-forecasts - Non-fashion High Street - UK - March 2009

Household goods are one of the sectors hardest hit by the slump in the housing market, so declines are predicted for virtually every major category for 2009.

  • Those sectors most closely linked with moving house will suffer the most, such as furniture, carpets and window furnishings.

  • 2009 will be worse than 2008 as the big declines in retail sales in these categories only really kicked in in the second half of 2008.

  • Sectors where there is an element of distress or replacement purchasing will fare better than sectors where replacement can more easily be deferred.

  • The major problem is the lack of first-time buyers for major household items due to difficulties first-time buyers are facing buying property (lack of borrowing).

  • DIY/garden market expected to do better than home furnishings, as some homeowners opt to spend small amounts to improve not move.

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Table of contents

  1. Key Findings

    • Non-fashion High Street
    • Introduction

      • Mintel’s re-forecasting puts markets in realistic light
        • The macro-economic changes
          • The significance of these changes
            • Presentation of data
              • What next?
                • Methodology
                  • Differences
                  • Book Retailing

                      • Value sales of printed books
                        • Figure 1: Forecast annual sales of printed books, by value, 2002-12
                        • Figure 2: Forecast annual sales of printed books, by value, 2002-12
                      • Volume sales of printed books
                        • Figure 3: Forecast annual sales of printed books, by volume, 2002-12
                        • Figure 4: Forecast annual sales of printed books, by volume, 2002-12
                      • Value sales of audio books
                        • Figure 5: Forecast annual sales of audio books, by value, 2002-12
                        • Figure 6: Forecast annual sales of audio books, by value, 2002-12
                      • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                        • Factors incorporated in the forecast
                        • Car Retailing

                          • Total value
                            • New car market
                              • Used car market
                                • Figure 7: Total values sales of cars (new and used) at current prices, 2003-13
                                • Figure 8: Values sales of new cars, at current prices, 2003-13
                                • Figure 9: Values sales of used cars, at current prices, 2003-13
                              • Factors used in this forecast
                              • DIY Retailing

                                  • Figure 10: UK DIY retailer sales (excluding VAT), 2002-12
                                  • Figure 11: UK DIY retailer sales (excluding VAT), 2002-12
                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                • Electrical Retailing

                                    • Figure 12: UK electrical specialists’ sales, 2003-12
                                    • Figure 13: UK electrical specialists’ and photographic and optical sales, 2003-12
                                • Furniture Retailing

                                    • Figure 14: UK retail sales through furniture and carpet specialists, 2002-12
                                    • Figure 15: UK retail sales through furniture and carpet specialists, 2002-12
                                    • Figure 16: UK retail sales through furniture specialists, 2002-12
                                    • Figure 17: UK retail sales through furniture specialists, 2002-12
                                    • Figure 18: UK retail sales through carpet specialists, 2002-12
                                    • Figure 19: UK retail sales through carpet specialists, 2002-12
                                  • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                  • Garden Products Retailing

                                      • Figure 20: Estimated household spend on garden products, 2003-13
                                      • Figure 21: Estimated household spend on garden products, 2003-13
                                    • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                      • Factors used in the forecast
                                      • Gift List Services

                                          • Figure 22: Market size and forecast for gift-list retailing, 2001-11
                                          • Figure 23: Market size and forecast for gift-list retailing, 2001-11
                                        • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                          • Factors used in the forecast
                                          • Housewares Retailing

                                              • Figure 24: UK market size and forecast for household textiles, 2002-12
                                              • Figure 25: UK market size and forecast for household texiles, 2002-12
                                              • Figure 26: UK market size and forecast for glasswares, tablewares and household utensils, 2002-12
                                              • Figure 27: UK market size and forecast for glasswares, tablewares and household utensils, 2002-12
                                            • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                              • Factors used in the forecast
                                              • Pet Food and Pet Care Retailing

                                                  • Figure 28: Retail sales of pet food, pet accessories and healthcare, and pet insurance, 2003-13
                                                  • Figure 29: Retail sales of pet food, pet accessories and healthcare, and pet insurance, 2003-13
                                                • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                  • Factors used in the forecast
                                                  • Portable Technology Retailing

                                                      • Figure 30: Market size and forecast of portable technology, at current prices, 2001-11
                                                    • Factors used in forecast
                                                    • Toy Retailing

                                                        • Figure 31: UK sales of toys and games, 2003-13
                                                        • Figure 32: UK sales of toys and games, 2003-13
                                                      • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                        • Factors used in the forecast
                                                        • Wine Retailing

                                                            • Figure 33: UK retail value sales of still wine in the off-trade, 2002-12
                                                            • Figure 34: UK retail value sales of still wine in the off-trade, 2002-12
                                                          • Impact of the latest macro-economic data
                                                            • Factors used in the forecast

                                                            Companies Covered

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                                                            Market Re-forecasts - Non-fashion High Street - UK - March 2009

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