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Property and Casualty Insurance - US - October 2011

Property and Casualty Insurance - US - October 2011

Property & Casualty Insurance–US–October 2011 focuses on the industry’s reaction to an increasingly price-driven and competitive market. The shifts in market share between the more traditional insurers and those focused on price advantages are discussed, as is the move away from agency writers to direct writers as more customers use the direct channel to buy auto and homeowners insurance. The ever-expanding relevance of the internet is part of the discussion, as many younger adults are buying through the website, either with or without the aid of an agent or rep....

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Property & Casualty Insurance–US–October 2011 focuses on the industry’s reaction to an increasingly price-driven and competitive market. The shifts in market share between the more traditional insurers and those focused on price advantages are discussed, as is the move away from agency writers to direct writers as more customers use the direct channel to buy auto and homeowners insurance. The ever-expanding relevance of the internet is part of the discussion, as many younger adults are buying through the website, either with or without the aid of an agent or rep.

As the price war has intensified, and churn rates are high, many P&C insurers have ramped up their efforts to attract new customers through not only promoting price advantages, but also new focuses on social media and mobile apps to increase interactivity with customers.


Scope and Themes


What you need to know


Data sources


Consumer survey data

VMS

Abbreviations and terms


Abbreviations

Terms

Companies mentioned in this report:

Executive Summary


Industry overview


Shifts in market share


The clash of low price versus quality


Advertising in the time of uncertainty


Buying online appeals to young adults


Smartphones and social media expand selling opportunities


Stopping texting when driving


Say goodbye to the “wealth effect”


Violent storms in 2011


Insights and Opportunities


Key points


Being connected and responsive is key


Continue to show cost savings, but trust and customer service still key


Delivering fairness via telematics


Confronting a lack of loyalty


Make websites complete for answering questions


Inspire Insights


Trend: Prepare for the Worst


Industry Application


Market Size


Key points


The industry has not yet recovered


Figure 1: Financial results for U.S. property and casualty insurers, 2006-10

Homeowners coverage shows the strongest growth


Figure 2: Total U.S. property and casualty direct written premium at current prices, 2007-10

Personal lines insurance taking an underwriting loss


Figure 3: P&C Industry combined ratios, 2001-11

Competitive Context


Key points


The price wars


Relationship building via Twitter


Esurance: Twitter

American Family: Twitter

Allstate Insurance: Twitter

Liberty Mutual: Twitter

M&A activity of insurers


Segment Performance


Key points


Auto insurance DWP little changed…


Figure 4: Total U.S. private passenger auto insurance direct written premium at current prices, 1993-2010

…but in real terms, premiums have fallen substantially


Figure 5: Total U.S. private passenger auto insurance direct written premium at constant prices, 1993-2010

Average expenditure falls


Figure 6: Average expenditures for auto insurance, by state, 2006 and 2008

Homeowners DWP gains by 5% in 2010…


Figure 7: Total U.S. homeowners insurance direct written premium at current prices, 1993-2010

…and real premiums have doubled since 1993


Figure 8: Total U.S. homeowners insurance direct written premium at 2010 inflated prices, 1993-2010

Average premiums fall back from their 2007 peak


Figure 9: Average premiums for homeowners and renters insurance, 2000-08

Figure 10: Average premiums for homeowners and renters insurance at 2008 inflated prices, 2000-08

Homeowners combined ratio expected to rise again


Figure 11: Combined ratios for personal lines, 1993-2011

Marketing Channels


Key points


Most sales through direct writers


Figure 12: Types of agents as a percentage of net written premium, 2010

Most buy auto insurance through an agent


Figure 13: Channel used for purchase of auto insurance, by gender, July 2011

Internet becomes part of buying process among those 18-34


Figure 14: Channel used for purchase of auto insurance, by age, July 2011

Hispanics and Asians work around speaking with an agent


Figure 15: Channel used for purchase of auto insurance, by race/Hispanic origin, July 2011

Figure 16: Channel used for purchase of auto insurance, by household income, July 2011

The internet mostly cannibalizes sales from agents


Figure 17: Distribution channels used by new buyers, 2007 and 2011

Agents and the internet are primary information sources


Men more active than women in exploring different channels


Figure 18: Sources used for obtaining information before purchase, by gender, July 2011

Agents appeal to those 55+


Figure 19: Sources used for obtaining information before purchase, by age, July 2011

Figure 20: Sources used for obtaining information before purchase, by ethnicity, July 2011

Higher earners comfortable with online research


Figure 21: Sources used for obtaining information before purchase, by household income, July 2011

The impact of marketing channels overall – the internet


Figure 22: Influence of internet on media consumption, by generation, February 2009-March 2010

The impact of marketing channels overall—smartphones


Smartphone insurance apps appeal more to men than women


Figure 24: Whether have an app from auto insurance company on smartphone, by gender, July 2011

Figure 25: Whether have an app from auto insurance company on smartphone, by age, July 2011

Insurance app usage


Figure 26: Smartphone owners who have an insurance app, by gender, July 2011

The aggregator channel is growing in the U.S.


Figure 27: Insurance aggregators ranked by total unique visitors, Q4 2009 vs. Q4 2010

Insurance Sales Channels – the UK Experience


Key points


A radically different distribution model


Key lessons for U.S. insurers


Market dynamics

Defending against comparison sites

Impact on risk management

Online sales exacerbate existing trends


Online sales vary by product type


Figure 28: Preferred channels for arranging different general insurance products in the UK, August 2010

Three quarters of UK consumers have used comparison sites for financial research


Figure 29: Aggregator usage in the UK, April 2011

Aggregator usage snowballs after the first purchase


Figure 30: Repertoire of aggregator usage for research, April 2011

…and in buying behavior


Figure 31: Repertoire of aggregator usage for purchase, April 2011

The impact on loyalty


Figure 32: Insurance product ownership, by length of time insurance products held, August 2010

Market Drivers


Key points


The U.S. population matures


Figure 33: U.S. population, by age, 2010-15

Unemployment stubbornly high


Figure 34: Unemployment (U3) and underemployment (U6) rates, January 2007-August 2011

Figure 35: Employment – population ratio, January 2000-August 2011

Job creation anemic


Figure 36: Total non-farm payroll losses and gains, in thousands, January 2009-August 2011

Consumers overloaded on debt


Figure 37: Total debt balance and its composition, Q1 1999-Q1 2011

Foreclosures, bankruptcies populate the landscape


Figure 38: Number of consumers with new foreclosures and bankruptcies, 1999-2010

The bursting of the Housing Bubble


Figure 39: Case-Schiller 20-city composite, seasonally adjusted, January 2000-April 2011

Figure 40: Median price for homes, 1998-2010

Figure 41: Private housing starts (in millions), 2000-12

Figure 42: Existing home sales, 1998-2010

Some improvement in auto sales


Figure 43: Auto and light truck sales (in millions), 2000-12

Consumers uneasy about money, future


Figure 44: Median change in family wealth, 2007-09, by age of household head and region

Figure 45: Consumer sentiment, March 2007-August 2011

Leading Companies


Key points


State Farm: significantly in the lead


Figure 46: Top writers of property/casualty insurance by direct written premiums written, 2008-10

State Farm, GEICO, Liberty Mutual gain share in auto


Figure 47: U.S. private passenger auto insurance top writers, by direct written premium 2007-10

Liberty Mutual, Travelers, USAA gain big for homeowners


Figure 48: Homeowners insurance top writers, by direct written premium 2007 and 2010

Brand Qualities


Key points


Being dependable/trustworthy most important


Figure 49: Important qualities of auto insurance provider, July 2011

Men place more importance on social media


Figure 50: Important qualities of auto insurance provider, by gender, July 2011

Company websites are important to younger adults


Figure 51: Important qualities of auto insurance provider, July 2011

Figure 52: Important qualities of auto insurance provider, by household income, July 2011

Geico, Progressive liked for their websites, social media communications


Figure 53: Important qualities of auto insurance provider, by household income, July 2011

Amica Mutual and USAA highest rated on satisfaction


Figure 54: Satisfaction ratings given to highest rated auto insurers and homeowners insurers, 2010

Innovation and Innovators


Key points


State Farm’s Discount Double Check


Allstate’s Drive Wise


Progressive’s Snapshot Pay As You Drive


Allstate’s X the TXT


State Farm’s On the Move


Allstate’s keepthedrive.com


PhoneGuard


Progressive’s Flo-isms App


GEICO HomeFront


GEICO Glovebox


Esurance RepairView


Allstate’s GoodRide


State Farm NEXT DOOR


State Farm 60-second text-to-quote for car insurance


Marketing Strategies


Key points


Overview


Print advertising


Figure 55: GEICO Glovebox app print ad, 2011

Figure 56: Progressive homeowners insurance print ad, 2011

Figure 57: Progressive Snapshot Discount insurance print ad, 2011

Direct-mail advertising


Figure 58: AARP/The Hartford auto insurance direct mail ad, 2011

Figure 59: Farmers homeowners insurance direct mail ad, 2011

Figure 60: USAA auto insurance direct mail ad, 2011

Figure 61: Nationwide auto insurance direct mail ad, 2011

Figure 62: Allstate motorcycle insurance direct mail ad, 2011

Online and email advertising


Figure 63: State Farm Discount Double Check online advertisement, 2011

Figure 64: Allstate Truth auto insurance online advertisement, 2011

Figure 65: Liberty Mutual Subaru Advantage Plan email advertisement, 2011

Figure 66: Esurance email advertisement, 2011

Television advertising


Figure 67: Esurance “Alan is a technical genius”, 2011

Figure 68: Progressive Snapshot Strike a Pose, 2011

Figure 69: State Farm, New Boyfriend, New Girlfriend, 2011

Figure 70: Allstate’s Mayhem Motorcycle, 2011

Figure 71: Hawaiian Farmers Insurance, 2011

Figure 72: Travelers Cat Burglar, 2011

The Consumer – P&C Insurance Ownership


Key points


More than three in four have auto insurance


Figure 73: Ownership of financial products, by gender, July 2011

A strong link between age and insurance ownership


Figure 74: Ownership of financial products, by age, July 2011

Auto insurance is near-universal among higher earners


Figure 75: Ownership of financial products, by household income, July 2011

A risk of under-insurance among black households?


Figure 76: Ownership of financial products, by race/Hispanic origin, July 2011

The Consumer – Choice of Insurer


Key points


State Farm, Allstate lead in personal lines


Figure 77: Provider of auto insurance, homeowners insurance, renters insurance, other (marine, aviation, etc.) personal insurance, July 2011

GEICO and Allstate compete for second place in the auto market


Figure 78: Provider of auto insurance, by gender, July 2011

Figure 79: Provider of auto insurance, by age, July 2011

Considerable variation between different races/ethnicities…


Figure 80: Provider of auto insurance, by race/Hispanic origin, July 2011

…and this variation isn’t explained by differing income levels


Figure 81: Provider of auto insurance, by household income, July 2011

State Farm leads the way for homeowners


Figure 82: Provider of homeowners insurance, by gender, July 2011

Figure 83: Provider of homeowners insurance, by age, July 2011

Hispanic and Asian consumers take a different approach to insurer selection


Figure 84: Provider of homeowners insurance, by race/Hispanic origin, July 2011

Figure 85: Provider of homeowners insurance, by household income, July 2011

State Farm also strong among renters


Figure 86: Provider of renters insurance, by gender, July 2011

The Consumer – Trends in Ownership and Face Value


Key points


Fewer carry P&C insurance in 2011


Figure 87: Trends in ownership of automotive insurance, homeowners insurance, and renters insurance, 2006-11

Policy face values have also declined


Figure 88: Face value of automotive and homeowners insurance policies, 2008 and 2011

The Consumer – Overall Financial Situation


Key points


Many still gloomy about the economy


Figure 89: Attitude about finances: better or worse than 12 months ago, 2009-11

Figure 90: Consumer outlook for personal finances over next 12 months, 2009-11

Figure 91: Consumer outlook for American economy, next 12 months, 2009-11

Buying big-ticket items does not appeal


Figure 92: Likelihood of buying a big ticket item in next 30 days, 2009-11

Cluster Analysis


In-person Buyers


Demographics

Characteristics

Opportunity

Green Riders


Demographics

Characteristics

Opportunity

Direct Liners


Demographics

Characteristics

Opportunity

Cluster characteristic tables


Figure 93: Property and casualty insurance clusters, July 2011

Figure 94: Types of financial products owned, by property and casualty insurance clusters, July 2011

Figure 95: Channels used for researching auto insurance providers, by property and casualty insurance clusters, July 2011

Figure 96: How auto insurance was purchased, by property and casualty insurance clusters, July 2011

Figure 97: Importance of qualities in purchase of auto insurance, by property and casualty insurance clusters, July 2011

Cluster demographic tables


Figure 98: Property and casualty insurance clusters, by gender, July 2011

Figure 99: Property and casualty insurance clusters, by age, July 2011

Figure 100: Property and casualty insurance clusters, by household income, July 2011

Figure 101: Property and casualty insurance clusters, by race/Hispanic origin, July 2011

Figure 102: Property and casualty insurance clusters, by education, July 2011

Figure 103: Property and casualty insurance clusters, by employment, July 2011

Figure 104: Property and casualty insurance clusters, by marital status, July 2011

Cluster methodology


Appendix—Simmons Mosaic Analysis


Key points


Personal lines insurance most attractive to the affluent


Figure 105: Ownership of automotive insurance, homeowners insurance and renters insurance, by mosaic segment, February 2010-March 2011

Figure 106: How obtained insurance, by mosaic segment, February 2010-March 2011

Affluent segments heaviest users of internet websites


Figure 107: Visited websites in last 30 days, by mosaic segment, February 2010-March 2011

Figure 108: Used internet at home in last 7 days, by mosaic segment, April 2009-June 2010

Figure 109: Attitudes about the internet, percent agree, by mosaic segment, April 2009-June 2010

Most are optimistic about coming year for finances


Figure 110: Economic outlook better/worse next 12 months, by mosaic segment, February 2010-March 2011

Appendix—Trade Associations


  • American Family Insurance Group
  • Berkshire Hathaway Inc
  • Chubb Group of Insurance Companies
  • Erie Insurance Group
  • Google, Inc.
  • Government Employees Insurance Company
  • J.D. Power and Associates
  • Liberty Mutual Holding Company Inc.
  • National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC)
  • State Farm Insurance Companies
  • The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.
  • USAA
  • Zurich Financial Services
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