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Pub Visiting - UK - May 2015

“More one-off promotions, for example, linking into seasonal produce, and enabling consumers to redeem the offer on smartphones rather than with paper vouchers could help to boost usage of promotions.”
– Chris Wisson, Senior Drinks Analyst

This report looks at the following areas:

  • Utilising entertainment appropriately to appeal to different interests
  • Tapping into consumer interest in bargains
  • Pubs need to compete more effectively with coffee shops
  • The suitability of e-cigarettes in pubs

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Table of contents

  1. Introduction

      • Definition
        • Abbreviations
        • Executive Summary

            • The market
              • Figure 1: Forecast for total UK pub industry revenues, 2009-19
              • Figure 2: UK pub industry turnover, by segment, 2014
            • Market factors
              • Declining alcohol consumption plays a part in fall in pub visits
                • The pressure of rising costs
                  • Population changes will have an impact…
                    • …as will external factors
                      • Companies and brands
                        • The consumer
                          • Pubs remain popular venues to eat and drink in
                            • Figure 3: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to eat and drink in, March 2015
                          • Higher-quality food is the leading enticement for boosting visits
                            • Figure 4: Enticements for visiting pubs more often (any mention 1-5), March 2015
                          • Equal popularity for eating in pubs during the week and at weekends
                            • Almost half of pub visitors value pubs as part of ‘Britishness’
                              • Figure 5: Attitudes towards pubs, March 2015
                            • What we think
                            • Issues and Insights

                                • Utilising entertainment appropriately to appeal to different interests
                                  • The facts
                                    • The implications
                                      • Tapping into consumer interest in bargains
                                        • The facts
                                          • The implications
                                            • Pubs need to compete more effectively with coffee shops
                                              • The facts
                                                • The implications
                                                  • The suitability of e-cigarettes in pubs
                                                    • The facts
                                                      • The implications
                                                      • Market Drivers

                                                        • Key points
                                                          • Financial health continues to recover but remains fragile
                                                            • Figure 6: Trends in how consumers describe their financial situation, December 2009-December 2014
                                                            • Figure 7: Consumer sentiment for the coming year, December 2014
                                                          • Alcohol consumption and pub visits have fallen
                                                            • Figure 8: Trends in UK per capita consumption of 100% alcohol, 2006-14
                                                            • Figure 9: Volume trends in the sales of beer, by channel, 2009-14
                                                          • Regulatory changes aim to support pubs
                                                            • New Clause 2
                                                              • Pubs as Assets of Community Value
                                                                • More sold pubs remain as pubs
                                                                  • Drink prices remains an emotive subject
                                                                    • Figure 10: Index of the price of beer and wine in the on- and off-trade, 2007-14
                                                                  • Tax changes moderate rising prices
                                                                    • Figure 11: UK excise duty rates for selected alcoholic drinks, 2003-15
                                                                  • Business rates put pressure on landlords
                                                                    • Figure 12: Average rateable value of pubs in England and Wales, 2005 and 2014
                                                                  • Councils allowed to set licence fees locally
                                                                    • New drink-driving laws in Scotland
                                                                      • Utilities and live sport costs are also on the rise
                                                                        • Figure 13: Trends in utility prices paid by non-domestic consumers (including the Climate Change Levy), 2007-14
                                                                        • Figure 14: Trends in average fuel prices at the pump for unleaded standard and diesel, 2007-15
                                                                      • Late-night drinking remains a controversial subject
                                                                        • EMROs adopted in some larger cities
                                                                          • Local Alcohol Action Areas
                                                                            • Best Bar None
                                                                              • Purple Flag
                                                                                • Business Improvement Districts
                                                                                  • National Pubwatch
                                                                                    • Population changes also need to be acknowledged
                                                                                      • Decline of 18-24s set to pose a challenge
                                                                                        • Significant growth expected among C2DEs
                                                                                        • Strengths and Weaknesses

                                                                                          • Strengths
                                                                                            • Weaknesses
                                                                                            • Market Size and Segmentation

                                                                                              • Key points
                                                                                                • Food continues to drive growth in the pub market
                                                                                                  • Figure 15: UK pub industry market size and forecast, 2009-19
                                                                                                • Alcohol sales continue to creep up but are being overshadowed by food
                                                                                                  • Figure 16: UK pub industry turnover, by segment, 2010-14
                                                                                                • Soft drinks are still often being overlooked
                                                                                                  • Forecasts
                                                                                                    • Figure 17: Forecast for total UK pub industry revenues, 2009-19
                                                                                                    • Figure 18: Forecast for UK pub industry revenues of alcoholic drinks, 2009-19
                                                                                                • Market Share

                                                                                                  • Key points
                                                                                                    • Only 16% of pubs are ‘managed’ venues
                                                                                                      • Figure 19: Estimated structure of the UK pub industry, by ownership/tenancy number of outlets, 1993-2013
                                                                                                      • Figure 20: Turnover of leading pub operators in the UK, 2011/12-2013/14
                                                                                                      • Figure 21: Outlet numbers of leading pub operators in the UK, 2011/12-2013/14
                                                                                                    • Managed operators continue to thrive and grow…
                                                                                                      • …while the leased/tenanted segment continues to struggle
                                                                                                        • Freehold/independent pubs could thrive
                                                                                                          • The controversy of the ‘beer tie’
                                                                                                          • Companies and Products

                                                                                                              • Market overview
                                                                                                                • Figure 22: Selected leading pub operators in the UK, by outlet numbers, 2012-14
                                                                                                                • Figure 23: Business mix of selected leading pub operators in the UK, 2014
                                                                                                              • Enterprise Inns
                                                                                                                • Company overview
                                                                                                                  • Financial performance
                                                                                                                    • Figure 24: Key financial data for Enterprise Inns PLC, 2011-14
                                                                                                                    • Figure 25: Enterprise Inns PLC turnover, by segment, 2012-14
                                                                                                                  • Selected recent activity and innovation
                                                                                                                    • Greene King plc
                                                                                                                      • Company overview
                                                                                                                        • Financial performance
                                                                                                                          • Figure 26: Key financial data for Greene King PLC, 2011-14
                                                                                                                          • Figure 27: Greene King PLC revenue, by segment, 2012-14
                                                                                                                        • Selected recent activity – disposals and takeovers
                                                                                                                          • Selected recent activity – ranges and other
                                                                                                                            • JD Wetherspoon plc
                                                                                                                              • Company overview
                                                                                                                                • Financial performance
                                                                                                                                  • Figure 28: Key financial data for JD Wetherspoon PLC, 2011-14
                                                                                                                                • Selected recent activity and innovation
                                                                                                                                  • Mitchells & Butlers plc
                                                                                                                                    • Company overview
                                                                                                                                      • Financial performance
                                                                                                                                        • Figure 29: Key financial data for Mitchells & Butlers PLC, 2011-14
                                                                                                                                      • Selected recent activity and innovation
                                                                                                                                        • Punch Taverns
                                                                                                                                          • Company overview
                                                                                                                                            • Financial performance
                                                                                                                                              • Figure 30: Key financial data for Punch Taverns PLC, 2012-14
                                                                                                                                              • Figure 31: Punch Taverns PLC revenue, by segment, 2012-14
                                                                                                                                            • Selected recent activity and innovation
                                                                                                                                              • Spirit Pub Company
                                                                                                                                                • Company overview
                                                                                                                                                  • Financial performance
                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 32: Key financial data for Spirit Pub Company PLC, 2011-14
                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 33: Spirit Pub Company PLC revenue, by segment, 2012-14
                                                                                                                                                  • Selected recent activity and innovation
                                                                                                                                                  • The Consumer – Frequency of Visiting Pubs

                                                                                                                                                    • Key points
                                                                                                                                                      • Pubs remain popular venues to eat and drink in
                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 34: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to eat and drink in, March 2015
                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 35: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to eat and drink in, 2014 vs 2015, March 2015
                                                                                                                                                      • 21% of adults drink in pubs weekly
                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 36: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to drink in, by gender, March 2015
                                                                                                                                                      • The Consumer – Boosting Pub Visits

                                                                                                                                                        • Key points
                                                                                                                                                          • Higher-quality food is the leading enticement for boosting visits
                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 37: Enticements for visiting pubs more often (any mention 1-5), March 2015
                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 38: Enticements for visiting pubs more often (ranked 1), March 2015
                                                                                                                                                          • Cost also plays a key role
                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 39: Enticements for visiting pubs more often (any mention 1-5), by gender, March 2015
                                                                                                                                                          • Millennials can be enticed with live events and entertainment
                                                                                                                                                            • Other factors play a more peripheral role
                                                                                                                                                            • The Consumer – Pub Activities

                                                                                                                                                              • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                • Eating in pubs is equally popular during the week and at weekends
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 40: Pub activities undertaken by pub users, March 2015
                                                                                                                                                                • Pubs look to tap into day and overnight trade
                                                                                                                                                                  • The divisive issues of children and smoking in pubs
                                                                                                                                                                  • The Consumer – Attitudes towards Pubs

                                                                                                                                                                    • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                      • Almost half of pub visitors value the Britishness of pubs
                                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 41: Attitudes towards pubs, March 2015
                                                                                                                                                                      • Leveraging high-quality food and space
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 42: Hours of sunshine in the UK, by month, January 2010-April 2015
                                                                                                                                                                        • 36% of pub visitors prefer the indies with 15% wanting a wider soft drink range
                                                                                                                                                                        • Appendix – Market Size and Segmentation

                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 43: UK pub industry turnover, by segment, 2009-19
                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 44: Best- and worst-case forecasts for the UK pub industry, by value, 2014-19
                                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 45: Best- and worst-case forecasts for UK pub industry revenues of alcoholic drinks, 2014-19
                                                                                                                                                                          • Variables for forecasts

                                                                                                                                                                          Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                          To learn more about the companies covered in this report please contact us.

                                                                                                                                                                          Pub Visiting - UK - May 2015

                                                                                                                                                                          US $2,570.96 (Excl.Tax)