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Public Expenditure - UK - August 2015

“Public spending as a percentage of GDP is set to further reduce during the current parliament from just under 41% to a projected 36.3% by 2019/20. Nonetheless, opportunities for private companies in public sector service provision remain aplenty, reflecting the continued drive for efficient service provision. Justice, defence and welfare remain the biggest markets for outsourcing.”
Claudia Preedy - B2B Analyst

This report coveres the following areas:

  • What is the British public's perception of UK public spending across the main functions in comparison with other EU countries? How does this compare with actual spending levels?
  • Which are the most popular areas where the British public would like to see public spending increased or decreased? How does this compare with the spending plans by the Conservative government?
  • Is the trend towards outsourcing of non-core public services set to continue?

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Table of contents

  1. Executive Summary

      • The market
        • Figure 1: Public expenditure as a % of GDP, 2005-15 actual and 2016-20 planned
        • Figure 2: Total public sector managed expenditure, 2015-20
        • Figure 3: Segmentation of public sector expenditure, by function, 2014
        • Figure 4: Development of capital expenditure by the public sector, 2009-13
        • Figure 5: Segmentation of capital expenditure by the public sector, 2014
      • Market factors
        • Companies
          • What we think
          • Key Insights

              • What is the British public’s perception of UK public spending across the main functions in comparison with other EU countries? How does this compare with actual spending levels?
                • Which are the most popular areas where the British public would like to see public spending increased or decreased? How does this compare with the spending plans by the Conservative government?
                  • Is the trend towards outsourcing of non-core public services set to continue?
                  • Introduction

                    • Definitions
                      • Methodology
                        • Abbreviations
                          • Market positioning and issues in the market
                          • Market

                            • Key points
                              • Economic overview
                                • Figure 6: UK GDP quarterly development, 2003-15
                                • Figure 7: UK GDP in economic downturns and recoveries since 1979
                              • Inflation
                                • Interest rates
                                  • House prices
                                    • Consumer spending
                                      • Manufacturing
                                        • Business investment
                                          • Figure 8: UK GFCF 2003-15
                                        • Market factors
                                          • Social
                                            • Figure 9: UK population projection, 2012-37
                                          • Economic
                                            • Political
                                                • Figure 10: Trends in total public sector spending, 2004-14
                                              • Market size
                                                • Figure 11: Total managed expenditure, 2010-14
                                              • International comparison
                                                • Figure 12: UK and EU general government expenditure, by selected countries, 2010-14
                                            • Market segmentation

                                              • Key points
                                                • Market segmentation
                                                  • Figure 13: Segmentation of total managed expenditure, by function, 2010-14
                                                • Current expenditure
                                                  • Figure 14: Segmentation of public sector current expenditure, by function, 2014
                                                  • Figure 15: Segmentation of current expenditure, by function, 2010-14
                                                • Capital expenditure
                                                  • Figure 16: Segmentation of capital expenditure, by function, 2010-14
                                              • General Public Services

                                                • Key points
                                                  • General public services
                                                    • Figure 17: Segmentation of general public sector expenditure, by function, 2014
                                                    • Figure 18: Segmentation of total managed expenditure on general public services, by function, 2010-14
                                                  • International comparison
                                                    • Figure 19: UK and EU government expenditure on general public services, by selected countries, 2009-13
                                                • Defence

                                                  • Key points
                                                    • Defence
                                                      • Figure 20: Segmentation of defence expenditure, by function, 2014
                                                      • Figure 21: Segmentation of total managed expenditure on defence, by function, 2010-14
                                                    • International comparison
                                                      • Figure 22: UK and EU government expenditure on defence, by selected countries, 2009-13
                                                  • Public Order and Safety

                                                    • Key points
                                                      • Public order and safety
                                                        • Figure 23: Segmentation of public order and safety expenditure, by function, 2014
                                                        • Figure 24: Segmentation of total managed expenditure on public order and safety, by function, 2010-14
                                                      • International comparison
                                                        • Figure 25: UK and EU government expenditure on public order and safety, by selected countries, 2009-13
                                                    • Economic Affairs

                                                      • Key points
                                                        • Economic Affairs
                                                          • Figure 26: Segmentation of economic affairs expenditure, by function, 2014
                                                          • Figure 27: Segmentation of total managed expenditure on economic services, by function, 2010-14
                                                        • International comparison
                                                          • Figure 28: UK and EU government expenditure on economic affairs, by selected countries, 2009-13
                                                      • Environmental Protection

                                                        • Key points
                                                          • Environmental protection
                                                            • Figure 29: Development of environmental protection expenditure, by function, 2010-14
                                                            • Figure 30: Segmentation of total managed expenditure on environmental protection, by function, 2010-14
                                                          • International comparison
                                                            • Figure 31: UK and EU government expenditure on environmental protection, by selected countries, 2009-13
                                                        • Housing and Community Amenities

                                                          • Key points
                                                            • Housing and community amenities
                                                              • Figure 32: Public sector housing development expenditure, 2009-13
                                                              • Figure 33: Segmentation of total managed expenditure on housing and community amenities, by function, 2010-14
                                                            • International comparison
                                                              • Figure 34: UK and EU government expenditure on housing and community amenities, by selected countries, 2009-13
                                                          • Health

                                                            • Key points
                                                              • Health
                                                                • Figure 35: Segmentation of total managed expenditure on health, by function, 2010-14
                                                              • International comparison
                                                                • Figure 36: UK and EU government expenditure on health, by selected countries, 2009-13
                                                            • Recreation, Culture and Religion

                                                              • Key points
                                                                • Recreation, culture and religion
                                                                  • Figure 37: Segmentation of recreation, culture and religion expenditure, by function, 2014
                                                                  • Figure 38: Segmentation of total managed expenditure on recreation, culture and religion, by function, 2010-14
                                                                • International comparison
                                                                  • Figure 39: UK and EU government expenditure on recreation, culture and religion, by selected countries, 2009-13
                                                              • Education

                                                                • Key points
                                                                  • Education
                                                                    • Figure 40: Segmentation of education expenditure, by function, 2014
                                                                    • Figure 41: Segmentation of total managed expenditure on education, by function, 2010-14
                                                                  • International comparison
                                                                    • Figure 42: UK and EU government expenditure on education, by selected countries, 2009-13
                                                                • Social Protection

                                                                  • Key points
                                                                    • Social Protection
                                                                      • Figure 43: Segmentation of total managed expenditure on social protection, by function, 2010-14
                                                                      • Figure 44: Segmentation of social protection expenditure, by function, 2014
                                                                    • International comparison
                                                                      • Figure 45: UK and EU government expenditure on social protection, by selected countries, 2009-13
                                                                  • Summary of Major Recent Activity

                                                                    • Key points
                                                                      • Summary of major recent activity
                                                                        • New Conservative government public spending cuts for 2015/16
                                                                          • The welfare system
                                                                            • Health spending
                                                                              • Spending on schools
                                                                                • Efficiency
                                                                                  • Public service pensions
                                                                                    • Public sector pay restraint
                                                                                      • De-centralising expenditure
                                                                                        • Social housing
                                                                                          • Higher education funding reform
                                                                                            • Criminal justice reforms
                                                                                              • Increasing tax revenues
                                                                                              • Regional Distribution

                                                                                                • Key points
                                                                                                  • Regional distribution
                                                                                                    • Figure 46: Regional distribution of identifiable public expenditure, 2010-14
                                                                                                  • General public services
                                                                                                    • Figure 47: Regional distribution of public expenditure on general public services, 2010-14
                                                                                                  • Defence
                                                                                                    • Public order
                                                                                                      • Figure 48: Regional distribution of public expenditure on public order, 2010-14
                                                                                                    • Economic affairs
                                                                                                      • Figure 49: Regional distribution of public expenditure on economic affairs, 2009-13
                                                                                                    • Environmental protection
                                                                                                      • Figure 50: Regional distribution of public expenditure on environmental protection, 2010-14
                                                                                                    • Housing and community amenities
                                                                                                      • Figure 51: Regional distribution of public expenditure on housing and community amenities, 2010-14
                                                                                                    • Health
                                                                                                      • Figure 52: Regional distribution of public expenditure on health, 2010-14
                                                                                                    • Recreation, culture and religion
                                                                                                      • Figure 53: Regional distribution of public expenditure on recreation, culture and religion, 2010-14
                                                                                                    • Education
                                                                                                      • Figure 54: Regional distribution of public expenditure on education, 2010-14
                                                                                                    • Social protection
                                                                                                      • Figure 55: Regional distribution of public expenditure on social protection, 2010-14
                                                                                                  • Industry Structure

                                                                                                    • Key analysis
                                                                                                      • Trend towards public services outsourcing
                                                                                                        • Company profiles introduction
                                                                                                        • Amey

                                                                                                              • Figure 56: Financial analysis of Amey, 2010-14
                                                                                                          • Aspire Defence Holdings

                                                                                                                • Figure 57: Financial analysis of Aspire Defence Holdings, 2008-13
                                                                                                            • BAE Systems

                                                                                                                  • Figure 58: Financial analysis of BAE Systems, 2010-14
                                                                                                              • Babcock International Group

                                                                                                                    • Figure 59: Financial analysis of Babcock International Group, 2010-14
                                                                                                                • Balfour Beatty

                                                                                                                      • Figure 60: Financial analysis of Balfour Beatty, 2010-14
                                                                                                                      • Figure 61: Financial analysis of Balfour Beatty by segment, 2013-14
                                                                                                                  • Capita

                                                                                                                      • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                          • Figure 62: Financial analysis of Capita, 2010-14
                                                                                                                        • Property and Infrastructure division performance
                                                                                                                        • G4S Facilities Management (formerly G4S Integrated Services)

                                                                                                                            • Serious Fraud Office investigation into G4S and Serco government contracts
                                                                                                                              • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                • Figure 63: Financial analysis of G4S Integrated Services, 2010-1 4
                                                                                                                            • IBM

                                                                                                                                  • Figure 64: Financial analysis of IBM United Kingdom, 2009-13
                                                                                                                              • Interserve

                                                                                                                                  • Recent UK public sector contract wins:
                                                                                                                                      • Figure 65: Financial analysis of Interserve, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                  • Rolls Royce

                                                                                                                                        • Figure 66: Financial analysis of Rolls-Royce, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                    • Serco

                                                                                                                                        • Serious Fraud Office investigation into G4S and Serco government contracts
                                                                                                                                          • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                              • Figure 67: Financial analysis of Serco, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                          • Siemens

                                                                                                                                                • Figure 68: Financial analysis of Siemens, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                            • Sodexo

                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 69: Financial analysis of Sodexo, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                              • Thales UK

                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 70: Financial analysis of Thales UK, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                                • Wates Group

                                                                                                                                                      • Figure 71: Financial analysis of Wates Group, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                  • The Consumer - Feelings towards Taxation And Public Spending

                                                                                                                                                    • Key points
                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 72: Feelings towards taxation and public spending, April 2015
                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 73: Feelings towards taxation and public spending, by age group, April 2015
                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 74: Feelings towards taxation and public spending, by region, April 2015
                                                                                                                                                    • The Consumer - Attitude towards Direct and Indirect Tax

                                                                                                                                                      • Key points
                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 75: Attitude towards direct and indirect tax, April 2015
                                                                                                                                                      • The Consumer - Attitude towards Public Spending

                                                                                                                                                        • Key points
                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 76: Attitude towards public spending increases and decreases, by spending area, April 2015
                                                                                                                                                          • Key analysis
                                                                                                                                                          • The Consumer – UK Public Spending In EU Comparison

                                                                                                                                                            • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                • Figure 77: UK public spending in EU comparison, by spending area, April 2015
                                                                                                                                                            • Forecast

                                                                                                                                                              • Key points
                                                                                                                                                                • Overview of government spending plans
                                                                                                                                                                  • New Conservative government imposes £3 billion cuts for 2015/16
                                                                                                                                                                    • Key departmental cuts in 2015/16 include:
                                                                                                                                                                      • Conservative government loosens the impending squeeze on public services
                                                                                                                                                                        • Forecast for Total Managed Expenditure (TME) 2015-21
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 78: Total TME forecast, 2015-21
                                                                                                                                                                        • Market segmentation
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 79: Planned Public Spending by main function, 2015/16
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 80: Planned departmental expenditure limits, by function, 2015/16
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 81: Total TME forecast segmentation, 2016-21
                                                                                                                                                                      • Further Sources & Contacts

                                                                                                                                                                        • Trade Exhibitions
                                                                                                                                                                          • Community Transport Exhibition
                                                                                                                                                                            • The Education Show
                                                                                                                                                                              • International Policing Exhibition
                                                                                                                                                                                • Social Housing Exhibition
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Trade Magazines
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Government Business
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Government & Public Sector Journal
                                                                                                                                                                                        • Government Opportunities
                                                                                                                                                                                          • IRRV Insight
                                                                                                                                                                                            • Local Government Chronicle
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Local Government News
                                                                                                                                                                                                • The MJ
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • New Start
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Public
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Public Administration & Development
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Public Finance
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Public Sector Executive
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Public Sector & Local Government
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Public Servant
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Regeneration & Renewal

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                To learn more about the companies covered in this report please contact us.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Public Expenditure - UK - August 2015

                                                                                                                                                                                                                US $1,935.88 (Excl.Tax)