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Schools, Universities and Hospitals - UK - March 2016

“Government policy and the need to restrict public spending overrides population demands, leading to very different influences than if the market was determined by demand expectations. The ageing population in the UK should be driving much greater expenditure in the health sector than schools and universities, where population projections are for much more modest growth. However, this is not evident in actual trends, with school construction activity stimulated by the government’s academy programme, and the universities sector stimulated by the introduction of major competition.”
– Terry Leggett Senior B2B Analyst

This report addresses the following key questions:

  • How will the market develop over the next five years?
  • What will be the key market drivers?
  • What sectors offer the best prospects?
  • How is government policy affecting the market?
  • Will increasing competition between universities increase property investment?

The definitions used for the construction sector in this report are from the ONS. Sectors include both publicly and privately financed projects. Public work is for any public authority, such as government departments and universities. Private work is for a private owner, organisation, or developer, and includes work carried out by firms on their own initiative. It includes work where the private sector carries the majority of the risk/gain. For example, in principle, all PF2 contracts are private.

Reports are researched and written by MBD’s in-house, specialist business-to-business consultants. Research is based on both an analysis of official information and on original, trade research, providing both a quantitative and qualitative view of the market. MBD’s unique range of frequently updated reports provide an integrated body of on-going research, enabling deep understanding of the prevailing trends and the drivers of these trends based on trade opinion.

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Table of contents

  1. Executive Summary

      • The market
        • Figure 1: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, 2011-15 and forecast 2016-20
        • Figure 2: Segmentation of the UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, 2015
        • Figure 3: Segmentation of the UK market for property maintenance in schools, universities and hospitals, 2015
        • Figure 4: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, by funding, 2015
        • Figure 5: Segmentation of the UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, 2011-15 and forecast 2016-20
      • Market factors
        • Figure 6: English schools estate, by period of construction, 2015
        • Figure 7: Scottish schools estate, by grade, 2015
        • Figure 8: Age profile of NHS buildings, 2015
        • Figure 9: Age profile of NHS Scotland estate, 2014
        • Figure 10: Age profile of NHS Wales buildings, 2015
      • Companies
        • What we think
        • Key Issues

            • Education and health are ring fenced, so surely the market is growing?
              • What are the driving forces in the market?
                • Is the supply sector very concentrated?
                • Introduction

                  • Definitions
                    • Methodology
                      • Abbreviations
                        • Market positioning and issues in the market
                        • UK Economy

                          • Overview
                            • Figure 11: UK GDP quarterly development, 2003-15
                            • Figure 12: UK GDP in economic downturns and recoveries since 1979
                          • Inflation
                            • Interest rates
                              • House prices
                                • Consumer spending
                                  • Manufacturing
                                    • Figure 13: UK output by industry, 2008-15
                                  • Business investment
                                    • Figure 14: UK GFCF 2003-15
                                  • Imports
                                    • Exports
                                    • Market Overview

                                      • Key analysis
                                        • Market size and trends
                                          • Figure 15: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, 2011-15
                                          • Figure 16: Forecast UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, 2016-20
                                        • Market segmentation
                                          • Figure 17: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, by activity, 2011-15
                                          • Figure 18: UK education market for new construction, by activity, 2011-15
                                          • Figure 19: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, by funding, 2011-15
                                          • Figure 20: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, by sector, 2011-15 and forecast 2016-20
                                          • Figure 21: Segmentation of maintenance activity in schools, universities and hospitals, by sector, 2015
                                      • Schools

                                        • Key analysis
                                          • Existing Estate
                                            • England
                                                • Figure 22: English schools estate, 2015
                                                • Figure 23: English schools estate, by region, 2015
                                                • Figure 24: English schools estate, by period of construction, 2015
                                              • Scotland
                                                • Figure 25: Scottish schools estate, by grade, 2011-15
                                              • Wales
                                                • Figure 26: Welsh schools estate, 2011-15
                                                • Figure 27: Welsh schools estate, 2011-15
                                              • Construction and maintenance trends
                                                • Figure 28: Schools new construction expenditure, 2011-15, and forecast 2016-20
                                              • England
                                                  • Figure 29: School capital spending 2009/10-2013/14
                                                  • Figure 30: Devolved formula capital in England, 2016-17
                                                  • Figure 31: School condition allocations in England, 2015-18
                                                • Scotland
                                                  • Figure 32: Scottish schools constructed or substantially refurbished, 2008-15
                                                • Wales
                                                  • Figure 33: Capital expenditure on education by local authorities in Wales, 2008-2014
                                                  • Figure 34: 21st Century Schools scheme in Wales, Phase 1 2014-2019
                                              • Universities

                                                • Key analysis
                                                  • Estate
                                                      • Figure 35: Term-time accommodation of full-time students, 2013/14
                                                    • Construction and maintenance trends
                                                      • Figure 36: University new construction expenditure, 2011-15, and forecast 2016-20
                                                      • Figure 37: Trends in University capital expenditure, 2004-14
                                                      • Figure 38: Major Capital Expenditure by Universities, 2013/14
                                                      • Figure 39: Private investment deals in purpose built student accommodation, 2010-2015
                                                  • Hospitals

                                                    • Estate Size
                                                      • England
                                                        • Figure 40: Age profile of NHS buildings, 2011 and 2015
                                                      • Scotland
                                                        • Figure 41: Age profile of NHS Scotland estate, 2014
                                                      • Wales
                                                          • Figure 42: Age profile of NHS Wales buildings, 2015
                                                        • Construction and maintenance trends
                                                          • Figure 43: Health sector new construction expenditure, 2011-15, and forecast 2016-20
                                                        • England
                                                            • Figure 44: NHS Trust capital spending, by type 2015
                                                            • Figure 45: NHS Trust costs to eradicate backlog maintenance, by type 2015
                                                          • Scotland
                                                            • Figure 46: NHS Scotland estate physical condition, 2014
                                                            • Figure 47: NHS Scotland backlog maintenance, by region, 2014
                                                          • Wales
                                                            • Figure 48: Capital investments by NHS Wales, 2007-2018
                                                            • Figure 49: NHS Wales costs to eradicate backlog maintenance, by type and region 2015
                                                        • Industry Structure

                                                          • Industry development
                                                            • Figure 50: Development of the construction industry, by number of companies, 2010-14
                                                            • Figure 51: Development of main trades and specialist contractors, by number of companies, 2010-14
                                                            • Figure 52: Education Funding Agency contractors framework, 2013-17
                                                        • Company Profiles

                                                          • Balfour Beatty

                                                                • Figure 53: Financial analysis of Balfour Beatty, 2011-15
                                                                • Figure 54: Investment portfolio of Balfour Beatty by segment, 2013-14
                                                              • Company strategy
                                                              • BAM Construction

                                                                    • Figure 55: Financial analysis of BAM Construction, 2010-14
                                                                  • Company strategy
                                                                  • Bowmer & Kirkland

                                                                      • Figure 56: Financial analysis of Bowmer & Kirkland, 2010-14
                                                                    • Company strategy
                                                                    • Carillion

                                                                          • Figure 57: Financial analysis of Carillion, 2010-14
                                                                          • Figure 58: Geographic turnover of Carillion, 2014
                                                                          • Figure 59: Activity turnover of Carillion, 2014
                                                                        • Company strategy
                                                                        • Carillion Construction

                                                                              • Figure 60: Financial analysis of Carillion Construction, 2010-14
                                                                            • Company strategy
                                                                            • Galliford Try

                                                                                • PPP investments
                                                                                  • Figure 61: Financial analysis of Galliford Try, 2011-15
                                                                                  • Figure 62: Turnover segmentation of Galliford Try, 2015
                                                                                • Company strategy
                                                                                • Interserve

                                                                                      • Figure 63: Financial analysis of Interserve, 2011-2015
                                                                                      • Figure 64: Turnover segmentation of Interserve, 2015
                                                                                    • Company strategy
                                                                                    • Kier Group

                                                                                          • Figure 65: Financial analysis of Kier Group, 201115
                                                                                        • Company strategy
                                                                                        • Laing O’Rourke

                                                                                              • Figure 66: Financial analysis of Laing O’Rourke, 201115
                                                                                            • Company strategy
                                                                                            • Morgan Sindall Group

                                                                                                  • Figure 67: Financial analysis of Morgan Sindall Group, 201014
                                                                                                  • Figure 68: Turnover analysis of Morgan Sindall Group, 2014
                                                                                                • Company strategy
                                                                                                • Sir Robert McAlpine

                                                                                                      • Figure 69: Financial analysis of Sir Robert McAlpine, 201014
                                                                                                    • Company strategy
                                                                                                    • Skanska UK

                                                                                                          • Figure 70: Financial analysis of Skanska UK, 201115
                                                                                                        • Company strategy
                                                                                                        • Thomas Vale Construction

                                                                                                              • Figure 71: Financial analysis of Thomas Vale Construction, 201014
                                                                                                            • Company strategy
                                                                                                            • Wates Group

                                                                                                                  • Figure 72: Financial analysis of Wates Group, 2010-14
                                                                                                                • Company strategy
                                                                                                                • Willmott Dixon Construction

                                                                                                                      • Figure 73: Financial analysis of Willmott Dixon Construction, 2010-14
                                                                                                                    • Company strategy
                                                                                                                    • Further Sources & Contacts

                                                                                                                      • Trade associations
                                                                                                                        • Trade magazines
                                                                                                                          • Trade exhibitions

                                                                                                                          Companies Covered

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                                                                                                                          Schools, Universities and Hospitals - UK - March 2016

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