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The North African Hotel Sector - June 2014

“Although the North African countries have much to offer tourists (warm-water beaches and spectacular heritage sites) and are positioned close to important source markets, hotel performance in the region has suffered due to the Arab Spring, which particularly impacted tourism in Egypt, Libya and Tunisia.”
- Jessica Rawlinson, Senior Tourism Analyst

This report looks at the following areas:

  • Will there be sufficient socio-political stability in the region – particularly in Egypt, Libya and Tunisia – to allow tourism to continue to grow?
  • Will Libya be able to exploit its substantial tourism potential, which consists of a virtually untouched Mediterranean coastline of over 1,000km and superb heritage sites?
  • Will Morocco succeed in attracting mass tourism?
  • Is an oversupply of luxury hotels and residences being created in Morocco, particularly around Marrakech?
  • Will Tunisia succeed in creating alternative forms of tourism to mass beach tourism, such as golf, desert and cultural tours?
  • Will Algeria be able to increase its share of North Africa’s inbound tourism?

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Table of contents

  1. Introduction

    • Data Sources

      • Overview

        • Economic trends
          • North Africa
            • Figure 1: Real economic growth projections for North African countries (y-o-y % change), April 2014
          • Europe and Asia
            • Figure 2: Economic outlook projections for selected countries & regions, April 2014
          • Currency trend
          • The Five Main Country Markets

              • Algeria
                • Profile of tourism/hotel market
                  • Figure 3: Estimated visitor exports (incoming receipts) & arrivals in Algeria, 2004-24
                  • Figure 4: Breakdown of overnights in hotels & similar establishments by source market, 2008-12
                  • Figure 5: Breakdown of overnights in hotels & similar establishments by major regional source market, 2007-11
                • Hotel capacity
                  • Figure 6: Number of hotels & similar establishments by grade in Algeria, 2007-11
                  • Figure 7: Number of beds in hotels & similar establishments by grade in Algeria, 2007-12
                  • Figure 8: Hotel grading criteria for Algerian hotels, 2014
                  • Figure 9: Hotels & similar establishments by type of location, 2009-12
                • Chain penetration
                    • Figure 10: Starwood’s Algerian portfolio, 2014
                  • Egypt
                    • Profile of tourism/hotel market
                      • Figure 11: Estimated visitor exports (incoming receipts) & arrivals in Egypt, 2004-24
                      • Figure 12: Incoming tourist arrivals, 2011-12
                    • Trend in arrivals overnights
                      • Figure 13: Tourist arrivals by regional source markets, 2008-12
                      • Figure 14: Tourist nights by regional source markets, 2008-12
                    • Russians are a growth market
                      • Hotel capacity
                        • Figure 15: Tourist lodging capacity, 2008-12
                      • Historical occupancy performance
                        • Figure 16: Hotel occupancy by region*, 2007-11**
                      • Recent performance
                        • Orascom Development
                          • Figure 17: Orascom’s Egyptian portfolio, 2012-13
                        • Chain penetration
                          • Figure 18: Accor’s Egyptian hotel portfolio, 2014
                          • Figure 19: Hilton’s Egyptian hotel portfolio, 2014
                          • Figure 20: IHG’s Egyptian portfolio, 2014
                          • Figure 21: Marriott’s Egyptian hotel portfolio, 2014
                          • Figure 22: Meliá’s Sharm el-Sheikh portfolio, 2014
                          • Figure 23: Mövenpick’s Egyptian hotel & cruise-ship portfolio, 2014
                          • Figure 24: Carlson Rezidor’s Egyptian hotel portfolio, 2014
                          • Figure 25: Starwood Hotels & Resorts’ Egyptian portfolio, 2014
                          • Figure 26: Steigenberger’s Egyptian portfolio, 2014
                          • Figure 27: Travco’s Egyptian hotel portfolio, 2014
                          • Figure 28: TUI’s Egyptian club properties, 2014
                        • Libya
                          • Profile of tourism/hotel market
                            • Figure 29: Estimated visitor exports (incoming receipts) & arrivals in Libya, 2004-24
                          • Hotel capacity
                            • Figure 30: Libya’s tourist accommodation capacity, 2006-08*
                            • Figure 31: Libyan hotels listed on TripAdvisor, 3 May 2014
                          • Social Security Fund Investment Company hotels management
                            • Al Waddan Hotel
                              • Chain penetration
                                • Morocco
                                  • Profile of tourism/hotel market
                                    • Arab countries are a growth market
                                      • Figure 32: Arrivals by region, 2008-12
                                      • Figure 33: Estimated visitor exports (incoming receipts) & arrivals in Morocco, 2004-24
                                      • Figure 34: Arrivals by country source market, 2010, 2012 & 2013
                                    • Purpose of visit
                                      • Figure 35: Incoming tourists by purpose of visit, 2009-11*
                                    • Morocco’s 2020 vision
                                      • Domestic tourism also targeted
                                        • Hotel performance
                                          • Source markets
                                            • Figure 36: Trend in hotel overnights by major source market, 2000-12
                                          • Destinations
                                            • Figure 37: Trend in hotel overnights by major Moroccan destination, 2000-12
                                          • Hotel capacity
                                            • Lower categories to increase mass tourism
                                              • Figure 38: Trend in Morocco’s graded hotel capacity by type of accommodation*, 2000-12
                                              • Figure 39: Morocco’s graded hotel capacity by region*, 2000-12
                                            • Marrakech
                                              • Airport expansion
                                                • Trend in source markets
                                                  • Figure 40: Overnights in Marrakech by source market (%), 2007 & 2012
                                                • Hotel supply
                                                  • Figure 41: Hotels by grade in Marrakech, 2008 & 2012
                                                • Royal Palm Marrakech
                                                  • Figure 42: Details of accommodation at the Royal Palm Marrakech, 2014
                                                • Mandarin Oriental Marrakech
                                                  • Baglioni Marrakech resort
                                                    • Chain penetration
                                                      • Figure 43: Accor’s Moroccan hotel portfolio, 2014
                                                      • Figure 44: TUI’s Moroccan hotel portfolio, 2014
                                                    • Tunisia
                                                      • Profile of tourism/hotel market
                                                        • Figure 45: Tourism receipts, overnights & arrivals in Tunisia, 2010-13
                                                        • Figure 46: Tourism receipts, overnights & arrivals in Tunisia, January-March 2010, 2013 & 2014
                                                        • Figure 47: Estimated visitor exports (incoming receipts) & arrivals in Tunisia, 2004-24
                                                      • Source markets
                                                        • Figure 48: Principal incoming source markets to Tunisia, 2010-12
                                                      • Hotel capacity
                                                        • Figure 49: Tunisian tourism accommodation capacity, 2008-12
                                                      • Chain penetration
                                                          • Figure 50: Rezidor hotels in Tunisia, 2014
                                                          • Figure 51: TUI’s Tunisian hotel portfolio, 2014
                                                      • What Next?

                                                          • Outlook for spending on travel and tourism
                                                            • Figure 52: Travel & tourism spending by type in North Africa*, 2013-20
                                                          • Pipeline
                                                            • Figure 53: African hotel chain development pipeline, 2014
                                                            • Figure 54: Hotel chain development pipelines in Africa by pipeline status, 2014
                                                          • Pipeline by country
                                                            • Figure 55: Top six African countries ranked by number of rooms in the development pipeline, 2014
                                                          • Libya growing fastest

                                                          Companies Covered

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                                                          The North African Hotel Sector - June 2014

                                                          £295.00 (Excl.Tax)