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Thermal Insulation - UK - September 2015

“Thermal insulation installers are increasingly adopting a multi measure approach, ranging from insulation through to heating, plumbing and renewables. Companies are also branching out from the retrofit market to different new build and commercial sectors. This strategy is designed to counteract volatility in the retro-fit sector caused by the stop-start nature of government funding schemes”
– Claudia Preedy - B2B analyst

This report answers the following key questions:

  • What has been the Green Deal’s impact on the thermal insulation market? Will the market be affected by the government’s decision to axe the programme?
  • Which sector is most affected by the scrapping of the Green Deal Home Improvement Fund?
  • Could the lack of an ECO replacement post March 2017 lead to a funding gap in the short term?
  • How has the industry responded to volatility in the retro-fit sector?

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Table of contents

  1. Executive Summary

      • The market
        • Figure 1: The UK market for thermal insulation, by sector, 2010-14
      • Lack of clear, long-term government policies makes outlook for thermal insulation market highly uncertain
        • Figure 2: Forecast UK market for thermal insulation, 2015-19
      • Market factors
        • Figure 3: Construction output in Great Britain, 2010-14
        • Figure 4: Number of Green Deal plans in unique properties, May 2013 to May 2015
      • The consumer
        • The industry
          • What we think
          • Key Insights

              • What has been the Green Deal’s impact on the thermal insulation market? Will the market be affected by the government’s decision to axe the programme?
                • Which sector is most affected by the scrapping of the Green Deal Home Improvement Fund?
                  • Could the lack of an ECO replacement post March 2017 lead to a funding gap in the short term?
                    • How has the industry responded to volatility in the retro-fit sector?
                    • Introduction

                        • Definitions
                          • Methodology
                            • Abbreviations
                              • Market positioning
                              • UK Economy

                                • Overview
                                  • Figure 5: UK GDP quarterly development, 2003-15
                                  • Figure 6: UK GDP in economic downturns and recoveries since 1979
                                • Inflation
                                  • Interest rates
                                    • House prices
                                      • Consumer spending
                                        • Manufacturing
                                          • Business investment
                                            • Figure 7: UK GFCF 2003-15
                                        • Market Factors

                                          • Key points
                                            • Market factors overview
                                              • Climate Change Act 2008
                                                • Building regulations
                                                  • Energy supplier obligation initiatives to improve energy efficiency of domestic homes (EEC, CERT, CESP & ECO)
                                                    • Figure 8: Summary of major energy efficiency programmes since 2000
                                                  • Green Deal 2013-15
                                                    • Green Deal Home Improvement Fund temporarily boosts take-up of solid wall insulation
                                                      • Warm Front
                                                        • Minimum Energy Efficiency Standards for Private Rented Sector
                                                          • Enhanced Capital Allowance scheme
                                                          • Market Size

                                                            • Key points
                                                              • Market size
                                                                • Figure 9: UK market for thermal insulation, 2010-14
                                                                • Figure 10: UK market for thermal insulation, 2010-14
                                                              • Market segmentation
                                                                • Overview
                                                                  • Figure 11: Segmentation of the UK market for thermal insulation, by sector, 2010-14
                                                              • Building Thermal Insulation

                                                                • Key points
                                                                  • Market overview
                                                                    • Building regulations set out improved thermal performance standards for buildings
                                                                      • New Conservative government scraps zero carbon home plan
                                                                        • Government schemes promoting up-take of thermal insulation
                                                                            • Figure 12: Insulation installation under CERT, 2008-12
                                                                            • Figure 13: Key insulation measures under CERT, 2008-12
                                                                            • Figure 14: UK market for building thermal insulation, 2010-14
                                                                          • Cost of thermal insulation could rise due to EU court ruling on UK reduced tax rate for energy-saving materials
                                                                            • Figure 15: UK market for building thermal insulation, by type of insulation, 2010-14
                                                                            • Figure 16: UK market for building thermal insulation, by type of insulation, 2010-14
                                                                          • Cavity wall insulation
                                                                              • Figure 17: UK market for cavity wall insulation, 2010-14
                                                                              • Figure 18: UK market for cavity wall insulation, 2010-14
                                                                            • Loft insulation
                                                                                • Figure 19: UK market for loft insulation, 2010-14
                                                                                • Figure 20: UK market for loft insulation, 2010-14
                                                                              • Draught proofing
                                                                                  • Figure 21: UK market for draught proofing, 2010-14
                                                                                • Roof insulation
                                                                                  • Figure 22: UK market for roof insulation, 2010-14
                                                                                • External wall insulation
                                                                                  • CESP programme strongest driver for solid wall insulation uptake in recent years
                                                                                    • Green Deal Home Improvement Fund provides much needed – albeit temporary – boost to solid wall insulation sector in 2014 and 2015
                                                                                      • Trade association calls on government to deliver coherent energy efficiency strategy
                                                                                        • Figure 23: UK market for external wall insulation, 2010-14
                                                                                      • Internal wall insulation
                                                                                        • Figure 24: UK market for internal wall insulation, 2010-14
                                                                                      • Pipe and cylinder lagging
                                                                                        • Figure 25: UK market for pipe & cylinder lagging, 2010-14
                                                                                      • Floor insulation
                                                                                        • Figure 26: UK market for floor insulation, 2010-14
                                                                                    • Industrial Thermal Insulation

                                                                                      • Key points
                                                                                        • Market overview
                                                                                            • Figure 27: UK market for industrial thermal insulation, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 28: UK market for industrial thermal insulation, by material, 2014
                                                                                            • Figure 29: UK market for industrial thermal insulation, by material, 2014
                                                                                            • Figure 30: UK market for industrial thermal insulation, by type, 2013
                                                                                            • Figure 31: UK market for industrial thermal insulation, by end use sector, 2014
                                                                                        • Regional Analysis

                                                                                          • Key points
                                                                                            • Figure 32: Insulation measures installed under Green Deal and ECO, by region, January 2013-March 2015
                                                                                            • Figure 33: Total number of insulation measures installed under ECO and Green Deal , by region, January 2013-March 2015
                                                                                          • Regional construction output
                                                                                            • Figure 34: Regional private housing construction output, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 35: Regional private commercial construction output, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 36: Regional private industrial construction output, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 37: Regional housing repair & maintenance output, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 38: Regional public non-residential repair & maintenance output, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 39: Regional private non-residential repair & maintenance output, 2010-14
                                                                                            • Figure 40: Manufacturing businesses in the UK, by region, 2014
                                                                                        • Seasonality of Sales

                                                                                          • Key points
                                                                                            • Seasonality of construction output
                                                                                              • Figure 41: Seasonality of private housing output, 2010-14
                                                                                              • Figure 42: Seasonality of private commercial construction output, 2010-14
                                                                                              • Figure 43: Seasonality of private industrial construction output, 2010-14
                                                                                              • Figure 44: Seasonality of private housing repair & maintenance output, 2010-14
                                                                                              • Figure 45: Seasonality of public non-residential repair & maintenance output, 2010-14
                                                                                              • Figure 46: Seasonality of private non-residential repair & maintenance output, 2010-14
                                                                                          • Market Trends

                                                                                            • Key points
                                                                                              • Building sector trends
                                                                                                  • Figure 47: Residential property transactions in the UK, 2010-14
                                                                                                  • Figure 48: House type in total new housing builds in UK, 2010-14 (% of total)
                                                                                                • CERT/CESP/ECO/Green Deal
                                                                                                  • Figure 49: Number of main insulation measures under supplier obligations, by obligation, 2002-2012 and forecast 2012-2022
                                                                                                • CERT programme
                                                                                                    • Figure 50: Number of insulation measures under CERT, by year 2008-12
                                                                                                  • CESP programme
                                                                                                    • Figure 51: Number of insulation measures under CESP, 2009-12
                                                                                                    • Figure 52: Insulation measures under CESP, 2009-12
                                                                                                  • ECO programme
                                                                                                      • Figure 53: Number of ECO measures installed, by obligation and month, January 2013-April 2015
                                                                                                      • Figure 54: Number of insulation ECO measures installed, by obligation, January 2013 to April 2015
                                                                                                      • Figure 55: Key insulation ECO measures installed, by obligation, January 2013 to April 2015
                                                                                                    • The Green Deal
                                                                                                        • Figure 56: Number of Green Deal plans in unique properties, May 2013 to May 2015
                                                                                                        • Figure 57: Number of green deal assessments undertaken and measures installed, by month, January 2013-May 2015
                                                                                                        • Figure 58: Number and value of Green Deal cashback vouchers, by month, February 2013-September 2014
                                                                                                        • Figure 59: Number and value of Green Deal Home Improvement Fund vouchers, by month, April 2014-May 2014
                                                                                                    • Distribution

                                                                                                      • Key points
                                                                                                      • Supply Sources

                                                                                                        • Key points
                                                                                                          • Production
                                                                                                            • Overview
                                                                                                              • Figure 60: UK production of selected thermal insulation materials, 2010-14
                                                                                                            • Segmentation
                                                                                                              • Figure 61: Segmentation of the UK production of selected thermal insulation materials, by material, 2014
                                                                                                              • Figure 62: Segmentation of the UK production of selected thermal insulation materials, by material, 2010-14
                                                                                                            • Imports
                                                                                                              • Overview
                                                                                                                • Figure 63: UK imports of selected thermal insulation materials, 2010-14
                                                                                                              • Segmentation
                                                                                                                • Figure 64: Segmentation of UK imports of selected thermal insulation materials, by material, 2010-14
                                                                                                              • Exports
                                                                                                                • Overview
                                                                                                                  • Figure 65: UK exports of selected thermal insulation materials, 2010-14
                                                                                                                • Segmentation
                                                                                                                  • Figure 66: Segmentation of UK exports of thermal insulation materials, by material, 2010-14
                                                                                                                • Trade surplus/deficit
                                                                                                                  • Figure 67: UK trade surplus/deficit in thermal insulation materials, by material, 2010-14
                                                                                                              • The Consumer – Usage and Future Intentions

                                                                                                                • Key points
                                                                                                                  • Cavity wall insulation most popular thermal insulation measure in the last five years
                                                                                                                      • Figure 68: Type of thermal insulation measures installed in users’ homes over the last five year, June 2015
                                                                                                                    • Availability of free or subsidised thermal insulation measures drive take-up of insulation measures in recent years
                                                                                                                        • Figure 69: Schemes/subsidies used when installing thermal insulation measures, June 2015
                                                                                                                      • Majority of people not looking to install thermal insulation measures over the next two years
                                                                                                                        • Figure 70: Measures considered for installing thermal insulation, June 2015
                                                                                                                    • The Consumer – Installation Motivations and Barriers

                                                                                                                      • Key points
                                                                                                                        • Perceived high cost of energy bills drives demand for retro-fit thermal insulation measures
                                                                                                                          • Figure 71: Reasons for thermal insulation, June 2015
                                                                                                                          • Figure 72: Reason for installation, by insulation measure installed in the last five years, June 2015
                                                                                                                        • 38% of homeowners did not add thermal insulation in the last five years as their home already had insulation installed
                                                                                                                          • Figure 73: Reasons for not having thermal insulation, June 2015
                                                                                                                      • Industry Structure

                                                                                                                        • Key points
                                                                                                                          • Industry development
                                                                                                                            • Figure 74: Analysis of the changes in the other non-metallic mineral products manufacturing industry, 2010-14
                                                                                                                            • Figure 75: Analysis of the changes in the glass fibres manufacturing industry, 2010-14
                                                                                                                          • Structure by employment
                                                                                                                            • Figure 76: Analysis of the employment structure of the other non-metallic mineral products manufacturing industry, 2013 and 2014
                                                                                                                            • Figure 77: Analysis of the employment structure of the glass fibres manufacturing industry, 2013 and 2014
                                                                                                                          • Structure by turnover
                                                                                                                            • Figure 78: Analysis of the financial structure of the other non-metallic mineral products manufacturing industry, 2013 and 2014
                                                                                                                            • Figure 79: Analysis of the financial structure of the glass fibres manufacturing industry, 2013 and 2014
                                                                                                                        • Company Profiles

                                                                                                                          • Cape

                                                                                                                              • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                  • Figure 80: Financial analysis of Cape, 2010-14
                                                                                                                              • Celotex

                                                                                                                                  • Recent company activity
                                                                                                                                    • Company outlook
                                                                                                                                      • Figure 81: Financial analysis of Celotex, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                  • Encon Insulation

                                                                                                                                        • Figure 82: Financial analysis of Encon Insulation, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                    • Kingspan Insulation

                                                                                                                                          • Figure 83: Financial analysis of Kingspan Insulation, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                      • Knauf Insulation

                                                                                                                                            • Figure 84: Financial analysis of Knauf Insulation, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                        • Rockwool

                                                                                                                                            • Figure 85: Financial analysis of Rockwool, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                        • SIG

                                                                                                                                            • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                                • Figure 86: Financial analysis of SIG, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                            • Springvale EPS

                                                                                                                                                • Figure 87: Financial analysis of Springvale EPS, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                            • Superglass Insulation

                                                                                                                                                • Company strategy
                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 88: Financial analysis of Superglass Insulation, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                              • Jablite

                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 89: Financial analysis of Jablite, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                                • Isover Saint-Gobain

                                                                                                                                                  • Demand Structure

                                                                                                                                                    • Key points
                                                                                                                                                      • Building
                                                                                                                                                        • Figure 90: Construction output in Great Britain, by type, 2010-14
                                                                                                                                                      • Heating and ventilation
                                                                                                                                                        • Process plant
                                                                                                                                                            • Figure 91: Process plant investment, 2009-13
                                                                                                                                                        • Forecast

                                                                                                                                                          • Key points
                                                                                                                                                            • Market size
                                                                                                                                                              • Construction forecast
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 92: Forecast construction output in Great Britain, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 93: Forecast construction output in Great Britain, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 94: Forecast construction output in Great Britain, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                                                • Housing construction forecast
                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 95: Forecast private housing output in Great Britain, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 96: Forecast public housing output in Great Britain, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                                                  • Thermal insulation market forecast
                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 97: Forecast UK market for thermal insulation, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 98: Forecast UK market for thermal insulation, 2014-18
                                                                                                                                                                  • Market segmentation
                                                                                                                                                                    • Figure 99: Forecast segmentation of the UK market for thermal insulation, by sector, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                                                  • Lack of clear long-term government policy provides highly uncertain outlook for building thermal insulation sector
                                                                                                                                                                    • Growth potential for retro-fit installations still exists
                                                                                                                                                                      • Committee on Climate Change also identifies need for new polices to drive residential energy efficiency
                                                                                                                                                                        • Solid wall sector strongest hit by ECO cuts and axing of the Green Deal Home Improvement Fund
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 100: Forecast for UK market for building thermal insulation, by type, 2014-18
                                                                                                                                                                          • Figure 101: Forecast for UK market for building thermal insulation, by type, 2015-19
                                                                                                                                                                        • Industry
                                                                                                                                                                        • Further Sources and Contacts

                                                                                                                                                                          • Trade associations
                                                                                                                                                                            • Trade magazines
                                                                                                                                                                              • Trade exhibitions

                                                                                                                                                                              Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                              To learn more about the companies covered in this report please contact us.

                                                                                                                                                                              Thermal Insulation - UK - September 2015

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