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UK Retail Briefing - April 2014

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month’s focus is on e-commerce.

This sector focus includes:

  • Total online retail sales 2012-14
  • Online retail sales by category, 2013
  • Forecast online sales growth, 2014
  • Leading online retailers shares of all online retail sales 2012 and 2013
  • We also include an Analyst's Comment looking at High st winners and losers

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • High streets – winners and losers
      • Putting empty units in perspective
        • Shopping is changing
          • Outlet numbers
            • Figure 1: Change in numbers of retail outlets by sector, 2009-13
          • Online and the recession
            • A constantly changing sector
            • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

              • Key points
                • Retail sales trends
                  • Figure 2: Retail sales trends, 2013-14
                • BRC data for January
                  • Figure 3: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2012-14
                • John Lewis
                  • Figure 4: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2013-14
                • Inflation and wages
                  • Figure 5: The income squeeze: Wages growth vs inflation, 2008-14
                • Inflation
                  • Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2013-14
                • Looking forward
                • Focus – E-Commerce

                    • Executive summary
                      • Double-digit growth to continue
                        • Figure 7: Total online retail sales (incl. VAT), 2012-14
                      • Segmentation: Electricals strong online
                          • Figure 8: Online retail sales by category/sector (incl. VAT), 2013
                          • Figure 9: Forecast online sales growth, by category, 2014
                        • Online market shares: Amazon loses share, John Lewis jumps
                            • Figure 10: Leading online retailers’ shares of all online retail sales, 2012 and 2013
                          • What’s next
                          • Headlines for the Month

                            • Co-ops
                              • Convenience stores
                                • Grocers
                                  • Clothing retailing
                                    • Multi-sector retailing
                                      • Department stores
                                        • DIY retailing
                                          • Footwear retailing
                                            • Furniture retailing
                                              • Home shopping
                                                • Books and stationery retailing
                                                  • Economy
                                                  • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                                    • Co-ops
                                                      • Co-op
                                                        • …CEO Euan Sutherland resigns
                                                          • …delay annual results, initiate management reconstruction
                                                            • …prepares to sell pharmacies
                                                              • …reform plans rejected
                                                                • …documents leaked over Co-op salary increases
                                                                  • …Lord Myners quits The Co-operative Group over planned reforms
                                                                    • …Tesco looks to buy Co-op pharmacies
                                                                      • …signs for 54 new stores
                                                                        • …to enter the mobile phone market
                                                                          • Convenience stores
                                                                            • 7-Eleven to enter the UK
                                                                              • McColl's like-for-like sales up 1.4%
                                                                                • Grocers
                                                                                  • Aldi
                                                                                    • …and Lidl increase market share
                                                                                      • …ASA uphold complaint over Aldi ad
                                                                                        • Morrison’s
                                                                                          • …chief executive declines bonus
                                                                                            • …‘Disappointing year’ for Morrisons as full-year results are published
                                                                                              • …loses head of digital
                                                                                                • …to take on Aldi and Lidl with price cuts
                                                                                                  • Sainsbury’s
                                                                                                    • …launches UK’s first ‘grown by women’ coffee
                                                                                                      • …sales fall in Q4
                                                                                                        • …sells off stake in Anobii
                                                                                                          • Tesco
                                                                                                            • …finance director to leave company
                                                                                                              • …launches Clubcard Fuel Save scheme
                                                                                                                • …to face judicial review over ‘Price Promise’
                                                                                                                  • …to introduce New York deli-diner
                                                                                                                    • …to pilot pizza delivery
                                                                                                                      • …finance director could be on the way out
                                                                                                                        • Waitrose
                                                                                                                          • …expands newspaper and TV offering
                                                                                                                            • …to open first national distribution centre
                                                                                                                              • Off-licences
                                                                                                                                • Majestic warns that pre-tax profit will be flat
                                                                                                                                • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                                                                  • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                                                    • Ann Summers is to put Knickerbox up for sale
                                                                                                                                      • Better Capital pumping £7.5m into its Jaeger stores
                                                                                                                                        • BHS Food
                                                                                                                                          • …will undercut its rivals
                                                                                                                                            • …signs food supply deal with Booker
                                                                                                                                              • Eight stores closed by Internaçionale administrators
                                                                                                                                                • Esprit considers UK retail exit
                                                                                                                                                  • Forever 21 reports losses in the UK
                                                                                                                                                    • French Connection narrows full-year losses
                                                                                                                                                      • IRO to open London Flagship
                                                                                                                                                        • J Crew looks to open two new stores
                                                                                                                                                          • Jack Wills to hire Lord Davies as chairman
                                                                                                                                                            • Jigsaw is to open a new flagship ‘emporium’
                                                                                                                                                              • King’s Road Sporting Club to close
                                                                                                                                                                • Moss Bros sales up 4.2%
                                                                                                                                                                  • Mulberry chief executive quits
                                                                                                                                                                    • Next
                                                                                                                                                                      • …reveal results of a ‘great year’
                                                                                                                                                                        • …Lord Wolfson giving away his £4m bonus
                                                                                                                                                                          • …to launch branded spin-off website
                                                                                                                                                                            • …to overtake rival Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                              • Ted Baker sees 24.6% rise in retail sales
                                                                                                                                                                                • Mixed goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Poundland given £750m valuation
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Argos reshapes management structure
                                                                                                                                                                                        • Home Retail
                                                                                                                                                                                          • …and Shop Direct to put aside provisions for mis-sold PPI
                                                                                                                                                                                            • …to exceed profit expectations after strong end of year sales
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Laura Ashley sales fall 0.4%
                                                                                                                                                                                                • M&S
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …Q4 results
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …two top executives to leave
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • House of Fraser enters acquisition talks
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Jo Hooper to leave John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Sanpower to acquire House of Fraser
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Kingfisher announces a 5.2% rise in sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • £4bn merger of Dixons and Carphone Warehouse requires deadline extension
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Vodafone to open 150 new UK stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Sole Trader profits rise 24.6%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carpertright issues profit warning
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • OFT probe inspires change in five furnishers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • DFS sales down 1.3% in the first half of the year
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Dunelm Q3 sales up 9.9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Amazon given option on Yodel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • ASOS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …reports 26% sales growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …sales up 34%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Boohoo.com
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …makes its stock market debut
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …sees EBITDA rise by 200%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Bourne to open first store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Jacamo and Simply Be to make Oxford Street debut
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Littlewoods wins £1.2bn tax victory
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • M and M Direct eyes £150m sale
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Moonpig.com owner planning IPO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Ocado posts strong sales growth in the 12 weeks to 23 February 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Walgreens and Alliance Boots partnership ‘exceeding expectations’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Smiggle to expand outside of London
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • WHSmith first half pre-tax profit up, like-for-like sales down
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • JD Sports invests in Mainline Menswear
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Mike Ashley
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …sells stake in Sports Direct
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …Sports Direct cancels AGM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Toys and games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Sales rise 1.3% for The Entertainer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Toy Store to enter the UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Miscellaneous specialist retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Albemarle & Bond shares suspended
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Bids for Kiddicare expected by the end of April
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Evans Cycles profits soar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Mothercare
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …hires ex-Shop Direct boss as interim CEO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …Q4 sales dip
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Pets at Home
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …and Poundland set prices for floats
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …former Britvic CEO joins Pets at Home
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • ONS announces 4.7% rise in February retail spend
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • BRC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …retail sales slow in February
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …shop prices fall 1.7% in March
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …UK footfall drops in February 2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Advertising Standards Authority
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Albemarle & Bond PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Aldi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Aldi Stores Ltd (UK & Ireland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Alliance Boots UK Retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Amazon.com Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Arcadia Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Asda Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • ASOS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Barclays Bank plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Bensons Bed Centres Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Bhs Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Bluewater Shopping Centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Boohoo.com plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Booker Cash & Carry Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • British Retail Consortium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • British Sky Broadcasting Group plc (BSkyB)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Britvic Soft Drinks
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Burberry (Europe)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carolina Herrera New York
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carpetright (be)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carpetright (pl)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carpetright Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carpetright UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Cath Kidston Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Co-operative Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Daily Mail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Deutsche Bank AG
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • DFS Furniture Holdings Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dixons Retail Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dreams Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dunelm (Soft Furnishings) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dwell
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ebay UK Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Esprit
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Evans Cycles UK Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Financial Times Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Forever 21 Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Fred Perry Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • French Connection (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Furniture Village Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Galeries Lafayette Department Stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Hallmark
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Hermes (GB) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Home Retail Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Homebase Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • House of Fraser Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • HSBC Investments (UK) Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • International Greetings plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • J. Crew Direct
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • J. Crew Group, Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • J. Sainsbury
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Jack Wills Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Jaeger Company's Shops Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • JD Sports Fashion plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Jigsaw
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • John Lewis Partnership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • John Lewis Plc (department store)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • JPMorgan Invest LLC (BrownCo)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Kantar Media
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Kiddicare
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Lakeside Shopping Centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Laura Ashley Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Lidl (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Lipsy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Lloyds Banking Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • London Stock Exchange plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • LOVEFiLM International Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • M and M Direct Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Majestic Wine Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • McColl's Retail Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Midcounties Co-operative Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Moonpig.com Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Morrisons M Local
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Moss Bros Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Mothercare Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Mulberry Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • N Brown Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Next Directory
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Next Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Nike
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ocado
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ocado Group plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Office for National Statistics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Office of Fair Trading
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Pets at Home Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Poundland Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • PricewaterhouseCoopers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Reuters Group PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sainsbury's Local
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Shop Direct Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sports Direct Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • SuperGroup Plc (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ted Baker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Tesco (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Carphone Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Entertainer (Amersham) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Harveys Furnishing Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Timberland UK Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Trafford Centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Vodafone Distribution Ltd - UK Retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Vodafone Europe Retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Walgreen Co
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Westfield Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • WH Smith PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Wm Morrison Supermarkets

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              UK Retail Briefing - April 2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              £295.00 (Excl.Tax)