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UK Retail Briefing - April 2015

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month’s focus is on Automotive Fuel Retailing.

This sector focus looks at:

  • Retail sales of fuel.
  • Fuel inflation trends
  • Number of petrol forecourts
  • Petrol forecourt c-store shoppers by age.
We also include an Analyst's Comment looking at Majestic's acquisition of Naked Wines.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • A new development for Majestic
      • Majestic
        • Naked
          • What about the consumer?
            • Will it work?
            • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

              • Key points
                • Retail sales trends
                  • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2014/15
                  • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC versus ONS, 2013-15
                • John Lewis
                  • Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-Year Growth, 2014-15
                • Inflation and wages
                  • Figure 4: The income squeeze: Wages growth versus inflation, 2009-15
                • Inflation
                  • Figure 5: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2014-15
                • Looking forward
                • Sector Focus – Automotive Fuel Retailing

                    • Summary
                      • Market size – Deflation holding back growth
                        • Figure 6: Retail sales (including VAT/ duties), 2010-15
                        • Figure 7: Retail sales (including VAT/ duties), 2015-20
                      • Volume growth positive for the first time in four years in 2014
                        • Figure 8: Chained volume of automotive retail sales (reference year, 2011), Non-seasonally adjusted, 2005-14
                      • Fuel prices hit a low
                        • Figure 9: Monthly change in consumer price inflation in fuels and lubricants, 2014-15
                        • Figure 10: Annual change in consumer price inflation in fuels and lubricants, 2004-14
                      • Number of forecourts – Slight growth in numbers
                          • Figure 11: Number of petrol forecourts, 2014-15
                          • Figure 12: Number of forecourts operated by superstores, by retailer, 2014
                          • Figure 13: Number of forecourts operated by superstores, by retailer, 2013 and 2014
                        • Growth in superstore petrol stations driven by convenience shopping
                          • Figure 14: Regular petrol station convenience store shoppers, by age, February 2015
                      • Headlines for the Month

                        • Grocers
                          • Other food specialists
                            • Clothing retailing
                              • Multi-sector retailing
                                • Department stores
                                  • DIY retailing
                                    • Furniture and homeware retailing
                                      • Home shopping
                                        • Economy
                                        • News Analysis – Food and Drink Retailing

                                          • Convenience stores
                                            • UK: Booker sales up 1% in Q4
                                              • UK: Scotmid and Seaton Valley announce merger
                                                • Grocers
                                                  • UK: Aldi
                                                    • …becomes Britain’s sixth largest supermarket
                                                      • …plans more new stores than Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons combined
                                                        • …preparing for e-commerce trial
                                                          • …unveils £2.5m Easter campaign
                                                            • UK: Asda
                                                              • …and Decathlon announce partnership
                                                                • …to open first high street stores
                                                                  • …unveils wedding collection
                                                                    • UK: Co-operative Food
                                                                      • …delivers ‘robust’ performance
                                                                        • …staff to receive an 8.5% pay rise
                                                                          • UK: Morrisons
                                                                            • …full year sales down 4.9%
                                                                              • …new chief cuts down senior management team
                                                                                • …to stop using Intelligent Queue Management technology
                                                                                  • UK: Netto announces locations of two new stores
                                                                                    • UK: Sainsbury’s
                                                                                      • …creates 480 digital jobs
                                                                                        • …looking to double its number of convenience stores
                                                                                          • …sales dip 0.4%
                                                                                            • UK: Tesco
                                                                                              • …appoints Savills
                                                                                                • …director Patrick Cescau leaves
                                                                                                  • …introduces In Farm We Trust concession
                                                                                                    • …takes sole ownership of 21 superstores
                                                                                                      • UK: Waitrose ties up with Johnson Cleaners
                                                                                                        • Other food specialists
                                                                                                          • UK: Hotel Chocolat hails ‘best ever Easter’
                                                                                                            • UK: Majestic Wine acquires Naked Wines
                                                                                                              • UK: Naked Wines seeks investment to open first stores
                                                                                                                • UK: Oddbins opens first beer-only shop
                                                                                                                • News Analysis – Non-food Retailing

                                                                                                                  • Clothing and footwear retailing
                                                                                                                    • UK: Bank
                                                                                                                      • …former stores to be taken over
                                                                                                                        • …intellectual property put up for sale
                                                                                                                          • UK: Bonmarché has challenging fourth quarter
                                                                                                                            • UK: Burberry café to open at flagship store
                                                                                                                              • UK: Clarks
                                                                                                                                • …introduces wi-fi and tablets
                                                                                                                                  • …opens refurbished Milton Keynes store
                                                                                                                                    • UK: FG4 launches in the UK
                                                                                                                                      • UK: French Connection sales fall 5.8% in 2014/15
                                                                                                                                        • UK: Jimmy Choo like-for-likes grow 5.7%
                                                                                                                                          • UK: Joules sales jump 21.3% thanks to international expansion
                                                                                                                                            • UK: Moss Bros like-for-like sales rise 5.5%
                                                                                                                                              • UK: Mulberry
                                                                                                                                                • …announces new chief executive
                                                                                                                                                  • …full year sales edge up 1%
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Ness attracts million pound investment
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: River Island opens new flagship store
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Schuh opens new digital store concept
                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Signet like-for-like sales rise 7.5%
                                                                                                                                                            • UK: SuperGroup reveals strategy update
                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Ted Baker
                                                                                                                                                                • …grows revenues by 20.4%
                                                                                                                                                                  • …makes a move into interior design
                                                                                                                                                                    • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Argos to trial 3D printed jewellery
                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: M&S posts improved performance in GM
                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Next sales rise 7.2%
                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Poundland
                                                                                                                                                                              • …launches DIY range
                                                                                                                                                                                • …proposed purchase of 99p Store under scrutiny
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Bhs
                                                                                                                                                                                      • …sold to Retail Acquisitions
                                                                                                                                                                                        • …makes head office redundancies
                                                                                                                                                                                          • …new owner puts 52 stores under review
                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                              • …announces Philippines expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                • …posts sales growth of 7.6%
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: TJ Hughes eyes Bhs and B&Q sites
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Kingfisher ‘considering all options’
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Kingfisher
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …acquisition of Mr Bricolage held up
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …sees sales and profits fall in 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Topps Tiles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …sales increase 6.4% in first half of the year.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …to launch new hybrid boutique format
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Wickes’ owner Travis Perkins sets out expansion plans
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Electrical goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: BrightHouse unveils ambitious growth plans
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Dixons Carphone and Google team up on new shop-in-shop
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Furniture and homeware retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: DFS sales rise 10.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Dunelm sales rise 10.7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Habitat opens new concept store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: ScS sales up 14.5% in first results since flotation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Achica makes a loss of £7m
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Ao World chairman sells £10m stake
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Asos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …posts strong sales growth despite profit decline
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …sales up 19%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Boohoo sales rise 22%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Doddle launches ‘click-on-campus’ service
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: DPD to launch click-and-collect initiative
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Ebay and Argos tie up for ‘click and drop’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Home Retail Group has weak end to the year
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Findel reports a 3.7% rise in sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Missguided
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …launches physical concession in the US
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …signs new fulfilment deal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: N Brown issues second profit warning
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: New try-before-you-buy service for online shoppers to launch
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Net-a-Porter and Yoox to merge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Ocado Group sales rise 19.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Retailers given the go ahead for click-and-collect
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Shop Direct launches personalised home pages
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Evans Cycles attracts interest from Cotswold Outdoor owner
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Well acquires Care4u
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Automotive retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Halfords appoints new chief executive
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Gaming retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Game Digital
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …reports declining sales and profits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …launches online marketplace
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Books and cards retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Card Factory sales up 8.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Shopping locations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Hammerson almost doubles profits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Meadowhall to undergo £50m refit
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Sheffield set for £480m regeneration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Westfield introduces Future Fashion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Deflation in the grocery market reaches new low
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Retail sales rise 2.9% in February
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Retail sales up 1.7% in February
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Shop prices fall 2.1% in March

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • 99p Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • achica
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Aldi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Aldi Stores Ltd (UK & Ireland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • AO World Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Arcadia Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Asda Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • ASOS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Aviva Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • B&Q (UK & Ireland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Bestseller
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Bhs Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Bonmarché
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Boohoo.com plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Booker Cash & Carry Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Brighthouse
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • British Retail Consortium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Bulgari
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Burberry Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • C&J Clark Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Cath Kidston Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Co-operative Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Cotswold Outdoor Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Currys
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Dalziel & Pow
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Debenhams UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Decathlon Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • DFS Furniture Holdings Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Dixons Carphone pro-forma merged group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Dunelm (Soft Furnishings) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Ebay UK Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Ernest Jones Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Evans Cycles UK Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Express Gifts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Findel plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • French Connection (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Game Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Game Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Giorgio Armani S.p.A.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Google UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Google, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Gucci Group N.V.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • H Samuel Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Habitat
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Halfords Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Hammerson
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Home Retail Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Homebase Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Hotel Chocolat Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • House of Fraser Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • J. Choo Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • J. Sainsbury
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Jigsaw
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • John Lewis Partnership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • John Lewis Plc (department store)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Joules
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Kantar Media
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Kingfisher Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Kitbag
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Kleeneze plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Lidl (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Majestic Wine Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • McDonald's U.S.A.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Meadowhall Shopping Centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Moschino
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Moss Bros Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Mr. Bricolage Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Mulberry Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • N Brown Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Naked Wines
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Net-A-Porter Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Next Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Numark Pharmacy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Oddbins Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • PC World (DSG UK Computing)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Poundland Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Premier
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Richemont Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • River Island Clothing Co Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Rocket
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Savills Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Schuh Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • ScS Upholstery Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Shop Direct Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Signet Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Sofology
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • SuperGroup Plc (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Ted Baker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Tesco (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • The British Land Company Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • The Co-operative Food
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • The White Company Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • TJ Hughes Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Toolstation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Topps Tiles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Travis Perkins PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Travis Perkins Retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • White Stuff Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Wickes Building Supplies Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Wm Morrison Supermarkets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Yoox

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          UK Retail Briefing - April 2015

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