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UK Retail Briefing - December 2013

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a different sector or channel and this month we look at the rapidly growing ecommerce channel.

This month's focus includes:

  • Online Retail sales, 2011-2014
  • Breakdown by online market segmentation
  • Christmas 2013 online outlook

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • Short termism
      • City pressures
        • Why come to the market at all?
          • Running the business for the short term
          • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

            • Key points
              • Retail sales trends
                • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2012-13
              • BRC data for November
                • Figure 2: UK retail sales year-on-year growth, BRC vs ONS, 2012-13
              • John Lewis
                • Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2012-13
              • Inflation and wages
                • Figure 4: The income squeeze: Wages growth vs inflation, 2008-13
              • Inflation
                • Figure 5: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2012-13
              • Looking forward
              • Focus – E-Commerce

                  • Online retail sales in 2013
                    • Figure 6: Online retail sales (incl. VAT), 2011-14
                  • Online sales by sector
                    • Figure 7: Online retail sales: Estimated segmentation, by retail sector (incl. VAT), 2013
                  • Online sales growth by sector
                      • Figure 8: Online retail sales: Estimated year-on-year growth, by retail sector, 2013
                    • Mintel’s market data
                      • Figure 9: Online retail sales: Estimated sales, by product category/sector, selected categories (incl. VAT), 2013
                    • What about Christmas 2013?
                    • Headlines for the Month

                      • Grocers
                        • Off-licences
                          • Clothing retailing
                            • Footwear retailing
                              • Multi-sector retailing
                                • DIY retailing
                                  • Electrical retailing
                                    • Music and video goods retailing
                                      • Home shopping
                                        • Economy
                                        • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                          • Co-ops
                                            • Co-operative group fears dividend changes could hit supermarkets
                                              • Grocers
                                                • Aldi releases budget tablet
                                                  • Asda
                                                    • …pilots new structure
                                                      • …releases Q3 update
                                                        • …to invest in price cutting measures
                                                          • …to offer click-and-collect at tube stations
                                                            • Booths sees profits slide
                                                              • Grocery share figures divided
                                                                • Lidl eyes rapid expansion
                                                                  • Morrisons opens lab store in Preston
                                                                    • Sainsbury’s half-year profits up
                                                                      • Supermarkets expanding ahead of shopping centres
                                                                        • Tesco
                                                                          • …trials electronic shelf edge pricing
                                                                            • …accused of squeezing suppliers
                                                                              • …acquires Lazada
                                                                                • …carries rubbish in its food trucks
                                                                                  • …increases number of third-party sellers
                                                                                    • …to suffer continuing losses, according to City analysts
                                                                                      • …witnesses third quarter sales decline
                                                                                        • …won’t squeeze suppliers
                                                                                          • Waitrose sees sales climb
                                                                                            • Off-licences
                                                                                              • Majestic Wine sees profits climb
                                                                                              • News Analysis – Non Food

                                                                                                • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                  • Arcadia
                                                                                                    • …considers move into food retailing market
                                                                                                      • …sales and profits edge up
                                                                                                        • Benetton plans three-year restructuring programme
                                                                                                          • Burberry has record £1bn sales
                                                                                                            • Edinburgh Woollen Mill to create over 1,100 new jobs
                                                                                                              • French Connection posts rise in like-for-likes
                                                                                                                • Hackett eyes US expansion
                                                                                                                  • Hugo Boss lowers 2015 profit target
                                                                                                                    • Karen Millen profits decline
                                                                                                                      • Little White Lies opens Topshop concession
                                                                                                                        • Matalan sees womenswear ‘back on track’
                                                                                                                          • Mulberry first-half profits fall
                                                                                                                            • New Look records rising profits
                                                                                                                              • Peacocks considers RBS complaint
                                                                                                                                • Primark to increase selling space by 1 million sq. ft
                                                                                                                                  • Ted Baker Sales leap
                                                                                                                                    • Tie Rack to close by the end of 2013
                                                                                                                                      • TK Maxx
                                                                                                                                        • …accused of misleading customers
                                                                                                                                          • …to expand operations following strong performance
                                                                                                                                            • Warehouse to open London flagship
                                                                                                                                              • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                                • Barratts shoes
                                                                                                                                                  • …enters administration
                                                                                                                                                    • …rescue hopes fade
                                                                                                                                                      • Clarks launches modernised store
                                                                                                                                                        • Mixed goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                          • Poundland
                                                                                                                                                            • …and Jane Asher in bakeware tie-up
                                                                                                                                                              • …seeks float in early 2014
                                                                                                                                                                • Poundstretcher to focus on retail parks
                                                                                                                                                                  • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                    • Argos opens first digital concept store
                                                                                                                                                                      • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                        • …announces charity partnership
                                                                                                                                                                          • …general merchandise sales reported to fall
                                                                                                                                                                            • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                              • Debenhams restructures ahead of overseas growth
                                                                                                                                                                                • House of Fraser appoints Rothschild as flotation advisor
                                                                                                                                                                                  • John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                    • …launches food outlets
                                                                                                                                                                                      • …records sales boost following Black Friday
                                                                                                                                                                                        • …to open in Westfield London
                                                                                                                                                                                          • …has sales over £100m for the second week running
                                                                                                                                                                                            • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Kingfisher reports rise in Q3 profits
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Topps Tiles
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …reveal new brand strategy
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …sees increase in market share
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Carphone Warehouse
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …plans licencing growth deals
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …sales and profits rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dixons
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …plans global travel store expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …to enter tablet war
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Maplin to launch trade fascia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Music and video goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Blockbuster
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …enters administration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …to shutter stores as no buyer found
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Carpetright profits and sales fall in first-half
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Bathstore returns to profit with new website
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Former Feather & Black boss teams up with ex-Asos director to launch bed linen etailer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Cath Kidston eyes sale
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • West Elm preparing for UK debut
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …breaks record on Cyber Monday
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …to open collection lockers in tube stations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …breaks weekly fashion record
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Asda Direct to offer live availability levels
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Boohoo float likely to be higher than physical rivals
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Cyber Monday to generate £605 million in sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Debenhams opens eBay shop
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Morrisons online focuses on fresh food
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • MyWardrobe.com
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …sees boss exit
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …to focus on UK business
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Network Rail click-and-collect shops
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Clintons
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …reports profits under new ownership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …turnaround on track
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Golden goodbye for Kate Swann
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • WHSmith like-for-likes fall
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • JD Sports
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …buys controlling interest in Tiso
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …sees like-for-likes rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Jewellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Signet posts fall in third-quarter UK like-for-likes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Garden centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Notcutts opens pop-up stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Tesco’s Dobbies sees profits fall
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Opticians
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Miscellaneous specialist retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Mothercare profits back in black
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • BRC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …Autumn footfall worst of 2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …November retail sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …Shop price deflation slows
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Business rates rise cap confirmed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Demand for retail property jumps
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Retail sales figures remain steady

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • 99p Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Advertising Standards Authority
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Aldi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Amazon UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Amazon.co.uk
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Amazon.com Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • American Greetings Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Arcadia Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Asda Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • ASOS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Associated British Foods Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Aurora fashions UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • B&Q (UK & Ireland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Barclays Bank plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Barclays Capital
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Barneys New York, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Barratts Trading Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Bathstore.com Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Ben Sherman
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Benetton Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • BG Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Bhs Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Blacks Outdoor Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Blockbuster Entertainment Ltd (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Bloomingdale's
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Boohoo.com plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • British Airways Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • British Retail Consortium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • C&J Clark Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Cantor Fitzgerald L.P.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Carpetright Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Carpetright UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Carriage House Companies Inc., The
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Cath Kidston Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • CBRE | Melody
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Clinton Cards Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Co-operative Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Credit Suisse Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Deutsche Bank AG
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Deutsche Bundesbank
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Dixons
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Dixons Retail Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Dobbies Garden Centres plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Dorothy Perkins old
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • EH Booth & Co Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Ernest Jones Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Feather And Black Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • French Connection (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Fresh & Easy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Giorgio Armani S.p.A.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Graham Tiso Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • H Samuel Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Hackett Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Hitachi Capital (UK) PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • HMV Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Hotel Chocolat Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • House of Fraser Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Hugo Boss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • J. Sainsbury
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Jane Asher Party Cakes & Sugarcraft
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • JD Sports Fashion plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • John Lewis Partnership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • John Lewis Plc (department store)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • JPMorgan Invest LLC (BrownCo)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Kantar Media
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Karen Millen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Kingfisher Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Kingfisher UK & Ireland
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Lidl (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Little Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Macy's, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Majestic Wine Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Maplin Electronics Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Marks & Spencer (UK food)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Marks & Spencer (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Matalan Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Microsoft Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Millets Farm Garden Centre Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Miss Selfridge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Morrisons M Local
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Mothercare Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Mulberry Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • My-Wardrobe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Nectar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Network Rail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • New Look Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Notcutts Nurseries Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Oasis Fashions Ltd - UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Ocado
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Ocado Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Office for National Statistics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Optical Express - UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Peacock Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Peacocks
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Pioneer Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Pottery Barn
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Poundland Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Poundstretcher Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Primark Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Puig Beauty & Fashion Group, S.L.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Screwfix UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Shop Direct Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Signet Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Sony Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Starbucks Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • SuperGroup Plc (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Ted Baker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Tesco (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • The Carphone Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • The Edinburgh Woollen Mill Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • The Edinburgh Woollen Mill Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • The TJX Companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Tie Rack
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • TJX International (TK Maxx Europe)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Topps Tiles (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Topshop old
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Twitter, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UBS Financial Services Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Underground England
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UniEuro
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Urban Outfitters
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Westfield Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • WH Smith PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Williams-Sonoma, Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Wm Morrison Supermarkets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • ZEUS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            UK Retail Briefing - December 2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            £295.00 (Excl.Tax)