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UK Retail Briefing - February 2014

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month’s focus is on the clothing and footwear retail sector.

This sector focus includes:

  • Consumers' Christmas clothes shopping habits as well as extracts from Mintel’s exclusive monthly Consumer Tracker survey on spending habits, January 2014.
  • The impact of inflation, January 2013-December 2013
  • Market share of the major clothing retailers.
  • Comparison of major clothing retailers Christmas performance.

We also include Analyst's Comments on the dynamic’s between online and offline retailing, a review of UK retail sales performance, and monthly headlines and retail news analysis for the UK.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • Online vs Stores
      • The dynamics of retailing
        • Stores
          • Store sales – prospects
              • Figure 1: Online and store sales of multi-channel retailers, 2012-18
            • Historical perspective
              • An artificial distinction
              • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                • Key points
                  • Retail sales trends
                    • Figure 2: Retail sales trends, 2013-14
                  • BRC data for January
                    • Figure 3: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2012-14
                  • John Lewis
                    • Figure 4: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2012-13
                  • Inflation and wages
                    • Figure 5: The income squeeze: Wages growth vs inflation, 2008-14
                  • Inflation
                    • Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2013-14
                  • Looking forward
                  • Sector Focus – Clothing and Footwear

                      • Key points
                        • Mintel’s Tracker: Demand for personal adornment falling
                          • Figure 7: The consumer: Proportion agreeing that spare money is spent on jewellery/clothing/personal items, February 2013-January 2014
                          • Figure 8: The consumer: Proportion agreeing that spare money is spent on jewellery/clothing/personal items, by selected age group, February 2013, July 2013 and January 2014
                          • Figure 9: The consumer: Proportion agreeing that spare money is spent on jewellery/clothing/personal items, by region, February 2013, July 2013 and January 2014
                        • Clothing inflation prompts strong spending in 2013
                          • Figure 10: Consumer spending (incl. VAT), 2009-14
                          • Figure 11: Consumer prices index: Annual % change, selected categories, January-December 2013
                        • M&S’s market leadership under threat
                          • Figure 12: Market shares: The ten biggest clothing retailers, 2012
                          • Figure 13: Projected revenues based on estimated 2013 sales growth: Marks & Spencer and Next, 2012-16
                        • Christmas 2013
                            • Figure 14: Major clothing retailers’ trading performance, Christmas 2013
                        • Headlines for the Month

                          • Food retailers
                            • Specialist food retailers
                              • Off-licences
                                • Clothing retailing
                                  • Footwear retailing
                                    • Department stores
                                      • DIY retailing
                                        • Electrical retailing
                                          • Furniture retailing
                                            • Home shopping
                                              • Health and beauty retailing
                                                • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                  • Economy
                                                  • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                                    • Bakers
                                                      • Greggs cuts staff after sales growth
                                                        • Co-ops
                                                          • Co-op
                                                            • …begins flash sale of food essentials
                                                              • …launches 2014 saving stamps campaign
                                                                • Convenience stores
                                                                  • McColl’s
                                                                    • …reports strong Christmas sales
                                                                      • …flotation confirmed
                                                                        • One Stop completes refurbishment of Alfred Jones
                                                                          • Grocers
                                                                            • Asda
                                                                              • …accused of raising prices before January rollback
                                                                                • …believed to be lining up bid for Early Learning Centre
                                                                                  • …to push George brand into homewares
                                                                                    • Fortnum & Mason reports strong festive sales
                                                                                      • Lidl
                                                                                        • …looking for new, larger UK headquarters
                                                                                          • …trialling self-checkouts in the UK
                                                                                            • Morrisons
                                                                                              • …online executive quits after weeks in the role
                                                                                                • …treasurer arrested for insider deal
                                                                                                  • Sainsbury’s announces departure of CEO
                                                                                                    • Tesco
                                                                                                      • …and Waitrose to open tube station collection points
                                                                                                        • …reportedly sizes up bid for Mothercare
                                                                                                          • Specialist food retailers
                                                                                                            • Thorntons posts Q2 sales rise
                                                                                                              • Hotel Chocolat revives stake sale process
                                                                                                                • Off-licences
                                                                                                                  • Conviviality Retail first half like-for-likes up
                                                                                                                  • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                                                      • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                                        • Blue Inc
                                                                                                                          • …Christmas sales rise
                                                                                                                            • …considering flotation on stock market
                                                                                                                              • Bonmarche posts positive like-for-likes
                                                                                                                                • Burberry
                                                                                                                                  • …appoints BSkyB CEO as Non-executive Director
                                                                                                                                    • …Christmas sales driven by online
                                                                                                                                      • Fat Face
                                                                                                                                        • …positive after Christmas trading
                                                                                                                                          • …preparing for stock market flotation
                                                                                                                                            • H&M produces flat revenues
                                                                                                                                              • Jaeger reports Christmas sales jump
                                                                                                                                                • Karen Millen like-for-likes rise over Christmas
                                                                                                                                                  • Laura Ashley pays shareholder dividend
                                                                                                                                                    • Matalan sales up as EBITDA falls
                                                                                                                                                      • Monsoon Accessorize posts pre-tax profit for 2013
                                                                                                                                                        • Moss Bros set to beat profit forecast
                                                                                                                                                          • Primark Christmas sales up 12%
                                                                                                                                                            • Reiss produces turnaround Christmas figures
                                                                                                                                                              • SuperGroup announces sales are on “on track”
                                                                                                                                                                • Topshop to launch stores in New York
                                                                                                                                                                  • White Stuff enjoys successful Christmas
                                                                                                                                                                    • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                                                      • Shoe Zone claims value retailers can profit online
                                                                                                                                                                        • Electra to buy shoe chain Hotter
                                                                                                                                                                          • Mixed goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                            • KPMG resigned as Poundworld auditor due to "misleading" results
                                                                                                                                                                              • Poundworld to partner etailer Poundshop.com
                                                                                                                                                                                • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                    • …to encourage app downloads with in-store NFC
                                                                                                                                                                                      • …and Homebase put pressure on suppliers
                                                                                                                                                                                        • Home Retail Group
                                                                                                                                                                                          • …releases Interim Management Statement
                                                                                                                                                                                            • …reportedly to name Walden as new CEO
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                • …hires Inditex employees to boost overseas trade
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …prepares for Australian launch
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • House of Fraser
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …pushing for listing
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …to roll out queue-beating technology
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …sees strong Christmas and New Year sales growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …to sponsor Commonwealth Games
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …bans angora wool
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …reports strong weekly sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …sees full year sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Selfridges Christmas sales soar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • B&Q hires former Matalan boss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Topps Tiles opens boutique store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • BC considers potential float of Phones4U
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Carphone Warehouse like-for-likes climb over Christmas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Dixons reports on “lively” Christmas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Music and video goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Game
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …sees like-for-likes rocket at Christmas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …enter courtroom battle with UK’s largest landlord consortium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • HMV closes Oxford Street flagship
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Carpetright issues profit warning
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • United Carpets and Floors 2 Go change prices after OFT probe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • DFS and B&M advance flotation plans
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Endless plots sale of Bathstore
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • IKEA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …announces sales growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …sales surge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Able & Cole sees sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Amazon to deliver on Sundays
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Ao.com
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …announces flotation plans
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …seeks £1.2 billion IPO valuation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Asos sees Christmas sales surge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Findel to deliver “strong profit growth”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • MandM Direct experiences late sales surge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Mothercare signs up to eBay partnership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • My-Wardrobe hires new recruits as part of turnaround programme.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • N Brown sees revenues rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Ocado
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …post pre-tax loss for 2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …sales rise over the fourth-quarter
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sales growth slows for Amazon UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Shop Direct posts Christmas sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Superdrug
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …considers UK headquarters to support London IPO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …sees rise in like-for-likes over Christmas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Perfume Shop announces strong Christmas trading
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Foyles like-for-likes edge up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Waterstones reduces full-year losses
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • WHSmith
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …extends contract with distribution company
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …like-for-likes down but profit solid
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Adidas to open digital store in Bluewater
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • JD Sports
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …records improvement in like-for-likes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …to launch value chain Open
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Sports Direct
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …acquires stake in Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …and Debenhams meet to explore option
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …stake in Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Garden centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • L-Gam acquires Jardiland
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Toys and games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Mothercare in talks to sell Early Learning Centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Miscellaneous specialist retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Albemarle & Bond calls off sale
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Alfred Dunhill owner forced to inject cash into business
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Halfords sales up 7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • BRC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …sales monitor shows "respectable" Christmas trading
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …key export markets show huge growth in UK retailer searches
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …UK retailers cut prices for ninth consecutive month
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • ONS confirms strong retail growth in December
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Shop vacancies at lowest level for four years
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • The City gives green light to retailer IPO’s

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            UK Retail Briefing - February 2014

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