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UK Retail Briefing - January 2011

UK Retail Briefing is a monthly briefing providing news and analysis that includes company results, store openings, cross-border moves, M & A activities, executive changes and property developments. Additionally each month, UK Retail Briefing focuses on a key issue or specific UK retail sector: this month, the focus falls on clothing and footwear retailers .

The month's retail news is then analysed sector by sector, making this an invaluable resource for all with an interest in the UK retail industry.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • Christmas 2010
      • Big retailers, big centres fared better
        • 2011
          • When is a price war not a price war?
            • When it’s a marketing gimmick
              • Onus of proof
                • Could a price war work?
                  • The cynical view
                    • A bankrupt idea
                    • Headlines for the Month

                      • Food retailers
                        • Off licences
                          • Clothing retailers
                            • Footwear retailers
                              • Multi-sector retailing
                                • Department stores
                                  • DIY stores
                                    • Electricals
                                      • Furniture retailers
                                        • Health and beauty
                                          • Books and stationery
                                            • Sports and leisure goods
                                            • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                                                • Retail sales trends
                                                  • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2009-10
                                                • BRC and Christmas trade
                                                  • Figure 2: Trading statements for Christmas 2010
                                                  • Figure 3: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2009-10
                                                • John Lewis
                                                  • Figure 4: John Lewis: year-on-year growth, 2009-10
                                                • Inflation and wages
                                                  • Figure 5: RPI vs average weekly earnings growth, 2008-10
                                                • Inflation remains uncomfortably high
                                                  • Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for selected product groups, 2009-10
                                                • Looking forward
                                                  • The pattern of retail sales growth in early 2011
                                                  • Sector Focus – Clothing and Footwear Retailers

                                                      • Consumer expenditure
                                                        • Figure 7: Consumer expenditure on selected product categories, 2000-09
                                                      • Sales trends
                                                        • Figure 8: Clothing and footwear specialist retailers, sales trends, 2000-2010 (Q1-3)
                                                      • Inflation set to return
                                                          • Figure 9: Deflation in clothing and footwear, 1999-2010 (Q1-3)
                                                        • Sharp falls
                                                          • Figure 10: Clothing and footwear specialists’ sales as % of all retail sales, 2001-10 (e)
                                                        • Subsectors
                                                            • Figure 11: Breakdown of clothing and footwear retailers’ value sales, by sub-sector, 2000-10
                                                          • Retail price inflation
                                                            • Figure 12: Indices of retail prices for key product categories, 2000-10
                                                          • Clothing sector
                                                              • Figure 13: Clothing specialists: leading clothing retailers’ sales, 2009/10
                                                            • Footwear
                                                                • Figure 14: Footwear specialists: leading footwear retailers’ sales, 2009/10
                                                            • News Analysis

                                                              • Grocers
                                                                • Asda
                                                                  • …chairman steps down
                                                                    • …reports "good" Christmas performance
                                                                      • …vows to be 10% cheaper than its rivals
                                                                        • Co-op raises store opening drive
                                                                          • Iceland Foods could be target for Middle East consortium
                                                                            • Morrisons sees like-for-likes up 1%
                                                                              • Nisa reports strong Christmas trading figures
                                                                                • Tesco
                                                                                  • …launches online 'Boxing Day' sale
                                                                                    • …names new UK board
                                                                                      • …fascia One Stop acquires 77 stores from Mills
                                                                                        • Tesco, Morrisons and Sainsbury's kick off price cuts
                                                                                          • Waitrose
                                                                                            • …sees most successful Christmas on record
                                                                                              • …to open 39 new stores
                                                                                                • …weekly sales rise 8.7%
                                                                                                  • Off-licences
                                                                                                    • Majestic Wine reports strong Christmas performance
                                                                                                      • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                        • Agent Provocateur to report profit growth
                                                                                                          • Alexon sales fall won't affect long-term plans
                                                                                                            • H&M sees sales rise after Lanvin success
                                                                                                              • LVMH increases Hermes stake to 20%
                                                                                                                • Next sees £22 million in lost sales due to bad weather
                                                                                                                  • Paul Smith sees profits rise
                                                                                                                    • PPR ends Burberry speculation
                                                                                                                      • Reiss' recession initiative increases EBITDA
                                                                                                                        • Republic gains Andy Bond as new chairman
                                                                                                                          • SuperGroup
                                                                                                                            • …first half pre-tax profit up 86%
                                                                                                                              • …shares dive
                                                                                                                                • Topshop plans to 'double' sales
                                                                                                                                  • Zara owner sees sales grow by 14%
                                                                                                                                    • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                      • Barratts Priceless posts £6.1 million profit
                                                                                                                                        • Office bought by Silverfleet
                                                                                                                                          • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                            • Mothercare issues profit warning
                                                                                                                                              • M&S
                                                                                                                                                • …chairman Sir Stuart Rose steps down
                                                                                                                                                  • …considers bank opening in 55 stores
                                                                                                                                                    • …posts 2.8% Christmas like-for-like rise
                                                                                                                                                      • …to open first store in Egypt and third in China
                                                                                                                                                        • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                          • Debenhams like-for-likes slow
                                                                                                                                                            • Harvey Nichols reports record Sale
                                                                                                                                                              • House of Fraser sees strong Christmas trading
                                                                                                                                                                • John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                  • …clearance is sales record
                                                                                                                                                                    • …invests record £250m
                                                                                                                                                                      • …mid-week sales up 12%
                                                                                                                                                                        • …Partnership sees record week of sales
                                                                                                                                                                          • …sales exceed £120m
                                                                                                                                                                            • …sees continuing strong trade
                                                                                                                                                                              • …total sales up 8.9%
                                                                                                                                                                                • Laura Ashley store streamlining improves profitability
                                                                                                                                                                                  • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Topps Tiles' Christmas sales up
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Travis Perkins sees sales improve
                                                                                                                                                                                        • Wickes
                                                                                                                                                                                          • …sees sales growth as shoppers buy ahead of VAT rise
                                                                                                                                                                                            • …signs POS finance deal
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Best Buy sales up 2% in third quarter
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Dixons launches new Black format
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Jessops on track to make EBITDA profit
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Phones4U sale falls through
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Carpetright profits fall
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Dunelm Christmas like-for-likes fall
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • United Carpets posts "solid" performance
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Ocado ends year with strong Christmas trading sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Shop Direct
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …Christmas sales up 5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …to launch new brand targeting mature market
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Boots to expand drive-through pharmacy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Lush Christmas sales up 6.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • The Body Shop seeks growth in India
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Clinton Cards warns on profits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • HMV to shut 60 stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • WH Smith lose group marketing director Richard Cristofoli to Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Europe: Nike sales in Western Europe drop 7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Blacks Leisure Group sees good December
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • JD Sports reports strong Christmas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sports Direct sees profits rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Jewellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Theo Fennell warns on profits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Toys and games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Games Workshop warns on conditions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Europe: European consumer confidence relapses as trade deficit grows
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Europe: VAT rise lowers consumer confidence
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • 2011 VAT rise by country:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • BRC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …reports retail sector like-for-likes fell 0.3% in December
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …warns on Boxing Day tube strike disruption
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • John Lewis, M&S and Tesco among those holding off VAT rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Localism Bill is "body blow" for retailers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK retail sales up 0.3% in November
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • West End Christmas sales up on last year

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Acer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Agent Provocateur Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Alexander McQueen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Alexon Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Alliance Boots
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Alliance Boots UK Retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Arcadia Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Asda Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • B&Q Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Barratts Trading Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Baugur
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • BC Partners Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Bershka France
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Best Buy Europe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Biba
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Birthdays Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Blacks Outdoor Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Bridgepoint Capital
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • British Retail Consortium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Burberry Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Cadbury Schweppes Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Carpetright UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Chausport
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Christian Dior
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Clinton Cards Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Co-operative Bank
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Co-operative Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Conforama
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Currys
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Debenhams Total
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Dixons Retail Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Dolce & Gabbana
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Dunelm Group plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • European Consumers’ Organisation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Games Workshop Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Gfk NOP
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Givenchy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Google, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Greggs Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Grupo Inditex
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Gucci Group N.V.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • H&M Hennes & Mauritz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Harvey Nichols UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Hermes (GB) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Hitachi Capital (UK) PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • HJ Heinz Company UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • HMV Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • House of Fraser Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • HSBC Holdings plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Iceland Foods Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Investec
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • J Sainsbury
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • JD Sports Fashion plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • John Lewis Partnership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • John Lewis Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Jongleurs Comedy Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Kantar Media
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Kellogg Company of GB Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Landsbanki Islands Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Laura Ashley Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Lloyds Banking Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • London Stock Exchange plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Lush Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Magasin du Nord
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Majestic Wine Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Marks & Spencer Financial Services plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • McDonald's Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Microsoft Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Mills Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Molton Brown
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Mothercare Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • National Football League Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Next Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Nike
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Nisa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Ocado
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Ocado Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Office for National Statistics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Office Holdings Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • One Stop
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Paul Smith Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • PC World (DSG UK Computing)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Phones 4U Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Pied a Terre Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • PPR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • PriceLess
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Quiksilver, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Reiss Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Republic
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Samsung Electronics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Shop Direct Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Somerfield
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Spar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Sports Direct international
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Stella McCartney
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • SuperGroup Plc (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • The Big Food Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • The Body Shop
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • The British Land Company Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • The Jessops Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Theo Fennell Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Topps Tiles Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Topshop
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Travis Perkins PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Travis Perkins Retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Unilever Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • United Carpets Group plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Waitrose Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Walkers Snack Foods Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Walmart Stores (USA)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Waterstones Booksellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • West Coast Capital
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • WH Smith PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Wm Morrison Supermarkets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Yves Saint Laurent

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                UK Retail Briefing - January 2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                £295.00 (Excl.Tax)