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UK Retail Briefing - July 2010

Fashion retailers all too often behave like sheep. They crowd into the area which seems to be doing best.

In the early 1990s when M&S the top performer there was a concentration in the middle ground. Over the last few years it has been price led retailers and young fashion chains that have made all the running. So the role models at present are Primark (which no-one has succeeded in copying), Peacocks, Matalan, young fashion chains such as Topshop, New Look and River Island and young fashion brands such as Ted Baker and Superdry.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • Herd instinct
      • Hardly surprising
        • Not a recipe to print money
          • Consumers will be looking for quality and value for money
            • Overcrowding ends in tears
            • Headlines for the Month

              • Food retailers
                • Clothing retailers
                  • Footwear retailers
                    • Mixed goods
                      • DIY
                        • Music & video
                          • Electricals
                            • Home shopping
                              • Health and beauty
                                • Miscellaneous
                                • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                                    • Retail sales trends
                                      • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2009-10
                                    • BRC and ONS out of line – again
                                      • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2009-10
                                    • John Lewis
                                        • Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2009-10
                                      • Inflation and wages
                                        • Figure 4: RPI vs Wage rate growth, 2008-10
                                      • The RPI eases back
                                        • Figure 5: Annual percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for selected product groups, 2009-10
                                      • Looking forward
                                      • Sector Focus – Clothing and Footwear Retailers

                                          • Sales trends
                                            • Figure 6: Clothing and footwear specialist retailers, sales trends, 2000-10 (May)
                                          • Deflation
                                            • Figure 7: Deflation in clothing and footwear, 1999-2010
                                          • Sharp falls
                                            • Figure 8: Clothing and footwear retailers as % of all retail sales, 1999-2009
                                          • Subsectors
                                              • Figure 9: Breakdown of clothing and footwear retailers’ sales by sub-sector, 2000-10 (i-V)
                                            • Retail price inflation
                                              • Figure 10: Indices of retail prices for key product categories, 2000-10
                                            • Consumer expenditure
                                              • Figure 11: Consumer expenditure on selected product categories, 2000-09
                                            • Clothing sector
                                              • Figure 12: Clothing specialists: Leading retailers’ share of clothing retailers’ sales, 2008/09-2009/10
                                            • Footwear
                                              • Figure 13: Footwear specialists: Leading retailers’ share of footwear retailers’ sales, 2008
                                          • News Analysis

                                            • Grocers
                                              • Ireland: Musgrave sales down 3%
                                                • Asda grocery share declines
                                                  • Buffett increases Tesco stake
                                                    • Retailers must re-evaluate, Asda chairman says
                                                      • Sainsbury's
                                                        • …reports sales increase
                                                          • …launches new ad campaign
                                                            • …aims for schoolwear boost
                                                              • …reshuffles executive roles
                                                                • Tesco
                                                                  • …quarterly sales up 6.9%
                                                                    • …plans property sell-off
                                                                      • …raises £950m through store sale
                                                                        • …to open standalone London clothing store
                                                                          • …to purchase Fresh & Easy suppliers
                                                                            • Waitrose
                                                                              • …buys Channel Island supermarkets
                                                                                • …ends EAT talks
                                                                                  • Clothing retailing
                                                                                    • Alexon sales down 5%
                                                                                      • H&M records soaring profits in Q2
                                                                                        • Jacques Vert posts ‘strong set of results’
                                                                                          • Mamas & Papas enters US with Toys R Us link-up
                                                                                            • Matalan posts rise in profits
                                                                                              • Primark sales rise 17%
                                                                                                • Republic acquired by private equity group
                                                                                                  • Ted Baker posts 20% sales increase
                                                                                                    • USC back in the black
                                                                                                      • Victoria’s Secret to open London store
                                                                                                        • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                          • Schuh posts record results
                                                                                                            • Tom Hunter puts Office up for sale
                                                                                                              • Mixed goods retailing
                                                                                                                • Wilkinson doubles profits
                                                                                                                  • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                    • M&S LFLs increase 6%
                                                                                                                      • Department stores
                                                                                                                        • Beales reports improved profits
                                                                                                                          • Debenhams LFLs drop 0.4%
                                                                                                                            • Harrods to open own-label boutiques
                                                                                                                              • John Lewis reports sales increase
                                                                                                                                • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                  • B&Q to open city centre stores
                                                                                                                                    • Travis Perkins buys BSS Group for £557.6m
                                                                                                                                      • Music and DVD retailing
                                                                                                                                        • HMV
                                                                                                                                          • …mulls Waterstones sale
                                                                                                                                            • …posts 17% rise in profits
                                                                                                                                              • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                • Best Buy UK chief stands down
                                                                                                                                                  • Comet plans UK store refurbishment
                                                                                                                                                    • DSGi increases profits by 61%
                                                                                                                                                      • Investor buys stake in Kesa
                                                                                                                                                        • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                          • Carpetright reports soaring profits
                                                                                                                                                            • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                              • Amazon launches UK grocery offer
                                                                                                                                                                • Ideal Shopping
                                                                                                                                                                  • …enjoys sales boost
                                                                                                                                                                    • …to enter pet accessory market
                                                                                                                                                                      • Isis invests in Getting Personal
                                                                                                                                                                        • My-Wardrobe receives £6m investment
                                                                                                                                                                          • N Brown Group
                                                                                                                                                                            • …buys Figleaves
                                                                                                                                                                              • …reports 'subdued' trading
                                                                                                                                                                                • Ocado
                                                                                                                                                                                  • …confirms IPO
                                                                                                                                                                                    • …anticipates £1.18bn IPO valuation
                                                                                                                                                                                      • …hits out at funding claims
                                                                                                                                                                                        • The Hut Group launches Washbag.com
                                                                                                                                                                                          • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                            • Superdrug losses narrow
                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Fragrance Shop posts LFLs increase
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Books and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Clinton Cards issues profit warning
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • JJB reports sales improvement
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Tiso back in the black
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Trespass plans major expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Jewellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Theo Fennell reduces losses
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Toys and games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Hamleys posts first profit for six years
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Video games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Game Group suffers sales drop, appoints new chief
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Miscellaneous specialist retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Pets at Home profits soar 36%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Luxury goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Mulberry sales up 23%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • CBI: Retail sales decline ‘lower than expected’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Consumer confidence declines in June
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Online sales up 22% in May
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Retail rents stagnate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Scottish retail LFLs decline in May
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK retail sales improve in May, says ONS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • VAT to rise to 20% in January

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              UK Retail Briefing - July 2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              US $391.67 (Excl.Tax)