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UK Retail Briefing - July 2014

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or area of the market. This month we look at fuel retailers in the UK.
This retail review looks at:

  • retail sales of fuel, including forecasts
  • volume sales
  • inflation
  • trends in the number of forecourts
  • number of sites operated by the leading fuel retailers

We also include an Analyst's Comment looking at the future of book selling.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • Time to recognise commercial realities
      • Amazon in the spotlight
        • What has really been happening in the book market?
          • Retailing is consumer led
            • Never underestimate the importance of convenience in retailing
              • We’ve been here before
              • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                • Key points
                  • Retail sales trends
                    • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2013-14
                  • BRC data for May
                    • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2013-14
                  • John Lewis
                    • Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2013-14
                  • Inflation and wages
                    • Figure 4: The income squeeze: Wages growth vs inflation, 2008-14
                  • Inflation
                    • Figure 5: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2013-14
                  • Looking forward
                  • Sector Review – Automotive Fuel Retailing

                      • Executive summary
                        • Deflation prompts further value declines
                          • Figure 6: Retail sales (including VAT/duties), 2009-14
                          • Figure 7: Retail sales forecasts (including VAT/duties), 2014-19
                        • Volume declines ease
                            • Figure 8: Inflation-adjusted annual growth in automotive fuel sales, 2009-14
                          • As deflation deepens
                            • Figure 9: Consumer prices inflation in automotive fuel, 2009-14
                          • Number of forecourts declining
                              • Figure 10: Number of petrol forecourts, 2013
                              • Figure 11: Leading fuel companies’ forecourt numbers, 2012 and 2013
                              • Figure 12: Number of forecourts operated by superstores, by retailer, 2013
                          • Headlines for the Month

                            • Grocers
                              • Clothing retailing
                                • Multi-sector retailing
                                  • Department stores
                                    • Electrical retailing
                                      • Music and video goods retailing
                                        • Home shopping
                                          • Miscellaneous specialist retailing
                                            • Economy
                                            • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                              • Bakers
                                                • Greggs sales grow 3.1% in first half
                                                  • Convenience stores
                                                    • Nisa relaunches own-brand range
                                                      • Grocers
                                                        • Aldi to double UK store numbers
                                                          • Asda announces ‘radical’ restructuring process
                                                            • Iceland sales grow 2.7%
                                                              • Lidl to open 20 new UK stores in the next nine months
                                                                • Morrisons
                                                                  • …close to selling Kiddicare
                                                                    • …expands online grocery delivery service coverage
                                                                      • …launches new café format
                                                                        • …steps up grocery price war
                                                                          • …stops accepting £2 coins
                                                                            • Netto to return to the UK
                                                                              • Ocado revenues rise 20.7% in the first half
                                                                                • Sainsbury’s
                                                                                  • …chief executive Justin King steps down
                                                                                    • …like-for-like sales down 1.1% in Q1
                                                                                      • Tesco
                                                                                        • …debuts first current account
                                                                                          • …credit rating downgraded by Moody’s
                                                                                            • …teams up with SORTEDfood
                                                                                              • …to launch My Fit Lifestyle
                                                                                                • Waitrose to launch first in-station store
                                                                                                  • Other food specialists
                                                                                                    • Whole Foods sales rise but losses widen
                                                                                                      • Off-licences
                                                                                                        • Majestic Wine sales rise 1.4%
                                                                                                          • Market share UK
                                                                                                            • Tesco and Morrisons suffer market share loss
                                                                                                            • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                                              • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                                • Blue Inc opts out of IPO
                                                                                                                  • Bonmarché sales jump 11.9%
                                                                                                                    • Burberry defends CEO bonus
                                                                                                                      • Fat Face sales grow 12%
                                                                                                                        • Jane Norman enters administration once again
                                                                                                                          • Lakeland Leather enters administration
                                                                                                                            • La Senza enters administration
                                                                                                                              • Michael Kors to open Regent Street flagship
                                                                                                                                • Mulberry like-for-like retail sales slide 3%
                                                                                                                                  • Phase Eight
                                                                                                                                    • …owner looks to sell
                                                                                                                                      • …post record annual results
                                                                                                                                        • Primark sales soar 22% in Q3
                                                                                                                                          • SuperGroup sales grow 19.6%
                                                                                                                                            • Ted Baker sales rise 17.9% in Q1
                                                                                                                                              • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                                • Shoe Zone sales tumble 16.1% in first half
                                                                                                                                                  • Mixed goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                    • 99p Stores launches new Plus format
                                                                                                                                                      • Argos
                                                                                                                                                        • …extends eBay click-and-collect partnership
                                                                                                                                                          • …facing strikes across its distribution centres
                                                                                                                                                            • …launches new homeware and furniture brand
                                                                                                                                                              • B&M Bargains valued at £2.7bn
                                                                                                                                                                • Home Retail report an ‘encouraging start to the year’
                                                                                                                                                                  • Poundland sales rocket 18% in Q1
                                                                                                                                                                    • Poundworld sales grow 18%
                                                                                                                                                                      • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                        • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                          • … to reshuffle its board
                                                                                                                                                                            • …sales grow 2.3% in Q1
                                                                                                                                                                              • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                                • Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                                                  • …like-for-like sales fall 1% in Q3
                                                                                                                                                                                    • …to hire former New Look finance director
                                                                                                                                                                                      • House of Fraser Q1 2014 like-for-like sales up 2%
                                                                                                                                                                                        • John Lewis brings Italian flavour to Oxford Street
                                                                                                                                                                                          • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                            • Homebase handing over another of its stores to The Range
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Topps Tiles
                                                                                                                                                                                                • …like-for-likes rise 6.3% in Q3
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …secures £50m for expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Brighthouse sales grow 12.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Carphone Warehouse full-year total sales down
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Comet staff win multi-million pound settlement
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Dixons’ full-year sales and profit up
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Maplin
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …ramps up online offering
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …sold for £85m
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Music and video goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • HMV
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …like-for-like sales grow 9.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …like-for-like sales rise 9.2% in Q2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Rough Trade to open first new UK store in seven years
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Carpetright sales fall 2.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • DFS sales jump 5.9% in Q3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Dunelm sales jump 7.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • The Range to open its 89th store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …to introduce lockers on London Underground
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …signs up to Doddle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • ASOS suffers warehouse fire
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Boohoo.com sales soar 63%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • M&M Direct sold for £140m
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • MySale suffers technical hitch on AIM debut
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • N Brown sales rise 2.6% in Q1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Net-A-Porter to unveil 'Net-A-Sporter'
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • QVC launches new channel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Shop Direct hires first fashion director
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Superdrug sales drop 1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • The Fragrance Shop sales rise 11.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • The Works like-for-like sales grow 7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • WH Smith like-for-like sales fall 2% in Q3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • JD Sports
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …‘pleased’ with first quarter
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …to launch Open in September
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Sports Direct
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …acquires 4.8% stake in MySale
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …quashes speculation that it is looking to acquire Office
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …shareholders green light new share scheme
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Miscellaneous specialist retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Bathstore sold in a management buyout
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Doddle, a new click and collect business, announced
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Halfords sales accelerate 7.9% in Q1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Hobbycraft's new small store format
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Ladbrokes unveils new store concept
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Mamas & Papas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …in talks with Liberty owners
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …acquired by BlueGem
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Mothercare
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …appoints new chief executive
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …puts 500 jobs at risk
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …rejects takeover bids
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Pets at Home like-for-like sales rise 2.4%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Footfall declines 0.2% in May
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Retail sales grow 3.9% in May
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Retail sales rise 2% in May
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Shop prices hit record low

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • 99p Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Aldi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Amazon.co.uk
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Amazon.com Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Asda Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • ASOS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Associated British Foods Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • B&M Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Barclays Capital
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Bathstore.com Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Bestseller
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Bonmarché
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Boux Avenue
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Brighthouse
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • British Retail Consortium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Burberry Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Carpetright Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Comet Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Debenhams UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • DFS Furniture Holdings Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Dixons Retail Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Dunelm (Soft Furnishings) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Fat Face Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Freeview
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Grant Thornton [UK]
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Greggs Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Grupo Santander UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • H&M Hennes & Mauritz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Halfords Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • HMV Media Group (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • HMV Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • HobbyCraft Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Home Retail Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Homebase Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • House of Fraser Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • HSBC Investments (UK) Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Iceland Foods Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • J. Sainsbury
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Jane Norman Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • JD Sports Fashion plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • John Lewis Partnership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • K-Extra
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Kiddicare
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • La Senza Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Ladbrokes Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Lidl (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Little Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Majestic Wine Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Mamas & Papas Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Maplin Electronics Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Montagu Private Equity Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Mothercare Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Mulberry Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • N Brown Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Net-A-Porter Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • New Look Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Next Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Nisa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Ocado
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Office for National Statistics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Office Holdings Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Pets at Home Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Phase Eight Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Poundland Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Poundworld Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • PricewaterhouseCoopers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Primark Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Primark/Penneys
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • QVC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Rutland Fund Management Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sainsbury's Local
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Samsung Electronics (UK) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Schwarz Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Shoe Zone Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Shop Direct Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sports Direct Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Superdrug Stores Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • SuperGroup Plc (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • T.M.LEWIN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Ted Baker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Tesco (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Tesco Personal Finance Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Big Food Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Carphone Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Edinburgh Woollen Mill Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Fragrance Shop
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Range
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Works Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Topps Tiles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Topps Tiles Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Travelex
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • WH Smith PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Whole Foods Market (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Wm Morrison Supermarkets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • YouTube, Inc.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  UK Retail Briefing - July 2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  £295.00 (Excl.Tax)