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UK Retail Briefing - July 2015

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • Sunday trading
      • Budget changes
        • Introduction of changes
          • Other objectors
            • Food retailing in a free Sunday trading environment
              • Time to change the law
              • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                • Key points
                  • Retail sales trends
                    • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2014-15
                    • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2014-15
                  • John Lewis
                    • Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-Year Growth, 2014-15
                  • Inflation and wages
                    • Figure 4: The income squeeze: Wages growth vs inflation, 2010-15
                  • Inflation
                    • Figure 5: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2014-15
                  • Looking forward
                  • Sector Focus – Electrical Goods Retailing

                      • What you need to know
                        • Recovering from Black Friday
                          • Figure 6: Spending on electrical / electronic goods, 2014
                          • Figure 7: Year-on-year growth in spending on electrical goods, 2010-Q1 2015
                        • Q1 2015
                          • Specialists’ sales
                              • Figure 8: Retail sales (including VAT), 2010-15
                            • Dixons Carphone – The first full year results
                              • Market shares
                                • Figure 9: Leading specialists and non-specialists share of all spending on electricals, 2013-14
                              • Prospects
                                • Figure 10: Electricals spending plans, May 2015
                            • Headlines for the Month

                              • Convenience stores
                                • Grocers
                                  • Other food and drink specialists
                                    • Clothing and footwear retailing
                                      • Department stores
                                        • DIY retailing
                                          • Garden centre retailing
                                            • Home shopping
                                              • Health and beauty retailing
                                                • Entertainment retailing
                                                • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                                  • Convenience stores
                                                    • UK: Booker Group
                                                      • …appoints new chairman
                                                        • …makes ‘good progress’ in the first quarter
                                                          • UK: Convenience stores invest £177m over last three months, shows report
                                                            • UK: Nisa
                                                              • …posts £3m operating loss
                                                                • …Store of the Future 2 concept proves popular
                                                                  • UK: Spar kicks off summer campaign
                                                                    • Grocers
                                                                      • UK: Asda poised to win back customers at Christmas
                                                                        • UK: Iceland sales fall 0.5% in 2014
                                                                          • UK: Lidl
                                                                            • …launches £20m marketing drive
                                                                              • …mulls online wine store
                                                                                • UK: Mid-counties Co-operative enlists first non-food concessions
                                                                                  • UK: Morrisons sees the largest sales increase again
                                                                                    • UK: Ocado
                                                                                      • …announces humanlike robots
                                                                                        • …closing in on international deal
                                                                                          • …half year revenue increases 18.2%
                                                                                            • UK: Sainsbury’s
                                                                                              • …like-for-likes fall 2.1%
                                                                                                • …makes board changes
                                                                                                  • UK: Tesco Q1 like-for-like sales improvement
                                                                                                    • UK: The Co-operative Group
                                                                                                      • …appoints new board members
                                                                                                        • …focuses on London expansion
                                                                                                          • …invests £125m in price cuts
                                                                                                            • Other food and drink specialists
                                                                                                              • UK: Conviviality Retail in talks to buy drinks supplier
                                                                                                                • UK: Ferrero makes offer for Thorntons
                                                                                                                  • UK: Holland & Barrett
                                                                                                                    • …enjoys 5.5% sales increase
                                                                                                                      • …hosts vegan cafe concession
                                                                                                                        • UK: Majestic Wine sales grow but profits fall
                                                                                                                        • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                                                          • Clothing and footwear retailing
                                                                                                                            • UK: Asos posts 20% sales rise
                                                                                                                              • UK: Bon Marché like-for-like sales increase 4.0%
                                                                                                                                • UK: Clarks
                                                                                                                                  • …installs Wifi to all stores
                                                                                                                                    • …suffers a ‘challenging’ year
                                                                                                                                      • UK: East embarks on store closures
                                                                                                                                        • UK: Fat Face plans US expansion
                                                                                                                                          • UK: H&M experiments with East London pop-up
                                                                                                                                            • UK: Joules secures £11m of funding
                                                                                                                                              • UK: Mulberry’s trading improves in the second half
                                                                                                                                                • UK: N Brown transformation is “on track”
                                                                                                                                                  • UK: New Look acquisition is completed
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: New men’s concept store: The Dandy Lab
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Reiss founder explores minority stake sale
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Shoe Zone revenues fall amidst store closures
                                                                                                                                                          • UK: SuperGroup maintains sales momentum in Q1
                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Ted Baker
                                                                                                                                                              • …launches virtual version of its ‘& Moore’ store
                                                                                                                                                                • …revenues grow by 24.2%
                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: TM Lewin in talks over management buyout
                                                                                                                                                                    • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Argos sales suffer but Homebase sees an improvement in Q1
                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Marks & Spencers
                                                                                                                                                                          • …loses market share
                                                                                                                                                                            • …restates online figures to account for returns
                                                                                                                                                                              • …Q1 sales rise 1.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Wilko suffers from fall in earnings
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Debenhams like-for-like sales flat
                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: House of Fraser
                                                                                                                                                                                        • …restructures to become more customer-centric
                                                                                                                                                                                          • …sales boosted by online shoppers
                                                                                                                                                                                            • …to open its first full scale bricks and mortar store in the UK since 2008
                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                                • …announces JLAB finalists
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …ends free click-and-collect for orders under £30
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …enters the smartphone market
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …sales buoyed by Father’s Day purchases
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …teams up with Bruce Oldfield
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …to roll out more restaurant concessions
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Liberty plans international expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Clas Ohlson signs contract for second compact store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Kingfisher hires Coop Denmark boss as new chief
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Topps Tiles has an encouraging Q3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Furniture and homeware retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Carpetright sales and profits up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Dunelm
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …appoints John Browett as chief executive
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …like-for-like sales up 5.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Sofaworks may have to change name following DFS court battle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Garden centre retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Wyevale Garden Centres profits surge 55%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …brings one-hour delivery to London
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …Prime Day to offer more discounts than Black Friday
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Arcadia backed online shopping site to launch in the UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Boohoo sales grow 35% in Q1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Net-a-Porter makes first profit in five years
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Royal Mail to send direct mail based on online shopping history
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: The Book Depository makes £4m loss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Brighthouse
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …revenues up 12.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …to roll out smaller “satellite” store format
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Dixons Carphone partners with Sprint Corp in the US
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Maplin reports flat full-year profits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Superdrug full-year pre-tax profits and sales up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Greetings card and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Card Factory management selling off shares
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Paperchase nears a takeover deal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Direct Golf reveals full-year sales decline
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Entertainment retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Hamleys eyed by House of Fraser owners
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: HMV relaunches online
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Halfords appoints new CFO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: JD Sports continues strong start to the year
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Sports Direct announces first Scottish retail and gym hybrid
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Travel retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Moto suffers £37m turnover drop
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Shopping locations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Longines sets record for Oxford Street rent
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Westfield announces expansion to luxury shopping village
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Government to relax Sunday trading laws
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Shop prices fall as consumer confidence rises
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: The BRC warns on business rates

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Aldi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Amazon UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Amazon.co.uk
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Amazon.com Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Apple Retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Apple, Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Arcadia Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Asda Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • ASOS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • B&Q (UK & Ireland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Bargain Booze Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Bonmarché
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Boohoo.com plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Booker Cash & Carry Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Borders Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Brighthouse
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Budgens Stores Ltd - retail sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • C&J Clark Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carpetright Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Clas Ohlson
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Clas Ohlson UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Co-operative Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Coop Danmark
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Costcutter Supermarkets Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Debenhams UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • DFS Furniture Holdings Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dixons Carphone pro-forma merged group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dixons Retail Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dorothy Perkins old
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dunelm (Soft Furnishings) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • East Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Fat Face Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ferrero UK Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Go-Ahead Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • H&M Hennes & Mauritz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Halfords Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Hamleys of London Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • HMV Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Holland & Barrett Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Home Retail Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Homebase Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • House of Fraser Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • HTC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Iceland Foods Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • JD Sports Fashion plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • JD Wetherspoon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Jigsaw
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • John Lewis Partnership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • John Lewis Plc (department store)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Joules
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Karen Millen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Kingfisher Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Lidl (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Londis (Holdings) Ltd - retail sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Majestic Wine Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Maplin Electronics Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Midcounties Co-operative Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • MoneySupermarket.com Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Monsoon Accessorize Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Moto
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Mulberry Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • N Brown Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Naked Wines
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • NBTY (Europe)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Net-A-Porter Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Nisa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Nisa (fascia) incl. Loco
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ocado
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ocado Group plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Paperchase Products Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Phones 4U Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Reiss Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Safeway Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sainsbury's Bank
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sainsbury's Local
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Selfridges Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Shoe Zone Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sony (UK) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Spar UK Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sports Direct Europe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sports Direct Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Superdrug Stores Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • SuperGroup Plc (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Swatch
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Target Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ted Baker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Tesco (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Bon Marche
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Book Depository Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Sofa Workshop Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Works Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Thorntons Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Topps Tiles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Unilever Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Vodafone Group Plc (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Westfield Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Whistles Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Wilkinson Hardware Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Wm Morrison Supermarkets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Yoox

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              UK Retail Briefing - July 2015

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