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UK Retail Briefing - July 2017

Each month Mintel's UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month, we look at Clothing retailing.

This review looks at:

  • Change in the value sales of clothing and footwear retailers, Jan 2016 - Jun 2017
  • Impact of inflation on the clothing retail sector
  • Consumer spending trends for clothing and footwear
  • Interest in buying clothes made in Britain
  • Attitudes towards quality and price

We also include an Analyst Comment on M&S and its recent trading performance.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • M&S – is trading recovering at last?
      • New management team
        • Progress report
          • Straws in the wind
            • Major problems
              • The importance of food
                • Tough times ahead
                • UK Retail Sales

                  • Key points
                    • Retail sales
                      • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2016/17
                      • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, Jun 2015- Jun 2017
                    • John Lewis
                      • Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, Jun 2016- Jun 2017
                    • Rising inflation
                      • Figure 4: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2016-17
                    • Inflation and wages
                      • Figure 5: Real wages growth: Wages growth vs inflation, 2012-17
                    • Looking forward
                    • Sector Focus – Clothing and Footwear

                        • Clothing specialists underperform the retail sector
                          • Figure 6: Annual % change in value clothing and footwear retail sales, non-seasonally adjusted, by month, Jan 2016-Jun 2017
                          • Figure 7: Annual % change in volume clothing and footwear retail sales, non-seasonally adjusted, by month, Jan 2016-Jun 2017
                        • Inflation
                          • Figure 8: CPI: Annual % change in the price of clothing and footwear (incl. repairs), Jan 2016 – Jun 2017
                        • Consumer spending accelerated in the second half of 2016
                          • Figure 9: Consumer spending on clothing and footwear, at current prices, non-seasonally adjusted, Q1 2016-Q1 2017
                        • How will clothing fare as consumers continued to be squeezed?
                          • Figure 10: Agreement with attitudes towards buying clothes, July 2016
                      • Headlines for the Month

                        • Grocers
                          • Other food and drink specialists
                            • Clothing retailing
                              • Footwear retailing
                                • Multi-Sector retailing
                                  • Department stores
                                    • DIY retailing
                                      • Electrical retailing
                                        • Carpet retailing
                                          • Home shopping
                                          • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                            • Convenience stores
                                              • UK: Nisa
                                                • …profits rise whilst sales fall
                                                  • …Sainsbury's aims to quell Nisa member rebellion
                                                    • …explores changes to its ownership structure
                                                      • …Sainsbury’s frontrunner to buy Nisa Local
                                                        • Grocers
                                                          • UK: Booker Group posts an increase in sales
                                                            • UK: Lidl to open 60 new stores a year in UK expansion
                                                              • UK: Sainsbury’s
                                                                • …sales rise
                                                                  • …sees 25% growth in gin category year-on-year
                                                                    • UK: Tesco
                                                                      • …posts sixth quarter of like-for-like sales growth
                                                                        • …cuts 1,200 head office jobs
                                                                          • …restructures staff pay
                                                                            • UK: Waitrose to introduce recyclable packaging
                                                                              • Other food and drink specialists
                                                                                • UK: Holland & Barrett
                                                                                  • …Superdrug owner AS Watson in rumoured takeover bid
                                                                                    • …bought by L1 Capital
                                                                                      • …Ireland section of Holland & Barrett sees profits fall by 7%
                                                                                        • UK: Majestic Wine sees sales rise whilst profits fall
                                                                                        • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                          • Clothing retailing
                                                                                            • UK: Bonmarché reports a fall in profits and sales
                                                                                              • UK: Burberry
                                                                                                • …face criticism over executive pay
                                                                                                  • …new Senior Independent Director appointed at Burberry
                                                                                                    • UK: Converse opening first standalone UK stores
                                                                                                      • UK: Edinburgh Woollen Mill owner eyes Aurora Fashions
                                                                                                        • UK: Fashion retailer Quiz to float on London IPO
                                                                                                          • UK: Mulberry
                                                                                                            • …agree to joint venture in Japan
                                                                                                              • …retail sales rise
                                                                                                                • UK: New Look
                                                                                                                  • …directors leave the business
                                                                                                                    • …hires chief creative officer
                                                                                                                      • UK: Next
                                                                                                                        • …plan to open in-store restaurants in partnership with Gino D’Acampo
                                                                                                                          • …reveals the name of its new own-brand
                                                                                                                            • UK: Primark’s sales rise whilst margins fall
                                                                                                                              • UK: Ted Baker revenues rise 14.2%
                                                                                                                                • UK: Triumph to close all stores
                                                                                                                                  • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                    • UK: Clarks to resume manufacturing in UK
                                                                                                                                      • UK: LK Bennett sales down 1% as turnaround plan gets underway
                                                                                                                                        • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                          • UK: The White Company to open its first US store
                                                                                                                                            • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                              • UK: Mothercare sales and profits increase
                                                                                                                                                • UK: Poundstretcher owners explore possible sale
                                                                                                                                                  • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Debenhams sees sales rise
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Liberty London announces relaunch of menswear section
                                                                                                                                                        • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Bunnings
                                                                                                                                                            • …retail director for B&Q UK & Ireland leaves for Bunnings
                                                                                                                                                              • …increases number of planned stores
                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Kingfisher Sales and Operations boss Jean-Paul Constant to leave
                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Screwfix CEO leaves for rival
                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Topps Tiles revenues decrease
                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Travis Perkins launch innovative scheme to work with start-ups
                                                                                                                                                                        • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Dixons Carphone reports increased revenue
                                                                                                                                                                            • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Fall in profits for Carpetright
                                                                                                                                                                                • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: DFS downsizes sales estimates following decline in footfall
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Dunelm revenues rise in fourth quarter
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                          • …announces 20 new brands to be added to its Dash range
                                                                                                                                                                                            • …to buy Whole Foods in $13.7 billion deal
                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Boohoo confirms new Non-Executive Director appointment
                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: CollectPlus offers on-demand return service
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Joe Browns launches debut store
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: N Brown
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …posts 5.6% increase in group revenue, but closes five stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …chairman to step down
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Ocado
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …trialling self-driving vehicles
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …profits fall
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …revenues rise 24.7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Shop Direct
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …luxury director resigns
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …to be taken over
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Tesco launches 60 minute deliveries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Superdrug sees sales and profits rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: The Body Shop bought by Natura
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Smiggle plans to double UK presence to 235
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: WH Smith sales up 2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Cotswold Outdoors new store launch initiative ‘Find your Outdoors’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Evans Cycles fall in earnings
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: JD Sport
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …growth in line with expectations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …to open dual shop and gym
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Toys and games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Game posts decrease in sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Hamleys
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …CEO steps down
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …chief finance officer to step down
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Hobbycraft sales rise but profits fall
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Footfall drops 1% in May
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Retail sales growth driven by inflation

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • A. S. Watson (Europe)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • A. S. Watson UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Amazon UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Amazon.com Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Apax Partners
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Aurora Fashions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Aurora fashions UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • B&Q (UK & Ireland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Baugur
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Bluewater Shopping Centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Bonmarché
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Boohoo.com plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Booker Cash & Carry Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Booker food retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Bunnings UK & Ireland
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Burberry (Europe)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Burberry Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • C&J Clark Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Carlyle Group (The)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Carpetright Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Co-operative Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Coast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Converse, Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Costcutter Supermarkets Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Cotswold Outdoor Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • DFS Furniture plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Dixons Carphone
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Dunelm (Soft Furnishings) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Evans Cycles UK Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Game Digital plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Grupo Inditex
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • H&M Hennes & Mauritz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Hamleys of London Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • HobbyCraft Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Holland & Barrett Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Howdens Joinery Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • JD Sports Fashion plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Joe Browns
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Jones Bootmaker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Kimberly-Clark Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Kingfisher Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • L'Oréal (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Lidl (Germany)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • LK Bennett Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • London Stock Exchange plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Majestic Wine Group PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Mothercare Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Mulberry Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • My-Wardrobe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • N Brown Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Natura Cosméticos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • NBTY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Neal's Yard Agency
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • New Look (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • New Look Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Next Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Nintendo Co Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Nisa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Ocado Group plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Ocado Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Poundstretcher
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Primark/Penneys
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Quiz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sainsbury's Local
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Screwfix UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Shop Direct Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Shop Direct Home Shopping Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Smiggle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Superdrug Stores Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Tesco (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Body Shop Ireland
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Edinburgh Woollen Mill Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Hut Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Perfume Shop Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The White Company Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • TJ Morris Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Toolstation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Topps Tiles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Topps Tiles (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Travis Perkins PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Triumph Apparel Corp.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • WH Smith PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Whole Foods Market Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Wickes Building Supplies Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Worldstores Ltd

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  UK Retail Briefing - July 2017

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