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UK Retail Briefing - June 2016

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month, we look at DIY retailing.

This review looks at:

  • Seasonal trends in DIY sales
  • Inflation in DIY items
  • Trends in the property market
  • Consumer attitudes to shopping for DIY goods

We also include an Analyst Comment on Bhs's exit from the market and the gap that it leaves.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • The opportunity at the older end of the market
      • Why did it fail?
        • Opportunities at the older end of the market
          • Two markets
            • Who serves the older market?
              • Figure 1: Social media word cloud for M&S, May 2016
            • The opportunity
            • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

              • Key points
                • Retail sales
                  • Figure 2: Retail sales trends, 2015/16
                  • Figure 3: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS March 2014- March 2016
                • John Lewis
                  • Figure 4: John Lewis – Year-on-year growth, 2015-16
                • Inflation and wages
                  • Figure 5: Real wages growth: – Wages growth vs inflation, 2010-16
                • Inflation
                  • Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2015-16
                • Looking forward
                • Sector Focus – DIY Retailing

                    • Fluctuating retail sales affected by the weather
                      • Figure 7: Annual percentage change in value and volume sales of hardware, paints and glass specialists, non-seasonally adjusted, 2015 – May 2016
                    • Price deflation holding back value sales
                      • Figure 8: Annual percentage change in consumer prices, by DIY categories and overall CPI, Sep 2015 – May 2016
                    • Property market growing, as is renting…
                      • Figure 9: Number of residential property transactions with a value of £40,000+ in the UK, non-seasonally adjusted, Jan 2015 – May 2016
                    • Attitudes to DIY
                      • Figure 10: Attitudes towards shopping for DIY/home improvements products, March 2016
                  • Headlines for the Month

                    • Convenience stores
                      • Grocers
                        • Clothing retailers
                          • Multi-sector retailing
                            • DIY retailing
                              • Electrical retailing
                                • Furniture and homewares retailing
                                  • Home shopping
                                    • Economy
                                    • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                      • Convenience stores
                                        • UK: Convenience store investment reaches £600m
                                          • UK: My Local looking to divest 10% of store estate
                                            • Grocers
                                              • UK: Aldi to open Shoreditch pop-up wine shop
                                                • UK: Asda
                                                  • …reveals Clarke's future successor
                                                    • …sales decline by 5.7%
                                                      • UK: ‘Big four’ retain shoppers in flat grocery market
                                                        • UK: Guess How Much! discount store opens its doors
                                                          • UK: Iceland
                                                            • …partners with mum vloggers for new campaign
                                                              • …sees like-for-likes slide but profits remain flat
                                                                • UK: Morrisons
                                                                  • …in nationwide tie-up with Timpson
                                                                    • …relaunches loyalty card as Morrisons More
                                                                      • UK: Sainsbury's
                                                                        • …Argos deal facing watchdog probe
                                                                          • …equips shoppers with smart fridges to tackle food waste
                                                                            • …finance chief John Rogers to take the reins at Home Retail
                                                                              • …like-for-like sales dip 0.8%
                                                                                • UK: Tesco
                                                                                  • …F&F clothing to be subject to Direct delivery charges
                                                                                    • …confirms sale of Giraffe and Kipa
                                                                                      • UK: The Co-op rebrands thousands of stores with revived logo
                                                                                        • UK: Whole Foods offer two-hour delivery in London
                                                                                          • Other food and drink specialists
                                                                                            • UK: Conviviality sales surge 137%
                                                                                              • UK: Costco reports 7.1% growth
                                                                                                • UK: Greggs relaunches mobile app integrating loyalty scheme
                                                                                                  • UK: Thorntons to offload Oxford Street flagship
                                                                                                  • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                                    • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                      • UK: Austin Reed
                                                                                                        • …estate to be broken up for sale
                                                                                                          • …stores to shutter after no viable offers were received
                                                                                                            • UK: Bhs
                                                                                                              • …asks bidders to up their offers
                                                                                                                • …rescue fails putting 11,000 jobs in question
                                                                                                                  • UK: Bonmarché revenue up 5.3%
                                                                                                                    • UK: Burberry sales fall 1%
                                                                                                                      • UK: Charles Tyrwhitt relaunches websites to drive international growth
                                                                                                                        • UK: Edinburgh Woollen Mill owner joins bidding for Dobbies
                                                                                                                          • UK: H&M to collaborate with KENZO
                                                                                                                            • UK: Jack Wills to open at intu Milton Keynes
                                                                                                                              • UK: Joules
                                                                                                                                • …eyes a number of Austin Reed stores
                                                                                                                                  • …share price soars on stock market debut
                                                                                                                                    • UK: Matalan profits tumble 62.5% due to warehouse issues
                                                                                                                                      • UK: Monsoon profits tumble 59%
                                                                                                                                        • UK: Moss Bros shows further improvement
                                                                                                                                          • UK: Mothercare full-year profits up 51%
                                                                                                                                            • UK: New Look
                                                                                                                                              • …profits increase 7%
                                                                                                                                                • …to open largest men’s store to date
                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Supergroup ends the year with robust trading
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Two Bhs suppliers fall into administration
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Wolf & Badger launches into beauty and childrenswear
                                                                                                                                                        • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Hush launches ‘pop-in’ concept
                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Shoe Zone sales fall amid store closures
                                                                                                                                                              • Multi-sector Retailing
                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Argos first quarter revenue up 2.6%
                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: B&M sales rise 23.6% as expansion ramps up
                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Guess How Much! discount store opens its doors
                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                        • …breaks tradition to stock early Autumn lines
                                                                                                                                                                          • …reports declining profits in ‘mixed’ results
                                                                                                                                                                            • ..restructures management team for customer focus
                                                                                                                                                                              • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Harrods introduces personal shopping for men
                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: John Lewis teams up with style guru Jim Chapman
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Selfridges launches first shoppable app
                                                                                                                                                                                      • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Kingfisher sales grow 5.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Topps Tiles revenues rise 3.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Wesfarmers ends Homebase's partnership with Nectar
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Dixons Carphone ends the year up 5% like-for-like
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Furniture and homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Dyson personally designs Oxford Street store
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Ikea to open in Westfield Stratford
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Lakeland unveils refitted flagship store
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Loaf to open second London store
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Tiger rebrands to Flying Tiger Copenhagen
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: West Elm extends partnership with John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …begins sale of fresh food through Morrisons tie-up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …launches full fresh food offering
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: AO World reports 25.7% growth in revenues
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Boohoo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …launches first advertising campaign for men
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …revenues surge 41%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Debenhams appoints new chief executive
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: DPD innovates with geo-location technology in app
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Gear4Music full year revenues surge 46%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Shop Direct working with TH_NK to update Very site
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Health & Beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Boots campaign highlights healthcare expertise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Estée Lauder launches male grooming station
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Book, greetings cards and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Card Factory offsets falling footfall with a rise in average spend
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Smiggle hires UK property head for store rollout
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: WH Smith high street sales fall 4% in line with expectations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Sports and Leisure Goods Retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Go Outdoors explores potential sale
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Halfords
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …acquires online bikes and accessories specialists
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …retail sales rise 1.3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Mountain Warehouse profits rise 36%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Tesla opens experience-led store in shopping centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Jewellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Pandora Q1 revenues rise 34%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Garden Centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Edinburgh Woollen Mill owner joins bidding for Dobbies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Toys and Games Retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Lego Group to open Leicester Square flagship
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Pet specialists
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Pets at Home like-for-like sales rise 2.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Shopping locations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Birmingham Bullring launches new pop-up space
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Footfall down 2.4% in April
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Intu Lakeside ‘re-imagined’ with Nickelodeon theme park
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: One in five payments contactless says Visa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: ONS announce 4.3% rise in retail sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Retail sales fall 0.9% as clothing demand weakens
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Retail sales in May lift 1.4%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Aldi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Aldi Stores Ltd (UK & Ireland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Amazon UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Amazon.com Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • AO World Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • AO.com
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Arcadia Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Asda Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Aveda
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • AW Curtis & Sons Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • B&Q (UK & Ireland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Bargain Booze Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Bhs Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Bibendum Wine
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Boohoo.com plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Boots UK health & beauty retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • British Retail Consortium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Bullring
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Burberry Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Charles Tyrwhitt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Clinique Laboratories, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Co-operative Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Costco Wholesale Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Country Casuals Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Courtaulds Textiles UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Dixons Carphone
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Dobbies Garden Centres plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (The)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Ferrero UK Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Gear4Music
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Go Outdoors Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Greggs Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • H&M Hennes & Mauritz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Halfords Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Harrods Group Total
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Harvey Nichols UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Homebase Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Iceland Foods Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • IKEA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • ITV plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • John Lewis Partnership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • John Lewis Plc (department store)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Joules
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Kenzo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Kingfisher Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Lakeland Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Lakeside Shopping Centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • LEGO Company
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Matalan Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Matthew Clark plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Monsoon Accessorize Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Moss Bros Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Mothercare Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Mountain Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • New Look (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • New Look Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Nickelodeon Networks
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Pandora (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Pandora Europe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Pepkor
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Pets at Home Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Pretty Polly Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Sainsbury's Local
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Schwarz Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Screwfix UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Selfridges Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Shoe Zone Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Smiggle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Sports Direct Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • SuperGroup Plc (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • SuperGroup Retail UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Tesco (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • The Edinburgh Woollen Mill Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Thorntons Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Tiger
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Tiger (Denmark)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Timpson Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Topps Tiles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Topps Tiles (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Topps Tiles Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Touchwood Shopping Centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Walmart Stores (USA)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Westfield Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • WH Smith PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Whole Foods Market (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Wm Morrison Supermarkets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Wyevale Garden Centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • YouTube, Inc.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    UK Retail Briefing - June 2016

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