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UK Retail Briefing - March 2017

An analysis of Online retailing and the decision to launch a parliamentary inquiry relating to how the business rates system applies to store based and online retailers.

This month's UKRB includes: 

  • Online as a proportion of all retail sales, 2007-2017
  • Store based and pureplayer retail share of online sales, 2009-2017
  • Online sales growth 2012-16
  • We also include an Analyst Comment on latest developments in the discount retail sector.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • Is the discount sector looking overshopped?
      • A sheep mentality
        • Clothing
          • The gap in the market
          • Retail Sales

            • Key points
              • Retail sales
                • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2016/17
                • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, Jan 2015-Feb 2017
              • John Lewis
                • Figure 3: John Lewis: year-on-year growth, Jan 2015-Feb 2017
              • Confidence
                • Figure 4: Current state of finances and finances vs last year, January 2012-February 2017
              • Inflation and wages
                • Figure 5: Real wages growth: wages growth vs inflation, 2012-17
              • Rising inflation
                • Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2016-17
              • Looking forward
              • Sector Focus

                • Online retailing
                  • Business rates
                    • Online growth rate doubled
                        • Figure 7: Online sales as a proportion of all retail sales, 2007-17
                      • Pure players vs store based
                        • Figure 8: Store-based and pure player share of online sales, 2009-17
                        • Figure 9: Store-based and pure player share of online sales, 2014-17
                      • Annual data
                        • Figure 10: Online sales growth, 2012-16
                      • The impact on store based retailers
                        • Figure 11: In-store sales growth, 2011-17
                      • Why is online growing faster?
                        • Where next?
                          • The future of the high street
                            • Business rates
                            • Headlines for the Month

                              • Grocers
                                • Other food specialists
                                  • Clothing retailing
                                    • Beauty retailing
                                      • DIY retailing
                                      • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                        • Grocers
                                          • UK: Budgens operator falls into administration
                                            • UK: Co-op invests in technology to localise offer
                                              • UK: discounters' expansion to cannibalise growth, report finds
                                                • UK: Lidl opens first metropolitan format store
                                                  • UK: McColl's revenues rise 1.9%
                                                    • UK: Morrisons
                                                      • …achieves first comparable sales and profit growth since 2012
                                                        • …launches first ever womenswear range
                                                          • …on the hunt for new British suppliers
                                                            • UK: Sainsbury's
                                                              • …continues food waste saving initiative
                                                                • ...cuts price controller role from stores
                                                                  • …trials autism friendly initiatives
                                                                    • UK: Supermarkets call for business rates reform
                                                                      • UK: Tesco
                                                                        • …to cut 1,700 deputy store manager roles
                                                                          • …aims for 8,000 click-and-collect locations
                                                                            • …extends same-day click-and-collect
                                                                              • …reviews pricing in stores after BBC investigation
                                                                                • Other food specialists
                                                                                  • UK: Greggs total sales rise 7.0%
                                                                                    • UK: Hotel Chocolat
                                                                                      • …pre-tax profits leap 28%
                                                                                        • …to launch 'Chocolate Lock-ins'
                                                                                        • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                          • Clothing retailing
                                                                                            • UK: Abercrombie & Fitch creates new store format
                                                                                              • UK: Agent Provocateur
                                                                                                • …close to finding a buyer
                                                                                                  • …may face administration
                                                                                                    • …pre-pack administration deal criticised by founder
                                                                                                      • UK: Bhs investigation could last until 2019
                                                                                                        • UK: Blue Inc files for a CVA
                                                                                                          • UK: Bosideng exits the UK over 'Brexit uncertainty'
                                                                                                            • UK: Edinburgh Woollen Mill owner to open a department store
                                                                                                              • UK: Esprit turnaround on track
                                                                                                                • UK: Fat Face profits fall due to currency fluctuations
                                                                                                                  • UK: Flannels to open first store in Scotland
                                                                                                                    • UK: French Connection launches athleisure range
                                                                                                                      • UK: Google adapts for Fashion Week searches
                                                                                                                        • UK: H&M
                                                                                                                          • …expands Weekday fascia
                                                                                                                            • …trials scan and buy technology
                                                                                                                              • UK: Hugo Boss acts to stabilise declining sales
                                                                                                                                • UK: Jack Wills campaign celebrates employees turned entrepreneurs
                                                                                                                                  • UK: Jaeger seeks investors amid strategic turnaround
                                                                                                                                    • UK: luxury marketplace for modest fashion launches
                                                                                                                                      • UK: Mamas & Papas hires new head of e-commerce & marketing
                                                                                                                                        • UK: Next chairman to retire
                                                                                                                                          • UK: new womenswear online retailer set to launch
                                                                                                                                            • UK: Primark anticipates 11% sales rise
                                                                                                                                              • UK: Reiss appoints new CEO
                                                                                                                                                • UK: Retail Acquisitions to sue Bhs
                                                                                                                                                  • UK: TJX comparable sales rise 5%
                                                                                                                                                    • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Clarks set to review store portfolio
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Jimmy Choo revenues rise 14.5%
                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Jones the Bootmaker put up for sale
                                                                                                                                                            • Mixed goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Argos fined for underpaying staff
                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Poundland
                                                                                                                                                                  • …delivers like-for-like sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                    • …to cease trading online
                                                                                                                                                                      • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Laura Ashley like-for-like sales fall 3.5%
                                                                                                                                                                          • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                                              • …adds Preen to the Designers at Debenhams collection
                                                                                                                                                                                • …to stock modest fashion brand
                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Fenwick new chairman named as Richard Pennycook
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                      • …announces store job losses and reshuffles
                                                                                                                                                                                        • …full-year sales rise 3.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                          • …invests in the customer experience
                                                                                                                                                                                            • …rolls out stock tracking tool
                                                                                                                                                                                              • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: B&Q set to trial new store format
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Screwfix opens 500th store
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Travis Perkins like-for-like sales rise 2.7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Wesfarmers UK makes a loss amid Bunnings rebrand
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Dreams profits surge following sales boost
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Ikea plans to double UK business in three years
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Poundland delivers like-for-like sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Sharps launches shopping centre presence in Intu malls
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Hillary's launches new 'home studio' format
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: The White Company upsizes Bluewater store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Tapi Carpets on schedule with expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Home Shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …makes senior fashion appointments
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …to create 5,000 new UK job roles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: AO World founder stands down as CEO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Boohoo ups full year revenue growth to 50%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Gear4Music sales surge 58%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: HelloFresh opens popup store in London
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Ocado trials electric vehicle delivery
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Health & Beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Boots announces 400 job cuts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: L'Oreal considering selling The Body Shop
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Models Own opens standalone presence in Leeds
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Clinton Cards reported to be considering store closures
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Waterstones opens unbranded bookshops
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Sports and Leisure Goods Retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Sports Direct warns of pressure from falling Euro
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Jewellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Signet Jewellers reports challenging fourth quarter
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Toys and Games Retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Games Workshop rebrands stores to Warhammer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Shopping locations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Bluewater leisure plaza set for growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Hammerson divests property
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Visa opens London innovation hub
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: outlet village operator reports 6.7% sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Chancellor says he is listening to rates concerns
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: consumer spending slows in January
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: food prices increase just 0.4% despite rising costs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: footfall declines deepen in January
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: retail sales rise 0.4% in February
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: retail sales rise 2.2% in January

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Abercrombie & Fitch Co
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Agent 16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Agent Provocateur Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Aldi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Amazon UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Amazon.co.uk
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • American Greetings Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • AO World Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • B&Q (UK & Ireland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Bhs Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Boohoo.com plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Booker food retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Boots UK health & beauty retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • British Retail Consortium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Budgens Stores Ltd - retail sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • C&J Clark Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Clintons Cards (AG Retail Cards Ltd)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Co-operative Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Ernest Jones Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Esprit
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Etam Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Fat Face Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Fenwick Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • French Connection (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Games Workshop (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Games Workshop Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Gear4Music
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Greggs Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • H Samuel Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • H&M Hennes & Mauritz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Hammerson
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • HelloFresh UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Homebase Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Hotel Chocolat Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Hugo Boss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • IKEA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • J. Choo Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Jack Wills Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Jaeger Company's Shops Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • John Lewis Plc (department store)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Jones Bootmaker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • La Senza Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Laura Ashley Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Lidl (Germany)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Lion Capital
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Mamas & Papas Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • McColl's (convenience stores)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Next Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Ocado Group plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Poundland Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Primark Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Primark/Penneys
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Reiss Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Sainsbury's Local
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Schwarz Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Screwfix UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Selfridges Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Sharps
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Signet Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Sports Direct UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Steinhoff UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Tesco (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Tesco Express (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • The Edinburgh Woollen Mill Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • The TJX Companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • The White Company Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • TK Maxx UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Travis Perkins Retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Waterstones Booksellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Wesfarmers (Europe)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Wm Morrison Supermarkets

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            UK Retail Briefing - March 2017

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            US $382.00 (Excl.Tax)