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UK Retail Briefing - May 2013

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • Morrisons and Ocado
      • Doubts
        • Being more positive
        • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

          • Key points
            • Retail sales trends
              • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2012-13
            • BRC data for February
              • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2011-13
            • John Lewis
              • Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2012-13
            • Inflation and wages
              • Figure 4: RPI vs Average Weekly earnings growth, 2008-13
            • Inflation
              • Figure 5: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2012-13
            • Looking forward
            • Sector Focus – Electrical Goods Retailing

                • Mintel’s Tracker: confidence rising
                  • Figure 6: The consumer: Trends in activities done and consider to do, June 2012-April 2013
                  • Figure 7: The consumer: Trends in what extra money is spent on, November 2009-April 2013
                  • Figure 8: The consumer: Trends in current financial situation compared a year ago, July 2011-April 2013
                • Spending on electricals jumps in 2012
                    • Figure 9: Consumer spending (incl. VAT), 2008-13
                    • Figure 10: Consumer prices inflation: Annual % change, selected categories, March 2012-March 2013
                  • Specialists sector sales: hit by the loss of Comet
                    • Figure 11: Retail sales (incl. VAT), 2008-13
                    • Figure 12: Electrical goods specialists’ sales as % of consumer spending on electrical goods, 2008-13
                  • The retailers: Who is gaining from Comet’s demise?
                    • Figure 13: Estimated distribution of Comet’s share of electrical goods sales, 2013
                • Headlines for the month

                  • Convenience stores
                    • Grocers
                      • Other food specialists
                        • Clothing retailing
                          • Footwear retailing
                            • Multi-sector retailing
                              • Department stores
                                • Carpet retailing
                                  • Home shopping
                                    • Health and beauty retailing
                                      • Books and stationery retailing
                                        • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                          • Economy
                                          • News Analysis

                                            • Bakers
                                              • UK: Greggs issues profit warning
                                                • Convenience stores
                                                  • UK: Asda to invest £700 million in new ‘convenience’ services
                                                    • UK: Musgrave Group reports 11% growth in turnover
                                                      • UK: Spar launches forecourt offer
                                                        • Grocers
                                                          • UK: Farmfoods posts 2012 financial results
                                                            • UK: Lidl doubles the number of “healthy tills”
                                                              • UK: Morrisons
                                                                • …nears deal with Ocado
                                                                  • …posts Q1 trading results
                                                                    • …puts 700 jobs at risk with cash-handling technology
                                                                      • …questions Tesco’s Price Promise claims
                                                                        • …scraps chief executive bonus
                                                                          • …adds 200,000 sq. ft. of retail space
                                                                            • UK: Sainsbury’s
                                                                              • …Justin King denies rumours he is quitting
                                                                                • …posts full year results
                                                                                  • …puts London HQ up for lease
                                                                                    • UK: Tesco
                                                                                      • …opens mobile app office in Shoreditch
                                                                                        • …profits plunge 13% as it confirms US exit
                                                                                          • …revamps Clubcard website
                                                                                            • …sees slowest sales growth in nine months
                                                                                              • …to unveil revival plans
                                                                                                • …trials new shopping model
                                                                                                  • UK: Waitrose
                                                                                                    • …begins year with 11% sales growth
                                                                                                      • …to open first farm shop
                                                                                                        • …to supply food to Eurostar trains
                                                                                                          • Other food specialists
                                                                                                            • UK: Thorntons posts encouraging Q3 results
                                                                                                              • UK: Whittard reports strong performance
                                                                                                                • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                                  • UK: Abercrombie & Fitch to open first European outlet store
                                                                                                                    • UK: Ann Summers to boost wholesale after £1.2 million profit increase
                                                                                                                      • UK: Aurora
                                                                                                                        • …credit insurance reduced amid restructuring process
                                                                                                                          • …and Karen Millen outsource property functions
                                                                                                                            • …seeks rent reduction from landlords
                                                                                                                              • UK: Burberry posts sales increase
                                                                                                                                • UK: Crombie to launch made-to-measure service
                                                                                                                                  • UK: French Connection
                                                                                                                                    • …group director leaves after 12 years
                                                                                                                                      • …appoints new finance director
                                                                                                                                        • UK: Guess appoints new chief design officer
                                                                                                                                          • UK: H&M
                                                                                                                                            • …March sales drop as spring delayed by cold weather
                                                                                                                                              • …to dress the 2016 Swedish Olympic team
                                                                                                                                                • UK: Hackett looks at buying Regent Street Ferrari store
                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Internacionale signs on to British Land in Hull
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: J Crew looks for menswear only store
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Jaeger launches space for emerging talent
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Joules considers selling minority stake
                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Karen Millen appoints new CFO
                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Kookai to exit UK market
                                                                                                                                                              • UK: New Look
                                                                                                                                                                • …to reduce debt burden through £800m bond issue
                                                                                                                                                                  • …footwear buying director steps down
                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Next
                                                                                                                                                                      • …cautious over rise in sales
                                                                                                                                                                        • …chief executive to share bonus
                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Oasis launches personalisation service
                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Primark
                                                                                                                                                                              • …plots French stores
                                                                                                                                                                                • …reports profit growth
                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: River Island to launch second Rihanna collaboration
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Select searching for 200 new stores over next five years
                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Superdry looks at luxury retailers
                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: SuperGroup
                                                                                                                                                                                          • …hire new logistics boss
                                                                                                                                                                                            • …to open new distribution centre
                                                                                                                                                                                              • …strong results as it eyes expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: T.M. Lewin
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …boosts international portfolio with 5-year expansion plan
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …eyes Nigeria, India and Philippines for international expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Victoria’s Secret poaches Aurora omni-channel director
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Dune launches in-store technology
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Jane Shilton results show £1.9 million loss
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Mascotte to open first UK store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Sole Trader profits plummet
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Mixed goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: 99p Stores: Scotland expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …rivals Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …like-for-likes up for first time in five years
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: M&S
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …formal menswear buyer joins John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …considered purchasing Jaeger
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …lingerie and beauty buyer exits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …overhauls womenswear team
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …posts encouraging Q4 results
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …hires new director of Lingerie
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …posts a fall in pre-tax profits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …reports increase in cookware sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …seeks reduced lead times
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …set to become the latest cold weather casualty
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Harvey Nichols boss denies exit rumours
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: House of Fraser
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …eyed by Qataris
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …poaches new executives
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …to boost premium credentials
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …looks at broadband market
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …launches sofa reuse scheme
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …to begin At Home store in Kent next week
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …to offer degree-equivalent qualifications
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Selfridges
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …fee from suppliers for early payment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …restructures senior buying roles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …to launch click-and-collect
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Kingfisher announces expansion into Romania
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Music and video goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: HMV retains market share
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Rough Trade reports 25% sales growth in Q1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Carpetright
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …announces management reshuffle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …sales spurred by refurbs and cold weather
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Barker & Stonehouse opens first London store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Ikea
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …unveils plans for new Sheffield store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …opens pop-up shops in London stations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: The Range plots Scottish expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Dunelm posts third quarter results
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Williams-Sonoma opens first store in UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Amazon posts Q1 results
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Asos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …posts H1 results
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …senior director to step down
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …to launch value fashion line
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Debenhams rated top for mobile retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: EBook growth drives total UK book sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Iceland Foods trials new e-commerce site
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: John Lewis online sales hit £1 billion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Littlewoods launches Facebook shopping tool
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: N Brown Group posts strong full year results
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Ocado reconfirms that it will not be acquired by Morrisons
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Waterstones founder to launch online books offer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Lush’s pre-tax profits rise by 22.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Clintons reports sales growth under new owner American Greetings
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: WH Smith
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …announces new chairman
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …profits up, sales down
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: JD Sports profits fall by 18.3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Sports Direct
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …closes 14 JJB Sports stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …posts Q4 results
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …reportedly freezes buying operations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Jewellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Claire’s Accessories prepares to launch ecommerce in Europe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Pandora acquires former Asda CEO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Swarovski to launch new fascia Cadenza at Westfield Stratford
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Garden centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Tesco-owned garden centre Dobbies opens retail village in Edinburgh
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Opticians
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Vision Express expands in North West
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Toys and games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: The Entertainer introduces 90-minute deliveries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Miscellaneous specialist retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Halfords sales helped by cold weather
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Mothercare
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …announces flat Q4 like-for-likes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …head office staff put into consultation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: BRC:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …footfall fell in March 2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …like-for-like retail sales fall in April 2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …non-food retailers plan to cut staff
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …retail search volumes increase in Q1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …shop price inflation falls in April
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: ONS: March 2013 retail results
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: PopUp Britain to open flagship store on King’s road

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            UK Retail Briefing - May 2013

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