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UK Retail Briefing - November 2016

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month, we look at DIY retailing.

This review looks at:

  • Year on year growth in DIY retailers
  • Ageing population and its implications
  • Impact of inflation on the DIY sector
  • Proportion of households renting their home
  • Number of property transactions
  • Trading update for the major DIY specialists

We also include an Analyst Comment on Amazon.com and its new initiatives throughout 2016.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • Amazon’s evolution: from retailer to platform
      • Retail – marketplace the strength
        • Logistics – supporting growth
          • Prime: building an offer that stacks up
            • Groceries – experiment or serious challenge?
              • Profits – where art thou?
                • The Future
                • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                  • Key points
                    • Retail sales
                      • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2015/16
                      • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, Oct 2014- Oct 2016
                    • John Lewis
                      • Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-Year Growth, Oct 2015- Nov 2016
                    • Inflation and wages
                      • Figure 4: Real wages growth: Wages growth vs inflation, 2012-2016
                    • Inflation
                      • Figure 5: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2015-16
                    • Looking forward
                    • Sector Focus – DIY Retailing

                        • Erratic record
                          • Figure 6: Year on year growth in DIY retailers sales, 2015-2016
                        • Rising inflation
                          • Figure 7: DIY retailers, implied deflator, 2015-2016
                        • Specialists in decline
                          • Figure 8: DIY retailers’ sales relative to all spending on the main products carried by DIY superstores, 2005-2015
                        • Ageing population
                          • Move back into inner cities
                            • Figure 9: Proportion of households renting their home, 2005-2015
                          • Distortions
                            • Figure 10: Number of Residential Property Transactions with a value of £40,000+ In The UK, Non-Seasonally Adjusted, Apr 2015 – Sept 2016
                          • Major players
                            • Wickes
                              • B&Q / Screwfix
                                • Homebase
                                • Headlines for the Month

                                  • Grocers
                                    • Other food and drink specialists
                                      • Clothing retailers
                                        • Multi-sector retailing
                                          • Department stores
                                            • DIY retailing
                                              • Home shopping
                                                • Economy
                                                • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                                  • Convenience Stores
                                                    • UK: Booker like-for-like sales flat on the year
                                                      • UK: Costcutter refreshes proposition with 'Shopper First Programme'
                                                        • UK: Lifestyle Express reveals new fascia
                                                          • Grocers
                                                            • UK: Aldi takes on the premium retailers with luxury hamper range
                                                              • UK: Asda apologises for nationwide card glitch
                                                                • UK: Birds Eye and Walkers request up to 12% price increases
                                                                  • UK: Booths slips into a pre-tax loss
                                                                    • UK: Iceland to reveal new store concept
                                                                      • UK: Lidl scales up expansion with £55m warehouse
                                                                        • UK: Morrisons like-for-like sales rise 1.6%
                                                                          • UK: Planet Organic introduces mobile wallet
                                                                            • UK: Sainsbury's
                                                                              • …finally rolls out contactless as Tesco trials Tap&Tag
                                                                                • …like-for-like sales dip 1%
                                                                                  • …opens first mini-Habitat concession
                                                                                    • …pension deficit swells to £1bn
                                                                                      • UK: Supermarkets to benefit from fall in business rates
                                                                                        • UK: Tesco
                                                                                          • …and Unilever in price dispute
                                                                                            • …and Unilever settle dispute
                                                                                              • …chairman warns of price rises
                                                                                                • …faces court battle over pay changes
                                                                                                  • …joins Waitrose in launching meal kit range
                                                                                                    • Other food and drink specialists
                                                                                                      • UK: Conviviality Retail sales rise 2.5%
                                                                                                        • UK: Hotel Chocolat sales rise 12%
                                                                                                          • UK: Majestic Wine launches new delivery options
                                                                                                          • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                                            • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                              • UK: Abercrombie & Fitch rebrands to become more inclusive
                                                                                                                • UK: All Saints sales rise amid global expansion
                                                                                                                  • UK: American Apparel UK stores to close as it enters administration
                                                                                                                    • UK: Banana Republic to close all UK stores
                                                                                                                      • UK: Bhs
                                                                                                                        • …owners reveal international expansion plans
                                                                                                                          • …unveils new clothing range
                                                                                                                            • …launches first two Christmas ranges
                                                                                                                              • UK: Burberry
                                                                                                                                • …reports strong UK sales
                                                                                                                                  • …retail revenues rise 2%
                                                                                                                                    • …takes over Harrods with ‘A Very British Fairy Tale’
                                                                                                                                      • UK: Concept store stocking Australian brands set for London launch
                                                                                                                                        • UK: Diesel opens its new London flagship
                                                                                                                                          • UK: Duke & Dexter opens first UK store
                                                                                                                                            • UK: Exhibit enters administration
                                                                                                                                              • UK: French Connection eyed by investors
                                                                                                                                                • UK: Kenzo collaboration results in overnight queues outside H&M
                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Matalan revenues fall 6.2%
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Mothercare adds Boohoo maternity range
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: New Look reports 8.8% decline in like-for-like sales
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Next Q3 sales fall 3.5%
                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Primark full-year revenues rise 11%
                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Retailers expected to raise prices by 5%
                                                                                                                                                              • UK: SuperGroup reports strong first half
                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Ted Baker
                                                                                                                                                                  • …delivers good performance across markets
                                                                                                                                                                    • …partners with Google on voice recognition campaign
                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: TK Maxx profits jump 11%
                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Whistles reports full-year loss of £2.9m
                                                                                                                                                                          • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Footasylum sales surge 41.6%
                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Kurt Geiger turnover rises 10%
                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Shoe Zone sales fall 4.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                      • …picks JLab winners
                                                                                                                                                                                        • …Retail Director moves to Moneysupermarket.com
                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                            • …to scale back European operations
                                                                                                                                                                                              • …to close a raft of stores in China
                                                                                                                                                                                                • …announces store closures as clothing sales fall 5.3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Poundland trials Pep&Co offering
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Department Stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Debenhams UK sales rise 1.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Fenwick to relaunch transactional presence online
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Harrods
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …profits surge 16.9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …refits men's underwear department
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …appoints new managing director
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …opens in Leeds
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …unveils Christmas advert
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Liberty managing director moves to the Hudson Bay Company
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Selfridges grows sales 5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Victoria Gate shopping centre opens in Leeds
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Germany: Praktiker brand returns online
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Bunnings prepares for first UK store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Travis Perkins retail sales grow 9.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Wickes introduces one hour delivery slots
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Carpetright sales fall 2.7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Furniture Village grows sales as it invests for growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Oliver Bonas like-for-like sales rise 14%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …announces twelve-day Black Friday Sale
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …extends Prime to include local stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Asos full-year sales grow 26%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Gear4Music growth in Europe accelerates
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Missguided launches referral rewards scheme
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: N Brown profits fall in promotion-led market
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Shop Direct launches Whatsapp-style customer service platform
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Health & beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Walgreens Boots Alliance sales fall due to weak UK performance
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Paperchase poised to open first US stores in 2017
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: WH Smith operating profits rise 7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Halfords revenues rise but profits fall
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Jaguar Land Rover store opens in Westfield Stratford
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Mountain Warehouse halts IPO plans after Brexit vote
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Rapha Cycling sales grow 25.6%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Sports Direct issues third profit warning this year
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Jewellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Pandora’s revenues increase 16%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Toys and Games Retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: GAME sales and profits fall
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Hamleys sales fall following a change in reporting period
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Shopping Locations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Brent Cross shopping centre to receive £1.4 billion investment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Carnaby Street collaborates with V&A for Christmas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Centre:mk hosts Live in Style event
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Intu sells Bromley shopping centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: BRC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …cites need for consumer-first Brexit strategy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …warns of long term retail job losses
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Retail footfall drops 0.9% in September
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Retail price deflation continues into October
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Retail sales grow 2.4% in October
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Retail sales grow 2.9% in September
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Retail sales rise by highest level in September

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Abercrombie & Fitch Co
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Aldi Stores Ltd (UK & Ireland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • All Saints
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Amazon UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Amazon.com Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • American Apparel, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Asda Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • ASOS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Banana Republic
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Bhs Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Birds Eye Foods
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Boohoo.com plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Booker Cash & Carry Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Brantano (Group)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • British Retail Consortium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Burberry Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Carpetright Europe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Carpetright UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Cinven Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Costcutter Supermarkets Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • EH Booth & Co Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Fenwick Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Fortnum & Mason Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • French Connection (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Fresh Connection Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Furniture Village Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Game Digital plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Gap Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Gear4Music
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • H&M Hennes & Mauritz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Habitat
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Halfords Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Hamleys of London Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Harrods Group Total
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Homebase Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Homesense UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Hotel Chocolat Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Hudson's Bay Company
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Iceland Foods Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • John Lewis Partnership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • John Lewis Plc (department store)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Kurt Geiger Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Lidl (Germany)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Lifestyle Express
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Majestic Wine Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Matalan Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Max Bahr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Missguided
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • MoneySupermarket.com Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Mothercare Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Mountain Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • N Brown Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • New Look (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • New Look Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Next Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Oliver Bonas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Pandora Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Paperchase Products Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Planet Organic Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Poundland Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Praktiker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Primark Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Sainsbury's Bank
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Sainsbury's Local
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Shoe Zone Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Ted Baker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Tesco (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • TK Maxx UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Toolstation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Unilever Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Walgreen Co
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Walkers Snack Foods Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • WH Smith PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Whistles Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Wickes Building Supplies Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Wm Morrison Supermarkets

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                UK Retail Briefing - November 2016

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