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UK Retail Briefing - October 2013

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month’s focus is on Value Mixed Goods retailers.

This sector focus includes:

  • Extracts from Mintel’s exclusive monthly Consumer Tracker survey on grocery shopping habits, August 2013
  • Consumer confidence indicator, September 2012-August 2013
  • Retail sales, 2008-2013
  • Leading value mixed goods retailers: Sales and outlets, 2008-12

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • It will be a good Christmas for retailers
      • 4% growth this December
        • Figure 1: Christmas performance, 2005-13
      • Easier comparisons in the run up to Christmas
        • Improving consumer background
          • Figure 2: How do you feel about your finances? 2009-13
          • Figure 3: RPI vs average weekly earnings growth, 2008-13
        • Prospects for 2014 look better too
          • How much will we spend?
            • But how much do we actually spend on Christmas?
              • How much will we spend online?
                • What are consumers planning?
                  • Figure 4: Attitudes to buying presents for Christmas 2013, September 2013
                • Profiles of shoppers by attitudes
                    • Figure 5: Profile of holders of attitudes to buying presents for Christmas 2013, September 2013
                • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                  • Key points
                    • Retail sales trends
                      • Figure 6: Retail sales trends, 2012-13
                    • BRC data for July
                      • Figure 7: UK retail sales year-on-year growth, BRC vs ONS, 2012-13
                    • John Lewis
                      • Figure 8: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2012-13
                    • Inflation and wages
                      • Inflation
                        • Figure 9: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2012-13
                      • Looking forward
                      • Sector Focus – The Value Mixed-Goods Retailers

                          • The mixed goods sector: driven by discounters and department stores
                            • Figure 10: Retail sales: Mixed-goods sector (incl. VAT), 2008-13
                          • Leading value retailers see rapid growth
                            • Figure 11: Total sales of all mixed-goods retailers and the eight leading value mixed-goods retailers (excl. VAT), 2008-13
                            • Figure 12: Share of all retail sales taken by the eight leading value mixed-goods retailers, 2008-13
                            • Figure 13: Total store numbers of the eight leading value mixed-goods retailers, 2008-12
                          • Leading mixed goods retailers’ sales and market shares
                            • Figure 14: Leading mixed-goods retailers’ net revenues, 2008-12
                            • Figure 15: Leading mixed-goods retailers’ share of mixed-goods sector sales, 2008-12
                            • Figure 16: Leading mixed-goods retailers’ store numbers, 2008-12
                          • The consumer: feeling better off, shopping around less
                            • Figure 17: Mintel’s Consumer Tracker: percentage of consumers saying they are better off/worse off than one year ago, October 2011-September 2013
                            • Figure 18: Consumer confidence indicator: September 2012-August 2013
                            • Figure 19: Mintel’s Consumer Tracker: Agreement with selected statements on grocery/food shopping, March 2012-August 2013
                          • What this means
                          • Headlines for the Month

                            • Grocers
                              • Other food specialists
                                • Clothing retailing
                                  • Department stores
                                    • DIY retailing
                                      • Home shopping
                                        • Books and stationery retailing
                                          • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                            • Economy
                                            • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                              • Bakers
                                                • Greggs sees demand pick-up
                                                  • Co-ops
                                                    • Co-op to introduce student discount on food
                                                      • Midlands and Anglian Co-operatives to merge
                                                        • Grocers
                                                          • Aldi profits soar
                                                            • Asda
                                                              • …stop sale of inappropriate costume
                                                                • …profits up in 2012
                                                                  • Iceland spend £7 million on new advertising
                                                                    • Lidl hires new operations director
                                                                      • Morrisons
                                                                        • …posts half-year results
                                                                          • …to cut back on supermarket investment
                                                                            • Sainsbury's
                                                                              • …continues strong growth
                                                                                • …unveils new store format
                                                                                  • Tesco
                                                                                    • …first-half profits fall 7.6%
                                                                                      • …hires Karen Dracou to multichannel team
                                                                                        • …launches Blinkbox ad campaign
                                                                                          • …launches event for start-ups
                                                                                            • …launches its Hudl tablet
                                                                                              • …launches new customer magazine
                                                                                                • …re-launches Finest range
                                                                                                  • …sells Fresh & Easy to Yucaipa
                                                                                                    • …Fresh & Easy eyes bankruptcy
                                                                                                      • UK supermarkets face challenges from competitors
                                                                                                        • Waitrose
                                                                                                          • …launches vulnerable people initiative
                                                                                                            • …to open second ‘dark’ store
                                                                                                              • Other food specialists
                                                                                                                • Thorntons
                                                                                                                • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                                                  • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                                    • Burberry set to open first store in Scotland
                                                                                                                      • David’s Bridal opens in the UK
                                                                                                                        • French Connection narrows losses
                                                                                                                          • Go Outdoors enters deal to invest in growth
                                                                                                                            • J Crew opens first UK store
                                                                                                                              • Jack Wills
                                                                                                                                • Jacques Vert to launch cross-brand marketing campaign
                                                                                                                                  • Jaeger cuts trading losses in the year
                                                                                                                                    • Kathmandu launches ad campaign as part of rebrand
                                                                                                                                      • Laura Ashley has challenging first half
                                                                                                                                        • Longchamp opens its biggest store on Regent Street
                                                                                                                                          • LVMH buys stake in Nicholas Kirkwood
                                                                                                                                            • Matalan’s Sporting Pro launches website
                                                                                                                                              • Moss Bros
                                                                                                                                                • Next first-half profits rise 8.2%
                                                                                                                                                  • Primark
                                                                                                                                                    • River Island profits up
                                                                                                                                                      • Ted Baker sees sales surge
                                                                                                                                                        • Topshop
                                                                                                                                                          • Mixed goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                            • Home Bargains to open new stores
                                                                                                                                                              • Poundland sees profit and sales jump
                                                                                                                                                                • Wilkinson restructures management
                                                                                                                                                                  • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                    • Home Retail Group releases second quarter data
                                                                                                                                                                      • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                        • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                          • Bhs launches new TV ad campaign
                                                                                                                                                                            • Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                                              • Harrods preparing for store overhaul
                                                                                                                                                                                • House of Fraser
                                                                                                                                                                                  • John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                    • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                      • Kingfisher
                                                                                                                                                                                        • Topps Tiles expects rise in profits
                                                                                                                                                                                          • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                            • Carphone Warehouse invests in sales process
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Carpetright sees chief executive exit
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • DFS
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Ikea
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Dunelm
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Lakeland
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Ao.com launches same day delivery
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Asda launches online delivery deal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Asos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Boden sees profits rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Findel’s first-half sales up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • EBay sellers to offer collection at Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • JML to launch TV shopping channel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Mobile devices account for all online sales growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • N Brown Group records sales growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Ocado sees surge in third quarter sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Photobox full-year EBITDA jumps 19%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Shop Direct hires first customer director
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • The Hut
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Alliance Boots management reshuffle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • The Perfume Shop offers 90-minute delivery
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Books and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • The Works sees profits decline
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • WHSmith reveals profits above expectations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • JD Sports sees profits soar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Reebok opens first UK store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sports Direct
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Sweaty Betty sees web sales climb
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Garden centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Louis Delhaize sells garden centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Opticians
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Vision Express acquires 20:20 Optical Store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Toys and games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Hobbycraft sees sales rise following investment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Shopping centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Croydon Village Outlet closes due to overwhelming crowds
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • August footfall drops 0.9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Government to introduce plastic bag charge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Net store closures fall 78%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Retailers to launch mobile payment in 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • September sees weak UK retail sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Strong sales growth continues
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Appendix – Christmas Shopping Habits – Detailed Demographics

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 20: Attitudes to buying Christmas gifts, by detailed demographics, October 2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 21: Attitudes to buying Christmas gifts, by detailed demographics, October 2013 (continued)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Figure 22: Attitudes to buying Christmas gifts, by detailed demographics, October 2013 (continued)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Aldi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Allders Croydon Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Alliance Boots
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Amazon UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Amazon.co.uk
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Amazon.com Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • AO World Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Arcadia Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Asda Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • ASOS (International retail sales)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • ASOS (UK retail sales)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • B&Q (UK & Ireland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Barclays Bank plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Bhs Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Blacks Outdoor Retail Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Blinkbox Entertainment Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Bluewater Shopping Centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Boden UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • British Retail Consortium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • British Sky Broadcasting Group plc (BSkyB)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Burberry Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Burton old
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Carpetright Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • China Resources Enterprise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Co-operative Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Cora - Louis Delhaize Belgium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Credit Suisse Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Deutsche Bank AG
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • DFS Furniture Holdings Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dorothy Perkins old
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dunelm (Soft Furnishings) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • eBay Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Express Gifts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Findel plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • French Connection (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Fresh & Easy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Greggs Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Gü Rensow Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Harrods Group Total
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Harvey Nichols UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Hobbs Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • HobbyCraft Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Home Retail Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Homebase Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Hornbach Baumarkt (Germany)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • House of Fraser Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Hugo Boss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Iceland Foods Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • IKEA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • ITV plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • J. Crew Group, Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • J. Sainsbury
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Jack Wills Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Jacques Vert Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • JD Sports - Fashion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • JD Sports Fashion plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • JML Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • John Lewis Partnership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • John Lewis Plc (department store)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Kantar Media
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Kingfisher UK & Ireland
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Lakeland Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Laura Ashley UK (Direct)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Lidl (Sweden)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Lidl (Switzerland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Lidl (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • London Stock Exchange plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Longchamp
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • LOVEFiLM International Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Mackays Stores Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Manor Born
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Marketplace
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Marks & Spencer (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • MasterCard UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Matalan Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Millets Farm Garden Centre Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Miss Selfridge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • ModelZone Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Moonpig.com Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Moss Bros Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Mulberry Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • N Brown Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Netflix, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • New Look Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Next Directory
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Next UK & Ireland
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Nike
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Nordstrom
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • NUS [National Union of Students]
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ocado Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Office of Fair Trading
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Park Garden Centres Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Poundland Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Primark Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Reebok International Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • River Island Clothing Co Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Shop Direct Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sony Corporation of America
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sports Direct Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sports Direct UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Superdrug Stores Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • TalkTalk Telecom Ltd.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ted Baker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Terra Firma Capital Partners Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Tesco (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Carphone Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Garden & Leisure Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Hut Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Perfume Shop Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Works Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Thorntons Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • TJ Morris Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Topman old
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Topps Tiles (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Topshop old
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Truffaut Garden Centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Vision Express (UK) Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Vodafone Group Plc (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Waitrose
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Walgreen Co
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • WH Smith PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Wilkinson Hardware Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Wm Morrison Supermarkets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Wyevale Garden Centres

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              UK Retail Briefing - October 2013

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