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UK Retail Briefing - October 2016

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month, we look at Food retailing.

This review looks at:

  • Food retail sales growth 2016 by month
  • Inflation in the sector
  • Performance of the leading players 
  • Growth of online grocery
  • Retail news and headlines

We also include an Analyst Comment on the recent Tesco and Unilever news story in relation to price rises.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • Tesco reasserting its leadership
      • Battle of wills
        • Leadership
          • PR
            • Brexit concerns
              • Where next?
              • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                • Key points
                  • Retail sales
                      • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2015/16
                      • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, Sep 2014- Sep 2016
                    • John Lewis
                      • Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-Year Growth, Jun 2015- Oct 2016
                    • Inflation and wages
                      • Figure 4: Real wages growth: Wages growth vs inflation, 2010-2016
                    • Inflation
                      • Figure 5: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2015-16
                    • Looking forward
                    • Sector Focus – Food Retailing

                        • Retail Sales Performance
                          • Figure 6: Retail sales: Annual % change in value and volume sales in all food stores, non-seasonally adjusted, Jan 2015-Sep 2016
                        • Specialists and small businesses outperformed during the summer
                          • Figure 7: Retail sales: Annual % change in value and sales in food stores, by operation, Jan 2015-Sep 2016
                        • Online Retail Sales
                          • Figure 8: Online retail sales: Annual % change in the value of online sales through food stores, Jan 2015-Sep 2016
                        • Food prices continue to fall
                          • Figure 9: Consumer price inflation: Annual % change in the price of food and non-alcoholic beverages and alcoholic beverages and tobacco, Jan 2015-Sep 2016
                        • How are the market leaders performing?
                          • Figure 10: Leading food retailers, Latest figures, October 2016
                        • Where next?
                        • Headlines for the Month

                          • Grocers
                            • Clothing retailing
                              • Department stores
                                • DIY retailing
                                  • Homewares retailing
                                    • Home shopping
                                      • Economy
                                      • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                        • Convenience stores
                                          • UK: Booker like-for-like sales fall 0.4%
                                            • UK: Nisa sales rise 1.1%
                                              • Grocers
                                                • UK: Aldi
                                                  • …sales rise 12% to £7.7bn
                                                    • UK: Aldi
                                                      • …takes on the high street with womenswear range
                                                        • UK: Iceland to reveal new store concept
                                                          • UK: John Lewis Partnership profits plunge 58%
                                                            • UK: Morrisons
                                                              • …forges locker deal with Amazon
                                                                • …sees like-for-likes grow 1.4% in the first half
                                                                  • …trials in-store student discount
                                                                    • UK: Sainsbury's
                                                                      • …channels investment into online fulfilment
                                                                        • …extends one-hour bicycle delivery trial
                                                                          • …like-for-like sales dip 1.1%
                                                                            • UK: Supermarkets expected to decrease package sizes as costs rise
                                                                              • UK: Supermarkets to benefit from fall in business rates
                                                                                • UK: Tesco UK like-for-like sales increase 0.6%
                                                                                  • UK: The Co-operative
                                                                                    • …convenience business drives growth
                                                                                      • …unveils premium own-label plans
                                                                                        • …refreshes loyalty scheme
                                                                                          • UK: Waitrose adds 500 new items to premium line
                                                                                            • Other food and drink specialists
                                                                                              • UK: Greggs sales rise 5.6%
                                                                                                • UK: Majestic Wine profits fall below expectations
                                                                                                • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                                  • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                    • UK: Arcadia introduces interest-free credit payment online
                                                                                                      • UK: Bhs
                                                                                                        • …to relaunch online this week
                                                                                                          • …launches first two Christmas ranges
                                                                                                            • UK: Bonmarché issues profit warning after poor September trading
                                                                                                              • UK: Fat Face
                                                                                                                • …pledges full price promise
                                                                                                                  • …profits hit by unseasonal weather
                                                                                                                    • UK: French Connection retail revenue down 2.3%
                                                                                                                      • UK: Jack Wills bought out by BlueGem
                                                                                                                        • UK: Matalan opens first standalone home store
                                                                                                                          • UK: Moss Bros continues to perform positively
                                                                                                                            • UK: Mothercare launches 'Welcome to the Club'
                                                                                                                              • UK: Next
                                                                                                                                • …half year sales up 2.6%
                                                                                                                                  • …to open in former Bhs store
                                                                                                                                    • UK: Phase Eight report strong international growth
                                                                                                                                      • UK: Primark like-for-like sales dip 2%
                                                                                                                                        • UK: River Island sales remain flat
                                                                                                                                          • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                            • UK: Schuh reports strong profit growth
                                                                                                                                              • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                • UK: Poundland and Pep&Co may swap some stores
                                                                                                                                                  • UK: The Original Factory Shop sales rise 6%
                                                                                                                                                    • Department Stores
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: House of Fraser EBITDA tumbles to £1.1m
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                          • …Andy Street stands down
                                                                                                                                                            • …launches single financial services brand
                                                                                                                                                              • …profits plunge 58%
                                                                                                                                                                • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Kingfisher like-for-likes grow 3.3% in first half
                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Topps Tiles expects revenues to reach £215m
                                                                                                                                                                      • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Brighthouse's credit checks are hitting profits
                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: BT unveils new concept store to inspire retailers
                                                                                                                                                                            • Music and video goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: HMV suffers an £8.8m pre-tax loss
                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: GAME divests UK property
                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: The Entertainer pre-tax profits reach £8.1 million
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: DFS revenues rise 7.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: OKA Direct posts 12% sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: ScS delivers 14.8% rise in like-for-like orders
                                                                                                                                                                                            • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Cath Kidston taken over by Baring Asia
                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Dunelm
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …delivers modest like-for-like growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …sales fall amid weak out-of-town footfall
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: KitchenAid opens experience-led first UK shop
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Lakeland profits fall despite sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …Fashion launches first UK television campaign
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …opens new distribution centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: AO World signs for new London warehouse
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Boden profits slip in a "challenging" year
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Boohoo revenues surge 40%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Made.com full-year sales surge 44%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Majestic Wine profits fall below expectations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Missguided
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …launches beauty range
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …unveils new maternity range
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Mr Porter launches shoppable Apple TV app
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Ocado gross sales grow 15.4%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Health & Beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: The Fragrance Shop sales up 9.4%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Card Factory delivers 'solid set of results'
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Paperchase prepares for £150m flotation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Ryman acquires London Graphic Centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: The Works full-year sales rise 9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Typo debuts in the UK, as Smiggle expands
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Sports and Leisure Goods Retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: JD Sports revenues surge as international expansion continues
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Sports Direct issues third profit warning this year
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Florists
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Interflora extends delivery options
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Pet products retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Pets at Home appoints new CFO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Shopping Locations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Network Rail retail sales rise 4.1% like-for-like
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: New West End Company reports boost in overseas spending
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Westfield set for successful 'Golden Week'
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: BRC warns of need for consumer-first Brexit strategy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Cash payments fall 5% in 2015
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Food prices fall by record 1.3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: MasterCard launches 'selfie' payment verification
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Planned investment in the convenience sector falls to lowest level
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Retail footfall rises 0.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Retail sales grow by 3.8% in August

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          UK Retail Briefing - October 2016

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          US $391.67 (Excl.Tax)