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UK Retail Briefing - September 2016

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month, we look at the clothing specialists.

This review looks at:

  • Clothing retail sales growth 2016 by month
  • Inflation in the sector
  • Under performance of the clothing specialists 
  • Growth of fashion online
  • Retail news and headlines

We also include an Analyst Comment on the current state of retailing across the key sectors for 2016.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

      • Retail sales in the first half
        • Food retailers
          • Food retailers in the second half
            • Clothing retailing
              • Not just online
                • Where next for clothing retailers?
                  • Department stores
                    • Other stores
                      • Online
                        • Black Friday
                          • Brexit
                            • The second half and Christmas 2016
                            • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                              • Key points
                                • Retail sales
                                    • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2015/16
                                    • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS August 2014- August 2016
                                  • Mintel’s financial confidence tracker
                                    • Figure 3: Trends in consumer sentiment for the coming year, Jan 2015 – Aug 2016
                                  • John Lewis
                                    • Figure 4: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, May 2015-August 2016
                                  • Inflation and wages
                                    • Figure 5: Real wages growth: Wages growth vs inflation, 2011-16
                                  • Inflation
                                    • Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2015-16
                                  • Looking forward
                                  • Sector Focus

                                      • Specialists suffering…
                                        • Figure 7: Annual % change in clothing retail sales, non-seasonally adjusted, by month, Jan-2015-Aug 2016
                                      • …but spending is up
                                        • Figure 8: Consumer spending on clothing, at current prices, non-seasonally adjusted, Q1 2013 – Q1 2016
                                      • The underperformance of the market leading specialists
                                          • Figure 9: Estimated leading clothing specialists as a % of all consumer spending on clothing, 2014
                                        • Online-only players
                                          • Figure 10: Estimated market shares of online sales of clothing and footwear, 2014
                                        • The failure of BHS and Austin Reed
                                          • Supermarkets
                                            • Figure 11: Estimated leading grocery retailers share of all consumer spending on clothing and footwear, 2014
                                          • Department stores
                                            • The weather
                                              • Final thoughts
                                              • Headlines for the Month

                                                • Grocers
                                                  • Multi-sector retailing
                                                    • DIY retailing
                                                      • Home shopping
                                                        • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                          • Economy
                                                          • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                                            • Convenience Stores
                                                              • UK: McColl’s like-for-like sales fall 1.8%
                                                                • UK: Premier reaches 3,300 stores
                                                                  • Grocers
                                                                    • UK: Asda
                                                                      • …full-year sales decline 3.7%
                                                                        • …offloads photo division
                                                                          • … Q2 like-for-like sales tumble 7.5%
                                                                            • UK: Morrisons
                                                                              • …completes sale of Fresh Direct stake
                                                                                • …head office staff sent to help with heatwave rush in stores
                                                                                  • UK: Sainbury's
                                                                                    • …launches Tu Premium range
                                                                                      • …reveals Mini Habitat concession plans
                                                                                        • …trials 'slow shopping' scheme
                                                                                          • UK: Sicilian supermarket opens first shop in London
                                                                                            • UK: Supermarket quarterly sales fall below £100bn
                                                                                              • UK: Tesco
                                                                                                • …ramps up online offer with same-day click-and-collect
                                                                                                  • …rolls out Scan as you Shop service
                                                                                                    • …trials 24-hour stores as night tube launches
                                                                                                      • Other food specialists
                                                                                                        • UK: West Cornwall Pasty Co like-for-like sales rise 7.6%
                                                                                                          • UK: Whittard delivers 'solid progress' in 2015
                                                                                                          • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                                            • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                              • UK: Bhs
                                                                                                                • …international owner may revive the chain in the UK
                                                                                                                  • …international owners purchase customer details
                                                                                                                    • UK: French Connection eyed by Maplin owner
                                                                                                                      • UK: H&M
                                                                                                                        • …expands Cos and Monki into Bristol
                                                                                                                          • …considers standalone menswear stores
                                                                                                                            • UK: Hunkemöller launches UK website
                                                                                                                              • UK: Joules profits surge as a listed company
                                                                                                                                • UK: Jimmy Choo revenues grow 7.1%
                                                                                                                                  • UK: Lavitta expands to 10 stores
                                                                                                                                    • UK: Mamas and Papas opens new small format shop
                                                                                                                                      • UK: Monsoon Accessorize to shutter 141 dual-branded stores
                                                                                                                                        • UK: Oasis opens first market town store
                                                                                                                                          • UK: Pep&Co reveals ambitious expansion plans
                                                                                                                                            • UK: River Island to partner with Snapchat
                                                                                                                                              • UK: Scarlett & Jo seeks investor funding
                                                                                                                                                • UK: Suitsupply launches digital styling service
                                                                                                                                                  • UK: TJX Europe reports slower than anticipated UK sales
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Topshop unveils see now, buy now runway initiative
                                                                                                                                                      • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: B&M ramps up garden centre expansion
                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Marks and Spencer
                                                                                                                                                            • …boss considers scaling back international stores
                                                                                                                                                              • …confirms 525 job cuts
                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Mothercare launches upgraded website
                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Poundland shareholders approve takeover by Steinhoff
                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Steinhoff and Poundland announce final revised offer
                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Wilko poaches Argos retail director as London expansion ramps up
                                                                                                                                                                        • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Fenwick to open in Colchester following £35m redevelopment
                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                              • …invests £9m in beauty offer
                                                                                                                                                                                • …outlines fashion and beauty focus for first Essex store
                                                                                                                                                                                  • …supports suppliers with 'Made Locally' scheme
                                                                                                                                                                                    • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Homebase sales rise 7.5% under Wesfarmers ownership
                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Kingfisher's UK division drives growth
                                                                                                                                                                                          • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Brighthouse revenues increase 1.7%
                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Dixons Carphone like-for like revenues rise 4%
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: DFS continues strong performance in the second half
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Dwell to open new concept store
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: IKEA opens Order & Collection store in Westfield
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Mattress brand Casper launches in the UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Cath Kidston set to launch in Latin America
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Laura Ashley like-for-like sales rise 4.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …launches one-hour restaurant delivery service
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …rolls out Dash button in the UK and Germany
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …to create 500 jobs with new distribution centre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Asos launches plus-size menswear
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: eBay launches hub for plus-size fashion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Farfetch surprises millionth customer with free order
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Findel approaches Terry Duddy for chairmanship
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Gear4music sales surge 73%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Hello Fresh hosts cook-a-long events
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Notonthehighstreet secures £21m investment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Ocado unveils 'Organic Kitchen' campaign
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: PrettyLittleThing partners with Doddle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Shop Direct delivers 43.6% profit growth as investment pays off
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Health & beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Lloyds rebrands Sainsbury's in-store pharmacies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: The Body Shop expands into Chile
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: The Fragrance Shop offers one hour delivery
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Card Factory sales grow 4.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: WH Smith performs in line with expectations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Evans Cycles' chief departs after profit slump
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Halfords retail revenues grow 4.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: JD Sports
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …eyes Go Outdoors acquisition
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …secures second Oxford Street store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Mountain Warehouse launches childrenswear for Zakti
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Sports Direct changes zero-hours contract practises
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Jewellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Boutique.Goldsmiths hosts Olivia Burton embossing stations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Toys and games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Hawkins Bazaar outlines five-year expansion plan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: The Toy Store eyes new UK stores despite Oxford Street closure
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Retail footfall dips 0.4% in July
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Retail sales rise 3.6% in July
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Retail sales slow in August amid Olympics hype
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: SaveTheHighStreet.org launches to 'revive' the high street
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Shop vacancies rise above 10%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Worldpay finds 'seismic' shift in consumer payment preferences

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Companies Covered

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • 99p Stores Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Amazon UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Amazon.co.uk
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Amazon.com Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Argos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Asda Group Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • ASOS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Bhs Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Brighthouse
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • British Retail Consortium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Cath Kidston Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Celesio Retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Dalziel & Pow
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • DFS Furniture Holdings Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Dixons Carphone
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Dwell
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Early Learning Centre Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • El.I.T.E
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Evans Cycles UK Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Fenwick Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Findel plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • French Connection (Retail)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Go Outdoors Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • H&M Hennes & Mauritz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Halfords Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Hawkin's Bazaar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Home Retail Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Homebase Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Hubert Burda Media
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Hunkemöller
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • IKEA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • J. Choo Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • JD Sports Fashion plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • John Lewis Partnership
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • John Lewis Plc (department store)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Joules
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Kingfisher Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Laura Ashley Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Laura Ashley UK (Stores)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Lloyds Pharmacy (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Mamas & Papas Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Marks & Spencer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • McColl's Retail Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Monsoon Accessorize Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Mothercare Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Mountain Warehouse Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • N Brown Group Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • notonthehighstreet.com
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Ocado
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Poundland Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Premier Foods plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • River Island Holdings Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sainsbury's Local
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Screwfix UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Shop Direct Group
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sports Direct Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sports Direct UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Steinhoff (Africa)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Steinhoff UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Tesco (UK)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Tesco Plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Body Shop (Switzerland)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Fragrance Shop
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The Sofa Workshop Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • The TJX Companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • TJX UK (TK Maxx)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Topshop old
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Under Armour, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Vodafone Europe Retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Walmart Stores (USA)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • West Cornwall Cornish Pasty Company
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • WH Smith PLC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Whittard of Chelsea
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Wm Morrison Supermarkets

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  UK Retail Briefing - September 2016

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  £295.00 (Excl.Tax)