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European Retail Briefing - October 2010

The latest retail sales data available for Europe’s top markets paints a picture of a protracted economic recovery, and of low consumer confidence as a reaction to the onset of austerity measures. Despite its solid economic position, Germany looks in danger of slipping into a familiar habit of reticence to spend, improvement in France will likely be short-lived given the reaction to austerity measures while performance in the Netherlands underlines the shaky confidence that remains. Retail sales growth in the UK is slowing while Spain and Italy will take some time to recover.

We expect little more than slow growth throughout the rest of 2010 as consumers face up to the tough times ahead.

European Retail Briefing is a monthly briefing providing news and analysis that includes company results, store openings, cross-border moves, M & A activities, executive changes and property developments. Additionally each month, European Retail Briefing focuses on a key issue or specific European retail sector. The month's retail news is then analysed sector by sector, making this an invaluable resource for all with an interest in the European retail industry.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • In defence of the familiar brand
      • If it ain't broke?
        • 'Modern, sexy, cool,' that isn't
          • Adapt or die? Market leaders do just that
          • Headlines of the Month

            • Food retailers
              • Clothing retailers
                • Mixed goods retailing
                  • DIY retailing
                    • Furniture
                      • Economy
                      • Retail Sales Review

                        • Key points
                          • France
                            • Figure 1: France: Retail sales trends, 2009-10
                          • Inflation
                            • Figure 2: France: Inflation, 2009-10
                          • Germany
                            • Figure 3: Germany: Retail sales trends, 2009-10
                          • Inflation
                            • Figure 4: Germany: Inflation, 2009-10
                          • Italy
                            • Figure 5: Italy: Retail sales trends, 2009-10
                          • Inflation
                            • Figure 6: Italy: Inflation, 2009-10
                          • Netherlands
                            • Figure 7: The Netherlands: Retail sales trends, 2009-10
                          • Inflation
                            • Figure 8: The Netherlands: Inflation, 2009-10
                          • Spain
                            • Figure 9: Spain: Retail sales trends, 2009-10
                          • Inflation
                            • Figure 10: Spain: Inflation, 2009-10
                          • UK
                            • Figure 11: Retail sales trends, 2009-10
                          • Inflation
                            • Figure 12: UK: Annual percentage change in Retail Price Index for selected product groups, 2009-10
                        • European Retail Handbook

                            • Pan-European comparison
                              • Population
                                • Figure 13: Europe: Population, by country, 2009
                              • Consumer expenditure
                                • Figure 14: Europe: Consumer expenditure, by country and per capita, 2009
                              • Retail sales
                                • Figure 15: Europe: Retail sales, by country and per capita, 2009
                              • Hungary
                                • The Hungarian retail scene
                                  • Hungary in figures
                                    • Population
                                      • Figure 17: Hungary: Population trends, 2006-10
                                      • Figure 18: Hungary: Population, by age group and gender, 2008
                                      • Figure 19: Hungary: Population, by region, 2005-09
                                    • Economy
                                      • Figure 20: Hungary: Gross domestic product, 2000-09
                                      • Figure 21: Hungary: Consumer prices, 2005-09
                                      • Figure 22: Hungary: Consumer expenditure, 2000-09
                                      • Figure 23: Hungary: Detailed breakdown of consumer expenditure per capita, 2004-08
                                    • Hungarian retailing in figures
                                      • Figure 24: Hungary: Retail sales, 2005-10
                                      • Figure 25: Hungary: Retail sales breakdown, 2005-09
                                      • Figure 26: Hungary: Retail outlets, 2005-09
                                      • Figure 27: Hungary: Retail enterprises by number of shops, 2004-08
                                      • Figure 28: Hungary: Average retail space, 2005-09
                                      • Figure 29: Hungary: Identified leading retailers in Hungary, 2009/10
                                    • Legislative and property issues in Hungarian retailing
                                      • Shopping hours
                                        • Property matters
                                          • Figure 30: Hungary: Leading shopping centres, 2010
                                        • Contacts and sources
                                        • Prada

                                            • Figure 31: Prada Holding NV: Group share of global luxury market, 2005-09
                                          • Strategic evaluation
                                            • Strength in its brands
                                              • Debt to impact on expansion
                                                • IPO or takeover?
                                                  • Recent history
                                                    • Financial performance
                                                        • Figure 32: Prada Holding NV: Financial data, 2006/07-2009/10
                                                        • Figure 33: Prada Holding NV: Estimated sales, by region, 2007/08 and 2009/10
                                                      • Store portfolio
                                                        • Brand offering
                                                          • Prada
                                                            • Miu Miu
                                                              • Luna Rossa
                                                                • Church’s Shoes
                                                                  • Product offer
                                                                    • Operational issues
                                                                      • e-commerce and home shopping
                                                                      • News Analysis

                                                                        • Grocers
                                                                          • France: Carrefour plans store investment
                                                                            • UK: Aldi posts £54 million loss
                                                                              • UK: Asda
                                                                                • … invests £100 million in own-brand
                                                                                  • … loses grocery share
                                                                                    • … in the clear for takeover of Netto
                                                                                      • UK: Grocers fight for Netto stores
                                                                                        • UK: Iceland founder offers £1 billion to regain company
                                                                                          • UK: Sainsbury’s
                                                                                            • … plans Chinese expansion
                                                                                              • … like-for-likes up 2.9%
                                                                                                • … expands Taste the Difference
                                                                                                  • … opens largest UK store
                                                                                                    • UK: Tesco
                                                                                                      • … advances in Carrefour auction
                                                                                                        • … chief makes China vow
                                                                                                          • … profits climb 12.5%
                                                                                                            • … targets online expansion
                                                                                                              • … targets record Halloween
                                                                                                                • … to launch Baby World
                                                                                                                  • UK: Waitrose
                                                                                                                    • … introduces eco-friendly packaging
                                                                                                                      • … to match Tesco
                                                                                                                        • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                                          • Italy: Prada considers Hong Kong listing
                                                                                                                            • Spain: Sales grow for Inditex
                                                                                                                              • UK: Alexon posts profit rise
                                                                                                                                • UK: Confetti finds a buyer
                                                                                                                                  • UK: Evans launches Style369
                                                                                                                                    • UK: Fashion retailers face cotton price pressure
                                                                                                                                      • UK: Forever 21 to make UK debut
                                                                                                                                        • UK: French Connection ‘back on track’
                                                                                                                                          • UK: GIVe exits Regent Street
                                                                                                                                            • UK: H&M
                                                                                                                                              • … delays growth
                                                                                                                                                • … opens online shop
                                                                                                                                                  • UK/Italy: Jaeger expands to Italy
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Kate Spade to make UK retail debut
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Laura Ashley plans standalone fashion
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Matalan chief exec to stand down
                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Moss Bros sees losses soar
                                                                                                                                                            • UK: New Look delays public offering
                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Next
                                                                                                                                                                • … agrees Sears deal
                                                                                                                                                                  • … meets profit forecasts
                                                                                                                                                                    • … to have sale this weekend
                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Peacocks calls off sale
                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Primark raises sales forecast
                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Ralph Lauren to open its first Rugby store in the UK
                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Retailers plan VAT rise
                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: River Island
                                                                                                                                                                                • … family trust pays out £611 million dividend
                                                                                                                                                                                  • … sees profits fall
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Supergroup posts strong sales
                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Ted Baker sees profits rise
                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: To Let – London Designer Outlet
                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Uniqlo expects profit fall
                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: White Stuff records sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Brantano unveils growth plans
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Kurt Geiger sees profits soar
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Office attracts potential buyers
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Mixed goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Netherlands: Hema put up for sale
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Home Bargains warns of tough times ahead
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Boots
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • … begins loyalty venture
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • … to axe 900 jobs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: M&S reports like-for-like sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Whitbread head given Kesa role
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Beales posts like-for-like sales decline
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Debenhams forecasts higher profits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Harrods boosts profits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: House of Fraser
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • … considers new openings
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • … posts sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • … extends price-matching policy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • … posts strong sales and earnings
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • … sees sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • … to launch mobile phone website
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Germany: Hornbach sales up 3.6%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK/international: Kingfisher
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • … aims for overseas growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • … sees 23% profit rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Topps Tiles forecasts sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Wickes like-for-likes grow 0.6%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Best Buy plans new stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Comet posts sales surge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Phones4U attracts interest
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Blockbuster UK profits up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Game posts £18 million loss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • IKEA posts sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Dunelm
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • … posts sales growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • … reports profit rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Amazon bids for Lovefilm
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Findel appoints new chief executive
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Ideal Shopping returns to black
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: JP Boden reports sales rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Park Group reports strong sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Card Factory appoints development director
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: JD Sports Fashion posts profit rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: JJB Sports cuts losses
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: LGV Capital buys Snow & Rock
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Toys and games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Toy retailers sweep up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Specialist retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Halfords profits to rise 12%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Europe: European retail sales decline

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        European Retail Briefing - October 2010

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