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Manned Security - UK - November 2019

“The manned security sector has remained resilient, growing by 2.1% in value in 2019. The growth of the leisure economy played an important role in retaining the sector’s growth in the face of Brexit-related uncertainty in the wider economy, which the sector relies on for demand.
Moving forward, the sector must address issues regarding profitability in order to remain sustainable in the long term, something that can be achieved through the integration of digital technology to reduce costs, and sectoral co-ordination to set minimum expectations regarding costs to clients.”

- Francesco Salau, B2B Analyst

This report will look at the following areas:

  • Rising costs and competition are evaporating margins
  • Surge in contactless tech calls for new strategies for cash-in-transit

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Table of contents

  1. Overview

    • What you need to know
      • Covered in this Report
      • Executive Summary

          • The market
            • Market value rises holds steady in 2019
              • Figure 1: UK manned security market value, 2015-19
            • Market forecast
              • Figure 2: UK manned security market forecast, 2019-24
              • Figure 3: UK manned security market forecast by segment, 2019-24
            • Companies and brands
              • Pressure on profits is forcing strategic change
                • What we think
                • Issues and Insights

                  • Rising costs and competition are evaporating margins
                    • The facts
                      • The implications
                        • Surge in contactless tech calls for new strategies for cash-in-transit
                          • The facts
                            • The implications
                            • The Market – What You Need to Know

                              • Growth sustained despite headwinds to growth
                                • Effects of a disorderly Brexit could be countered by greater demand
                                  • Custodial services is set to surpass cash-in-transit by 2022
                                  • Market Size

                                    • Manned security market sustains growth in the face of headwinds
                                      • Figure 4: UK manned security market value, 2015-19
                                  • Market Segmentation

                                    • Rise in custodial services continues in 2019
                                      • Figure 5: UK manned security market segmentation, 2015-19
                                    • Custodial services
                                      • Cash-in-transit
                                        • Manned guarding
                                        • Market Forecast

                                          • Manned security buoyed up by necessity of Brexit damage limitation
                                            • Figure 6: UK manned security market forecast, 2019-24
                                          • Falling cash payments to drag cash-in-transit behind custodial services
                                            • Figure 7: UK manned security market forecast by segment, 2019-24
                                            • Figure 8: Total value of banknotes in circulation, 2014-19
                                        • Market Trends

                                          • Use of ATMs
                                            • Figure 9: Number of Link ATMs, 2010-H1 2019
                                            • Figure 10: Volume of transactions (including ‘on-us’ transactions), millions, Q1 2016-19
                                          • Prison population
                                            • Figure 11: UK prison population projections, 2019-23
                                          • Wholesale and retail crime jumps sharply again in 2018
                                            • Figure 12: Number of incidents of crime per 1,000 business premises by sector, excluding all fraud, 2012-18
                                        • Market Drivers

                                          • Falling relevance of cash
                                            • Figure 13: Number of UK cash payments, billions, 2015-22
                                          • Thin margins are driving industry polarisation
                                            • Minimum wage increases
                                              • Figure 14: National minimum wage, £ per hour, April 2016-19
                                          • Companies and Brands – What You Need to Know

                                            • Industry structure remains polarised
                                              • Margins remain constrained by competition and importance of cash
                                              • Industry Structure

                                                  • Changes in industry structure
                                                    • Figure 15: Analysis of the changes in private security activities, number of outlets and businesses, 2015-19
                                                    • Figure 16: Analysis of the changes in security systems service activities, number of outlets and businesses, 2015-19
                                                  • Structure by employment
                                                    • Figure 17: Analysis of the employment structure of private security activities, 2018-19
                                                    • Figure 18: Analysis of the employment structure of security system service activities, 2018-19
                                                  • Structure by turnover
                                                    • Figure 19: Analysis of the financial structure of private security activities, £000, 2018-19
                                                    • Figure 20: Analysis of the financial structure of security system services activities, £’000, 2018-19
                                                • Company Profiles

                                                  • GEOAmey PECS
                                                      • Figure 21: Financial analysis of GEOAmey PECS, 2015-19
                                                    • G4S Cash Solutions (UK)
                                                        • Figure 22: Financial analysis of G4S Cash Solutions (UK), 2014-18
                                                      • Loomis UK
                                                          • Figure 23: Financial analysis of Loomis UK, 2014-18
                                                        • Mitie
                                                            • Figure 24: Financial analysis of Mitie (security division), 2016-19
                                                          • Securitas Security Services UK
                                                              • Figure 25: Financial analysis of Securitas Security Services UK, 2014-18
                                                          • Appendix – Data Sources, Abbreviations and Supporting Information

                                                              • Abbreviations
                                                                • Methodology
                                                                • Further Sources and Contacts

                                                                  • Trade associations
                                                                    • Trade magazines
                                                                      • Trade events

                                                                      Manned Security - UK - November 2019

                                                                      £995.00 (Excl.Tax)