This Market Dynamics report features market data extracted from Mintel’s China Ice Cream Market Report 2025. Giving you direct access to key market information and analysis from our category experts. This report is ideal for those looking for a topline summary of the China ice cream market. The full report is available to purchase here.
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The market
- Market factors
- Macroeconomic indicators (H1 2025)
- Spending remains cautious as various alternatives divert demand from ice cream
- Milk price cuts attract new players, unlock fresh growth opportunities
- Graph 1: average purchase price of wholesale milk in major production regions, 2021-25
- In an era of heatwaves, ice cream brands pivot to refreshing formats and cold chain upgrades
- As births rise, ice cream stands to benefit from a growing child population
- Graph 2: population age structure, 2019-23
- Market size and forecast
- Key market indicators
- Market shows signs of recovery, with modest growth expected ahead
- Graph 3: best- and worst-case forecast for retail value sales of ice cream, 2020-2030
- Market shows signs of recovery, with modest growth expected ahead
- Graph 4: best- and worst-case forecast for retail volume sales of ice cream, 2020-2030
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The consumer
- Overview of consumption trends
- Penetration rate nears saturation while high-frequency consumption has yet to break through
- Graph 5: changes in high-frequency consumption and penetration rates of ice cream, 2024 vs 2025
- Graph 6: ice cream consumption frequency, by format, 2025
- Packaged ice cream still centres around 25-39s, married consumers
- Graph 7: ice cream consumption frequency – once a week or more, by gender/age/family structure/age of children in household, 2025
- Differentiating packaged ice cream with cleaner, lighter appeal
- Graph 8: consumption barriers for packaged ice cream, 2025
- Graph 9: consumption barriers for packaged sugar confectionery and chocolate, 2025
- Falling prices raise the bar for consumer-aligned pricing strategies
- Children’s ice cream should delight kids but must impress parents
- Tap into potential of children’s segment by meeting parental demand for top-quality milk
- Graph 10: desired health attributes of packaged ice cream, by age of child(ren) in household, 2024
- Boost family consumption with better product communication and clear, trustworthy information
- Graph 11: consumption barriers for packaged ice cream – concerns about additives, by family structure, 2025
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Appendix – market size and forecast, research methodology and abbreviations
- Market size and forecast
- Methodology: consumer survey
- TURF analysis methodology
- Methodology: price sensitivity analysis
- Methodology: Flavourscape AI
- Abbreviations
About Mintel Market Dynamics
Mintel’s Market Dynamics reports are built from Mintel’s robust market size data. We pair these comprehensive market statistics with unparalleled market intelligence to offer deep insights into the dynamic landscapes of key markets across the world.
Created by our team of expert analysts, Market Dynamics connects the dots between market forecasts, consumer sentiment, and brand innovations to give you the full story of how your market is evolving and what your next move should be.
How can Market Dynamics help your brand?
- Gain immediate strategic clarity with quality market data and forecasts.
- Understand the ‘why’ behind industry trends with world-class human insight.
- Plot your next move with analysis of the competitive landscape and product launch activity.
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