2024
8
Canadian Consumers and the Economic Outlook 2024
2024-02-27T16:04:54+00:00
REP69D1B991_8047_477C_BFAC_257F0CBF000F
4995
170934
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Report
en_GB
Rising interest rates have been felt by consumers, forcing cutbacks in spend and a focus on debt. Optimistic outlooks persist, sustaining hope for growth in 2024. Patrick Rahlfs, Senior…
Canada
Financial Planning and Advice
simple

Canadian Consumers and the Economic Outlook 2024

Rising interest rates have been felt by consumers, forcing cutbacks in spend and a focus on debt. Optimistic outlooks persist, sustaining hope for growth in 2024.

Patrick Rahlfs, Senior Research Analyst

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  1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    • What you need to know
    • Consumer trends: key takeaways
    • Moderate changes are common as consumers feel the pinch
    • Graph 1: changes in managing finances due to inflation, 2023
    • Consumers tighten their belts, but remain optimistic about the near-term future
    • Graph 2: financial outlook for next 12 months, 2023
    • 35-54 year olds juggle leisure and loans
    • Graph 3: use of extra money to pay off debt, by age, 2023
    • Opportunities
    • Act upon young consumers' investment ambitions
    • Questrade seeks to make investing less complicated
    • Combined accounts can address new Canadians' goals
    • National Bank of Canada offers newcomer-specific benefits
  2. Consumer Insights

    • Effects of inflation on finances
    • 60% of consumers have made at least moderate changes due to inflation
    • Graph 4: changes in managing finances due to inflation, 2023
    • Lower-income segments have been most affected by inflation
    • Graph 5: changes in managing finances due to inflation, by household income, 2023
    • Major changes due to inflation peaked among 25-34 year olds
    • Graph 6: changes in managing finances due to inflation, by age, 2023
    • Most new Canadians made at least moderate changes due to inflation
    • Graph 7: changes in managing finances due to inflation, by new Canadians, 2023
    • More than 50% of South Asian consumers have made moderate changes due to inflation
    • Graph 8: changes in managing finances due to inflation, by race, 2023
    • Spending behaviors
    • Consumers hope to have finished cutting back on spending, look to invest more
    • Graph 9: savings and spending behaviors and plans, 2023
    • Travel plans may shift from domestic to international
    • Graph 10: travel and large purchase behaviors and plans, 2023
    • Young consumers have the most desire to increase investments
    • Graph 11: putting more money into investments, by age, 2023
    • While plans to invest are unanimous, ability to invest differs by income
    • Graph 12: putting more money into investments, by household income, 2023
    • 35-54 year olds have cut back on spend, but hope to be done
    • Graph 13: cutting back on my overall spending, by age, 2023
    • New Canadians look to save and invest
    • Graph 14: plans to add more to savings and investments, by new Canadians, 2023
    • Debt reduction remains a key focus for struggling consumers
    • Graph 15: reducing non-mortgage debts, by financial situation, 2023
    • Use of extra money
    • Saving is the distinct top priority for extra money
    • Graph 16: use of extra money, 2023
    • Young consumers turn to gifts and entertainment, while dining and travel skew older
    • Graph 17: use of extra money, by age, 2023
    • Debt is a key focus for 35-54 year olds
    • Graph 18: use of extra money to pay off debt, by age, 2023
    • Higher earners balance debt with other necessities
    • Travel and investment are heavily income-dependent
    • Graph 19: use of extra money toward travel and investments, by household income, 2023
    • Past and future financial outlook
    • More consumers are worse-off compared to last year
    • Graph 20: financial situation now vs a year ago, 2023
    • Nearly half of 45-54 year olds are worse-off
    • Graph 21: financial situation now vs a year ago, by age, 2023
    • Inflation concern waned toward the end of 2023
    • Graph 22: rising prices as top-three concern for next 6 months, 2022-23
    • The most common inflation-impacted categories are normalizing
    • Graph 23: effects of inflation, 2023
    • Younger consumers are the most optimistic
    • Graph 24: financial outlook for next 12 months, by age, 2023
  3. State of the economy

    • The Canadian economy contracted in Q3 2023
    • Graph 25: quarterly real GDP growth, 2021-23
    • Policy rate sits at 5% heading into 2024
    • Graph 26: policy interest rate, by month, 2020-24
    • Inflation has subsided, but remains over 3%
    • Graph 27: CPI change over last 12 months, 2020-23
    • Credit card interest rates have risen, reflecting policy rates
    • Graph 28: average purchase regular APR in credit card acquisition direct mail, 2020-23
    • Low rates on intro periods will be valued in 2024
    • Unemployment ticked up toward the end of 2023
    • Graph 29: unemployment rate, 2020-23
  4. Appendix

    • Consumer Research Methodology
    • Generations
    • Abbrevations and terms

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