Germany enters 2026 with its economy in a holding pattern; labour market weakness is severe, and about half of industry associations are bracing for layoffs. Looking forward, government investment is…
Germany
Financial Services
simple
Germany Consumers and the Economic Outlook: 2026
"Germans' ongoing cost-of-living concerns and a weak labour market dampen consumer confidence. Brands that break new ground to strengthen loyalty will secure future spending."
Dr. Jennifer Hendricks, Principal Analyst - Consumer Lifestyles, Germany
Collapse All
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
What you need to know
Economic outlook
Opportunities
Break new ground to strengthen brand loyalty
Keep Gen Zs engaged, despite their fading optimism
Capitalise on Germans’ foodservice participation
THE MARKET
Economic growth remains subdued
Graph 1: key economic data, in real terms, 2020-27
Private consumption indicates a downward trend
Graph 2: household final consumption expenditure, price, seasonally and calendar adjusted, 2024-25
Inflation settles above the 2% target, while cost-of-living pressures remain an issue
Financial confidence remains restrained
Graph 3: current financial situation, 2025
Labour market outlook is gloomy
Graph 4: unemployment rate, original value, 2022-25
THE CONSUMER
Discretionary spending habits and priorities
Cutbacks on overall spending are prevalent…
…making it crucial for brands to help consumers justify their spending
Eating out is a welcome escape from everyday stress
Explore further opportunities to tap into Germans’ spending priorities
Graph 5: discretionary spending categories on which consumers would most want to continue to spend if they had to make cuts in their overall spending (top 4), 2025
Be aware of younger generations’ increased propensity to save
Graph 6: consumers who add more money to their savings compared to a year ago as a result of the current German economic situation, by generation, 2025
Changes in financial activity plans show a mixed picture
Consumer concerns
The cost of living and international security are Germans’ biggest concerns
How brands can create stability amidst global challenges
A downbeat national mood is fueling concerns
Graph 7: issues about which consumers are currently most concerned (selected aspects), by perceptions of a bad mood in German society, 2025
Older Germans are more concerned about climate change
Address older Germans’ climate concerns by highlighting their power as role models
Expected economic changes over the next year
Cost-of-living expectations show no improvement
Expectations for macro issues are pessimistic…
Graph 8: expected economic changes over the next year or so – NET, 2025
…as the new German government fails to regain trust
Global trade turmoil dampens future outlook
Engage younger Germans with #madeineurope
Expectations for personal situation in 2026
Most Germans expect to maintain their current standard of living…
…as the majority expects their finances to remain stable, or even improve
Graph 9: expected personal changes over the next year or so – NET, 2025
Gen Zs have lost some of their optimism…
Graph 10: personal changes over the next year or so – NET – expected by Gen Z, 2024
Graph 11: personal changes over the next year or so – NET – expected by Gen Z, 2025
…as they navigate the transition to adulthood amidst economic challenges
Explore ways to capitalise on consumers’ spending expectations
INNOVATION AND MARKETING
Lufthansa plans loyalty ecosystem
Concept ideas for capitalising on older consumers’ power as role models in everyday sustainability
APPENDIX
Report scope and definitions
The consumer
Consumer research questions
Consumer research methodology
Germany’s generation groups
Abbreviations
A note on language
Germany enters 2026 with its economy in a holding pattern; labour market weakness is severe, and about half of industry associations are bracing for layoffs. Looking forward, government investment is expected to drive some recovery in GDP growth, albeit small, keeping the macro outlook cautious, rather than optimistic.
This is also reflected in consumer behaviour; 63% of Germans have cut back on their overall spending in the past year, and 44% are adding more money to their savings compared to a year ago as a result of Germany’s current economic situation. This is proof of financial stability taking precedence over non-essential purchases.
Consequently, the most significant threat here is sustained cost-of-living anxiety normalising persistent caution, which can lock in a defensive spending mentality and stall recovery in private-sector demand even if broader economic prospects begin to improve.
As brands grapple with these challenges, the greatest opportunity lies in securing brand loyalty, for example by redefining value with loyalty ecosystems and non-monetary incentives that reinforce brand connections and lay the foundation to boost future spending.
This Report Looks at the Following Areas:
Consumer spending habits and areas of spending they are most keen to prioritise
Expected economic and social changes over the next year
Things consumers are currently most concerned about
Behaviours and expectations for 2026
Attitudes towards the current economic situation
Things consumers are most looking forward to in 2026
Instant delivery when paying by credit card, invoice orders may take longer
Save up to 20% when you purchase multiple reports
Save 10% when you purchase two reports together.
Save 15% when you purchase three reports together.
Save 20% when your purchase four or more together.
Discount automatically applied at checkout
Need help before you buy?
Our research specialists can answer your questions and recommend the reports that best match your business needs.
We use Mintel Reports, mostly for financial services and ecommerce markets, plus a few retail and technology ones.
As a leading payments provider, we value additional insights into consumer behaviour, opinions and trends that are shaping the many different markets we operate in. Mintel is a very good and very quick way for us to obtain those insights.
We use Mintel to get a view on where a particular market is going, which can support us in product development and help us identify opportunities or indeed risks, it is a very useful barometer of a market’s potential.
Andrew Neeson, Market Intelligence Manager, VocaLink
At Jackman, we believe that powerful strategies are based on human insight. Mintel’s leading-edge reports and insights into consumer attitudes and behaviors are an important input as we develop and execute strategy.
Alana Gavin, VP Research and Insights, Jackman
We utilize Mintel Reports, Trends and Comperemedia to mine for insights across the numerous business verticals that Epsilon serves, such as CPG, automotive, telecom, healthcare/pharma, retail and financial services.
By integrating Mintel insight into new business opportunities, we have been able to gain the competitive edge necessary to advance partnerships with global brands and key business players.
For our organization, it’s about depth and breadth. Having one without the other doesn’t enable success in our business.
Virginia Harvey, Secondary Research Manager, Epsilon
Mintel helps us when we want to know something quickly – it provides fast answers to our questions. If we need to get a view of what’s going on in a particular market it’s very useful.
When carrying out background research, I find Mintel an excellent starting point.
The fact that it covers so many markets is a big plus for me– instead of having to buy specialist products in each area we are interested in, especially when we only require a brief view on a particular market, we can go to Mintel for help as a one-stop shop. I find Mintel a useful and valuable resource.
Ben Zeidler, Director - Research and Analytics, Tenth Wave
When I’m investigating specific sectors I tend to use Mintel reports for their forecasting, which I’ve always found to be very accurate.
They also offer really broad and deep coverage in their reports. They are very, very detailed. For example, we were able to gain insight across a wide range of business areas from just one report, proving that Mintel is excellent value for money.
So overall, it’s the level of detail and the quality of forecasting that really stand out for me.
Rebecca Green, Market Insight Manager, Wincanton
Need help before you buy?
Our research specialists can answer your questions and recommend the reports that best match your business needs.