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Report
en_GB
The dairy alternatives category is stabilising, with uptake stagnating and future usage intentions plateauing. As a result, growth will increasingly depend on deepening engagement among existing users rather than recruiting…
Germany
Dairy and Dairy Substitute Drinks
Vegan and Plant-based
simple
Germany Dairy Alternatives Market Report 2026
"As consumption stabilises, drive engagement through new usage occasions and indulgent flavour profiles. Reinforce core nutritional benefits to address concerns about nutritional adequacy and strengthen credibility."
Hope Banks Petrikowski, Analyst – Food & Drink
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
What you need to know
Outlook for dairy alternatives
Opportunities
Expand usage occasions to lock in current category users
Use local production and social impact to leverage sustainability’s emotional appeal
Look to fibre and protein content to boost health credibility
THE MARKET
Snapshot – market size and forecast
Economic uncertainty fuels high levels of cost concern
Graph 1: concern about select topics, 2026
Sinking prices could help push a dairy revival
Graph 2: consumer price index of dairy products, 2025-26
Global trade conflict drives a strong localism
Polycrisis pushes Germans to prioritise wellbeing
Graph 3: changes in priorities compared to a year ago, 2025
Rising health motivation has a two-sided impact on dairy alternatives
Graph 4: steps taken to try to eat/drink healthily, 2026
Market size and forecast
Volume growth bottoms out in dairy alternatives
Graph 5: market size of dairy alternatives, 2020-25
Value sales continue an upward climb
Graph 6: retail value sales and forecast of dairy alternatives, 2021-31
Volume sales expected to show steady growth
Graph 7: retail volume sales and forecast of dairy alternatives, 2021-31
Plant-based drinks and yogurts see a boom
Graph 8: market value of dairy alternatives, by segment, 2023-25
Graph 9: company value shares for dairy alternatives, 2024-25
THE CONSUMER
What a stabilising consumer base means for dairy alternatives
Dairy alternative uptake has plateaued
With flatlining usage, plant-based dairy can use a refresh
Young consumers are keen on recipe-guided flavours
Use globally inspired cooking companions to further engage young category users
Dairy alternatives can tap into ready-to-eat options
Taste is a key usage driver for dairy alternatives
Explore unique flavour profiles to encourage more frequent consumption
Reshaping sustainability in dairy alternatives
Sustainability plays an emotional role in category purchasing
Organic status can bridge both eco and health motivations to broaden appeal
Localism has rising influence in dairy alternatives
Use local sourcing to connect consumers with plant-based dairy on a human level
What healthy eating intentions mean for dairy alternatives
Layering health-boosting and sustainable attributes can maximise dairy alternatives’ reach
Dairy alternatives can get back to the (nutritional) basics
Health benefits need to outweigh processing’s perceived drawbacks
Fat content plays a key role in category purchasing
Align nutrition and performance expectations across occasions
Help parents create an eco legacy with kid-friendly alternatives
PRODUCT, INNOVATION AND MARKETING
Overall dairy alternative launch innovation has slowed
Plant milk launches see a decline in launch share
Graph 10: plant-based/vegan food & drink launches, by sub-category, 2023-26
Plant-based yogurt is well-suited for the high-protein boom
Fibre claim trends leave room for consumer education
Graph 11: plant-based/vegan food & drink launches, by select plus claims, 2023-26
Domestic production and origin can reposition sustainability
Be creative with dairy alternative flavours
Graph 12: landscape of selected flavours for plant-based drinks, yogurt, ice cream and frozen yogurt, 2026
Explore out-of-the-carton flavours for adventurous consumers
APPENDIX
Market definition
The market
Forecast methodology
Forecast methodology – fan chart
Market size and forecast of dairy alternatives – value
Market size and forecast of dairy alternatives – volume
Market forecast and prediction intervals – volume
Market forecast and prediction intervals – value
Market size of dairy alternatives, by segment
Market share of dairy alternatives, by company
The consumer
Consumer research questions
Consumer research methodology – EMEA
TURF methodology
How to read: TURF analysis
Germany generation groups
Other data source methodologies
Mintel Spark
Abbreviations
A note on language – Germany
The dairy alternatives category is stabilising, with uptake stagnating and future usage intentions plateauing. As a result, growth will increasingly depend on deepening engagement among existing users rather than recruiting new ones.
Expanding usage occasions presents a clear opportunity to drive frequency. Strong interest in cooking and baking formats, alongside demand for ready-to-eat options, highlights scope for dairy alternatives to integrate more fully into everyday consumption.
At the same time, rising health motivation is creating both opportunities and challenges. While it supports category relevance, ongoing scepticism around nutrient quality and processing risks limiting engagement. Brands that focus on nutritional basics, like high protein and fibre content, and provide transparent explanations of processing will be best placed to build consumer trust.
Sustainability, while still important, is evolving into a secondary differentiator as health and taste take precedence. However, its emotional resonance remains strong. With 75% of category purchasers saying locally sourced ingredients would encourage purchase, brands that shift eco messaging towards local sourcing and production can strengthen emotional connection and enhance appeal.
This Report Looks at the Following Areas:
What stabilising consumption patterns mean for dairy alternatives, with a focus on opportunities in flavour and usage innovation
Market size and forecast for dairy alternatives, with volume growth slowing as the category matures
Sustainability’s evolving role in dairy alternatives, highlighting shifting importance for organic claims and local production
TURF analysis of key purchase differentiators for dairy alternatives and opportunities to broaden reach
Health trends in dairy alternatives, spotlighting processing and fat content’s roles in purchasing choices
Market Definitions
This Report covers products that are plant-based/vegan alternatives to traditional dairy products, including milk, yogurt, cheese, desserts, cream, quark and ice cream.
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