Overtourism is a rising concern among Germans, with 41% of travellers and potential travellers wanting travel brands to prioritise overcrowding in popular destinations, up from 28% of travellers and potential travellers in 2023. This is fuelled by local protests and travellers’ firsthand experiences with overcrowded destinations, presenting opportunities for travel brands to encourage the exploration of lesser-known destinations.
Germans are grappling with multiple crises, including high living costs, global conflicts and trade disruptions, thereby losing sight of sustainability to some extent. While price is the key holiday brand choice factor, at 69% of potential travellers, a comprehensive sustainability policy ranks last. Brands need to step up efforts to create awareness of sustainable options and make sustainable travel affordable, for example by rewarding sustainable behaviour.
While greenwashing concerns continue to rise, brands can provide clear and transparent information to build trust and empower sustainable decision-making among travellers. AI can make sustainability information more accessible, for example via AI-powered chatbots answering consumer questions. This can help travellers adopt more sustainable travel behaviours, making sustainable travel a shared effort between brands and travellers.
This report looks at the following areas:
- Overview of current market performance and forecast for the next five years
- Holiday participation and travel brand choice factors with a focus on price and sustainability
- Impact of overtourism on popular destinations and consumer concerns
- The role of communication in empowering sustainable travel decisions
- Behaviours towards sustainable holidays with a focus on greenwashing and barriers to acting sustainably
Sustainability takes a back seat compared to price amid multiple crises. Brands can bring sustainability back into consumers’ minds by rewarding sustainable behaviour.
Silvia Hondt, Senior Research Analyst
Market Definitions
This Report considers consumer and industry responses to sustainable travel, encompassing the environmental, economic and social/cultural impacts of travel. A number of related terms, including ethical and responsible travel/ tourism, have also been used throughout. Holidays refer to overnight trips of at least one night made for leisure purposes. Trips for the purpose of visiting friends and family, business or other purposes are excluded. The market size does not separately cover sustainable holidays but the total holiday market.
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- What you need to know
- Opportunities
- Market size and forecast
- Outlook
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OPPORTUNITIES
- Spark the desire to travel sustainably
- Embrace sustainability alongside today’s challenges
- Make the sustainable choice the best available offer
- Encourage sustainable behaviour
- Empower travellers to make sustainable travel choices
- Provide accessible information on your brands’ sustainability efforts…
- …and enable consumers to evaluate a holiday’s sustainability
- Guide travellers towards sustainable behaviour
- Tackle the rising challenge of overtourism
- Support popular destinations to combat overtourism
- Provide alternatives to lower pressure on popular destinations…
- …and ensure local communities benefit from tourism
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Consumer
- Past and future holiday destinations
- Germans love to travel
- Graph 1: planned holiday destinations in the next three years, 2023, 2025
- Graph 2: holiday destinations in the last three years, 2023, 2025
- Holiday brands can take the lead in creating awareness of sustainable behaviour
- Engage emerging traveller groups
- Graph 3: plans to take any holiday in the next three years, by generation, 2023, 2025
- Deliver sustainability messages to Baby Boomers
- Travel company choice factors
- Sustainability takes a back seat
- Graph 4: travel brand choice factors in the next 12 months, 2025
- Bridge the gap between sustainability intentions and actions…
- …by providing support to make holidays sustainable
- Promote affordable sustainability
- Leverage price as a key choice factor
- Simplify the booking process
- Demonstrate expertise of sustainable travel
- Ethical travel priorities
- Overtourism is a rising concern
- Graph 5: sustainability issues travel brands should prioritise, 2023, 2025
- The challenge of overcrowded destinations is ever-present…
- Graph 6: behaviours towards sustainability in travel
- …influencing travellers’ priorities
- Tap into measures limiting tourists in overcrowded destinations
- Graph 7: behaviours towards overtourism, 2025
- Address sustainable travellers’ priorities…
- Graph 8: sustainability issues travel brands should prioritise, by holiday choice factors, 2025
- …in holistic sustainability policies
- Communications regarding sustainability
- Embrace the power of communication to address travellers’ concerns
- Graph 9: useful types of information about the sustainability of a holiday, 2025
- Leverage different types of information to increase reach
- Offer holistic detailed sustainability information…
- …combined with shortcuts
- Include sustainability information in the planning and booking process…
- …inspired by the Wilder Kaiser region
- Leverage AI as a supporting tool to understand sustainability policies
- Attitudes and behaviours
- Germans grow wary of greenwashing with rising sustainability awareness
- Graph 10: behaviour towards ‘I think that many travel companies are guilty of greenwashing’, 2023, 2025
- Graph 11: behaviours towards ‘I have a good understanding of how to travel sustainably’, 2023, 2025
- Build trust in sustainable travel
- Younger travellers justify loosening eco-friendly behaviour on holiday
- Younger generations struggle to balance sustainability with enjoyment…
- …and travel brands can help them make holidays more eco-friendly
- Graph 12: behaviours towards sustainability in travel – ‘I would be willing to pay more for flights that use sustainable aviation fuel (ie SAF)’, by generation, 2025
- Graph 13: behaviours towards sustainability in travel – ‘trying to avoid short-haul flights makes me look for alternative transport before booking’, by generation, 2025
- Show travellers how they can play their part
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INNOVATION
- German tourism board provides inspiration for sustainable AI travel companion
- Train start-up Nox can be a game changer for sustainable travel through Europe
- myclimate expands to Germany with a tool fostering shared responsibilities
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MARKET
- Market drivers
- Despite slowing inflation, travellers face rising holiday prices
- Graph 14: consumer price index for travel categories, 2025
- Multiple crisis are influencing travel plans…
- …and undermining engagement in sustainable practices
- Support for eco-friendly behaviour is needed
- Graph 15: trying to act in a way that is not harmful to the environment, 2023, 2024
- Crisis overload is shifting priorities
- Travel brands need to adapt to sustainability frameworks
- Regulations are focusing on the environmental impact of airlines
- Overtourism threatens popular destinations
- Market size
- Frequent travel fuels market value growth
- Ongoing market value growth reflects the priority on holidays
- Frequent short trips fuel strong market volume growth
- Volume growth drives value growth…
- …with Germans focsuing on  short trips
- Market forecast
- Forecast – note on US trade disruption
- Impact of US trade disruption for the holiday market
- Market value continues to grow…
- Graph 16: value of domestic and international holidays taken by German residents*, 2019-30
- …with a short-term decrease in market volume
- Graph 17: volume of domestic and international holidays taken by German residents*, 2019-30
- Ongoing crises mean sustainability will continue to lack importance short-term
- Overtourism and AI will continue to shape sustainable travel mid-term
- The long-term future of travel needs to be sustainable
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APPENDIX
- Report scope and definitions
- Market definition
- Mintel’s approach to defining sustainability in travel
- Generations
- Abbreviations
- Methodology – Consumer research
- Consumer research methodology
- A note on language
- TURF analysis methodology
- TURF analysis – ‘Which of the following types of information about the sustainability of a holiday would you find useful?’
- Methodology – Market size and forecast
- Forecast methodology
- Forecast methodology – fan chart
- Market size – value
- Market size – volume
- Market forecast and prediction intervals – value
- Market forecast and prediction intervals – volume
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