Report Summary
“The RTD coffee market is expected to recover quickly and continue a double-digit growth momentum in the next five years. However, it faces threats from instant and freshly made coffee. To stay relevant, brands should catch up with the plant-based trend and continue investment in flavour innovations. At the same time, functional benefits beyond a refreshing effect should also be promoted in RTD coffee products to differentiate from other coffee types.”
– Joy Yin, Senior Research Analyst
This report will look at the following areas:
- Market growth and competitive landscape in the RTD coffee sector.
- Innovative product launches and marketing activities for RTD coffee.
- Consumers’ usage and perception towards RTD coffee and other coffee types.
- Consumers’ choice factors and perceived premium features when purchasing RTD coffee products.
- Growth strategy for RTD coffee to compete against other coffee types.
Table of Contents
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Overview
- What you need to know
- Key issues covered in this Report
- Covered in this Report
- What you need to know
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Executive Summary
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- The market
- Growth bounced back to pre-COVID levels
- Figure 1: Forecast of retail market value of RTD coffee, China, 2016-2026
- Figure 2: Forecast of retail market volume of RTD coffee, China, 2016-2026
- Companies and brands
- Nestlé leads the market where competition intensifies
- Figure 3: Market share, by leading RTD coffee players, by value, China, 2019-2021
- Innovation targets flavours and texture but on the premise of health
- The consumer
- Lower penetration and consumption frequency than instant and freshly made coffee
- Figure 4: Consumption usage, by segment penetration, 2021
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- Figure 5: Consumption usage, by consumption frequency, 2021
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- Figure 6: Consumption usage, by consumption occasion of top 3 coffee types, 2021
- Offline channels dominate, while online channels are chasing close
- Figure 7: Purchasing channels, 2021
- Taste and refreshing effects are the most important choice factors
- Figure 8: Choice factors, 2021
- Alternative sugar options are mostly wanted, while cold brew lacks market education
- Figure 9: Premiumisation features, 2021
- Plant-based is of interest, while alcoholic ingredients are not preferred
- Figure 10: Interest in innovation, 2021
- A vague line between coffee-flavoured beverage and authentic coffee
- Figure 11: Attitudes towards RTD coffee, 2021
- What we think
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Issues and Insights
- Provide functional benefits beyond refreshing effect
- The facts
- The implications
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- Figure 12: Product examples of RTD coffee with natural functional ingredients, Global, 2020
- Premiumise with reduced-sugar product varieties
- The facts
- The implications
- Figure 13: Product examples of Never Coffee, China, 2021
- Catch up with the plant-based trend from freshly made coffee
- The facts
- The implications
- Figure 14: Percent of “plant-based” claims in RTD coffee launches, Global, by country, Sep 2020-Aug 2021
- Figure 15: Product examples of plant-based RTD coffee, Global, 2021
- Provide functional benefits beyond refreshing effect
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The Market – Market Size and Forecast
- Growth momentum recovers after the pandemic
- Figure 16: Retail market value of RTD coffee, China, 2016-2026
- Premiumisation trend continues
- Figure 17: Retail market volume of RTD coffee, China, 2016-2026
- Growth momentum recovers after the pandemic
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Market Factors
- Retail consumption is recovering
- Figure 18: YoY growth (%) in retail sales of goods, China, Aug 2020-Jul 2021
- The healthy eating trend goes on
- Working hours have increased
- Demand for convenience is high
- Retail consumption is recovering
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Key Players – Market Share
- Nestlé shows clear dominance
- Other strong players
- Players in adjacent categories entered the market
- Figure 19: Market share, by leading RTD coffee players, by value, China, 2019-2021
- Figure 20: Product examples of brands in adjacent categories, China, 2020
- Nestlé shows clear dominance
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Marketing Activities
- Livestreaming ecommerce
- Figure 21: Examples of RTD coffee products on livestreaming ecommerce platforms, China, 2021
- Enhanced visual effects
- Public transportation: immersive experience
- Figure 22: Nestlé’s advertisement of its new product on the metro, China, 2021
- Packaging: artsy and cartoon designs
- Figure 23: Shan Cheng Yang Hang’s RTD coffee with specially designed package, Taiwan, 2021
- Figure 24: Nescafé x Sou·Sou Lucky Cat Limited edition, Hong Kong, 2021
- Launch peripherals to enhance brand image
- Figure 25: Nestlé Cherry Blossom Soufflé Latte’s peripherals, China, 2021
- Figure 26: Examples of Keigo x Nescafé’s peripherals, Hong Kong, 2021
- Livestreaming ecommerce
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New Product Trends
- More flavours especially in flora and fruit
- Figure 27: Percentage of flavour component groups in RTD coffee launches, China, Sep 2016-Aug 2021
- Figure 28: Product examples with floral or fruit flavours, China, 2020-2021
- The trend of reducing sugar and fat
- Figure 29: “Minus” claims of RTD coffee, China, Sep 2016-Aug 2021
- Figure 30: Product examples with reduced fat or sugar claims, China, 2020-2021
- Seasonal products are on the rise
- Figure 31: Percentage of “seasonal” claims in new RTD launches, Sep 2016-Aug 2021
- Figure 32: Product examples with seasonal claims, China, 2020-2021
- Bubbling taste emerges
- Figure 33: Product examples with sparkling taste, Global, 2021
- Figure 34: Nitro RTD coffee examples, Global, 2021
- More flavours especially in flora and fruit
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The Consumer – Consumption Usage
- Penetration is surpassed by instant and freshly made coffee
- Figure 35: Consumption usage, by segment penetration, 2021
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- Figure 36: Ranking of the penetration of different types of coffee, China, 2016-2021
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- Figure 37: Consumption usage, by segment penetration of top 3 coffee types, by city tier, 2021
- Major coffee types share similar consumer base
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- Figure 38: Consumption usage, by cross-segment penetration of top 3 coffee types, 2021
- RTD coffee has a low consumption frequency
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- Figure 39: Consumption usage, by consumption frequency, 2021
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- Figure 40: Consumption usage, by consumption frequency of RTD coffee, by income, 2021
- Consumption is more on weekdays than during weekends
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- Figure 41: Consumption usage, by consumption occasion of top 3 coffee types, 2021
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- Figure 42: Consumption usage, by consumption occasion of RTD coffee, by age, 2021
- Penetration is surpassed by instant and freshly made coffee
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Purchasing Channels
- Offline channels dominate, while online channels are chasing closely
- Figure 43: Purchasing channels, 2021
- Young consumers skew towards grab-and-go
- Figure 44: Purchasing channels – offline, by age, 2021
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- Figure 45: Purchasing channels – online, by age, 2021
- Offline channels dominate, while online channels are chasing closely
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Choice Factors
- Taste and refreshing effects are the most important attributes
- Figure 46: Choice factors, 2021
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- Figure 47: Choice factors TURF Analysis, 2021
- Sugar and fat content are not considered as important
- Figure 48: Choice factor – content of sugar and fat, by gender, 2021
- Convenience for weekdays, quality for weekends
- Figure 49: Choice factors, by consumption occasions, 2021
- Taste and refreshing effects are the most important attributes
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Premiumisation Features
- Alternative sugar options are mostly wanted in premiumisation features
- Figure 50: Premiumisation features, 2021
- Cold brew is not considered a value-add
- Figure 51: RTD coffee with “cold-brewed” claims, China, Sep 2016-Aug 2021
- “Minus” for young consumers, “plus” for older groups
- Figure 52: Premiumisation features – selected, by age, 2021
- Fortified nutrition is more attractive to heavy users
- Figure 53: Premiumisation features, by consumption frequency, 2021
- Alternative sugar options are mostly wanted in premiumisation features
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Interest in Innovation
- Plant-based gains the most interest…
- Figure 54: Interest in innovation, 2021
- …while alcoholic RTD coffee is the least welcomed
- Better served at chilled temperature
- Figure 55: Interest in innovation, by attitudes towards chilled RTD coffee, 2021
- Plant-based gains the most interest…
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Attitudes towards RTD Coffee
- Blurred perception but strong preference for coffee chains’ brands
- Figure 56: Attitudes towards RTD coffee, 2021
- Competitive advantages of more flavour choices and better value for money
- Figure 57: Attitudes towards RTD coffee – when compared with other formats of coffee products, 2021
- Target young consumers with chilled canned products
- Figure 58: Attitudes towards RTD coffee formats, 2021
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- Figure 59: Attitudes towards canned or bottled RTD coffee, by preference for chilled products, 2021
- Figure 60: Attitudes towards RTD coffee formats, by age, 2021
- Perception of sugar and caffeine content influences consumption frequency
- Figure 61: Attitudes towards RTD coffee ingredients, 2021
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- Figure 62: Attitudes towards ingredients, by consumption frequency, 2021
- Blurred perception but strong preference for coffee chains’ brands
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Appendix – Market Size and Forecast
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- Figure 63: Market value of RTD coffee, 2016-2026
- Figure 64: Market volume of RTD coffee, 2016-2026
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Appendix – Methodology and Abbreviations
- Methodology
- Abbreviations
- Methodology
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