2025
9
UK Carbonated Soft Drinks Market Report 2025
2025-04-29T15:02:41+01:00
REP7DC48949_95A6_448A_ABF1_DD2A1DE1E566
2195
181618
[{"name":"Carbonated Soft Drinks","url":"https:\/\/store.mintel.com\/industries\/drinks\/carbonated-soft-drinks"}]
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Self-treating is the top usage driver, reflecting the undeniable treat status of CSDs, with flavour being king. More surprisingly, hydration is on a par with self-treating, despite the…
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UK Carbonated Soft Drinks Market Report 2025

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UK Soft Drinks Industry Analysis

The UK carbonated soft drinks market continued to be hampered by UPF concerns and cautious spending habits in 2024. A second consecutive year of poor summer weather also took its toll. Combined, this led to a -1.1% decline in value sales. However, a long-term growth is expected over the next few years.

Mintel’s consumer research finds that self-treating is the top usage driver for soft drinks. More surprisingly, hydration is on a par with self-treating, despite the consensus that water is more hydrating than other soft drinks. Exploring enhanced hydration offers ripe potential for CSDs to better cater to this need, given the strong appeal of CSDs with hydration-boosting ingredients.

Almost half of consumers say concerns over ultra-processed food/drink have made CSDs less appealing to them, presenting a significant challenge for the category. These concerns heighten worries about artificial sweeteners and bolster consumers’ willingness to pay more for CSDs that don’t contain these ingredients, for which there are growing opportunities. The rising use of real fruit juice in CSDs helps to assuage these concerns.

UK Soft Drinks Consumer Trends

The alcohol moderation movement, which shows no sign of slowing down, is a boon for the CSDs market. To have these instead of an alcoholic drink is a leading motivation for drinking CSDs, cited by one in five drinkers. Beyond alcohol-inspired flavours, NPD around less sweet flavours, relaxing ingredients and different textures can play a key role in boosting CSDs’ appeal in this role. This can also be achieved by encouraging consumers to customise their CSDs with added ingredients.

About This Report

Key Topics Analysed in the Report

  • The impact of the cost of living crisis on value and volume sales of CSDs
  • Trends in launch activity in CSDs, and opportunities for further innovation
  • Usage of CSDs by type, including key demographics
  • Reasons for drinking carbonated soft drinks, including self-treating, hydration and relaxation, and opportunities to lean further into these needstates
  • Behaviours relating to CSDs, including interest in customising these with added ingredients and demand for more guidance on pairing these with meals
  • Attitudes towards CSDs, including the appeal of CSDs with hydration-boosting ingredients and those with less sweet flavours

Report Scope

Products covered in this report:

  • All mainstream CSDs are included in the market size. Diet carbonates are included. Mixers (including tonic water, ginger ale, soda water and bitter lemon) are included. Soda water differs from sparkling water because of the addition of sodium and its status as a mixer rather than a drink to be consumed on its own.
  • Adult soft drinks in the off-trade are provided as a separate segment and are not included in the market size under CSDs. Both carbonated and still premium or adult soft drinks are included in the segment size.

Meet the Expert Behind the Analysis

Every Mintel report is created by a dedicated analyst with deep expertise and experience in their chosen industry. So you can act with confidence, not assumptions. This report was written by Emma Clifford. Emma joined the Food and Drink team in June 2012 and is responsible for researching and writing food reports. Before joining Mintel, Emma worked as a marketing information analyst at Marketforce and gained retail experience from her time working as a fashion distributor at Debenhams head office.

More natural formulations are key to assuaging UPF concerns. Less sweet flavours, relaxing ingredients and textural NPD can boost CSDs’ role as alcohol replacements.

Emma Clifford
Associate Director – Food and Drink

Collapse All
  1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    • Opportunities for the carbonated soft drinks market
    • Lean into CSDs’ role as an alcohol alternative…
    • …through NPD and encouraging customisation
    • Offer more guidance on food pairing
    • Put food pairing inspiration directly into shoppers’ paths
    • Explore enhanced hydration
    • Market dynamics and outlook
    • Market size & forecast
    • Market predictions
    • Rising prices will keep values in healthy growth despite a lacklustre volume performance
    • Cola bucks CSDs’ volume decline in 2024
    • Graph 1: retail value and volume sales of CSDs and adult soft drinks, by segment, 2012-24
    • Retail steals share from on-premise venues, although both channels continue to see volumes fall
    • Graph 2: value sales of CSDs, by channel, 2020-24
    • Most leading brands see retail volumes decline in 2023/24; own-label makes gains
    • Graph 3: leading brands’ value sales in the CSDs retail market, 2021/22-2023/24
    • Trading down in adult soft drinks shapes performances
    • Graph 4: leading brands’ value sales in the retail adult soft drinks market, 2021/22-2023/24
    • Inflation in soft drinks slows
    • Graph 5: CPI annual rate, soft drinks and food, 2019-24
    • What consumers want and why
    • 80% of people drink CSDs; under-35s are core users
    • Graph 6: usage of CSDs, by type, 2020-24
    • CSDs enjoy frequent usage
    • Graph 7: frequency of drinking diet and non-diet CSDs, 2024
    • Self-treating and hydration are the leading usage drivers
    • Graph 8: reasons for drinking CSDs, 2024
    • Interest in customisation and demand for more food pairing guidance are widespread
    • Graph 9: behaviours relating to CSDs, 2024
    • Opportunities around hydration-boosting ingredients and less sweet flavours
    • Graph 10: attitudes towards CSDs, 2024
    • Innovation and marketing
    • A rise in better-for-you NPD in 2024
    • Graph 11: share of CSD launches featuring functional and fortified claims , 2020-24
    • Flavour NPD continues to be abundant
    • Adspend stabilised in 2024 following 2023 drop
    • Graph 12: ATL, online display and direct mail advertising expenditure on CSDs, by advertiser, 2021-25
  2. MARKET DYNAMICS

    • Market size
    • Impact of income squeeze continues to take a toll on CSDs…
    • Graph 13: total value and volume sales of CSDs, 2019-24
    • …as do UPF concerns
    • Poor summer also hampers the market
    • Market forecast
    • Rising prices will keep values in healthy growth…
    • …despite a lacklustre volume performance
    • Volumes to pick up over the two years, then stall
    • Challenges and opportunities around health and the DRS
    • Value growth driven by inflation, premiumisation and trading up
    • Market segmentation
    • Cola and adult soft drinks buck the volume decline in 2024
    • Graph 14: retail value and volume sales of CSDs and adult soft drinks, by segment, 2012-24
    • Key brands drive cola’s rise and crushes’ fall
    • Channels to market
    • Volumes in both channels continue to fall
    • Graph 15: volume sales of CSDs, by channel, 2020-24
    • Graph 16: value sales of CSDs, by channel, 2020-24
    • Retail steals share from on-premise venues
    • Market share
    • Most leading brands see volumes decline in 2023/24
    • Graph 17: leading brands’ value sales in the CSDs retail market, 2021/22-2023/24
    • Pepsi Max was the star performer among the cola brands
    • Rubicon posts stellar growth, while other fruit-flavoured CSDs struggle
    • J2O loses share in adult soft drinks; Appletiser and own-label continue to make gains
    • Graph 18: leading brands’ value sales in the retail adult soft drinks market, 2021/22-2023/24
    • Market drivers
    • Real wage growth continues, but many consumers are still catching up
    • Graph 19: CPI inflation rate and total pay growth rate, 2021-25
    • Subdued financial wellbeing threatens the on-premise channel
    • Graph 20: the financial wellbeing index, 2016-25
    • Consumer confidence for the year ahead weakened in 2024
    • Graph 21: the financial confidence index, 2016-25
    • Inflation in soft drinks slows
    • Graph 22: CPI annual rate, soft drinks and food, 2019-24
    • Strong consumer interest in healthy eating
    • Graph 23: how often people try to eat healthily, 2018-24
    • Scrutiny on UPFs dampens CSDs’ appeal
    • Spotlight on blood sugar is another blow for sugary CSDs
    • Graph 24: Google searches for blood sugar, 2022-24
    • Increased alcohol moderation presents opportunities for CSDs
    • Graph 25: alcohol reduction and non-usage*, 2022-24
    • Interest in sustainability to gain ground as income pressures ease
    • DRS postponed until 2027
    • The UK’s ageing population warrants attention
    • Graph 26: population, by age, 2020, 2025 and 2030
  3. WHAT CONSUMERS WANT AND WHY

    • Usage of CSDs
    • 80% of people drink CSDs; half drink both diet and non-diet versions
    • Graph 27: usage of CSDs, by type, 2020-24
    • Attitudes towards aspartame influence CSD choice
    • Graph 28: usage of non-diet and diet/light CSDs, by agreement with the statement “It’s fine to drink carbonated soft drinks containing aspartame”, 2024
    • CSDs enjoy high usage frequency
    • Graph 29: frequency of drinking diet and non-diet CSDs, 2024
    • Under-35s remains core users
    • Graph 30: usage of CSDs at least once a day, by age, 2024
    • Financial health has limited impact on CSDs usage
    • Graph 31: overall and daily usage of CSDs, by type and age, 2024
    • Reasons for drinking CSDS
    • Self-treating and hydration are the leading usage drivers
    • Graph 32: reasons for drinking CSDs, 2024
    • Self-treating is leading usage driver for under-35s
    • Pepsi leans strongly into the treating angle
    • Scope for more tie-ups with sweet treat brands
    • Look to textural NPD to elevate treat assocations
    • Pepsi Nitro highlights textural NPD won’t work for all brands
    • The addition of real fruit can add textural interest and a better-for-you angle
    • International launches providing textural inspiration for CSDs
    • Flavour exploration is a key driver for under-35s
    • Small formats can foster more experimenting
    • The alcohol market provides inspiration for making smaller formats standout
    • As a leading usage driver, relaxation should be a bigger focus for CSD brands
    • TV/film tie-ups would fit well with a marketing angle around winding down
    • Explore ingredients with links to relaxation
    • Encourage relaxation-promoting activities
    • Behaviours relating to CSDs
    • Most drinkers are interested in adding extra ingredients to their CSDs
    • Graph 33: behaviours relating to CSDs, 2024
    • Encourage people to customise their CSDs
    • Customisation can help CSDs diversity their usage occasions
    • “Pimped up” CSDs can appeal more as alcohol alternatives
    • As a key usage occasion, meal times have been a focus for leading CSD braands
    • Widespread demand for more guidance on food pairing
    • Global CSDs can tap Brits’ love affair with global cuisine
    • Jarritos leverages its authentic Mexican roots to grow a global presence
    • In-store activations put inspiration directly into shoppers’ paths
    • Examples of in-store activations bringing together CSDs and food
    • On-pack messaging can also effectively drive recommendations
    • Attitudes towards CSDs
    • Hydration-boosting ingredients can elevate CSDs’ appeal
    • Graph 34: attitudes towards CSDs, 2024
    • Hydration-boosting ingredients can elevate CSDs’ appeal
    • Despite emphasis on hydration, many struggle to keep hydrated
    • Look to hydration-boosting ingredients
    • International examples of CSDs with a hydration twist
    • Punchy Drinks brings enhanced hydration to CSDs
    • Less sweet flavours can boost CSDs’ role as alcohol replacements
    • Look to non-sweet flavours from popular alcoholic drinks
    • Less sweet flavours can also address concerns over sugar and sweeteners
  4. INNOVATION AND MARKETING TRENDS

    • Launch activity and innovation
    • Flavour NPD is a crucial usage driver
    • NPD continues to add elements of mystery to spark interest
    • Coca-Cola Happy Tears
    • The indulgent flavour trend gathers pace…
    • …with retro flavours featuring within this trend
    • New fruity flavours flood the market in 2024/25
    • Fruit flavours dominate in the emerging flavour space
    • Alcohol-inspired flavours look to capitalise on alcohol moderation
    • Seasonal occasions continue to inspire flavour launches
    • A jump in launches with 2.5 grams of sugar or less in 2024
    • Graph 35: CSDs launches by sugar content per 100ml, 2020-24
    • Half of launches are L/N/R calorie
    • Graph 36: share of CSD launches featuring ‘minus’ claims, 2020-24
    • San Pellegrino launches new Zero Sugar range
    • A rise in functional NPD in 2024
    • Graph 37: share of CSD launches featuring functional and fortified claims, 2020-24
    • Launches targeting interest in gut health in 2024-25
    • More launches in the relaxation space
    • The G Spot brand breaks into the mainstream
    • Launches featuring real fruit juice are on the rise
    • Launches containing real fruit juice
    • Advertising and marketing activity
    • Adspend stabilised in 2024 following 2023 drop
    • Graph 38: ATL, online display and direct mail advertising expenditure on CSDs, by advertiser, 2021-25
    • Pepsi supports rebrand and launches new global football-focused campaign
    • Pepsi’s “Where There’s a Ball There’s A Way” advert
    • Coca-Cola’s AI-generated Christmas campaign sparks controversy
    • Coca-Cola’s AI-generated The Holiday Magic is Coming advert
    • Diet Coke continued to drive the “unapologetically you” theme in 2024
    • Coca-Cola GB unveils Beetlejuice-inspired Halloween campaign for Fanta
    • Tango continues to push its Get Tango’d message
    • Dr Pepper also looks to humour in latest ad, celebrating the power of weird
    • Rubicon unveils “Release the Sunshine” summer campaign
  5. APPENDIX

    • Advertising and marketing activity
    • ATL, online display and direct mail advertising expenditure on CSDs, by advertiser
    • Market segmentation
    • Retail value sales of CSDs and adult soft drinks, by type
    • Retail volume sales of CSDs and adult soft drinks, by type
    • Channels to market
    • Sales of CSDs, by channel
    • Market share
    • UK: leading brands’ sales and shares in the retail CSDs market, by value
    • UK: leading brands’ sales and shares in the retail CSDs market, by volume
    • UK: leading manufacturers’ sales and shares in the retail CSDs market, by value
    • UK: leading manufacturers’ sales and shares in the retail CSDs market, by volume
    • UK: leading brands’ sales and shares in the retail adult soft drinks market, by value
    • UK: leading brands’ sales and shares in the retail adult soft drinks market, by volume
    • UK: leading manufacturers’ sales and shares in the retail adult soft drinks market, by value
    • UK: leading manufacturers’ sales and shares in the retail adult soft drinks market, by volume
    • Market forecast data and methodology
    • Value market forecast for carbonated soft drinks
    • Volume market forecast for carbonated soft drinks
    • Market forecast and prediction intervals (value)
    • Market forecast and prediction intervals (volume)
    • Forecast methodology
    • Forecast – note on US trade disruption
    • Report scope and definitions
    • Market definition
    • Abbreviations and terms
    • Consumer research methodology
    • Infegy Atlas – coverage
    • Interpreting the Flavourscape AI map
    • Nielsen Ad Intel coverage

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