2024
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UK Chocolate Confectionery Market Report 2024
2024-09-25T12:06:14+00:00
REPA0BD3D26_8C3E_43ED_A908_FDB314F51FF0
2195
176147
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Steep rises in the price of chocolate have hit chocolate buyers in the pocket. For 50% of eaters/buyers, it encourages switching to cheaper own-label products.

UK Chocolate Confectionery Market Report 2024

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Gain fresh insights into the chocolate confectionery market in the UK with this report. Answer what consumers want from chocolate with the data-backed analysis provided by this report. Below, we’ve provided the market landscape and some key statistics.

UK Chocolate Confectionery Market – Current Landscape

Steep rises in the price of chocolate have hit chocolate buyers in the pocket. For 50% of eaters/buyers, it encourages switching to cheaper own-label products. In reality though, any shift to buying own-label chocolate is on a much smaller scale. However, between 2022 and 2024, own-label increased its share of everyday chocolate volume sales, leaving branded sales vulnerable if they need to increase their prices further.

Buying premium chocolate(s) for oneself is widespread among 59% of chocolate eaters/buyers. This highlights the importance of NPD and marketing messages for premium chocolate to encourage self-treating. Those buying premium chocolate(s) for themselves are more likely to think a unique flavour signals premium (41%).

Combining two or more flavours in one chocolate bar remains highly warranted, as this appeals to two thirds of chocolate eaters/buyers. Interest is highest among younger people, ie 79% of 25-34 year olds vs 37% of over-65s. This can be achieved by combining two or more different fillings in one bar, or dividing bars/blocks into more than one flavour.

UK Chocolate Confectionery – Market Statistics

  • UK chocolate confectionery market share: In everyday chocolate sales, the five biggest chocolate manufacturers accounted for 70% of total retail sales in 2023/24. MondelÄ“z is the biggest of these five, with almost a third of the market share. Outside of these five manufacturers, Tony’s Chocolonely was the standout, with a significant increase in value sales in 2023/24.
  • UK chocolate confectionery consumption statistics: 95% of UK adults eat chocolate, demonstrating continued acceptance and usage. Younger adults (16-24) are the most frequent chocolate eaters, with over half eating four or more times per week. This is likely due to younger consumers’ elevated snacking habits.
  • UK chocolate confectionery preferences: Almost two-thirds of UK chocolate buyers find two or more flavours in a chocolate bar appealing. Caramel is a popular flavour not just as a standalone filling, but when combined with other fillings, too. Other flavours should not be ignored, however, as praline is popular among three in 10, but rarely innovated upon or launched.

UK Chocolate Confectionery Market Report – What’s Inside?

Key Topics Analysed in the Report

  • Key trends in recent launch activity and product development opportunities.
  • Consumer response to rising chocolate prices and preferred way for brands to respond to increases in cocoa prices.
  • The appeal of different fillings for chocolate bars or blocks of chocolate.
  • Premiumisation in chocolate, including attributes signalling premium and behaviours relating to buying premium chocolate(s) for self-treating and gifting.
  • Usage of selected leading brands and attitudes towards them.

Report Scope

This Report examines the UK retail market for chocolate. The market size includes sales through all retail channels, including direct to consumer. The market size comprises packaged chocolate confectionery products, including the following segments.

  • Everyday chocolate: this comprises all solid chocolate or chocolate-covered confectionery in single-serve or multi-serve formats, including bars, blocks and bags, that are not targeted at occasions or are seasonal.
  • Occasions chocolate: this includes multiserve chocolate that would be bought to share on a special occasion, including bitesize products served in a box, carton or tin with no seasonal claim.
  • Seasonal chocolate: this includes chocolate for seasonal occasions such as Christmas, Easter and Valentine’s Day.

The market size excludes unpackaged chocolate, chocolate biscuits (such as Cadbury Fingers), cakes and cake bars including wafers, cocoa powder and chocolate drinks. It also excludes sales via catering or foodservice establishments; however, references and comparisons to these sectors may be made where relevant.

Meet the Expert Behind the Analysis

This report was written by Richard Caines. Richard is a Senior Food & Drink Analyst at Mintel, responsible for researching and writing a wide range of UK food and drink reports, as well as writing Analyst Insights discussing key launches, marketing activity and trends. Richard has more than 25 years of experience in market research, including a number of different analyst roles at Mintel.

Higher prices have hit chocolate buyers in the pocket, but premium chocolate is still a big opportunity, including products with unique flavours and fillings.

Richard Caines, Mintel AnalystRichard Caines
Principal Analyst, UK Food & Drink Research

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  1. Executive Summary

    • Opportunities for the chocolate confectionery market
    • Big opportunity for brands in premium chocolate(s)
    • Cocoa-free chocolate is an emerging area of innovation
    • Cream fillings and collaboration opportunities in chocolate bars/blocks
    • Market dynamics and outlook
    • Market size and forecast
    • Market predictions
    • Slowdown in value sales growth with lower inflation
    • Higher average prices drive value growth across all three segments
    • Graph 1: retail value sales of chocolate, by segment, 2022-24
    • Top five manufacturers dominate everyday chocolate sales
    • Graph 2: leading manufacturers’ sales in the everyday chocolate segment, by value, 2021/22-2023/24
    • Food price rises have come down, but upward pressure on chocolate prices remains
    • Graph 3: consumer price inflation for confectionery products and all food, 2022-24
    • HFSS restrictions to be extended by new Labour Government
    • Population growth, but ageing population poses a challenge
    • Graph 4: population, % of total by age, 2004-44
    • What consumers want and why
    • Frequency of eating chocolate rebounds
    • Graph 5: frequency of eating chocolate, 2020-24
    • Single-serve bars and blocks the most popular formats
    • Graph 6: top types of chocolate eaten, 2022-24
    • A third prefer brands to keep products the same but raise prices
    • Graph 7: preferred response of chocolate brands to the cost of cocoa going up, 2024
    • Caramel and nuts the most popular fillings
    • Graph 8: appeal of different fillings for chocolate bars/blocks, 2024
    • Range of different attributes signal chocolate being premium
    • Graph 9: attributes associated with premium chocolate, 2024
    • Innovation and marketing
    • New flavours and fillings a big focus for chocolate brands
    • Seasonal products gain share of launches
    • Spending on chocolate advertising in 2024 looks set to exceed 2023
  2. Market Dynamics

    • Market size
    • 2023 decline in chocolate volume sales
    • Graph 10: retail market size for chocolate, by volume, 2019-24
    • Higher prices drive strong growth in value sales
    • Graph 11: retail market size for chocolate, by value, 2019-24
    • Market forecast
    • Volume sales forecast to slowly increase
    • Slowdown in growth of value sales with lower inflation
    • Sales forecast to reach £8.6 billion by 2029
    • Market segmentation
    • Seasonal chocolate sales benefit from strong Easter
    • Higher average prices drive value growth across all three segments
    • Market share
    • Top five manufacturers dominate everyday chocolate sales
    • Graph 12: leading manufacturers’ sales in the everyday chocolate segment, by value, 2021/22-2023/24
    • Sales of Cadbury Dairy Milk boosted again by higher prices
    • Cadbury Dairy Milk retains big lead in everyday chocolate
    • Varying levels of growth for brands in occasion chocolate
    • Lindt’s Lindor remains top brand in occasion chocolate
    • Cadbury leads seasonal chocolate with Mini Eggs, Crème Egg and Dairy Milk
    • Cadbury Mini Eggs the biggest seasonal chocolate brand
    • Market drivers
    • GDP growth bounces back from H2 2023 recession
    • Graph 13: GDP, 2021-24
    • Falling inflation has reduced pressure on household finances
    • Graph 14: CPI inflation rate, 2021-24
    • Food price rises starting to come down
    • Graph 15: consumer price inflation for confectionery products and all food, 2022-24
    • Soaring cocoa prices due to decline in supply
    • Cost-of-living crisis still seen as a problem
    • Graph 16: perception of the state of the cost of living crisis in the UK, 2024
    • HFSS restrictions to be extended by new Labour Government
    • HFSS is defined by nutrient profile
    • Few examples of non-HFSS products in chocolate
    • Increase in consumer interest in healthy eating, but still room for treats
    • Graph 17: how often people try to eat healthily, 2018-24
    • Ultra-processed foods in the media spotlight
    • Population growth, but ageing population poses a challenge
    • Graph 18: population, % of total by age, 2004-44
  3. What Consumers Want and Why

    • Usage frequency for chocolate
    • Eating of chocolate remains near universal
    • Frequency of eating chocolate rebounds
    • Graph 19: frequency of eating chocolate, 2020-24
    • Frequency of eating chocolate higher among younger people
    • Graph 20: frequency of eating chocolate, by age, 2024
    • Types of chocolate eaten
    • Single-serve bars and blocks the most popular formats
    • Graph 21: types of chocolate eaten, 2022-24
    • Younger people eat more different types of chocolate
    • Graph 22: number of different types of chocolate eaten in the last three months, by age, 2024
    • Responses to rising chocolate prices and cost of cocoa
    • Own-label benefits from rising prices
    • Rises in chocolate prices encourage switching to own-label products
    • Some brands more vulnerable to switching to own-label than others
    • Graph 23: brand committment in chocolate, 2024
    • Consumers divided on brand response to rising cocoa prices
    • A third prefer brands to keep products the same but raise prices
    • Less own-label switching by those attaching the most importance to keeping products the same
    • Openess  to shrinkflation among one in five chocolate eaters
    • Cutting cocoa content an option favoured more by younger people
    • Graph 24: responses to the cost of cocoa going up involving cutting cocoa content (If the cost of cocoa went up, I’d most prefer it that my favourite chocolate brand…), by age, 2024
    • Cocoa-free chocolate is an emerging area of innovation
    • Appeal of different fillings for chocolate bars/blocks
    • Range of different fillings have strong appeal
    • Caramel and nuts the most popular fillings
    • Graph 25: appeal of different fillings for chocolate bars/blocks, 2024
    • Featuring caramel or nuts reaches three quarters of chocolate eaters
    • Caramel and nuts top flavour components in chocolate countlines and tablets
    • Graph 26: new launches of chocolate countlines and tablets, by selected flavour component, 2019-23
    • Strong interest in two or more flavours in one chocolate bar
    • Duo bars offer two flavour options in one bar
    • Collaborative opportunities
    • Cream fillings and collaboration opportunities in chocolate bars/blocks
    • Premiumisation in chocolate
    • Big opportunity for brands in premium chocolate(s)
    • Willingness to pay more for premium chocolate(s)
    • Self-treating important for premium chocolate(s)
    • Graph 27: behaviours related to buying premium chocolate(s) for oneself or as a gift, by age, 2024
    • Range of different attributes signal chocolate being premium
    • Graph 28: attributes associated with premium chocolate, 2024
    • Appeal to female chocolate lovers with ethical, artisinal, clean label chocolate
    • Unique flavours more associated with premium by younger people and those self-treating
  4. Innovation And Marketing Trends

    • Launch activity and innovation
    • New varieties/range extensions account for majority of new launches
    • Graph 29: share of new launches in chocolate confectionery, by launch type, 2019-24
    • Caramel and hazelnut lead the way, with biscuit/cookie gaining
    • Graph 30: share of new launches in chocolate confectionery, by flavour component* , 2019-23
    • Dairy Milk & More filled chocolate bars added to Cadbury range
    • Leading chocolate manufacturers continue to expand choice of flavours
    • Dessert and ice cream flavours feature in chocolate launches
    • Lotus Biscoff and Cadbury announce brand collaboration
    • More 70% dark chocolate launches
    • Seasonal products gain share of launches
    • Graph 31: share of new launches in chocolate confectionery with a seasonal positioning, 2019-24
    • Premium focus to own-label launches for Easter 2024
    • Healthier claims remain rare in chocolate
    • Graph 32: share of new launches in chocolate confectionery making low/reduced sugar, no added sugar and high/added fibre claims, 2019-24
    • High fibre and high protein has small presence in chocolate
    • Holland & Barrett launches chocolate with nutritional benefits
    • Chocolate with functional benefits a niche area
    • Vegan claims still a prominant feature of new launches
    • Graph 33: share of new launches in chocolate confectionery making vegan/no animal ingredients, dairy-free and plant-based claims, 2019-24
    • Brands specialising in vegan and plant-based dominate recent vegan launches
    • Advertising and marketing activity
    • Spending on chocolate advertising in 2024 looks set to exceed 2023
    • Graph 34: above-the-line, online display and direct mail advertising expenditure on chocolate, 2020-24
    • TV continues to dominate chocolate advertising
    • MondelÄ“z and Nestlé record big increases in adspend
    • Graph 35: above-the-line, online display and direct mail advertising expenditure on chocolate, by advertiser, 2020-24
    • Cadbury Dairy Milk and Cadbury brand building dominate MondelÄ“z advertising
    • Nestlé advertising led by KitKat and Aero
    • Cadbury celebrates its 200-year anniversay
    • Cadbury’s 200-Year Anniversary TV advert
    • KitKat announces new Break Better campaign
    • New Snickers advert utilises AI as part of Own Goal campaign
    • Snickers Own Goal TV advert
  5. Brand Research

    • Cadbury Dairy Milk the most trusted brand
    • Lindt Lindor has the most differentiation
    • Seven in 10 eat Cadbury Dairy Milk
    • Top brands benefit from high usage across a wider span of ages
    • Graph 36: usage of chocolate brands in the last 12 months, by age, 2024
    • Correspondence maps
    • Lindt’s Lindor is most worth paying more for
    • Half think Cadbury Dairy Milk offers good value
    • Most chocolate brands have a fun image
    • Cadbury Dairy Milk and Galaxy are the most comforting brands
    • Lindor more special and indulgent than other brands
  6. Appendix

    • Market share
    • Everyday chocolate – value brand sales
    • Everyday chocolate – value brand sales (continued)
    • Everyday chocolate – volume brand sales
    • Everyday chocolate – volume brand sales (continued)
    • Everyday chocolate – value manufacturer sales
    • Everyday chocolate – volume manufacturer sales
    • Occasions chocolate – value brand sales
    • Occasions chocolate – value brand sales (continued)
    • Occasions chocolate – volume brand sales
    • Occasions chocolate – volume brand sales (continued)
    • Occasions chocolate – value manufacturer sales
    • Occasions chocolate – volume manufacturer sales
    • Seasonal chocolate – value brand sales
    • Seasonal chocolate – value brand sales (continued)
    • Seasonal chocolate – volume brand sales
    • Seasonal chocolate – volume brand sales (continued)
    • Seasonal chocolate – value manufacturer sales
    • Seasonal chocolate – volume manufacturer sales
    • Launch activity and innovation
    • Share of new launches by sub-category
    • Share of new launches – branded vs private label
    • Share of new launches by launch type
    • Share of new launches by claim
    • Share of new launches by claim (continued)
    • Share of new launches by flavour component
    • Advertising and marketing activity
    • Main media advertising by advertiser
    • Market forecast data and methodology
    • Value market size and forecast
    • Volume market size and forecast
    • Market forecast and prediction intervals (value)
    • Market forecast and prediction intervals (volume)
    • Forecast methodology
    • Report scope and definitions
    • Market definition
    • Market definition exclusions
    • Abbreviations and terms
    • Consumer research methodology
    • TURF analysis methodology
    • Nielsen Ad Intel coverage

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