This Market Dynamics report features market data extracted from Mintel’s UK Coffee Market Report 2025. Giving you direct access to key market information and analysis from our category experts. This report is ideal for those looking for a topline summary of the UK coffee market. The full report is available to purchase here.
Collapse All
-
THE MARKET
- Snapshot – coffee market size and forecast
- Coffee value growth accelerates in 2025
- Graph 1: retail value sales of coffee, 2020-25
- Inflation and trading up to drive coffee value growth
- Graph 2: retail market value forecast for coffee, 2020-30
- Factors driving 22% value growth forecast over 2025-30
- Factors putting negative pressure on growth
- Snapshot – RTD coffee market size and forecast
- Hot summer weather accelerates RTD coffee growth in 2025
- Graph 3: retail value and volume sales of RTD coffee, 2020-25
- RTD coffee value growth to slow after 2025’s hot summer weather boost
- Graph 4: retail market value forecast for RTD coffee, 2020-30
- RTD growth remains strong, but slowing
- Market share
- Own-label continues to gain share in the coffee market
- Graph 5: leading brands’ value sales in the retail coffee market, 2022/23-2024/25
- Market leaders are also under pressure from smaller brands
- Only Costa declines in the booming RTD coffee market
- Graph 6: leading brands’ value sales in the retail RTD coffee market, 2022/23-2024/25
- Market drivers
- Consumer confidence rises again in 2025
- Graph 7: the financial confidence index, 2016-25
- Coffee inflation rockets again in 2025…
- Graph 8: CPI annual rate, coffee and all food and non-alcoholic drinks, 2019-25
- …but some relief expected in 2026
- The EPR scheme will drive a shift away from glass packaging
- Caffeine concerns help fuel the matcha trend, posing competition for coffee
- Graph 9: Google searches for caffeine and matcha, 2020-25
- Only a fifth place importance on sustainability in coffee
- Graph 10: importance of sustainability claims in purchase of selected food/drink products, by category, 2025
- RTD coffee will benefit from under-35s continuing to drink these products as they age
- Graph 11: population, by age, 2020, 2025 and 2030
-
THE CONSUMER
- Usage of coffee
- Coffee usage is stable at 82%; coffee mixes and beans have seen growth over the last two years
- Graph 12: types of coffee used at home, 2020, 2023 and 2025
- The younger generation are core users of most types; instant bucks this trend
- Graph 13: types of coffee used at home, by age, 2025
- Usage of decaf has edged up since 2022
- Graph 14: usage of standard and decaffeinated coffee, 2022 and 2025
- Behaviours relating to coffee
- A need to boost the appeal of robusta blends
- Attitudes towards coffee
- Forge links with other lifestyle elements that people think make them look good
-
PRODUCT, INNOVATION AND MARKETING
- Launch activity and innovation
- Caffeine-free launches edge up in 2025
- Graph 15: share of coffee launches that are caffeine-free, 2021-25
- NPD in RTD coffee continues to abound, but has fallen from its peak
- Graph 16: share of soft drink launches, by RTD coffee and RTD tea, 2021-25
- The indulgence trend continues in RTD coffee…
- …but NPD also takes a better-for-you angle
- Advertising and marketing activity
- Brands align with healthy lifestyles
-
APPENDIX
- Market share
- Leading brands’ value sales in the retail coffee market
- Leading manufacturers’ value sales in the retail coffee market
- Leading brands’ value sales in the retail RTD coffee market
- Leading brands’ volume sales in the retail RTD coffee market
- Leading manufacturers’ value sales in the retail RTD coffee market
- Leading manufacturers’ volume sales in the retail RTD coffee market
- Advertising and marketing activity
- ATL, online display and direct mail advertising expenditure on coffee
- ATL, online display and direct mail advertising expenditure on RTD coffee
- Market forecast data and methodology
- Market value forecast for coffee
- Market forecast and prediction intervals for coffee (value)
- Market forecast for RTD coffee
- Volume growth slows as the RTD coffee market matures
- Graph 17: retail market volume forecast for RTD coffee, 2020-30
- Market forecast and prediction intervals for RTD coffee (value)
- Market forecast and prediction intervals for RTD coffee (volume)
- Forecast methodology
- Report scope and definitions
- Market definition
- Abbreviations and terms
- Consumer research methodology
- Nielsen Ad Intel coverage
About Mintel Market Dynamics
Mintel’s Market Dynamics reports are built from Mintel’s robust market size data. We pair these comprehensive market statistics with unparalleled market intelligence to offer deep insights into the dynamic landscapes of key markets across the world.
Created by our team of expert analysts, Market Dynamics connects the dots between market forecasts, consumer sentiment, and brand innovations to give you the full story of how your market is evolving and what your next move should be.
How can Market Dynamics help your brand?
- Gain immediate strategic clarity with quality market data and forecasts.
- Understand the ‘why’ behind industry trends with world-class human insight.
- Plot your next move with analysis of the competitive landscape and product launch activity.
- Uncover opportunities and unlock your growth potential with analyst recommendations.
£ 495 (Excl.Tax)
- Pay via credit card or invoice
-
PDF and PPT download delivered instantly
Instant delivery when paying by credit card, invoice orders may take longer
-
Save up to 20% when you purchase multiple reports
Save 10% when you purchase two reports together.
Save 15% when you purchase three reports together.
Save 20% when your purchase four or more together.
Need help before you buy?
Our research specialists can answer your questions and recommend the reports that best match your business needs.
Contact usTrusted by global industry leaders
We utilize Mintel Reports, Trends and Comperemedia to mine for insights across the numerous business verticals that Epsilon serves, such as CPG, automotive, telecom, healthcare/pharma, retail and financial services.
By integrating Mintel insight into new business opportunities, we have been able to gain the competitive edge necessary to advance partnerships with global brands and key business players.
For our organization, it’s about depth and breadth. Having one without the other doesn’t enable success in our business.
Virginia Harvey, Secondary Research Manager, Epsilon
We’ve found it so useful working more closely with Mintel. They helped support our recent flagship event for our top suppliers by providing a really unique viewpoint on the future of online retailing.
Nick Carroll from their Retail Team was also an excellent panelist, sharing useful and actionable consumer insights. We definitely look forward to working with Mintel again on future projects.
Zac Steele, E-Commerce Trading Development Manager, Waitrose & Partners
One of the biggest challenges we face is the need to get smart on a business or category real quick.
We are talking to clients who live and breathe their category every day and the expectation is that we will be able to get caught up very quickly, and bring the thinking that can help them.
We need to do that often in a matter of days, so it’s not a small ask. Mintel gives us a very articulate view of category conditions and does so at the speed we need it.
Jeff White, Business Development Director, Deutsch
We use Mintel to inform our thinking and reinforce strategy. If you’re presenting new ideas, it’s essential they are underpinned by robust data and evidence, and clearly rooted in fact.
Mintel gives us all that. It’s a great brand and one that is trusted by clients.
Marie Stafford, European Director, The Innovation Group, VML
Mintel helps us when we want to know something quickly – it provides fast answers to our questions. If we need to get a view of what’s going on in a particular market it’s very useful.
When carrying out background research, I find Mintel an excellent starting point.
The fact that it covers so many markets is a big plus for me– instead of having to buy specialist products in each area we are interested in, especially when we only require a brief view on a particular market, we can go to Mintel for help as a one-stop shop. I find Mintel a useful and valuable resource.
Ben Zeidler, Director - Research and Analytics, Tenth Wave
Need help before you buy?
Our research specialists can answer your questions and recommend the reports that best match your business needs.
Contact us
