This Market Dynamics report features market data extracted from Mintel’s UK Coffee Market Report 2025. Giving you direct access to key market information and analysis from our category experts. This report is ideal for those looking for a topline summary of the UK coffee market. The full report is available to purchase here.
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THE MARKET
- Snapshot – coffee market size and forecast
- Coffee value growth accelerates in 2025
- Graph 1: retail value sales of coffee, 2020-25
- Inflation and trading up to drive coffee value growth
- Graph 2: retail market value forecast for coffee, 2020-30
- Factors driving 22% value growth forecast over 2025-30
- Factors putting negative pressure on growth
- Snapshot – RTD coffee market size and forecast
- Hot summer weather accelerates RTD coffee growth in 2025
- Graph 3: retail value and volume sales of RTD coffee, 2020-25
- RTD coffee value growth to slow after 2025’s hot summer weather boost
- Graph 4: retail market value forecast for RTD coffee, 2020-30
- RTD growth remains strong, but slowing
- Market share
- Own-label continues to gain share in the coffee market
- Graph 5: leading brands’ value sales in the retail coffee market, 2022/23-2024/25
- Market leaders are also under pressure from smaller brands
- Only Costa declines in the booming RTD coffee market
- Graph 6: leading brands’ value sales in the retail RTD coffee market, 2022/23-2024/25
- Market drivers
- Consumer confidence rises again in 2025
- Graph 7: the financial confidence index, 2016-25
- Coffee inflation rockets again in 2025…
- Graph 8: CPI annual rate, coffee and all food and non-alcoholic drinks, 2019-25
- …but some relief expected in 2026
- The EPR scheme will drive a shift away from glass packaging
- Caffeine concerns help fuel the matcha trend, posing competition for coffee
- Graph 9: Google searches for caffeine and matcha, 2020-25
- Only a fifth place importance on sustainability in coffee
- Graph 10: importance of sustainability claims in purchase of selected food/drink products, by category, 2025
- RTD coffee will benefit from under-35s continuing to drink these products as they age
- Graph 11: population, by age, 2020, 2025 and 2030
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THE CONSUMER
- Usage of coffee
- Coffee usage is stable at 82%; coffee mixes and beans have seen growth over the last two years
- Graph 12: types of coffee used at home, 2020, 2023 and 2025
- The younger generation are core users of most types; instant bucks this trend
- Graph 13: types of coffee used at home, by age, 2025
- Usage of decaf has edged up since 2022
- Graph 14: usage of standard and decaffeinated coffee, 2022 and 2025
- Behaviours relating to coffee
- A need to boost the appeal of robusta blends
- Attitudes towards coffee
- Forge links with other lifestyle elements that people think make them look good
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PRODUCT, INNOVATION AND MARKETING
- Launch activity and innovation
- Caffeine-free launches edge up in 2025
- Graph 15: share of coffee launches that are caffeine-free, 2021-25
- NPD in RTD coffee continues to abound, but has fallen from its peak
- Graph 16: share of soft drink launches, by RTD coffee and RTD tea, 2021-25
- The indulgence trend continues in RTD coffee…
- …but NPD also takes a better-for-you angle
- Advertising and marketing activity
- Brands align with healthy lifestyles
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APPENDIX
- Market share
- Leading brands’ value sales in the retail coffee market
- Leading manufacturers’ value sales in the retail coffee market
- Leading brands’ value sales in the retail RTD coffee market
- Leading brands’ volume sales in the retail RTD coffee market
- Leading manufacturers’ value sales in the retail RTD coffee market
- Leading manufacturers’ volume sales in the retail RTD coffee market
- Advertising and marketing activity
- ATL, online display and direct mail advertising expenditure on coffee
- ATL, online display and direct mail advertising expenditure on RTD coffee
- Market forecast data and methodology
- Market value forecast for coffee
- Market forecast and prediction intervals for coffee (value)
- Market forecast for RTD coffee
- Volume growth slows as the RTD coffee market matures
- Graph 17: retail market volume forecast for RTD coffee, 2020-30
- Market forecast and prediction intervals for RTD coffee (value)
- Market forecast and prediction intervals for RTD coffee (volume)
- Forecast methodology
- Report scope and definitions
- Market definition
- Abbreviations and terms
- Consumer research methodology
- Nielsen Ad Intel coverage
About Mintel Market Dynamics
Mintel’s Market Dynamics reports are built from Mintel’s robust market size data. We pair these comprehensive market statistics with unparalleled market intelligence to offer deep insights into the dynamic landscapes of key markets across the world.
Created by our team of expert analysts, Market Dynamics connects the dots between market forecasts, consumer sentiment, and brand innovations to give you the full story of how your market is evolving and what your next move should be.
How can Market Dynamics help your brand?
- Gain immediate strategic clarity with quality market data and forecasts.
- Understand the ‘why’ behind industry trends with world-class human insight.
- Plot your next move with analysis of the competitive landscape and product launch activity.
- Uncover opportunities and unlock your growth potential with analyst recommendations.
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