40% of consumers have been with their mobile network provider for over five years, reflecting how entrenched consumer habits are with their choice of mobile network. They value consistency and…
UK
Technology
simple
UK Mobile Network Providers Market Report 2026
"Evidence of consumers switching providers means MNOs will have to double down on promoting network resilience and building trust with their customers."
Joe Birch, Senior Technology and Leisure Analyst
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
What you need to know
Outlook for Mobile Network Providers – UK
Opportunities
With confidence still fragile, consumers are hedging their bets
Re-iterate commitment to predictability and network fundamentals to stave off churn
Win trust by demonstrating customers are valued
Break inertia with hyper personalised perks and contract experience
THE MARKET
Market will continue to grow steadily through to 2030
Consumers still have a defensive mindset when it comes to financial outgoings
Graph 1: index of financial sentiment in the next year, 2016-25
Overall mobile data traffic rises 18% in 2025
Graph 2: mobile data traffic by technology, 2021-25
Growth in individual data use slows
Graph 3: average monthly data volume by mobile user, 2014-24
5G en route to being the default contract
Graph 4: smartphone 5G status, 2023-25
Smartphones and laptops are the cornerstones of consumer’s digital lives
Align data packages to consumer’s daily routines
Graph 5: occassions of smartphone web and app usage, 2025
Vodafone and Three merger creates UK’s largest mobile operator
Market size and forecast
Value of mobile network subscriptions rises for the 5th consecutive year
Graph 6: value of mobile network subscriptions, 2020-25
Volume of subscribers continues to increase
Graph 7: volume of mobile network subscriptions, 2020-25
Consumers digital lifestyles will drive demand for fast data packages
Value will be driven by need for faster data speeds, increased volume and AI hungry apps and services
Graph 8: market forecast for the value of mobile network subscriptions, 2019-30
Secondary lines as well as dual sims can boost volume
Volume growth will be driven by secondary lines
Graph 9: market forecast for the value of mobile network subscriptions, 2025-30
Market share
O2 drops 3 percentage points in 2025 amid backlash on price rises
Graph 10: market share, by network provider, 2023-25
Targeting the older generations can be a defensive play
Graph 11: MNO use by generation, 2025
THE CONSUMER
Length of time of mobile contract
Evidence of some switching behaviour
Graph 12: length of time with mobile network provider, 2024, 2025
Older consumers more likely to be long term customers
Tesco mobile fosters lasting customer loyalty
Graph 13: length of time with MNO, by MNO, 2025
Leverage incentives to bribe inert switchers
Contract type
SIM-only now accounts for nearly half of all contracts
Consumers are increasingly keeping their options open
Graph 15: length of time of contract with mobile network provider, 2024, 2025
Promote surety of outgoings and continuity of long term contracts
Opportunities for O2 to lock down the transient SIM-only customers
Graph 16: contract length by mobile network operator, 2025
Price paid for mobile services on contract
Tight middle ground in contract pricing means small value adds can differentiate
Graph 17: standard monthly payment for personal mobile phone contract, 2025
25-34s drive the highest value spend on contracts
Long term contracts can drive up overall spend
Nudge consumers with higher value trials to boost ARPU
Graph 18: standard monthly payment on contract including sim-only (NET) by mobile network provider, 2025
Price paid for mobile services on pay-as-you-go
PAYG sweet point is £10, but brands should focus on disengaged for upsell opportunities
Graph 19: standard monthly payment for personal mobile phone on pay-as-you-go, 2025
Attitudes towards mobile network providers
High levels of clarity in communications across the board
Graph 20: experience with mobile network provider, 2025
Tesco Mobile consumers are most satisfied with clarity on fees
Graph 21: my mobile network provider is clear about fees and services, by mobile network provider, 2025
Certainty in pricing can help drive trust in mobile network provider
Customers’ trust in mobile operator builds, when they feel valued
Graph 22: my mobile network provider…, 2025
Quality of service is non negotiable and can be a defensive play for brands
Graph 23: my mobile network provider…, 2025
Vodafone’s customers show highest satisfaction with rewards
Tap into the emotional value of rewards to drive trust
Graph 24: my mobile network provider offers great rewards, by mobile network provider, 2025
Improvement areas for mobile networks
Reduce bill anxiety and cognitive load with predictable pricing
Graph 25: select areas mobile network providers should improved (ranked), 2025
Older consumers want certainty of price increases
Delivering on data speed improvements is a key priority
Graph 26: select areas mobile network providers should improved (ranked), 2025
Help consumers manage risk of scams
eSims can deliver flexibility to serve consumers varied communication and connection demands
Graph 27: select areas mobile network providers should improved (ranked), 2025
Engage customers with clarity on pricing, service and upgrades
PRODUCT, INNOVATION AND MARKETING
Launch activity and innovation
Telecoms firms push FWA as alternative to home broadband
VMO2 goes hard on 5G SA rollout with Mobile Transformation Plan
VodafoneThree announces satellite network and a range of safety focused tools
EE launches new technology to boost 5G
Brands use AI to support customer service
Beyond the text message? Twitter founder Dorsey introduces new privacy driven messaging application
Holafly launches travel focused eSiM
APPENDIX
Report scope
Abbreviations
Abbreviations continued
The market
Forecast methodology
Forecast methodology – fan chart
Market forecast and prediction intervals for mobile network subscriptions (value), 2025-30
Market forecast and prediction intervals for mobile network subscriptions (volume), 2025-30
The consumer
Consumer research questions
Consumer research methodology
Other data source methodologies
Snoop SpendMapper methodology
40% of consumers have been with their mobile network provider for over five years, reflecting how entrenched consumer habits are with their choice of mobile network. They value consistency and predictability, and while most consumers are happy with the network fundamentals, such as network speed, MNOs should nurture this incumbent advantage, by consistently making consumers feel valued.
The obvious danger for MNOs is that mid contract or unexpected price hikes create unnecessary friction. There is already evidence of switching behaviour, and financial uncertainty continues to influence consumer decisions. This can keep many in a defensive mindset, and on SIM-only contracts longer. With a median monthly spend of £16 for those on contracts, substantial price increases can lead to bill anxiety, prompting consumers to shop around for better deals, especially from value driven mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs).
With rolling month-to-month contracts growing, now reaching 26%, this offers networks the opportunity to lock down these transient users. For incumbents, it’s important to make it easy to switch to 12- or 24-month contracts that offer comparatively better savings in the long-term. Frame this as a savvy alternative to staying unmoored and poorer value SIM-only. Competitors can also offer compelling incentives, much like banks with current accounts, to attract consumers.
This report looks at the following areas:
Overview of the size of the mobile network providers market, including factors influencing the market’s trajectory over the next five years
Insights into shifting consumer behaviours, including preferences for contract types, durations, and the factors influencing their choice of mobile network providers
Analysis of consumer behaviour and motivations driving customer loyalty and decision-making processes
An analysis of how consumers perceive their mobile network providers, examining key factors like value for money, communication effectiveness, rewards and the elements that build trust
Actionable insights into areas where MNOs can enhance the customer experience, including an analysis of the improvements customers actively seek
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