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Report
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The American consumer in 2026 contends with unequal economic headwinds, cultural polarization and a growing need for mental respite. US GDP growth is uneven as tariff implementation, chip shortages and…
US
Retail
Beauty and Personal Care
Clothing and Fashion
Drinks
Food
Foodservice
Household
Leisure and Entertainment
Pets
Technology
Travel
simple
American Lifestyles: 2026 – Adaptation in Action
"As consumers adapt to mounting pressures, brands must proactively respond to diverging consumer behaviors or risk declining consumption and demand."
Hiro Takemasa, Senior Consumer Lifestyles Analyst
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
What you need to know
Outlook for American Lifestyles: Adaption in Action
Legacy defenders vs identity seekers: how reactions to instability and change define the modern US consumer
Opportunities
Protect access to prevent demand destruction
Marketing mental escape with solutions, respect and a focus on the long term
K-shaped marketing: define target audiences as legacy defenders or identity seekers
AMERICA TODAY – THE PEOPLE
American pride is anchored in family, then branches out
Americans see family as core to their identity and pride
Graph 1: feels proudest of (any rank 1-3), 2026
What Americans feel pride in reflects their lifestage: legacy vs identity
Graph 2: feels proudest of (any rank 1-3), by generation, 2026
The US population ages as growth slows
Graph 3: population, by age group, 1976-2056*
Smaller and ageing US households may further drive social fragmentation
Graph 4: household makeup, 2014 vs 2024
Families in the US: declining, older, but slowly recovering in size
Graph 5: mean age of mother, by birth order, 2007-24
Immigration, which is influenced greatly by national policy, props US growth
Graph 6: population growth rate and contributing factors, 2006-56*
Social acceptance of diversity has driven cultural expansion
Graph 7: self-identified race, 2010 vs 2020
Graph 8: identifying as LGBTQ+, by generation, 2012-24*
The US is poised for a reassessment of the college-degree-holding white-collar worker career path
Graph 9: educational attainment by those aged 25-34, by year of approximate generation*, 1982, 1989, 2001, 2018
Graph 10: employed persons aged 16+, by occupation, 2004-24
AMERICA TODAY – THE ECONOMY
America today: bracing for fallout from multiple fronts
Lower GDP growth in Q4 reflects a more tempered economic environment, keeping consumers cautious in 2026
Graph 11: quarterly real GDP growth, 2022-25
Recent inflation data shows easing price pressures across most categories, but a spike in energy due to the Iran conflict
Graph 12: headline CPI and core CPI, 2022-26
Inflationary forces expected to strengthen in the near to mid-term
Youth unemployment recovers from a late 2025 high, signaling some relief
Graph 13: unemployment and underemployment rates, 2021-26
Wage growth stagnates, but wealth grows for asset holders
Graph 14: gains in median wealth ($ thousands), by generation, 2018-23
Graph 15: median household income ($ thousands), by race and Hispanic origin, 2014-24
Graph 16: consumer sentiment index, by stock ownership terciles, 2020-26
Elevated credit card delinquency rates signal a pullback in consumption
Graph 17: % of balance 90+ days delinquent, by loan type, 2005-25
AMERICA TODAY – THE MARKET
Consumer spending grew by more than $1tn in 2025
Consumer spending in 2025 prolongs a stable trend
Graph 18: total consumer spending and fan chart forecast*, at current prices, 2019-30
Health, housing and transportation account for half of consumer spending
Graph 19: consumer spending, by segment ($ bn), 2025 (est)
Total consumer spending* at current prices, 2019-30
Total consumer spending* at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Consumer category winners and losers of 2025
Growth forecast to slow in categories that have experienced high inflation 2019-25
Graph 20: consumer spending CAGR based on current prices, by segment, 2019-25 vs 2025-30 (fore)
THE CONSUMER
Expected changes in purchases
Consumers are changing purchasing behaviors, presenting opportunities for value messaging
Graph 21: expected changes to purchases, by category, 2026
Volume – more than half expect to maintain purchase volumes, but drawbacks are expected in discretionary categories
Graph 22: expected changes to consumption, by category, 2026
Graph 23: expected changes to consumption, by category, 2026
Prices – consumers are slightly more likely to “trade down” to a cheaper option rather than reduce purchase volume
Graph 24: expected changes to consumption, by category, 2026
Graph 25: expected changes to consumption, by category, 2026
Financially healthy non-participants in a category may represent a white space
Graph 26: non-participation in category, by financial health, 2026
Brands should protect access for those at hard limits
Graph 27: financial health, 2026
Graph 28: average expected changes to purchases, by financial health, 2026
Demand among younger generations is bifurcating – segment marketing accordingly
Graph 29: expected changes to purchases – average across all categories, by generation, 2026
Consumer adjustments are defensive and centered around the home
Convenience and variety of online purchases match with most consumers’ near-term adaptations
Graph 30: net changes in activities due to recent government policies, 2026
K-shaped adaptations differ depending on financial health
Information and choice fatigue – escape behaviors
Choice and news fatigue make mental breaks an important part of holistic health
The modern US consumer is inundated with choice – escape is becoming an important part of holistic wellness
Generations use different paths to the same goal: distraction and a state of mental passivity
Graph 31: daily mental break rituals, by generation, 2026
Avoid mentally taxing explanations during mental downtime – instead, use easily recognized signifiers of trust to build brand equity
Graph 32: signals of trust in new/unknown brands, by age and gender, 2025
Attention in social media is heavily context dependent: for consumers seeking mental breaks, avoid urgency or guilt
Graph 33: scrolling social media as a daily mental break ritual, select demographics, 2026
Major life events are opportunities for enjoyable planning
Graph 34: planning as daily mental break ritual, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
CATEGORY REVIEWS
HOUSING
Current category trends
The five-year outlook for housing
Housing slowly shifts from expansion to recalibration
Market size and forecast for housing, 2019-30
Graph 35: market size and forecast for consumer spending on housing, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for housing at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for housing at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
The home remains central as consumers adapt expectations and investment
The future of housing
Meet the expert
HOME AND GARDEN
Current category trends
Home and garden – expected changes in the next year
Graph 36: expected changes to home and garden purchases, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
The five-year outlook for home and garden
Rising prices have pushed category costs higher, but consumers remain engaged, spending more selectively and with a focus on function
Market size and forecast for home and garden, 2019-30
Graph 37: market size and forecast for consumer spending on home and garden, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for home and garden at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for home and garden at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of home and garden
Meet the expert
HOUSEHOLD CARE
Current category trends
The five-year outlook for household cleaners
Necessity underpins steady growth, while innovation fuels what’s next
Market size and forecast for household care, 2019-30
Graph 38: market size and forecast for consumer spending on household care, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for household care at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for household care at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of household care
Meet the expert
PET PRODUCTS AND SERVICES
Current category trends
Purchases for pets – expected changes in the next year
Graph 39: expected changes to purchases for pets, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
The five-year outlook for pet products and services
Pet adoption grows in young households, but economic instability tempers consumption
Market size and forecast for pet products and services, 2019-30
Graph 40: market size and forecast for consumer spending on pet products and services, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for pet products and services at current prices, 2019-30
US: total consumer spending on pet products and services, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of pet products and services
Meet the expert
TRANSPORTATION
Current category trends
The five-year outlook for transportation
Growth persists, but transportation still faces headwinds
Market size and forecast for transportation, 2019-30
Graph 41: market size and forecast for consumer spending on transportation, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for transportation at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for transportation at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of transportation
Meet the expert
PERSONAL FINANCE
Current category trends
The five-year outlook for personal finance
Resilience in spite of ongoing volatility
Market size and forecast for personal finance, 2019-30
Graph 42: market size and forecast for consumer spending on personal finance, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for personal finance at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for personal finance at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
Consumers adapt as financial pressure reshapes priorities and relationships
The future of personal finance
Meet the expert
TECHNOLOGY AND COMMUNICATIONS
Current category trends
Electronics – expected changes in the next year
Graph 43: expected changes to electronics purchases, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
The five-year outlook for technology and communications
A maturing market finds balance as demand shifts from novelty to reliability and performance
Market size and forecast for technology and communications, 2019-30
Graph 44: market size and forecast for consumer spending on technology and communications, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for technology and communications at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for technology and communications at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of technology and communications
Meet the expert
CLOTHING AND ACCESSORIES
Current category trends
Clothes and accessories – expected changes in the next year
Graph 45: expected changes to clothes and accessories purchases, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
The five-year outlook for clothing and accessories
Consumer demand remains persistent as the clothing and accessories market adapts to economic headwinds
Market size and forecast for clothing and accessories, 2019-30
Graph 46: market size and forecast for consumer spending on clothing and accessories, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for clothing and accessories at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for clothing and accessories at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
Shoppers expect lasting value from apparel purchases
The future of clothing and accessories
Meet the expert
BEAUTY AND PERSONAL CARE
Current beauty and personal care trends
Beauty and personal care – expected consumption changes in the next year
Graph 47: expected changes to beauty and personal care purchases, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
The five-year outlook for beauty and personal care
Beauty and personal care remains a scaled, steady growth market
Market size and forecast for beauty and personal care, 2019-30
Graph 48: market size and forecast for consumer spending on beauty and personal care products and services, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for beauty and personal care products and services at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for beauty and personal care products and services at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of beauty and personal care
Meet the expert
IN-HOME FOOD
Current category trends
At-home food – expected changes in the next year
Graph 49: expected changes to at-home food, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
The five-year outlook for in-home food
The in-home market is expected to stabilize and show modest growth
Market size and forecast for in-home food, 2019-30
Graph 50: market size and forecast for consumer spending on in-home food, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for in-home food at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for in-home food at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
The in-home food market – past, present and future
Opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of in-home food
Meet the expert
NON-ALCOHOLIC DRINKS
Current category trends
Non-alcoholic drinks – expected changes in the next year
Graph 51: expected changes to non-alcoholic drink purchases, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
The five-year outlook for non-alcoholic drinks
Non-alcoholic drinks projected steady growth
Market size and forecast for non-alcoholic drinks, 2019-30
Graph 52: market size and forecast for consumer spending on non-alcoholic drinks, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for non-alcoholic drinks at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for non-alcoholic drinks at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of non-alcoholic drinks
Meet the expert
ALCOHOLIC DRINKS (IN HOME)
Current category trends
Alcoholic drinks – expected changes in the next year
Graph 53: expected changes to alcoholic drink purchases, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
The five-year outlook for alcoholic drinks (in home)
In-home alcohol consumption endures as a lasting ritual
Market size and forecast for alcohol (in home), 2019-30
Graph 54: market size and forecast for consumer spending on alcoholic beverages (in home), at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for alcohol (in home) at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for alcohol (in home) at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of alcoholic beverages (in home)
Meet the expert
ALCOHOLIC DRINKS (OUT OF HOME)
Current category trends
The five-year outlook for alcoholic drinks (out of home)
A reset, not a retreat for alcohol AFH
Market size and forecast for alcoholic drinks (out of home), 2019-30
Graph 55: market size and forecast for consumer spending on alcoholic drinks (out of home), at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for alcoholic drinks (out of home) at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for alcoholic drinks (out of home) at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of alcoholic drinks out of home
Meet the experts
LEISURE AND ENTERTAINMENT
Current category trends
Live entertainment – expected changes in the next year
Graph 56: expected changes to live entertainment, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
Digital entertainment – expected changes in the next year
Graph 57: expected changes to digital entertainment, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
The five-year outlook for leisure and entertainment
Leisure and entertainment spending expected to slow
Market size and forecast for leisure and entertainment, 2019-30
Graph 58: market size and forecast for consumer spending on leisure and entertainment, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for leisure and entertainment at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for leisure and entertainment at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Leisure and entertainment opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of leisure and entertainment
Meet the expert
RESTAURANTS AND EATING PLACES
Current category trends
Dining out/restaurants (including to-go and delivery) – expected changes in the next year
Graph 59: expected changes to dining out, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
The five-year outlook for restaurants and eating places
Foodservice grows as fewer visits carry higher expectations
Market size and forecast for restaurants and eating places, 2019-30
Graph 60: market size and forecast for consumer spending of full-service restaurants and limited-service eating places*, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for restaurants and eating places at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for restaurants and eating places at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
Consumers now expect clearer value from every restaurant visit
The future of restaurants and eating places
Meet the expert
VACATIONS AND TOURISM
Current category trends
Vacations – expected changes in the next year
Graph 61: expected changes to vacations, by select demographics and psychographics, 2026
The five-year outlook for vacations and tourism
Marquee events and travel’s general popularity will drive spending, but economic and political factors will hamper growth
Market size and forecast for vacations and tourism, 2019-30
Graph 62: market size and forecast for consumer spending on vacations and tourism, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for vacations and tourism, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for vacations and tourism at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
What consumers want and why
The future of vacations and tourism
Meet the expert
HEALTH AND WELLNESS
Current category trends
The five-year outlook for health and wellness, 2026-30
Even in a tough economy, health is a top priority for consumers
Market size and forecast for health, 2019-30
Graph 63: market size and forecast for consumer spending on health, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for health at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast for health at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Opportunities
Consumer insights on health – what consumers want and why
The future of health and wellness
Meet the expert
APPENDIX
Report scope
The consumer
Consumer research questions
Consumer research methodology
US generation groups
The market
Forecast methodology
Category forecast variables
Category forecast variables, continued
Forecast methodology – fan chart
Abbreviations
The American consumer in 2026 contends with unequal economic headwinds, cultural polarization and a growing need for mental respite. US GDP growth is uneven as tariff implementation, chip shortages and an emergent energy shock reshape supply chains and elevate core costs. The resilience of lower- and middle-income Americans is showing signs of strain as household credit card delinquency reaches 12.7% in Q4 2025 – the highest since the 2009 recession.
Generational and wealth divides shape adaptations to social, economic and technological change: those who have achieved success and legacy tend to defend their gains, while younger identity seekers embrace fluidity, exploring technologies and lifestyles to carve out their own legacy. This dynamic reinforces a solidifying K-shaped economy, where households with rising asset values express confidence and invest in enriching experiences, while those pressured by rising expenses focus on value, essentials and communal support.
For brands, a key priority is preventing demand destruction through lower-priced product tiers that preserve market access and participation for the most financially vulnerable. Addressing consumer mental fatigue is another front: brands that offer moments of mental escape – and tailor advertising to align with, or at least not disrupt, consumers’ downtime – will be best positioned to sustain loyalty and drive growth as Americans adapt to another challenging year.
This Report Looks at the Following Areas:
An overview of the US today, including population trends, economic indicators and key issues currently affecting the lifestyles of Americans
An analysis of 17 consumer markets with spending and forecasts including sector-specific takeaways from Mintel’s category experts
The effect of recent events on consumption behaviors, such as purchase channels and social activity
How consumers expect to adjust their purchasing behaviors in the near future, by category
Methods of taking mental breaks to recover from information and decision fatigue
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