2026
9
US Baby Food and Drink Market Report 2026
2026-07-23T16:01:36+00:00
REP32057FE8_92F5_4F87_857F_E892F56F87AD
3695
195021
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Report
en_GB
The US baby food and drink market is entering a more complex era of growth. While the category benefits from the non-discretionary nature of infant and toddler nutrition, structural demographic…
US
Baby Food and Formula
simple

US Baby Food and Drink Market Report 2026

"The future belongs to brands that provide flexible solutions that span across stages, occasions and needs, capturing a greater share of the feeding journey."

Kelsey Girard, Senior Food & Drink Analyst

Kelsey Girard, Senior Food & Drink Analyst

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  1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    • What you need to know
    • Outlook for baby food and drink
    • Opportunities
    • Build feeding systems, not just feeding products
    • Graph 1: trended baby/toddler consumption of food/drink, 2024-26
    • Reframe packaged baby foods and drinks as flexible building blocks
    • Shift trust from a message to a service
  2. THE MARKET

    • Snapshot – baby food and drink market size and forecast
    • Market factors
    • Economic pressure continues to squeeze even in non-discretionary category
    • Structural pressures persist as birth rate declines
    • Graph 2: general fertility rate, 2000-24
    • Driving growth amid a demographic decline in births: three opportunities for brands
    • Government shifts impact baby food and drink assistance programs
    • Graph 3: USDA food and nutrition assistance spending, by program, fiscal year 2024
    • Formula recalls highlight transparency as a non-negotiable
    • Market size
    • Market momentum is increasingly being earned, not inherited
    • Market size and forecast of baby food and drink
    • Graph 4: total retail sales and forecast of baby food and drink, at current prices, 2021-31
    • Total retail sales and forecast of baby food and drink, 2021-31
    • Market segmentation
    • Baby food and drink’s growth is stable but increasingly narrow
    • Graph 5: total retail sales and forecast of baby food and drink, by segment, at current prices, 2021-31
    • Market segmentation
    • Market/brand share
    • Center of gravity is shifting with baby food and drink market leaders
    • Graph 6: MULO+ sales of baby food and drink, by leading companies, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
    • Sales of baby food and drink, by brand/company
    • Leading formula brands hierarchy shifts, Kendamil surges
    • Graph 7: MULO+ sales of baby formula, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2026, market share
    • Sales of baby formula, by company/brand
    • Fragmentation accelerates in baby food, snacks and juice
    • Graph 8: MULO+ sales change and share change of baby food, snacks, and juice, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
    • Sales of baby food, snacks and juice, by company/brand
    • Baby electrolytes are caught in a dual squeeze
    • Graph 9: MULO+ sales of baby electrolytes, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
    • Sales of baby electrolytes by company/brand
  3. THE CONSUMER

    • Capture hybrid feeding and stage-spanning solutions
    • Feeding routines hit a hybrid stride
    • Graph 10: trended baby/toddler consumption of food/drink, 2024-26
    • Meet parents where they’re at, which increasingly is in the middle
    • Little Spoon and Kendamil portfolios span across the stages
    • Category growth is solution-oriented and versatile across budgets
    • Graph 11: baby/toddler consumption of food/drink, by financial situation, 2026
    • Precision, proof, and personalization can redefine trust
    • Future of feeding is complementary, not competitive
    • Graph 12: frequency of baby/toddler food/drink consumption, 2026
    • Parents seek out nutritionally tailored solutions from the start
    • Graph 13: important factors when purchasing baby/toddler food products, 2026
    • Functional customizations can build confidence
    • Transparency and trust strategies must be multidimensional
    • Graph 14: interest in trust and transparency initiatives from baby/toddler brands, 2026
    • Trust is most powerful when it solves a parent’s specific worry
    • Transparency is moving from label-reading to proof-seeking
    • Balance economic reassurance with emotional reassurance
    • Graph 15: baby/toddler food and drink parental shopping habits, by financial situation, 2026
    • Graph 16: important factors when purchasing baby/toddler food products, by financial situation, 2026
    • Parental gender demands a balance of cost, convenience and credibility for the household
    • Packaged food can act as a partner to homemade
    • Graph 17: baby/toddler food/drink consumption, by parental gender, 2026
    • Cost pressure is universal, but convenience shapes how male and female parents adapt
    • Graph 18: baby/toddler food and drink parental shopping habits, by gender, 2026
    • Trust looks different across genders: proof and guidance can drive caregiver confidence
    • Graph 19: interest in trust and transparency initiatives from baby/toddler brands, by gender, 2026
  4. PRODUCT, INNOVATION AND MARKETING

    • Packaged products can be repositioned as flexible building blocks rather than fixed-use solutions
    • Community events deliver experiential marketing and trust-building moments
    • Graph 20: interest in trust and transparency initiatives from baby/toddler brands, by area, 2026
    • Lean into in-the-moment reassurance in trust-sensitive categories
    • A sense of adventure with multiple benefits
    • Texture knows no (age) limits
  5. APPENDIX

    • Report scope/market definition
    • The market
    • Market size sources and methodology
    • Forecast methodology
    • Forecast methodology – fan chart
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of baby food and drink, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of baby food and drink, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of baby food and drink, by segment, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales of baby food and drink, by segment, at current prices, 2024 and 2026
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of baby formula, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of baby formula, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of baby food, snacks and juice, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of baby food, snacks and juice, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of baby electrolytes, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of baby electrolytes, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2021-31
    • The consumer
    • Consumer research questions
    • Consumer research methodology – US
    • US generation groups
    • Abbreviations and terms

The US baby food and drink market is entering a more complex era of growth. While the category benefits from the non-discretionary nature of infant and toddler nutrition, structural demographic pressure is intensifying as the pipeline of new category users declines.

At the same time, the baby food and drink market is becoming more competitive beneath the surface. The market is estimated to grow 1.9% in 2026, but market share is shifting away from some legacy leaders toward challengers, smaller brands and differentiated propositions. Kendamil posted nearly 50% growth, while Once Upon a Farm grew 59.9%, signaling that parents remain willing to switch when brands feel more relevant, modern or purpose-built.

Consumer behavior is also changing. Parents are increasingly blending breastmilk, formula, homemade foods, pouches, snacks and beverages into flexible feeding routines, creating demand for products that clarify their role in the day rather than relying on broad convenience claims.

The biggest opportunity is to move beyond stage-based selling and build ecosystems around reassurance, developmental support, nutrition personalization and budget-sensitive flexibility. Brands that make feeding feel easier, safer and more purposeful will be best positioned to grow value in a smaller, more selective parent market.

This Report Looks at the Following Areas:

  • How declining US birth rates are reshaping growth strategies and increasing the importance of value per child
  • Why hybrid feeding routines are creating demand for product portfolios that span stages, occasions and developmental needs
  • How challenger brands are gaining share by aligning with modern parental expectations around nutrition, convenience and trust
  • Why trust is becoming more personalized, requiring brands to deliver proof through transparency, safety, guidance and support
  • How economic pressure is impacting feeding behaviors
  • Where brands can unlock growth by positioning products as flexible tools that complement, rather than replace, homemade feeding
  • How innovation in sensory development, texture exploration, functional nutrition and global flavors can support long-term category relevance

The future belongs to brands that provide flexible solutions that span across stages, occasions and needs, capturing a greater share of the feeding journey.

Kelsey Girard, Senior Food & Drink Analyst

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