2026
9
US Coffee and RTD Coffee Market Report 2026
2026-08-27T16:03:23+00:00
REP9E892B9E_766A_4D6A_892B_9E766AFD6AF3
3695
195798
[{"name":"Coffee","url":"https:\/\/store.mintel.com\/industries\/drinks\/coffee"},{"name":"Market Intelligence Reports","url":"https:\/\/store.mintel.com\/report-type\/market-intelligence-reports"},{"name":"US","url":"https:\/\/store.mintel.com\/markets\/us-market-research"}]
Report
en_GB
The US coffee and RTD coffee market is entering a more selective phase of growth. The market is estimated to increase 12.2% in 2026, but much of this near-term growth…
US
Coffee
simple

US Coffee and RTD Coffee Market Report 2026

The US coffee and RTD coffee market is entering a more selective phase of growth. The market is estimated to increase 12.2% in 2026, but much of this near-term growth reflects elevated coffee prices rather than a significant increase in consumption.

Trusted by leading global brands

Amazon logo
Deutsch brand logo
waitrose
Bauer-Media-Group
mediacom-logo-e1438678858172 (1)
VML Logo
Epsilon Logo
VocaLink_Mastercard_logo-PNG-1
Amazon logo
Deutsch brand logo
waitrose
Bauer-Media-Group
mediacom-logo-e1438678858172 (1)
VML Logo
Epsilon Logo
VocaLink_Mastercard_logo-PNG-1
4.5 stars
Source: G2.com, Inc.
Collapse All
  1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    • What you need to know
    • Outlook for Coffee and RTD Coffee
    • Opportunities
    • Build coffee collections, not format silos
    • Graph 1: attitudes towards coffee preparation – NET – any agree, by generation, 2026
    • Expand on coffee's functionality to meet modern needs
    • Blurring of beverages can be seen as an opportunity for coffee and creamers
    • Discover the top five trend territories for success in US non-alcoholic beverages using Black Swan's social prediction technology
  2. THE MARKET

    • Snapshot – market size and forecast of Coffee and RTD Coffee
    • Snapshot – market size and forecast of Dairy and Non-dairy Cream and Creamer
    • Market factors
    • Creating value in a confidence-constrained market
    • Price of coffee simmers down but remains elevated
    • Graph 2: global price of coffee, other mild arabica, January 2000-June 2026
    • Higher prices reinforce accessibility advantage of at-home coffee
    • As tariff pressures ease, structural supply challenges continue to cloud the outlook
    • Market size
    • Pricing lifts the market as consumers make shifts between formats
    • Total retail sales and forecast of Coffee and RTD Coffee
    • Graph 3: total retail sales and forecast of coffee and RTD coffee, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of coffee and RTD coffee, at current prices, 2021-31
    • Cream and creamer market sees modest growth despite growth in coffee customization
    • Graph 4: total retail sales and forecast of dairy and non-dairy cream and creamer, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of dairy and non-dairy cream and creamer, at current prices, 2021-31
    • Market segmentation
    • Coffee's segment growth story is increasingly uneven
    • Graph 5: total retail sales and forecast of coffee and RTD coffee, by segment, at current prices, 2022-27
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of coffee and RTD coffee, by segment, at current prices, 2021-31
    • Dairy and non-dairy cream and creamer segment share balance remains steady
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of dairy and non-dairy cream and creamer, by segment, at current prices, 2021-31
    • Market/brand share
    • Inflation fueled growth, but competitive advantages became clearer
    • US: MULO+ sales of coffee and RTD coffee, by leading companies, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
    • Brand identity, compelling value propositions, clear connection to evolving at-home coffee behaviors tied to volume growth in roasted coffee
    • US: MULO+ sales of roasted coffee, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
    • Single-cup coffee is becoming a test of brand strength, not format strength
    • US: MULO+ sales of single-cup coffee, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
    • Instant coffee is becoming coffee's most frictionless growth platform
    • US: MULO+ sales of instant coffee, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
    • RTD Coffee brand successes point to proposition prominence
    • US: MULO+ sales of ready-to-drink coffee, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
    • Differentiation creates opportunities in a stable dairy cream and creamer market
    • US: MULO+ sales of dairy cream and creamers, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
    • Starbucks and Other brands find room to grow in non-dairy cream and creamers segment
    • US: MULO+ sales of non-dairy cream and creamers, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
  3. THE CONSUMER

    • Caffeine, coffee and wellbeing: the growing space for caffeination differentiation
    • Make coffee feel comforting in more individualized, generationally relevant ways
    • Graph 6: perceptions of coffee as one of the easiest ways to add a moment of comfort, by generation, 2026
    • Starbucks' renewed focus on becoming a "living room outside the home" reflects a broader shift
    • Caffeine flexibility can help coffee move beyond the morning routine
    • Graph 7: appeal of different caffeination levels in coffee beverages – NET, 2026
    • Coffee is increasingly about achieving the right state of mind, not simply maximizing energy
    • Graph 8: appeal of different caffeination levels in coffee beverages – NET – any appealing, by generation, 2026
    • Brands and retailers provide solutions for balanced energy
    • Modernize lower caf and decaf cues to solve for both product expectations and perceptions
    • Graph 9: reasons consumers perceive lower/decaf as unappealing, by generation, 2026
    • Younger coffee drinkers seek more control of caffeination experience
    • Graph 10: caffeine limiting behaviors tied to health/wellbeing, by generation, 2026
    • The coffee experience: equipment, formats, values, additions
    • At-home coffee habits reveal a growing tension between exploration and routine
    • Graph 11: attitudes towards coffee preparation – NET – any agree, by generation, 2026
    • Treat beverage additions as a gateway into younger consumers' broader beverage routines
    • Graph 12: coffee and tea tracker – consumption of coffee drinks at home, by repertoire of coffee and tea tracker – additions, 2026
    • Graph 13: repertoire of coffee and tea additions, by generation, 2026
    • Younger consumers show dual interests in both efficiency-led formats and experience-led formats
    • Graph 14: interest in coffee formats, by generation, 2026
    • Opportunities for instant coffee continue to emerge
    • Kloo challenges a long-held assumption in the coffee industry: that premium coffee requires significant effort and equipment investment
    • What's shaping coffee consumption in the short and long term
    • Younger consumers are redefining coffee's competitive set
    • Graph 15: types of coffee and tea beverages consumed at home, by generation, 2026
    • Category growth is shifting away from traditional beverage boundaries and toward need states
    • Graph 16: coffee and tea tracker consumption of coffee and tea at home and away from home, 2025-26
    • Coffee price sensitivity is becoming more layered
    • Graph 17: expected change in habits if the price of coffee went up, 2025-26
    • Elevated coffee prices are likely to accelerate a generational divide in coffee priorities
    • Graph 18: expected change in habits if the price of coffee went up, by generation, 2026
  4. PRODUCT, INNOVATION AND MARKETING

    • Functionality can stretch further with format expansion
    • Flash brewed coffee freezes flavor experience in time
    • Brands can expand the dimension of customization beyond flavor
    • Lavazza modernizes the single serve coffee experience all the way down to the machine itself
    • World Cup coffee activations reframe coffee's role within the broader beverage landscape
    • Peet's promotes community support at the source
    • Coffee brands market an evolution in sustainable packaging from recyclability to reusability with purpose
  5. APPENDIX

    • Report scope/market definition
    • The market
    • Market size sources and methodology
    • Forecast methodology
    • Forecast methodology – fan chart
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of coffee and RTD coffee, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of roasted coffee, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of single-cup coffee, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of instant coffee, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of RTD coffee, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of dairy and non-dairy cream and creamer, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of dairy cream and creamer, at current prices, 2021-31
    • US: total retail sales and forecast of non-dairy creamer, at current prices, 2021-31
    • Coffee market forecast and prediction intervals
    • Cream and creamer market forecast and prediction intervals
    • The consumer
    • Consumer research questions
    • Consumer research methodology – US
    • Repertoire analysis methodology
    • US generation groups
    • Other data source methodologies
    • Mintel Spark
    • Abbreviations
Download Report Summary

The US coffee and RTD coffee market is entering a more selective phase of growth. The market is estimated to increase 12.2% in 2026, but much of this near-term growth reflects elevated coffee prices rather than a significant increase in consumption. Coffee remains highly resilient, yet consumers are becoming more intentional about where, when and how they spend on it.

The strongest growth signals are coming from formats that solve for affordability, convenience and customization at once. Roasted coffee’s gains are being amplified by pricing, single-cup coffee is maturing, instant coffee is emerging as the most dynamic growth platform, and RTD coffee is under pressure to clarify its role as consumers find similar convenience and customization benefits in at-home formats and other beverage categories.

The consumer story is similarly nuanced, as younger consumers drive many of the category’s shifts. Coffee still anchors daily routines and comfort rituals, but younger consumers are expanding (and blurring) its role into wellness, self-expression, beverage creation and energy management.

This Report Looks at the Following Areas:

  • How consumers are redefining coffee value as prices remain elevated
  • Why younger consumers are turning coffee into a customizable wellness, comfort and self-expression ritual
  • Where coffee customization is growing as creamers lose exclusive ownership of personalization
  • How caffeine flexibility can extend coffee into new dayparts and need states
  • Why instant coffee is becoming the clearest format winner in both a customization oriented and value-conscious market
  • What maturing single-cup and RTD coffee sales reveal about the need for stronger brand differentiation
  • How innovation can make at-home coffee feel like a smarter premium experience

£ 3,695 excl. Tax
Secure direct checkout
Instant PDF download
Portal access included
Need help deciding? Get in touch

Trusted by global industry leaders

Bauer Media Group logo

We have such a great working relationship with Mintel on lots of different levels. As an insight partner, they have helped us to develop our business planning in specific categories as well as supporting our creative process but they’ve also been super helpful with facilitating our events in their inspirational offices near St Paul’s.

They’re an innovative company, with a client-focused team that always delivers.

Abby Carvosso, Group Managing Director, Bauer Media Group
Tenth Wave logo

Mintel helps us when we want to know something quickly – it provides fast answers to our questions. If we need to get a view of what’s going on in a particular market it’s very useful.

When carrying out background research, I find Mintel an excellent starting point.

The fact that it covers so many markets is a big plus for me– instead of having to buy specialist products in each area we are interested in, especially when we only require a brief view on a particular market, we can go to Mintel for help as a one-stop shop. I find Mintel a useful and valuable resource.

Ben Zeidler, Director - Research and Analytics, Tenth Wave
VocaLink logo

We use Mintel Reports, mostly for financial services and ecommerce markets, plus a few retail and technology ones.

As a leading payments provider, we value additional insights into consumer behaviour, opinions and trends that are shaping the many different markets we operate in. Mintel is a very good and very quick way for us to obtain those insights.

We use Mintel to get a view on where a particular market is going, which can support us in product development and help us identify opportunities or indeed risks, it is a very useful barometer of a market’s potential.

 

Andrew Neeson, Market Intelligence Manager, VocaLink
Amazon logo

Working in a customer-obsessed organization means that data and insights have to be at our fingertips. Mintel’s reports help us support anecdotes with real quantifiable insights. The summary sections (which I really like) helps save time by giving a birds eye view of the content before spending time combing through the pages.

Our business review discussions are strengthened by the relevancy of the reports to help us better understand our customers. In addition, the customer service received from the team (especially in crunch periods) makes the process of understanding customer behavior even better.

Ngozi Ngonadi-Nkwoji, Senior Marketing Manager, Amazon
Epsilon logo

We utilize Mintel Reports, Trends and Comperemedia to mine for insights across the numerous business verticals that Epsilon serves, such as CPG, automotive, telecom, healthcare/pharma, retail and financial services.

By integrating Mintel insight into new business opportunities, we have been able to gain the competitive edge necessary to advance partnerships with global brands and key business players.

For our organization, it’s about depth and breadth. Having one without the other doesn’t enable success in our business.

Virginia Harvey, Secondary Research Manager, Epsilon