2026
9
US Grains and Rice Market Report 2026
2026-03-25T14:01:38+00:00
REPC892CD25_453B_41C8_92CD_25453B81C814
3695
192213
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Report
en_GB
The proportion of users eating rice more than once a week is up from 37% to 45%, and that for grains is up from 40% to 44% between 2023 and…
US
Pasta, Rice and Noodles
simple

US Grains and Rice Market Report 2026

"Value and interest in global cuisines are boosting rice sales. Elevating healthfulness, versatility, and convenience will support further growth."

Richard Caines, Senior Analyst, Insights - Food & Drink

Richard Caines, Senior Analyst, Insights - Food & Drink

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  1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    • What you need to know
    • Outlook for rice and grains
    • Opportunities
    • Spotlight low-GI, protein and fiber benefits
    • Leverage interest in wider range of international cuisine flavors
    • Offer more choice of microwaveable instant grains
    • Discover the top five trend territories for success in US meals using Black Swan’s social prediction technology
  2. THE MARKET

    • Snapshot – market size and forecast
    • Consumers and the economic outlook
    • Consumer sentiment remains subdued as price pressures and job worries persist
    • Graph 1: consumer sentiment index, 2022-26
    • Potential for price rises in rice linked to tariffs, and fuel and fertilizer costs
    • New dietary guidelines favor the consumption of wholegrains
    • Cooking at home more and saving money key drivers
    • Graph 2: reasons for stocking up on pantry items more often (top 5), 2025
    • Market size and forecast
    • Market size and forecast of rice and grains
    • Graph 3: total retail sales and forecast of rice and grains, 2019-30
    • Dry rice dominates sales of rice and grains
    • Graph 4: total retail sales of rice and grains, by segment, at current prices, 2019-25
    • Private label makes the biggest gain in rice/grains
    • Graph 5: MULO sales of rice and grains, by leading companies, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
    • Asian cooking and more flavors supporting branded rice sales
  3. THE CONSUMER

    • Types purchased and frequency of eating
    • Rice purchasing mostly steady; some grains being bought by more consumers
    • Graph 6: pre-packaged rice and grains purchased, 2023 and 2025
    • Frequency of eating rice and grains increases
    • Graph 7: frequency of eating rice and grains, 2025
    • Younger generations and parents more frequent eaters of rice
    • Graph 8: eating of rice more than once a week, by generation and parental status, 2025
    • Occasions and uses for rice and grains
    • Six in 10 purchasers eat rice/grains for dinner
    • Opportunities for rice and grains beyond dinner occasion
    • Graph 9: occasions for eating rice and grains, 2025
    • Continue using recipe-focused marketing for rice and grains
    • Graph 10: uses of rice and grains for meals, 2025
    • Recipes highlight versatility and help to increase usage frequency
    • Health and the nutritional benefits of rice and grains
    • A third of consumers mindful of carbs in rice and grains
    • Oats have a stronger association with being healthy than rice and other grains
    • Graph 11: health and nutrition-related associations for different types of rice and grains, 2025
    • Elevate the healthiness of rice with whole grain and rice with nutrient-rich ingredients combinations
    • Weight management driving demand for protein, fiber and low GI
    • Importance of convenience in rice and grains
    • Still room for more convenient formats in rice/grains
    • A quarter of consumers want more microwaveable varieties
    • Graph 12: share of rice launches making a microwaveable claim, 2020-25
    • Opportunity for more choice of microwaveable instant grains
    • Single-serve formats important to growth in sales of rice/grains
    • On-the-go, single-serve formats are highly relevant for meals and snacking
    • Importance of flavor development
    • Price and flavor biggest factors influencing rice choices
    • Flavor a big influence on choice of rice/grains
    • Expand international cuisine flavors to align with younger tastes
    • Graph 13: [no title]
    • Restaurant style, fusion and regional flavors
  4. PRODUCT, INNOVATION AND MARKETING

    • Shelf-stable dominates new launch activity
    • Graph 14: share of rice launches, by storage type, 2020-25
    • Launches of rice dominated by unflavored/plain
    • Graph 15: share of rice launches, by flavor component (top 10), 2025
    • Convenience a big focus for the leading rice brands and private label
    • Fiber/protein claims in rice include grain-free products
    • Sustainable claims in rice include use of regenerative farming
    • Limited launch activity in other grains
    • Versatility, convenience and togetherness themes in rice/grains marketing
    • Ben’s Original features rice in ‘Keep It Original’ campaign
  5. APPENDIX

    • Market definition
    • The market
    • Market size sources and methodology
    • Forecast methodology
    • Forecast methodology – fan chart
    • Market size and forecast of grains and rice at current prices
    • Market size and forecast of grains and rice at inflation-adjusted prices
    • Market forecast and prediction intervals for grains and rice
    • Market size and forecast of grains and rice by segment
    • Sales and forecast of dry rice at current prices
    • Sales and forecast of dry rice at inflation-adjusted prices
    • Sales and forecast of dry rice mixes at current prices
    • Sales and forecast of dry rice mixes at inflation-adjusted prices
    • Sales and forecast of ready-to-serve rice at current prices
    • Sales and forecast of ready-to-serve rice at inflation-adjusted prices
    • Sales and forecast of grains at current prices
    • Sales and forecast of grains at inflation-adjusted prices
    • Average annual household spending on grains and rice
    • Total retail sales of grains and rice, by segment, at current prices
    • Sales of grains and rice by channel
    • Sales of grains and rice, by company
    • Sales of dry rice, by company
    • Sales of dry rice mixes, by company
    • Sales of ready-to-serve rice, by company
    • Sales of grains, by company
    • Sales of grains, by company (continued)
    • The consumer
    • Consumer research questions
    • Consumer research methodology
    • Generations
    • Abbreviations

The proportion of users eating rice more than once a week is up from 37% to 45%, and that for grains is up from 40% to 44% between 2023 and 2025. More cooking at home and changing meal choices, including eating more global cuisines, have supported the eating of rice/grains more often. Promoting new uses and occasions will be key to further increasing sales volumes.

Rice can elevate healthiness in two main ways, including through already well-established whole grain options, and combining rice with other nutrient-rich ingredients. The latter could be either through rice mixes, or through recipe suggestions for nutritionally-balanced meals featuring rice. There is room for more on-pack fiber call-outs, and explaining the benefits of fiber.

27% of rice/grains purchasers wish there were more single-serve rice and grain products available. Groups most interested in single-serve rice/grains products include parents and larger size households of four or five persons, highlighting the importance of catering for people in a household eating at different times, or with different meal preferences.

This Report Looks at the Following Areas:

  • Performance of the market, and impact of consumer sentiment on sales
  • Key trends in recent launch activity and future product development opportunities
  • Purchasing of different types of rice/grains, and usage frequency
  • Occasions for eating rice and different types of grains
  • Factors influencing choice of rice/rice mixes and grains, and attributes associated with different types
  • Behaviors and attitudes related to rice/grains, including nutrition and convenient formats

Market Definitions

Products covered in this Report include:

  • Dry rice (including those without added seasoning/flavoring, such as white and brown rice and Jasmine, as well as dry rice/grain blends such as wild/brown rice, rice/barley)
  • Dry rice mixes, including those with added seasonings or flavorings
  • Instant, ready-to-serve and ready-to-eat varieties
  • Grains, including chia seeds, quinoa, barley and other ancient grains.

Oats are excluded from the market size, but are covered in the consumer research.

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