The US nuts, seeds and trail mix market remains steady, valued at approximately $9.8 billion, but growth has been relatively muted over the past several years. Nuts make up the…
US
Snacks
simple
US Nuts, Seeds and Trail Mix Market Report 2026
"Nuts, seeds and trail mixes have a strong identity of being clean and nutritious options, but will need to double down on positioning and innovation to compete in a saturated snacking landscape."
The US nuts, seeds and trail mix market remains steady, valued at approximately $9.8 billion, but growth has been relatively muted over the past several years. Nuts make up the majority of the category but have experienced the flattest growth and most significant challenges; top performers like peanuts, almonds and cashews have all seen drops in purchase since 2024. Heightened competition from nutritionally-enhanced snacks (eg protein chips, bars) along with ongoing economic pressures are key contributors to this softening. Still, consumers continue to value nuts, seeds and trail mixes as convenient, minimally processed sources of nutrition, which has helped project stability.
Naturality, protein and new flavors are the features consumers would pay more for, highlighting pathways for innovation for brands. Usage remains broadly the same by nut type, but associations become more differentiated when compared to other popular snacks. Nuts, seeds and trail mixes will continue to champion clean nutrition, but other categories are gaining ground on protein content while winning on indulgence and affordability. Opportunities exist for brands to defend these snacks as tasty, nutritious and convenient snacks amidst an evolving snacking world.
This Report Looks at the Following Areas:
Macro factors impacting the nuts, seeds and trail mix market
Market size and forecast of nuts, seeds and trail mixes
Purchasing behavior of nuts, seeds and trail mix
Usage of specific types of nuts, seeds and trail mix
Features consumers would justify paying a higher price for
Interest in innovations, including flavor and top claims
Associations of nuts, seeds and trail mixes compared to other top snacks
Attitudes surrounding brands, unique benefits, pricing and more
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
What you need to know
Outlook for nuts, seeds and trail mix
Opportunities
Defend the benefits that these products offer
Graph 1: agreement with polar statement about unique nut, seed or trail mix benefits, by generation, 2026
Seed and trail mix consumers want more
Graph 2: nut, seed and trail mix features consumers can justify paying a higher price for, by segment, 2026
Graph 3: interest in nuts, seeds and trail mix innovation, by segment, 2026
Help parents bring their kids in with flavor and nutrition signals
Graph 4: nut, seed and trail mix features consumers can justify paying a higher price for, by parental status, 2026
THE MARKET
Snapshot – market size and forecast
Market context
Low consumer confidence could impact consumption
Graph 5: consumer sentiment index, 2021-26
Climate changes could spell future volatility
Graph 6: new nut product launches with environmental claims, 2023-25
GLP-1 users are reaching for some snacks more than others
Graph 7: past three month purchase of nuts, seeds or trail mix, by GLP-1 status, 2026
Nuts, seeds and trail mixes will build on reliability
A stable market remains steady
Graph 8: total retail sales and forecast of nuts, seeds and trail mixes, at current prices, 2019-30
A stable market remains steady
Nuts continue to carry the category
Graph 9: total retail sales and forecast of nuts, seeds and trail mix, by segment, 2019-30
Nuts continue to carry the category
Market share/brand share
Nut brands display stability
Graph 10: MULO sales of nuts, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
Nut brands display stability
Seeds continue to be a more fluid category
Graph 11: MULO sales of seeds, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
Seeds continue to be a more fluid category
Trail mix is primarily private label, but some brands are pushing up
Graph 12: MULO sales of trail mix, by leading companies and brands, rolling 52 weeks 2025 and 2026
Trail mix is primarily private label, but some brands are pushing up
THE CONSUMER
Zooming in on nuts, seeds and trail mix
Nut usage has slightly dropped
Nut usage has slightly dropped, especially among key types
Graph 13: past three month purchase of nuts, seeds or trail mix, 2024-26
Declining purchases among younger consumers
Graph 14: past three month purchase of nuts, seeds or trail mix, by generation, difference between 2024 and 2026
Struggling consumers aren’t turning to nuts or seeds, but trail mix is a bright spot
Graph 15: past three month purchase of nuts, seeds or trail mix, by financial situation, 2026
Usage varies across segments, but do remain broadly similar
Graph 16: usage reasons for nuts, seeds and trail mix, 2026
Usage occasions reveal strengths and weaknesses across nuts
Seeds and trail mix offer up differing solutions
Where this category sits compared to other snacks
This category faces competition on top associations
Graph 17: correspondence analysis of popular snack types, 2026
This category faces competition on top associations
Nuts and seeds find themselves in a health halo; trail mix is the bridge between health and indulgence
Nuts, seeds and trail mixes have perception gaps to fill
Graph 18: associations of popular snacks, 2026
Key health associations of nuts, seeds and trail mixes are mixed among young consumers
Graph 19: associations with “high in protein” for each snack, by generation, 2026
Graph 20: associations with “highly nutritious” for each snack, by generation, 2026
Nutrients need a refresh
What consumers want from nuts, seeds and trail mix
Three features stand out to consumers
Other features find age-specific pockets of fans, but naturality, protein and flavor reign supreme
Graph 21: nut, seed and trail mix features consumers can justify paying a higher price for, by generation, 2026
Flavor interest informs a shift in behavior
Graph 22: interest in nuts, seeds and trail mix innovation, 2024-26
Flavor finds more excitement in seeds and trail mixes
Graph 23: interest in nuts, seeds and trail mix innovation, by segment, 2026
PRODUCT, INNOVATION AND MARKETING
Nuts
Nut brands bring on the flavor
Blue Diamond’s new moves
Wonderful doesn’t want consumers to hold back on snacking
Strategies for environmental communication
Seeds
Seed flavors get creative
Smackin’ builds its brand through social media and baseball
Seed innovation isn’t all about flavor
Trail mixes
A sweet collaboration
New trail mix takes
APPENDIX
Report scope/market definition
The market
Forecast methodology
Forecast methodology – fan chart
Market size and forecast of nuts, seeds and trail mix
Average annual household spending on nuts, seeds and trail mixes
Total retail sales of nuts, seeds and trail mixes, by channel, at current prices
The consumer
Consumer research questions
Consumer research methodology – US
Correspondence analysis methodology
US generation groups
Abbreviations
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