US Pizza Market Report 2026
Value sales of retail pizza are set to decline for a second consecutive year in 2026, driven largely by weakness in frozen pizza, which still accounts for 83% of sales.
Value sales of retail pizza are set to decline for a second consecutive year in 2026, driven largely by weakness in frozen pizza, which still accounts for 83% of sales.
"Pizza sales have declined. Opportunities lie in flavor-forward crust innovation, more choice of vegetable toppings and nutrient-dense pizzas for smaller appetites."
Richard Caines, Senior Analyst, Insights - Food & Drink
Value sales of retail pizza are set to decline for a second consecutive year in 2026, driven largely by weakness in frozen pizza, which still accounts for 83% of sales. Yet the category remains sizable at an estimated $9.5 billion, with convenience and affordability helping sustain demand. At the same time, growing concerns about health and ultra-processed foods are increasingly shaping consumption habits, and limiting usage frequency.
The biggest opportunity is to close the gap between store-bought and delivery pizza. While 60% of consumers prefer delivery pizza, retail retains a strong value advantage. Demand for restaurant-quality crusts (43%), premium ingredients (43%) and more toppings (41%) shows that consumers are willing to pay more for products that elevate the at-home experience. Innovations that make pizza night feel more special can help reignite growth.
Growth will also depend on making pizza feel more relevant to evolving consumer needs. More topping variety would encourage 60% of US consumers to buy pizza more often, while 53% would like smaller, nutrient-dense pizzas. Opportunities span flavor-forward crust innovation, globally inspired and limited-time only toppings, and better-for-you pizzas focused on protein, clean-label ingredients and satiety, helping brands boost frequency without sacrificing indulgence.
For the purposes of this report, Mintel has used the following definitions:
Prepared, ready-to-eat pizza sold in retail outlets is excluded from the market size scope of this report, as is pizza sold in foodservice outlets.