Despite a slight sales dip in 2025, the potato and tortilla chip category remains deeply embedded in consumers daily lives, with the majority reporting eating chips in the past three…
US
Snacks
simple
US Potato and Tortilla Chips Market Report 2026
"Potato and tortilla chips remain snacking favorites and as the landscape evolves, continued innovation in flavor, ingredient transparency and supporting indulgent to everyday snacking needs is key to staying competitive."
Sydney Riebe, Analyst - US Food and Drink
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
What you need to know
Outlook for potato and tortilla chips
Opportunities
Celebrate the indulgent nature of potato chips
Align flavor with craveability
Simplicity is the foundation of healthy chip associations
A little can go a long way to improve BFY perceptions
Discover the top five trend territories for success in US snacking using Black Swan’s social prediction technology
THE MARKET
Snapshot – market size and forecast
Consumers and the economic outlook
Strong consumer snacking habits continue to benefit the market
Graph 1: snacking frequency, 2025
Financial caution impacts spending on snacks
Graph 2: opinions on financial future, 2024-25
Shifts in government health messaging impact product formulation
Rising consumer wellness expectations and ingredient scrutiny impact chip perceptions
Flattened potato and tortilla chip sales reflect consumer price fatigue
Market size and forecast of potato and tortilla chips
Graph 3: total retail sales and forecast of potato and tortilla chips, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast of potato and tortilla chips
Market segmentation
Potato and tortilla chips both on track to slowly grow again
Graph 4: total retail sales and forecast of potato and tortilla chips, by segment, at current prices, 2019-30
Total retail sales and forecast of potato and tortilla chips, by segment
Market share/brand share
Minimal market share movement among top brands and private label
Graph 5: market share of potato and tortilla chips, 2025
Sales of potato and tortilla chips, by brand/company
Major players struggled, while smaller chip brands stepped up
Graph 6: market share of potato chips, 2025
Sales of potato chips, by brand/company
Flat YOY sales for tortilla chips, with a few standout performances
Graph 7: market share of tortilla chips, 2025
Sales of tortilla chips, by brand/company
THE CONSUMER
Leverage parents’ health perceptions of tortilla chips
Parents favor flavor and lead engagement in BFY options
Graph 8: chip consumption, by parental status, 2025
Tortilla chips that are ingredient-forward can bag the whole family
Graph 9: important tortilla chip attributes, by parental status, 2025
Dip into parents’ BFY associations of tortilla chips
Graph 10: attitudes on tortilla chips, by parental status, 2025
Utilize strong satisfactory associations to improve versatility and convenience
Graph 11: potato and tortilla chip associations, 2025
Core classics win in satisfying consumers
Staple chip flavors are viewed as fulfilling
Gendered snacking habits inform convenience and versatility perceptions
Graph 12: potato chip attitudes, by gender, 2025
Tailor innovation to generational snacking preferences
Subtle chip innovation can expand occasions for older consumers
Graph 13: interest in potato chip innovation, by generation, 2025
Flavor-first can amplify the tortilla chip experience for Gen Z
Graph 14: interest in tortilla chip innovation, by generation, 2025
Feed Gen Z’s bold palates and emotional snacking needs
Graph 15: potato and tortilla chip behaviors, by generation, 2025
PRODUCT, INNOVATION AND MARKETING
Global flavor launches find strong consumer interest
Collaborations spice up the chip aisle
LTOs find a sweet spot with seasonal indulgence
Tangy flavors provide a bold snacking experience
CPG launches with notable tangy flavors
Nostalgic flavors in chips create a stir
Lay’s Super Bowl commercial reminds us about the growing process
APPENDIX
Market definition
The market
Forecast methodology
Forecast methodology – fan chart
Market size and forecast of potato and tortilla chips at inflation adjusted prices
Market size and forecast of potato chips at inflation adjusted prices
Market size and forecast of tortilla chips at inflation adjusted prices
Market forecast and prediction intervals
The consumer
Consumer research questions
Consumer research methodology
Repertoire analysis methodology
US generation groups
Abbreviations and terms
Abbreviations [and terms]
Despite a slight sales dip in 2025, the potato and tortilla chip category remains deeply embedded in consumers daily lives, with the majority reporting eating chips in the past three months. This underscores chips’ enduring relevance, even as overall snacking occasions grow.
Persistent inflation and regulatory pressure are reshaping the industry’s competitive landscape. As consumers push back against higher grocery prices and sentiment softens, leading manufacturers are being forced to respond. PepsiCo, for example, will cut chip prices by as much as 15%. At the same time, new FDA color and labeling rules accelerate the need for cleaner, simpler ingredient lists and reformulations, driving higher costs and operational complexity while resetting the basis of brand competition and value perception.
Looking ahead, key opportunities lie in using flavor and texture to connect with the emotional and sensory snacking needs of younger consumers and simplifying BFY products that support value trade-up even in a tightening economy. However, the biggest threat is renewed or prolonged consumer belt-tightening: ongoing financial caution could further push shoppers toward private label or alternative snacks, putting additional pressure on branded value growth and potentially stalling the category’s rebound if cost-of-living headwinds persist.
This report looks at the following areas:
The potato and tortilla chip market
Leveraging parents’ health perceptions of tortilla chips
Utilizing strong satisfactory associations to improve versatility and convenience
Tailoring innovation to generational snacking preferences
Potato and tortilla chip product innovation and marketing strategies
Market Definitions
This Report builds on the analysis presented in prior Mintel Reports: Potato and Tortilla Chips – US – 2025
The following food segments are included in this Report:
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