US Vacation Plans and Priorities Consumer Report 2026
2026-02-13T12:02:25+00:00
REP40C7AE20_BC6E_4CCC_87AE_20BC6EBCCC17
3695
191204
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Report
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Most industries would be happy with reaching 86% of consumers and 2.5% annual growth, but these figures show hamstrung growth for travel. Worry about the economy has many travelers considering…
US
Holidays and Vacations
simple
US Vacation Plans and Priorities Consumer Report 2026
"Economic concerns are making travelers wary of spending. Serving as authoritative sources of information and providing escape will help brands convince them."
Mike Gallinari, Senior Travel & Leisure Analyst
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
What you need to know
Outlook for vacations and planning
Opportunities
Target Gen X as an emerging, dynamic travel cohort
Form more direct relationships based on trust and guidance
Encourage slower, more relaxing travel to spur booking
THE MARKET
Snapshot – market size and forecast
Market factors
Consumers likely to hold back on spending until faith in the economy returns
Short-term rentals stand to gain as the economy lodging market grows
Increasing credit card debt can limit vacation spending
Graph 1: credit card debt balance, 2003-25
Events, government policy can increase competition for domestic dollars
Market size and forecast
A return to higher growth is possible, as long as travelers feel secure enough to spend
Total market size and forecast of travel and tourism
Graph 2: total sales and forecast for travel and tourism, at current prices, 2019-30
THE CONSUMER
Vacations in 2026
Highlight travel’s enrichment to sway unsure consumers
Vacation planners have a more cautious outlook in 2026
Graph 3: planned vacation types for the next 12 months, 2024-26
Escape, wellness are big in 2026
Graph 4: vacation motivations, by gender and generation, 2025
Market lesser-known destinations as familiar hidden gems
Reach fandoms and communities to draw out travelers
Graph 5: preference for a vacation specifically to pursue/enrich an interest/hobby in the next 12 months, by gender and generation, 2025
Funding travel
Debt financing increase illustrates will to travel
Graph 6: planned method of funding “main” upcoming trip, 2024-25
Lean on vibrant reward programs to swing younger travelers away from BNPL
Graph 7: planned method of funding “main” upcoming trip, by age group and HHI, 2025
Affirm makes appeal to travelers lost at sea
Planning difficulties and AI
Younger travelers feel lost in a sea of travel information
Gen Z and Millennials expect planning troubles, paving way for AI
Graph 8: anticipated difficulties in planning upcoming “main” vacation – any problem, by generation, 2025
Proactively address travelers with solutions to their common issues
Emphasize AI tools’ personalization features
Graph 9: elements of travel planning AI is trusted to handle, by travel AI usage, 2025
AI may not be the answer to planners’ problems: a cautionary tale
Vacation planning segments
Experienced Freewheelers – 18% of vacation planners
Cautious Explorers – 41% of vacation planners
Pragmatic Travelers – 20% of vacation planners
Aspiring Vacationers – 21% of vacation planners
Appealing to Experienced Freewheelers
Work to make an assertive group’s travel more efficient and enriching
Experienced Freewheelers are more likely to plan several, possible involved trips
Draw Experienced Freewheelers to bright lights and big cities
Graph 10: vacation preferences for 2026, Experienced Freewheelers vs all, 2025
Credit card TLPs need to build on their existing relationship
Appealing to Cautious Explorers
Stakes are high for a group that may feel they have just one shot at travel
Cautious Explorers will respond to brands addressing their travel-related stress
Arm Cautious Explorers with budgeting skills to keep them engaged
Graph 11: planned method of funding “main” upcoming trip, Cautious Explorers vs all, 2025
Ensure logistical and event information is downstream of destination marketing
Graph 12: elements of travel planning AI is trusted to handle, AI-using Cautious Explorers vs all travelers, 2025
INNOVATION AND MARKETING
A transitioning Gen X population is an appealing travel target
“Spillover” destinations lean into wellness
Orient marketing toward road trippers
Delta Locals is the brand’s tactic in asserting itself as a planning authority
Travelers are looking toward a simpler life away from home
Delve into Discord to find dedicated special interest communities
APPENDIX
Market definition
The market
Forecast methodology
Forecast methodology – fan chart
Market size and forecast of travel and tourism, at current prices, 2019-30
Market size and forecast of travel and tourism, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
Market forecast and prediction intervals
The consumer
Experienced Freewheelers demographic profile
Cautious Explorers demographic profile
Pragmatic Travelers demographic profile
Aspiring Vacationers demographic profile
Consumer research questions
Consumer research methodology
Cluster analysis
Repertoire analysis methodology
US generation groups
Abbreviations
Most industries would be happy with reaching 86% of consumers and 2.5% annual growth, but these figures show hamstrung growth for travel. Worry about the economy has many travelers considering fewer trips this year, and government policies and rhetoric has caused a precipitous drop in inbound tourism, led by a 22.1% reduction in Canadian visitors. As such, travel brands are pressured to pivot to more intense marketing toward domestic travelers.
The added attention is amplifying the stress vacation planners feel when researching their trips, with a least one quarter of normally-excited Gen Z and Millennial travelers saying they anticipate having trouble both finding and verifying travel information online. This has them turning to AI planning solutions; while these can be convenient and “good enough,” they reduce the amount of influence and engagement brands have with travelers. To counter this, brands must reach younger planners directly to be seen as trusted authorities on travel, with guidance on budgeting and itineraries particularly helpful.
Marquee events like the FIFA World Cup will generate a lot of revenue for the industry, but also compound many travelers’ cost concerns. Less-touristed “spillover” destinations, coupled with wellness and/or special interest messaging, can resonate with travelers and move them to action.
This report looks at the following areas:
The performance of and forecast for the domestic vacations and tourism market
How economic factors affect travel decisions
Motivations for taking upcoming trips
The ways in which travelers intend to fund their trips
The anticipated pain points of booking travel, and how AI fits into the picture
The most important travel planning segments for brands, and how to appeal to them
Innovative ways brands are marketing to potential travelers
Market Definitions
For the purposes of this Report, Mintel has used the following definitions:
The travel and tourism market includes both leisure and business travel segments, including: traveler accommodations, domestic and international passenger air transportation services, deep-sea passenger water transportation services, scenic and sightseeing transportation services and travel agencies and tour operators.
Vacationer: an internet user aged 18+ who plans to take a leisure trip in 2025.
Consumer research for this Report was conducted during December 2025, prior to several global and domestic developments in January 2026, which may influence how Americans’ view the political landscape, national identity and the country’s reputation abroad.
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