2026
9
US Vacation Plans and Priorities Consumer Report 2026
2026-02-13T12:02:25+00:00
REP40C7AE20_BC6E_4CCC_87AE_20BC6EBCCC17
3695
191204
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Report
en_GB
Most industries would be happy with reaching 86% of consumers and 2.5% annual growth, but these figures show hamstrung growth for travel. Worry about the economy has many travelers considering…
US
Holidays and Vacations
simple

US Vacation Plans and Priorities Consumer Report 2026

"Economic concerns are making travelers wary of spending. Serving as authoritative sources of information and providing escape will help brands convince them."

Mike Gallinari, Senior Travel & Leisure Analyst

Mike Gallinari, Senior Travel & Leisure Analyst

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  1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    • What you need to know
    • Outlook for vacations and planning
    • Opportunities
    • Target Gen X as an emerging, dynamic travel cohort
    • Form more direct relationships based on trust and guidance
    • Encourage slower, more relaxing travel to spur booking
  2. THE MARKET

    • Snapshot – market size and forecast
    • Market factors
    • Consumers likely to hold back on spending until faith in the economy returns
    • Short-term rentals stand to gain as the economy lodging market grows
    • Increasing credit card debt can limit vacation spending
    • Graph 1: credit card debt balance, 2003-25
    • Events, government policy can increase competition for domestic dollars
    • Market size and forecast
    • A return to higher growth is possible, as long as travelers feel secure enough to spend
    • Total market size and forecast of travel and tourism
    • Graph 2: total sales and forecast for travel and tourism, at current prices, 2019-30
  3. THE CONSUMER

    • Vacations in 2026
    • Highlight travel’s enrichment to sway unsure consumers
    • Vacation planners have a more cautious outlook in 2026
    • Graph 3: planned vacation types for the next 12 months, 2024-26
    • Escape, wellness are big in 2026
    • Graph 4: vacation motivations, by gender and generation, 2025
    • Market lesser-known destinations as familiar hidden gems
    • Reach fandoms and communities to draw out travelers
    • Graph 5: preference for a vacation specifically to pursue/enrich an interest/hobby in the next 12 months, by gender and generation, 2025
    • Funding travel
    • Debt financing increase illustrates will to travel
    • Graph 6: planned method of funding “main” upcoming trip, 2024-25
    • Lean on vibrant reward programs to swing younger travelers away from BNPL
    • Graph 7: planned method of funding “main” upcoming trip, by age group and HHI, 2025
    • Affirm makes appeal to travelers lost at sea
    • Planning difficulties and AI
    • Younger travelers feel lost in a sea of travel information
    • Gen Z and Millennials expect planning troubles, paving way for AI
    • Graph 8: anticipated difficulties in planning upcoming “main” vacation – any problem, by generation, 2025
    • Proactively address travelers with solutions to their common issues
    • Emphasize AI tools’ personalization features
    • Graph 9: elements of travel planning AI is trusted to handle, by travel AI usage, 2025
    • AI may not be the answer to planners’ problems: a cautionary tale
    • Vacation planning segments
    • Experienced Freewheelers – 18% of vacation planners
    • Cautious Explorers – 41% of vacation planners
    • Pragmatic Travelers – 20% of vacation planners
    • Aspiring Vacationers – 21% of vacation planners
    • Appealing to Experienced Freewheelers
    • Work to make an assertive group’s travel more efficient and enriching
    • Experienced Freewheelers are more likely to plan several, possible involved trips
    • Draw Experienced Freewheelers to bright lights and big cities
    • Graph 10: vacation preferences for 2026, Experienced Freewheelers vs all, 2025
    • Credit card TLPs need to build on their existing relationship
    • Appealing to Cautious Explorers
    • Stakes are high for a group that may feel they have just one shot at travel
    • Cautious Explorers will respond to brands addressing their travel-related stress
    • Arm Cautious Explorers with budgeting skills to keep them engaged
    • Graph 11: planned method of funding “main” upcoming trip, Cautious Explorers vs all, 2025
    • Ensure logistical and event information is downstream of destination marketing
    • Graph 12: elements of travel planning AI is trusted to handle, AI-using Cautious Explorers vs all travelers, 2025
  4. INNOVATION AND MARKETING

    • A transitioning Gen X population is an appealing travel target
    • “Spillover” destinations lean into wellness
    • Orient marketing toward road trippers
    • Delta Locals is the brand’s tactic in asserting itself as a planning authority
    • Travelers are looking toward a simpler life away from home
    • Delve into Discord to find dedicated special interest communities
  5. APPENDIX

    • Market definition
    • The market
    • Forecast methodology
    • Forecast methodology – fan chart
    • Market size and forecast of travel and tourism, at current prices, 2019-30
    • Market size and forecast of travel and tourism, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2019-30
    • Market forecast and prediction intervals
    • The consumer
    • Experienced Freewheelers demographic profile
    • Cautious Explorers demographic profile
    • Pragmatic Travelers demographic profile
    • Aspiring Vacationers demographic profile
    • Consumer research questions
    • Consumer research methodology
    • Cluster analysis
    • Repertoire analysis methodology
    • US generation groups
    • Abbreviations

Most industries would be happy with reaching 86% of consumers and 2.5% annual growth, but these figures show hamstrung growth for travel. Worry about the economy has many travelers considering fewer trips this year, and government policies and rhetoric has caused a precipitous drop in inbound tourism, led by a 22.1% reduction in Canadian visitors. As such, travel brands are pressured to pivot to more intense marketing toward domestic travelers.

The added attention is amplifying the stress vacation planners feel when researching their trips, with a least one quarter of normally-excited Gen Z and Millennial travelers saying they anticipate having trouble both finding and verifying travel information online. This has them turning to AI planning solutions; while these can be convenient and “good enough,” they reduce the amount of influence and engagement brands have with travelers. To counter this, brands must reach younger planners directly to be seen as trusted authorities on travel, with guidance on budgeting and itineraries particularly helpful.

Marquee events like the FIFA World Cup will generate a lot of revenue for the industry, but also compound many travelers’ cost concerns. Less-touristed “spillover” destinations, coupled with wellness and/or special interest messaging, can resonate with travelers and move them to action.

This report looks at the following areas:

  • The performance of and forecast for the domestic vacations and tourism market
  • How economic factors affect travel decisions
  • Motivations for taking upcoming trips
  • The ways in which travelers intend to fund their trips
  • The anticipated pain points of booking travel, and how AI fits into the picture
  • The most important travel planning segments for brands, and how to appeal to them
  • Innovative ways brands are marketing to potential travelers

Market Definitions

For the purposes of this Report, Mintel has used the following definitions:

The travel and tourism market includes both leisure and business travel segments, including: traveler accommodations, domestic and international passenger air transportation services, deep-sea passenger water transportation services, scenic and sightseeing transportation services and travel agencies and tour operators.

Vacationer: an internet user aged 18+ who plans to take a leisure trip in 2025.

Consumer research for this Report was conducted during December 2025, prior to several global and domestic developments in January 2026, which may influence how Americans’ view the political landscape, national identity and the country’s reputation abroad.

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