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Schools, Universities and Hospitals - UK - March 2018

“Universities are undergoing huge changes due to deregulation and the age of much of the estate, leading to a buoyant sector. Meanwhile, the government’s public expenditure strategy is curtailing investment in schools and the health sector, but is coming under increasing demographic and political pressure to relax restrictions.”

- Terry Leggett, Senior Analyst

This report addresses the following key questions:

  • How will the market develop over the next five years?
  • What will be the key market drivers?
  • What sectors offer the best prospects?
  • How is government policy affecting the market?
  • Will rising competition between universities increase property investment?

 

 

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Table of contents

  1. Executive Summary

      • The market
        • Figure 1: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, 2013-17 and forecast 2018-22
        • Figure 2: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, by sector, 2013-17 and forecast 2018-22
        • Figure 3: Segmentation of maintenance activity in schools, universities and hospitals, by sector, 2017
        • Figure 4: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, by funding, 2013-17
      • Market factors
        • Figure 5: Estimated cost of returning English schools estate to satisfactory condition, by type of construction activity, 2016
        • Figure 6: Scottish local authority schools estate, by grade, 2017
        • Figure 7: Welsh schools estate, 2017
        • Figure 8: Age profile of NHS Wales buildings, 2016
      • What we think
      • Key Issues

          • How will Brexit impact the sector?
            • What impact will the demise of Carillion have?
              • How is purpose-built student accommodation changing?
              • Introduction

                • Definitions
                  • Methodology
                    • Abbreviations
                      • Market positioning and issues in the market
                      • UK Economy

                        • Overview
                          • Figure 9: Forecast GDP development 2017-22
                          • Figure 10: UK GDP quarterly development, 2004-17
                        • Inflation
                          • House prices
                            • Figure 11: UK House price changes, 2006-2017
                          • Interest rates
                            • Consumer spending
                              • Manufacturing
                                • Figure 12: UK manufacturing, 2014-17
                              • Business investment
                                • Figure 13: UK GFCF 2003-17
                              • Imports
                                • Exports
                                • Market Overview

                                  • Key analysis
                                    • Market size and trends
                                      • Figure 14: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, 2013-17
                                      • Figure 15: Forecast UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, 2018-22
                                    • Market segmentation
                                      • Figure 16: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, by activity, 2013-17
                                      • Figure 17: UK education market for new construction, by activity, 2013-17
                                      • Figure 18: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, by funding, 2013-17
                                      • Figure 19: UK market for new construction of schools, universities and hospitals, by sector, 2013-17 and forecast 2018-22
                                      • Figure 20: Segmentation of maintenance activity in schools, universities and hospitals, by sector, 2017
                                  • Schools

                                    • Key analysis
                                      • Existing Estate
                                        • England
                                          • Figure 21: Number of schools in England, by type, 2016
                                          • Figure 22: English schools estate, 2015
                                          • Figure 23: English schools estate, by region, 2015
                                          • Figure 24: English schools estate, by period of construction, 2015
                                          • Figure 25: Estimated cost of returning English schools estate to satisfactory condition, by type of construction activity, 2016
                                        • Scotland
                                          • Figure 26: Scottish local authority schools estate, by grade, 2013-17
                                          • Figure 27: Scottish local authority schools estate, 2017
                                        • Wales
                                          • Figure 28: Welsh schools estate, 2013-17
                                          • Figure 29: Welsh maintained schools estate, 2017
                                        • Construction and maintenance trends
                                          • Figure 30: Schools new construction expenditure, 2013-17, and forecast 2018-22
                                        • England
                                          • Figure 31: Expected changes in school places needed in England, by type, 2018-26
                                          • Figure 32: Plans for new school places, by region, 2016/17-2018/19
                                          • Figure 33: Basic Need/Targeted Need capital funding for new school places in England, by region, 2016/17-2018/19
                                          • Figure 34: Funding for additional school places in England, by type, 2008-16 actual and 2017-21 forecast
                                          • Figure 35: Funding streams for school condition in England
                                          • Figure 36: Funding for maintaining the school estate in England, 2013-17
                                          • Figure 37: School Condition Allocation, by type of school, 2015/16-2017-18
                                          • Figure 38: Local authority maintained schools expenditure on building and grounds maintenance and improvement, by type of school, 2016-17
                                        • Scotland
                                          • Figure 39: Scottish schools constructed or substantially refurbished, 2008-17
                                        • Wales
                                          • Figure 40: Capital expenditure on education by local authorities in Wales, 2009-2017
                                          • Figure 41: Funding of First phase of 21st Century Schools in Wales, by source, 2014-2019
                                      • Universities

                                        • Key analysis
                                          • Estate
                                            • Figure 42: UK University estate, by type of building and country, 2015
                                            • Figure 43: Profile of turnover of higher education establishments, 2016
                                            • Figure 44: Full-time and sandwich student term-time accommodation, by type, 2017
                                          • Construction and maintenance trends
                                              • Figure 45: Trends in University capital expenditure, 2004-16
                                              • Figure 46: University new construction expenditure, 2013-17, and forecast 2018-22
                                              • Figure 47: Private investment deals in purpose built student accommodation, 2010-2017
                                              • Figure 48: Major private investment deals in purpose built student accommodation, 2017
                                          • Hospitals

                                            • Key analysis
                                              • Estate Size
                                                • England
                                                    • Figure 49: Building profile and characteristics of NHS buildings, 2015/16 and 2016/17
                                                  • Scotland
                                                    • Figure 50: Hospital estate of NHS Scotland, 2016
                                                  • Wales
                                                      • Figure 51: Age profile of NHS Wales buildings, 2016
                                                    • Construction and maintenance trends
                                                      • Figure 52: Health sector new construction expenditure, 2013-17, and forecast 2018-22
                                                    • England
                                                        • Figure 53: NHS Trust capital spending, by type 2015-17
                                                        • Figure 54: NHS Trust costs to eradicate backlog maintenance, by type 2015-17
                                                      • Scotland
                                                          • Figure 55: NHS Scotland estate physical condition, 2016
                                                          • Figure 56: NHS Scotland backlog maintenance, by region, 2016
                                                        • Wales
                                                          • Figure 57: Capital investments by NHS Wales, 2007-2018
                                                          • Figure 58: NHS Wales costs to eradicate backlog maintenance, by type and region 2016
                                                          • Figure 59: NHS Wales baseline discretionary capital funding, 2018-19
                                                      • Industry Structure

                                                        • Key analysis
                                                          • Industry development
                                                            • Figure 60: Development of the non-residential construction industry, by number of companies, 2012-16
                                                            • Figure 61: Employment structure of the commercial building construction sector, 2016
                                                            • Figure 62: Education Funding Agency contractors framework, 2013-17
                                                        • Company Profiles

                                                          • Balfour Beatty

                                                                • Figure 63: Financial analysis of Balfour Beatty, 2013-17
                                                                • Figure 64: Turnover analysis of Balfour Beatty, 2013-17
                                                                • Figure 65: Investment portfolio of Balfour Beatty by segment, 2014-17
                                                              • Company strategy
                                                              • BAM Construction

                                                                  • Figure 66: Financial analysis of BAM Construction, 2012-16
                                                                • Company strategy
                                                                • Bowmer & Kirkland

                                                                    • Figure 67: Financial analysis of Bowmer & Kirkland, 2011-15
                                                                  • Company strategy
                                                                  • Carillon

                                                                        • Figure 68: Financial analysis of Carillion, 2012-16
                                                                      • Company strategy
                                                                      • Galliford Try

                                                                            • Figure 69: Financial analysis of Galliford Try, 2013-17
                                                                            • Figure 70: Turnover segmentation of Galliford Try, 2017
                                                                          • Company strategy
                                                                          • Interserve

                                                                              • Figure 71: Financial analysis of Interserve, 2012-2016
                                                                              • Figure 72: Operating profit segmentation of Interserve, 2016
                                                                              • Figure 73: Turnover segmentation of Interserve, 2016
                                                                          • Kier Group

                                                                              • Figure 74: Financial analysis of Kier Group, 201317
                                                                              • Figure 75: Turnover analysis of Kier Group, 2017
                                                                            • Company strategy
                                                                            • Sir Robert McAlpine

                                                                                • Figure 76: Financial analysis of Sir Robert McAlpine, 201216
                                                                              • Company strategy
                                                                              • Skanska UK

                                                                                  • Figure 77: Financial analysis of Skanska UK, 201216
                                                                                • Company strategy
                                                                                • Thomas Vale Construction/Bouygues UK 47

                                                                                    • Figure 78: Financial analysis of Thomas Vale Construction, 201216
                                                                                  • Company strategy
                                                                                  • Wates Group

                                                                                      • Figure 79: Financial analysis of Wates Group, 2012-16
                                                                                      • Figure 80: Turnover analysis of Wates Group, 2016
                                                                                    • Company strategy
                                                                                    • Willmott Dixon Construction

                                                                                        • Figure 81: Financial analysis of Willmott Dixon Construction, 2012-16
                                                                                      • Company strategy
                                                                                      • Further Sources & Contacts

                                                                                        • Trade Associations
                                                                                          • British Constructional Steelwork Association
                                                                                            • Chartered Institute of Building
                                                                                              • Confederation of Construction Specialists
                                                                                                • Construction Confederation
                                                                                                  • Construction Industry Council
                                                                                                    • Construction Industry Research & Information Association
                                                                                                      • Institution of Planning Supervisors
                                                                                                        • Major Projects Association
                                                                                                          • National Federation of Builders
                                                                                                            • Association of Building Component Manufacturers
                                                                                                              • The Building Centre
                                                                                                                • Trade Magazines
                                                                                                                  • The Builder (Monthly)
                                                                                                                    • Builder & Engineer (Monthly)
                                                                                                                      • Building (Weekly)
                                                                                                                        • Building & Construction (Quarterly)
                                                                                                                          • Building News (Alt-Months)
                                                                                                                            • Building Research & Information (Bi-Monthly)
                                                                                                                              • Construction Europe (Monthly)
                                                                                                                                • Construction Forum (Alternate Months)
                                                                                                                                  • Construction Magazine (Monthly)
                                                                                                                                    • Construction Manager (10 issues per year)
                                                                                                                                      • Construction News (Weekly)
                                                                                                                                        • Constructor (Monthly)
                                                                                                                                          • Contract Journal (Weekly)
                                                                                                                                            • ESI Building Products (Annual)
                                                                                                                                              • International Construction (Monthly)
                                                                                                                                                • Premier Construction (Monthly)
                                                                                                                                                  • Professional Builder (11 issues per year)
                                                                                                                                                    • Public Sector Building (6 issues per year)
                                                                                                                                                      • QS Week
                                                                                                                                                        • Trade Exhibitions
                                                                                                                                                          • 100% Detail
                                                                                                                                                            • INTERBUILD
                                                                                                                                                              • National Event for Construction (SED)

                                                                                                                                                              Schools, Universities and Hospitals - UK - March 2018

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